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GATX Corp (GATX)
NYSE:GATX
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GATX (GATX) AI Stock Analysis

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GATX

GATX

(NYSE:GATX)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$177.00
â–²(5.31% Upside)
GATX's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and positive technical indicators. The company's profitability and growth prospects are promising, but high leverage and declining free cash flow pose risks. The stock's valuation is fair, and the positive earnings call sentiment further supports the score.

GATX (GATX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GATX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGATX Corporation operates as railcar leasing company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Rail North America, Rail International, and Portfolio Management. It leases tank and freight railcars, and locomotives for petroleum, chemical, food/agriculture, and transportation industries. The company also offers services, including the interior cleaning of railcars, routine maintenance and repair of car body and safety appliances, regulatory compliance works, wheelset replacements, interior blast and lining operations, exterior blast and painting, and car stenciling. In addition, it leases aircraft spare engines, directly-owned aircraft spare engines, and five liquefied gas-carrying vessels, as well as manages portfolios of assets for third parties. The company owns a fleet of approximately 147,000 railcars; 539 four-axle and 29 six-axle locomotives; and 5 vessels. GATX Corporation was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyGATX generates revenue primarily through leasing agreements for its railcars and specialized equipment. The company's main revenue stream comes from long-term leases with customers in the freight transportation sector, which provide a steady income. Additionally, GATX earns revenue from maintenance services and repairs for its leased assets. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major railroads and industrial companies, which enhance its market reach and operational efficiency. Key factors contributing to GATX's earnings include its diverse asset base, a strong demand for freight transportation, and favorable market conditions in the rail industry.

GATX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed a strong financial performance with significant increases in net income and a positive outlook in the rail and engine leasing sectors. Challenges in the European market were noted but did not significantly impact the overall positive performance. The increased earnings guidance further underscores the positive sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Net Income
GATX reported 2025 second quarter net income of $75.5 million or $2.06 per diluted share, compared to $44.4 million or $1.21 per diluted share in the 2024 second quarter.
Strong Performance in Rail North America
Fleet utilization was 99.2% with a strong renewal success rate of 84.2%. The lease price index renewal rate change was positive at 24.2% for the quarter, with an average renewal term of 60 months.
Robust Secondary Market in North America
GATX generated over $34 million in remarketing income during the quarter, with year-to-date totals at approximately $65 million.
Strong Demand in Engine Leasing
The joint venture with Rolls-Royce and the wholly owned engine portfolio produced excellent results due to strong global air passenger volume.
Increased Earnings Guidance
GATX increased its 2025 full-year earnings guidance to a range of $8.50 to $8.90 per diluted share.
Negative Updates
Challenges in European Market
Rail Europe utilization was 93.3% due to macro headwinds and slower GDP in Germany, leading to some customers delaying fleet planning decisions.
Flat Investment Volume in Engine Leasing
No investment volume in the wholly-owned portfolio for the first 6 months of the year, down from $71 million in the same period last year.
Company Guidance
During the GATX 2025 second quarter earnings call, the company reported a net income of $75.5 million or $2.06 per diluted share, compared to $44.4 million or $1.21 per diluted share in the same quarter of 2024. Year-to-date, the 2025 net income was $154.1 million or $4.21 per diluted share, up from $118.7 million or $3.25 per diluted share for the same period in 2024. The Rail North America segment maintained a fleet utilization of 99.2%, with a renewal success rate of 84.2% and a positive 24.2% renewal rate change in the lease price index. GATX generated over $34 million in remarketing income during the quarter. In Rail International, GATX Rail Europe had a utilization rate of 93.3%, while GATX Rail India saw high demand with a utilization rate of 99.6%. The engine leasing segment showed strong performance, driven by robust global air passenger volume, contributing to the increase in the company's full-year earnings guidance to a range of $8.50 to $8.90 per diluted share. The guidance excludes tax adjustments, other items, and any potential impact from the pending Wells Fargo Rail transaction.

GATX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GATX demonstrates strong profitability and revenue growth, with healthy profit margins and efficient operations. However, high leverage and declining free cash flow present potential risks, necessitating careful debt management and improved cash flow generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
GATX shows strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit margin and net profit margin over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a gross profit margin of 49.10% and a net profit margin of 19.13%, both of which are healthy figures. Revenue growth has been steady, with a 2.69% increase in the latest TTM period, indicating a positive trajectory. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, reflecting efficient operations and cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.38 in the TTM period, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. However, the return on equity (ROE) is strong at 12.66%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively stable, showing a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
GATX's cash flow performance is mixed. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.06, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow has seen a significant decline, with a negative growth rate of -146.32% in the TTM period, which is a concern. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.23, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.67B1.59B1.41B1.27B1.26B1.21B
Gross Profit820.40M760.90M647.30M572.60M539.20M494.20M
EBITDA452.70M1.02B916.20M768.80M776.30M657.80M
Net Income319.60M284.20M259.20M155.90M143.10M151.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.20B12.30B11.33B10.07B9.54B8.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments754.60M401.60M450.70M452.20M344.30M292.20M
Total Debt9.02B8.41B7.63B6.71B6.19B5.73B
Total Liabilities10.53B9.86B9.05B8.04B7.52B6.98B
Stockholders Equity2.67B2.44B2.27B2.03B2.02B1.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow147.20M602.10M-1.14B-722.30M-622.90M-432.50M
Operating Cash Flow651.70M602.10M520.40M533.50M507.20M428.30M
Investing Cash Flow-1.08B-1.42B-1.22B-1.07B-917.70M-664.00M
Financing Cash Flow356.80M770.50M844.10M504.40M463.10M377.40M

GATX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price168.08
Price Trends
50DMA
158.32
Positive
100DMA
153.98
Positive
200DMA
155.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.44
Negative
RSI
65.45
Neutral
STOCH
53.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GATX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 168.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 163.93, above the 50-day MA of 158.32, and above the 200-day MA of 155.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GATX.

GATX Risk Analysis

GATX disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GATX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GATX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$7.12B7.7312.59%1.38%8.08%76.55%
81
Outperform
$3.09B12.2423.85%1.57%8.78%117.40%
78
Outperform
$7.67B16.0616.38%1.80%3.68%6.61%
74
Outperform
$5.98B19.2112.54%1.42%11.74%33.85%
63
Neutral
$10.73B15.327.37%2.01%2.86%-14.57%
62
Neutral
$4.22B38.769.82%0.91%-2.34%-37.24%
61
Neutral
$4.59B159.991.41%2.00%11.41%-92.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GATX
GATX
168.08
33.79
25.16%
AL
Air Lease
63.60
21.62
51.50%
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
22.83
-16.11
-41.37%
HRI
Herc Holdings
133.64
2.26
1.72%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
122.59
20.26
19.80%
R
Ryder System
185.66
52.43
39.35%

GATX Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
GATX Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, GATX Corporation reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $75.5 million, a significant increase from the previous year. The company raised its full-year earnings guidance and highlighted robust demand across its business segments, including Rail North America, Rail International, and Engine Leasing. The announcement reflects GATX’s solid operational performance and strategic investments, such as the joint venture with Brookfield Infrastructure to acquire Wells Fargo’s rail assets, positioning the company for future growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
GATX Announces New Board Member Appointment
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

On July 13, 2025, GATX Corporation announced the election of Robert S. Wetherbee to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to nine members, with eight being independent. Mr. Wetherbee, who brings over 40 years of experience in the specialty materials and metals industries, will serve on the Audit and Compensation Committees. His extensive industry knowledge is expected to be an asset as GATX continues to execute its growth strategies in the railcar, aircraft spare engine, and tank container leasing sectors globally.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
GATX Expands Credit Capacity with New Agreement
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On June 30, 2025, GATX Corporation expanded its financial capacity by entering into a Commitment Increase Supplement with M&T Bank and other financial institutions, enhancing its existing Five Year Credit Agreement. This agreement increased the company’s revolving credit commitments from $600 million to $632 million, potentially strengthening GATX’s financial flexibility and operational capabilities in the leasing industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2025