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GATX Corporation (GATX)
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GATX (GATX) AI Stock Analysis

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GATX

GATX

(NYSE:GATX)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$178.00
â–˛(9.88% Upside)
GATX's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, tempered by technical analysis indicating a bearish trend and moderate valuation. The company's high leverage and declining free cash flow are potential risks that need addressing.

GATX (GATX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GATX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGATX Corporation operates as railcar leasing company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Rail North America, Rail International, and Portfolio Management. It leases tank and freight railcars, and locomotives for petroleum, chemical, food/agriculture, and transportation industries. The company also offers services, including the interior cleaning of railcars, routine maintenance and repair of car body and safety appliances, regulatory compliance works, wheelset replacements, interior blast and lining operations, exterior blast and painting, and car stenciling. In addition, it leases aircraft spare engines, directly-owned aircraft spare engines, and five liquefied gas-carrying vessels, as well as manages portfolios of assets for third parties. The company owns a fleet of approximately 147,000 railcars; 539 four-axle and 29 six-axle locomotives; and 5 vessels. GATX Corporation was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyGATX generates revenue primarily through leasing agreements for its railcars and specialized equipment. The company's main revenue stream comes from long-term leases with customers in the freight transportation sector, which provide a steady income. Additionally, GATX earns revenue from maintenance services and repairs for its leased assets. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major railroads and industrial companies, which enhance its market reach and operational efficiency. Key factors contributing to GATX's earnings include its diverse asset base, a strong demand for freight transportation, and favorable market conditions in the rail industry.

GATX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in North America with high fleet utilization and increased remarketing income, as well as positive growth in engine leasing and robust operations in India. However, there were challenges such as decreased quarterly net income, market difficulties in Europe, and rising maintenance costs in North America.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
High Fleet Utilization in North America
GATX Rail North America's fleet utilization remained high at 98.9%, with a positive renewal rate change of 22.8% for the quarter and an average renewal term of sixty months.
Remarketing Income Growth
Generated over $60 million in remarketing income during the quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to approximately $81 million, with expectations for a strong fourth quarter.
Engine Leasing Performance
Engine leasing performed very well with high demand for aircraft spare engines. Acquired seven additional engines for $147.1 million during the quarter.
Positive Year-to-Date Earnings Growth
Year-to-date 2025 net income was $236.3 million, up from $207.7 million for the same period in 2024.
Strong Performance in India
Rail freight volume in India remains robust with 600 new railcars delivered during the quarter and fleet utilization maintained at 100%.
Negative Updates
Decreased Quarterly Net Income
2025 third quarter net income was $82.2 million, down from $89 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Challenges in European Market
GATX Rail Europe fleet utilization was 93.7%, reflecting ongoing market challenges in Europe.
Increased Maintenance Expenses in North America
Higher maintenance expenses due to increased volume and mix of maintenance work, leading to more work outsourced to the contract network.
Company Guidance
During GATX Corporation's 2025 third-quarter earnings call, the company provided comprehensive guidance, highlighting several key financial metrics. GATX reported a net income of $82.2 million, or $2.22 per diluted share, down from $89 million or $2.43 per diluted share in the same quarter of 2024. The 2025 results were positively impacted by $5.3 million or $0.15 per share due to tax adjustments and other items. Year-to-date net income for 2025 stood at $236.3 million or $6.46 per diluted share, compared to $207.7 million or $5.68 per diluted share in 2024. The company maintained high fleet utilization rates in North America at 98.9%, with a positive lease price index change of 22.8% and an average renewal term of 60 months. Remarketing income for the quarter was over $60 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of approximately $81 million. GATX reaffirmed its full-year earnings guidance for 2025, projecting earnings between $8.50 and $8.90 per diluted share, excluding impacts from tax adjustments and the pending Wells Fargo transaction.

GATX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GATX demonstrates strong profitability and revenue growth, with healthy profit margins and efficient operations. However, high leverage and declining free cash flow present potential risks, necessitating careful debt management and improved cash flow generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
GATX shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit margin and net profit margin over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a gross profit margin of 49.10% and a net profit margin of 19.13%, both of which are healthy figures. Revenue growth has been steady, with a 2.69% increase in the latest TTM period, indicating a positive trajectory. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, reflecting efficient operations and cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.38 in the TTM period, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. However, the return on equity (ROE) is strong at 12.66%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively stable, showing a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
GATX's cash flow performance is mixed. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.06, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow has seen a significant decline, with a negative growth rate of -146.32% in the TTM period, which is a concern. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.23, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.67B1.59B1.41B1.27B1.26B1.21B
Gross Profit820.40M760.90M647.30M572.60M539.20M494.20M
EBITDA452.70M1.02B916.20M768.80M776.30M657.80M
Net Income319.60M284.20M259.20M155.90M143.10M151.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.20B12.30B11.33B10.07B9.54B8.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments754.60M401.60M450.70M452.20M344.30M292.20M
Total Debt9.02B8.41B7.63B6.71B6.19B5.73B
Total Liabilities10.53B9.86B9.05B8.04B7.52B6.98B
Stockholders Equity2.67B2.44B2.27B2.03B2.02B1.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow147.20M602.10M-1.14B-722.30M-622.90M-432.50M
Operating Cash Flow651.70M602.10M520.40M533.50M507.20M428.30M
Investing Cash Flow-1.08B-1.42B-1.22B-1.07B-917.70M-664.00M
Financing Cash Flow356.80M770.50M844.10M504.40M463.10M377.40M

GATX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price161.99
Price Trends
50DMA
169.14
Negative
100DMA
161.70
Positive
200DMA
157.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.04
Positive
RSI
35.60
Neutral
STOCH
13.27
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GATX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 161.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 172.33, below the 50-day MA of 169.14, and above the 200-day MA of 157.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GATX.

GATX Risk Analysis

GATX disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GATX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GATX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$7.11B7.7212.59%1.38%8.08%76.55%
78
Outperform
$2.98B11.7823.85%1.60%8.78%117.40%
69
Neutral
$7.46B13.5616.29%2.08%1.68%―
68
Neutral
$5.80B19.0511.98%1.49%10.66%14.09%
66
Neutral
$3.92B36.969.82%0.95%-2.34%-37.24%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
$4.32B148.861.41%2.15%11.41%-92.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GATX
GATX
161.99
25.08
18.32%
AL
Air Lease
63.60
20.07
46.11%
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
22.12
-15.16
-40.67%
HRI
Herc Holdings
128.42
-77.06
-37.50%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
120.38
16.92
16.35%
R
Ryder System
160.20
24.10
17.71%

GATX Corporate Events

GATX Corporation Reports Steady Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 22, 2025

GATX Corporation, headquartered in Chicago, is a global leader in leasing transportation assets, including railcars, aircraft spare engines, and tank containers, serving various industries worldwide. In its latest earnings report, GATX Corporation announced a third-quarter net income of $82.2 million, or $2.25 per diluted share, for 2025, slightly down from $89.0 million, or $2.43 per diluted share, in the same period of 2024. The company maintained its full-year earnings guidance of $8.50 to $8.90 per diluted share, highlighting strong fleet utilization and robust performance across its aircraft spare engine leasing portfolios. Key financial metrics revealed a total investment volume of $361.7 million for the third quarter, contributing to a year-to-date total of $877.0 million. Rail North America’s fleet utilization remained high at 98.9%, with a renewal success rate of 87.1%, while GATX Rail Europe’s utilization was slightly lower at 93.7% due to macroeconomic headwinds. The company’s engine leasing segment showed significant growth, driven by strong global demand for aircraft spare engines. Looking ahead, GATX Corporation remains optimistic about its financial performance for the rest of the year, supported by stable market conditions and strategic investments in its rail and engine leasing businesses.

GATX Corporation’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strong Guidance
Oct 22, 2025

The recent earnings call from GATX Corporation reflected a mixed sentiment, highlighting strong performance in North America with high fleet utilization and increased remarketing income. Positive growth was also noted in engine leasing and robust operations in India. However, the company faced challenges such as decreased quarterly net income, market difficulties in Europe, and rising maintenance costs in North America.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
GATX Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Challenges
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, GATX Corporation reported its third-quarter financial results, showing a net income of $82.2 million, a decrease from $89.0 million in the same quarter of 2024. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, GATX maintained strong fleet utilization rates in North America and Europe, with significant investments in railcars and engines. The company continues to expect full-year earnings to be between $8.50 and $8.90 per diluted share, excluding tax adjustments and other items. GATX’s strategic moves, including a pending acquisition of Wells Fargo’s rail assets and a recent agreement to acquire railcars from DB Cargo AG, aim to strengthen its market position and diversify its portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GATX) stock is a Buy with a $201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GATX stock, see the GATX Stock Forecast page.

GATX Corporation Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Jul 30, 2025

GATX Corporation, headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, is a leading global provider of leasing services for transportation assets, including railcars, aircraft spare engines, and tank containers, with a focus on safety and sustainability.

GATX Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Jul 30, 2025

The latest earnings call from GATX Corporation painted a picture of robust financial health, marked by significant gains in net income and high fleet utilization rates, particularly in North America. The positive sentiment was tempered by challenges in Europe and a stagnation in new investments in engine leasing. Nonetheless, the company’s increased earnings guidance suggests a favorable outlook moving forward.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
GATX Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, GATX Corporation reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $75.5 million, a significant increase from the previous year. The company raised its full-year earnings guidance and highlighted robust demand across its business segments, including Rail North America, Rail International, and Engine Leasing. The announcement reflects GATX’s solid operational performance and strategic investments, such as the joint venture with Brookfield Infrastructure to acquire Wells Fargo’s rail assets, positioning the company for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GATX) stock is a Hold with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GATX stock, see the GATX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2025