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GATX Corp (GATX)
NYSE:GATX

GATX (GATX) AI Stock Analysis

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GA

GATX

(NYSE:GATX)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$174.00
▲(9.28%Upside)
GATX's strong financial performance, high fleet utilization, and strategic corporate events significantly influence its overall score. The company's robust earnings call and strategic acquisitions enhance its growth prospects. However, high leverage and macroeconomic uncertainties pose potential risks. The technical analysis supports a stable, slightly positive trend, while the valuation indicates a reasonable investment. Overall, GATX presents a balanced opportunity with strengths in operational performance and strategic initiatives.

GATX (GATX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GATX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGATX Corporation (GATX) is a leading global leader in railcar leasing. The company specializes in leasing, operating, and managing long-lasting, widely used assets primarily in the rail sector. GATX's core business involves providing railcar leasing services to customers in diverse industries, including agriculture, chemical, energy, and transportation sectors. With a strong presence in North America and Europe, GATX is committed to delivering safe, reliable, and innovative leasing solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyGATX Corporation generates revenue primarily through its railcar leasing services. The company's business model involves acquiring railcars and then leasing them to customers across various industries. These leases typically range from short to long-term contracts, providing a steady stream of rental income. In addition to leasing, GATX offers maintenance, repair, and other related services to ensure the operational efficiency and safety of its fleet, enhancing customer satisfaction and loyalty. The company also engages in railcar sales and investments in associated sectors, contributing to its overall earnings. Strategic partnerships and relationships with manufacturers and industry players further bolster GATX's market position and revenue potential.

GATX Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with high fleet utilization and successful asset remarketing. However, there were concerns about increased maintenance expenses, challenges in the European market, and macroeconomic uncertainties. Despite these challenges, the company's overall performance and strategic positioning in various segments remain robust.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
GATX Corporation reported a first-quarter net income of $78.6 million or $2.15 per diluted share, compared to $74.3 million or $2.03 per diluted share in the previous year, indicating a steady financial performance.
High Fleet Utilization and Renewal Success
GATX Rail North America's fleet utilization remained high at 99.2%, with a strong renewal success rate of 85.1% and a lease price index renewal rate change of 24.5%.
Successful Asset Remarketing
The company generated over $30 million in asset remarketing income in the quarter, capitalizing on a robust secondary market.
Robust Engine Leasing Segment
The engine leasing segment performed well, with strong demand for aircraft spare engines, reflecting robust global demand.
Stable Rail International Performance
Fleet utilization remained high in Europe and India, with GATX Rail India's utilization at 99.6%, and successful lease rate increases in Rail International's assets.
Negative Updates
Increased Maintenance Expenses
First quarter net maintenance expense was higher than the previous year, driven by higher tank compliance activity.
Challenges in European Rail Market
The European railcar leasing market faces challenges due to economic uncertainty, with significant challenges in the intermodal market impacting utilization.
Macroeconomic and Tariff Uncertainty
Concerns were raised about the potential impact of tariffs and global economic volatility, particularly in Europe, which could affect long-term growth plans.
Slight Decline in Sequential Lease Rates
Sequential lease rates were down slightly from the previous quarter, though this was anticipated by the company.
Company Guidance
During GATX Corporation's 2025 first quarter earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating strong performance across its divisions. The first quarter net income was reported at $78.6 million, or $2.15 per diluted share, an increase from the previous year's $74.3 million, or $2.03 per diluted share. The company's fleet utilization in North America remained high at 99.2%, with a renewal success rate of 85.1%. The lease rate index saw a 24.5% renewal rate change, with an average renewal term of 61 months. GATX invested over $227 million in North America and $62 million internationally during the quarter, reflecting ongoing fleet expansion. The secondary market was robust, generating over $30 million in asset remarketing income. Despite higher maintenance expenses due to tank compliance activity, the company maintained its full-year earnings guidance of $8.30 to $8.70 per diluted share, confident in its resilience amidst economic uncertainties and market volatilities.

GATX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GATX exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations. However, the high leverage on the balance sheet indicates potential financial risks, which could impact future flexibility. The cash flow statement emphasizes solid cash generation capabilities, though the inconsistency in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
Income Statement
78
Positive
GATX has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 15.3% increase from 2023 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and a consistent rise over the years. The gross profit margin stands at 48.6% for TTM, indicating solid profitability, while the net profit margin is 17.7%, showcasing efficient cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins at 30.3% and 61.5% respectively for TTM, further highlight robust operating performance. Overall, the income statement indicates strong growth and profitability, with some room for improvement in cost efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio at 3.50 suggests a high level of leverage, which poses potential risks in a volatile market. ROE of 11.3% indicates a reasonable return on equity. An equity ratio of 19.7% shows a moderate reliance on equity for financing. While the balance sheet reflects a stable asset base, the high leverage could be a concern in terms of financial stability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.18, suggesting strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow growth rate has been inconsistent, showing a decrease in the latest period. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.65 reflects a decent conversion of income to free cash. Overall, cash flow is strong, but the volatility in free cash flow growth is a point of concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.63B1.59B1.41B1.27B1.26B1.21B
Gross Profit791.00M767.60M647.30M572.60M539.20M494.20M
EBITDA1.00B1.05B916.20M701.40M776.30M657.80M
Net Income288.50M284.20M259.20M122.30M143.10M88.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.97B12.30B11.33B10.07B9.54B8.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments757.20M401.60M450.70M452.20M344.30M292.20M
Total Debt8.93B8.41B7.63B6.71B6.19B5.73B
Total Liabilities10.42B9.86B9.05B8.04B7.52B6.98B
Stockholders Equity2.55B2.44B2.27B2.03B2.02B1.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow186.70M602.10M-1.14B-722.30M-622.90M-432.50M
Operating Cash Flow628.70M602.10M520.40M533.50M507.20M428.30M
Investing Cash Flow-1.34B-1.42B-1.22B-1.07B-917.70M-664.00M
Financing Cash Flow987.10M770.50M844.10M504.40M463.10M377.40M

GATX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price159.23
Price Trends
50DMA
150.45
Positive
100DMA
152.89
Positive
200DMA
150.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.64
Negative
RSI
62.56
Neutral
STOCH
89.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GATX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 159.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 155.10, above the 50-day MA of 150.45, and above the 200-day MA of 150.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GATX.

GATX Risk Analysis

GATX disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GATX reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GATX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (69)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$5.68B20.1711.64%1.53%12.07%11.93%
69
Neutral
¥168.57B10.574.42%3.14%5.63%-31.54%
RR
69
Neutral
$7.09B15.0116.41%1.89%6.21%47.05%
HRHRI
67
Neutral
$4.80B32.249.60%1.94%8.34%-63.02%
ALAL
64
Neutral
$6.68B10.469.22%1.47%2.81%15.38%
ALAL
64
Neutral
$6.68B10.469.22%1.47%2.81%15.38%
WSWSC
64
Neutral
$5.27B320.751.28%0.97%-0.77%-94.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GATX
GATX
159.23
25.63
19.18%
AL
Air Lease
59.75
12.95
27.67%
AL
Air Lease
59.75
12.95
27.67%
WSC
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
28.90
-7.12
-19.77%
HRI
Herc Holdings
144.61
18.04
14.25%
R
Ryder System
171.57
53.75
45.62%

GATX Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
GATX Expands Credit Capacity with New Agreement
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On June 30, 2025, GATX Corporation expanded its financial capacity by entering into a Commitment Increase Supplement with M&T Bank and other financial institutions, enhancing its existing Five Year Credit Agreement. This agreement increased the company’s revolving credit commitments from $600 million to $632 million, potentially strengthening GATX’s financial flexibility and operational capabilities in the leasing industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GATX) stock is a Hold with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GATX stock, see the GATX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
GATX Announces Acquisition of 105,000 Railcars
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 29, 2025, GATX Corporation announced a definitive agreement to acquire approximately 105,000 railcars from Wells Fargo for $4.4 billion through a joint venture with Brookfield Infrastructure Partners. GATX will initially own 30% of the joint venture, with options to acquire up to 100% over time. The acquisition, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, aims to enhance GATX’s fleet diversification and is anticipated to be modestly accretive to earnings per share in the first full year after closing. The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (GATX) stock is a Hold with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GATX stock, see the GATX Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
GATX Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

On April 23, 2025, GATX Corporation reported its first-quarter financial results for 2025, revealing a net income of $78.6 million, or $2.15 per diluted share, up from $74.3 million, or $2.03 per diluted share, in the same quarter of 2024. The company highlighted strong demand for its assets, with Rail North America achieving a fleet utilization of 99.2% and generating over $30 million in remarketing income. GATX’s investment volume reached approximately $300 million, reflecting attractive opportunities across its business segments. Despite macroeconomic volatility, GATX remains confident in its full-year earnings outlook, projecting earnings of $8.30–$8.70 per diluted share.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025