tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Powerfleet (AIOT)
NASDAQ:AIOT

Powerfleet (AIOT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,008 Followers

Top Page

AI

Powerfleet

(NASDAQ:AIOT)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(14.16%Upside)
Powerfleet's overall score reflects strong growth potential and strategic initiatives that are driving performance, but ongoing profitability and cash flow issues, coupled with bearish technical indicators, present notable risks.
Positive Factors
Customer Expansion
The subscriber base expanded to over 2.8 million, with the customer base including over half of the Fortune 500 companies.
Revenue Growth
PowerFleet reported a 42% revenue increase with significant operating leverage, leading to an 84% increase in adjusted EBITDA.
Strategic Partnerships
The company announced a key new partnership with a large North American student transportation company, enhancing its AI video safety solutions.
Negative Factors
Earnings Estimates
Adjusted EBITDA estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down slightly to account for exit run-rate commentary.
Near-term Outlook
Shares are off roughly 10% given the lowered near-term outlook.
Revenue and EBITDA Expectations
The company provided an initial look for fiscal 2026 that was a bit noisier than expected, with total revenue and adjusted EBITDA below expectations due to macro uncertainty, a minor accounting reclassification, and small business divestiture.

Powerfleet (AIOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Powerfleet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPowerfleet (AIOT) is a leading provider of Internet of Things (IoT) solutions that enhance the safety, efficiency, and productivity of enterprise assets. Operating in sectors such as transportation, logistics, and industrial operations, Powerfleet offers a comprehensive suite of products and services including telematics, advanced data analytics, and fleet management systems. The company leverages its expertise in AI and IoT to deliver real-time insights and innovative solutions tailored to meet the unique needs of its global clientele.
How the Company Makes MoneyPowerfleet generates revenue primarily through the sale of its IoT solutions and telematics products, alongside subscription-based services for its software platforms. These platforms enable businesses to monitor and manage their fleet and assets more effectively. Key revenue streams include hardware sales, such as vehicle tracking devices, and recurring revenues from software licenses, data services, and customer support packages. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with vehicle manufacturers, logistics companies, and technology firms, which help expand its market reach and drive sales. Additionally, Powerfleet may engage in custom solution development for large enterprise clients, contributing further to its revenue.

Powerfleet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 16, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a transformative year for PowerFleet, characterized by significant revenue growth, successful integration of acquisitions, and expansion of the customer base. While there were some retention challenges related to legacy systems, the company's strategic initiatives and innovative solutions position it well for future growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and SaaS Growth
PowerFleet achieved over $400 million in annualized revenue with more than 75% of this revenue being ongoing SaaS revenue. This indicates a strong shift to subscription-based models.
EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA increased dramatically from $7 million to $71 million, showcasing significant operational improvements and cost synergies.
Subscriber Growth
The company scaled from 700,000 subscribers to 2.8 million, highlighting significant expansion in its customer base.
Successful Integration and Synergies
PowerFleet delivered $16 million in adjusted EBITDA synergies, achieved through organizational efficiency, systems consolidation, vendor optimization, and commercial simplification.
Expansion into New Markets
PowerFleet signed contracts with over 600 new midsized and large customers, diversifying its industry presence and expanding its reach.
Cross-Sell and Upsell Success
Cross-sell revenue increased by 96% year-over-year, demonstrating strong traction in expanding product offerings to existing customers.
Recognition in Innovation
PowerFleet was recognized as the #1 global leader in platform solutions and innovation by ABI Research, a notable industry accolade.
Negative Updates
Churn and Retention Issues
There was an acknowledged churn erosion in legacy MiX and Fleet Complete operations, impacting approximately $10 million of ARR.
Challenges in Legacy Systems
Clear underinvestment in customer success in legacy operations led to retention challenges, which the company is now addressing.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided during PowerFleet's earnings call highlighted significant metrics that underscore the company's transformative year and its strategic path forward. PowerFleet reported an impressive annualized revenue of over $400 million with more than 75% of it being recurring SaaS revenue. The company expanded its subscriber base from 700,000 to 2.8 million and achieved a notable adjusted EBITDA growth from $7 million to $71 million. The company delivered $104 million in Q4 revenue, marking a 40% year-over-year increase, and achieved $20 million in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, reflecting an 80% growth from the previous year. Other key metrics include a 96% year-over-year increase in cross-sell revenue, a 71% growth in warehouse solutions, and a 52% increase in AI video deployments within their largest U.S. channel partner. PowerFleet also achieved $16 million in adjusted EBITDA synergies, demonstrating the success of its integration strategy. Looking ahead, the company emphasized a strong pipeline growth with a 50% increase in their Data Highway pipeline and a 121% rise in warehouse new logo pipeline, indicating promising future performance.

Powerfleet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Powerfleet shows promising revenue growth and a solid equity base, but ongoing profitability issues and cash flow volatility present significant challenges.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Powerfleet exhibits a mixed financial performance with consistent revenue growth from 2019 to 2025, indicating positive momentum in its operations. However, the company faces challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and net income figures over the years. Gross profit margins have remained relatively stable, but net profit margins are negative, reflecting ongoing operational inefficiencies and cost challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a stable equity position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio that indicates moderate leverage. The Equity Ratio remains robust, suggesting a strong foundation of stockholders' equity relative to total assets. However, the persistent high levels of debt could pose a risk if not managed effectively, especially in a volatile industry environment.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Powerfleet's cash flow statements indicate volatility, with operating cash flows being negative in recent periods, which could stress liquidity. The company has experienced fluctuations in free cash flow, impacted by high capital expenditures and inconsistent operating cash flows. This inconsistency highlights potential challenges in sustaining financial flexibility and investing in growth opportunities.
BreakdownMar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue362.51M133.74M135.16M126.21M113.59M
Gross Profit194.54M67.08M64.17M60.18M59.02M
EBITDA-25.89M-75.00K563.00K631.00K4.92M
Net Income-51.01M-5.67M-7.00M-13.29M-9.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets910.07M217.75M217.44M229.87M208.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments48.79M19.33M17.68M26.45M18.13M
Total Debt287.06M27.50M29.78M34.23M38.56M
Total Liabilities463.33M79.83M77.06M85.01M77.52M
Stockholders Equity446.59M137.82M140.30M144.77M130.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.35M-2.70M-4.98M-8.42M5.47M
Operating Cash Flow-3.35M4.40M757.00K-5.02M8.85M
Investing Cash Flow-170.60M1.53M-5.84M-3.40M-3.30M
Financing Cash Flow115.72M-3.71M-282.00K16.21M-3.95M

Powerfleet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.38
Price Trends
50DMA
4.98
Negative
100DMA
5.60
Negative
200DMA
5.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
40.17
Neutral
STOCH
14.14
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIOT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.64, below the 50-day MA of 4.98, and below the 200-day MA of 5.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIOT.

Powerfleet Risk Analysis

Powerfleet disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Powerfleet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Powerfleet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$730.29M13.2330.02%5.45%3.73%11.24%
74
Outperform
$1.09B23.295.32%-2.09%76.96%
72
Outperform
$1.22B109.883.78%9.54%
65
Neutral
$579.07M-17.72%168.61%79.82%
60
Neutral
$905.87M-9.87%-30.75%-3668.44%
56
Neutral
$820.04M35.054.78%-6.97%
50
Neutral
AU$1.44B1.83-28.24%3.29%15.64%-7.01%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIOT
Powerfleet
4.38
-0.19
-4.16%
COHU
Cohu
19.70
-13.40
-40.48%
ITRN
Ituran Location And Control
37.65
14.33
61.45%
NTGR
Netgear
28.62
13.32
87.06%
RDWR
Radware
29.13
10.89
59.70%
VRNT
Verint Systems
19.39
-12.81
-39.78%

Powerfleet Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Powerfleet Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

Powerfleet reported significant growth in fiscal year 2025, with a 26% increase in total revenue to $362.5 million and a 65% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $71 million. The company achieved a milestone year by executing a strategic transformation, integrating acquisitions, and expanding its subscriber base to 2.8 million. Powerfleet’s focus on high-margin SaaS revenue and strategic solutions like AI video and in-warehouse safety contributed to its strong performance. The company is poised for further growth in fiscal 2026, supported by a robust pipeline and international operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AIOT) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Powerfleet stock, see the AIOT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Powerfleet Amends CEO Severance Agreement
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

On May 31, 2025, Powerfleet, Inc. announced an amendment to the severance agreement with its CEO, Steve Towe. The amendment specifies that if severance benefits are triggered, Mr. Towe’s bonus will be calculated at twice the amount of any bonus he would have received for the fiscal year of his termination.

The most recent analyst rating on (AIOT) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Powerfleet stock, see the AIOT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Powerfleet Reports Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Results
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Powerfleet announced its preliminary financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, showing a 25% increase in total revenue and a 65% growth in adjusted EBITDA, marking a milestone year. The company also shared an optimistic outlook for fiscal 2026, despite macroeconomic challenges, expecting revenue growth between 20% and 25% and adjusted EBITDA growth between 45% and 55%, driven by the maturation of its Unity platform and expanding customer operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AIOT) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Powerfleet stock, see the AIOT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025