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Clearfield (CLFD)
NASDAQ:CLFD

Clearfield (CLFD) AI Stock Analysis

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CLFD

Clearfield

(NASDAQ:CLFD)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(7.69% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by a strong balance sheet and continued positive free cash flow that help offset a weak TTM income statement with a severe revenue reset and net losses. The earnings call adds support via a revenue beat, improved gross margin, reiterated FY2026 guidance, and substantial liquidity/buybacks, while technicals are moderately positive near-term but still below the 200-day trend. Valuation is a headwind due to negative earnings (negative P/E) and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength & Capital Returns
A large cash balance and zero debt provide durable financial flexibility to fund operations, absorb revenue volatility, and pursue strategic investments. Ongoing repurchases signal management confidence and return excess capital to shareholders while preserving the ability to invest in growth or weather cyclical downturns.
Negative Factors
Large Revenue Decline & Net Losses
A severe top-line contraction and recent net losses weaken earnings quality and operating leverage. If sustained, this constrains reinvestment capacity, delays margin recovery, and increases dependence on cash reserves and cost control to reach consistent GAAP profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength & Capital Returns
A large cash balance and zero debt provide durable financial flexibility to fund operations, absorb revenue volatility, and pursue strategic investments. Ongoing repurchases signal management confidence and return excess capital to shareholders while preserving the ability to invest in growth or weather cyclical downturns.
Read all positive factors

Clearfield (CLFD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Clearfield Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Clearfield, Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells standard and custom passive connectivity products to the fiber-to-the-premises, enterprises, and original equipment manufacturers markets in the United States and internationally. The company offer...
How the Company Makes Money
Clearfield makes money primarily by selling fiber optic connectivity and fiber management hardware to customers building or expanding fiber networks. Revenue is generated from product sales that typically include fiber distribution, termination, a...

Clearfield Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Geography
Net Revenue by Geography
Chart InsightsRevenue is overwhelmingly U.S.-driven, creating concentration risk where U.S. demand and MSO project timing will largely determine results. The “Other” category is highly lumpy — big swings and a material negative in late‑2025 point to one‑off adjustments, channel timing or returns that can mask underlying momentum. Management’s reiterated guidance and strong cash position are reassuring, but near‑term upside depends more on U.S. deployments; BEAD timing, BABA fiber supply constraints, elevated operating spend and only modest near‑term Nova contribution are the key execution risks.
Data provided by:The Fly

Clearfield Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a generally positive operational and financial tone: revenue beat guidance (+16% YoY), gross margin improved notably (+4.0 percentage points), the balance sheet is strong ($157M cash and no debt), and management reiterated full‑year guidance while executing strategic investments (Nova launch, expanded sales organization, share repurchases). Offsetting items include a persistent small net loss per share, a meaningful increase in operating expenses (~23%), supply chain risks tied to BABA‑compliant fiber that could delay BEAD‑driven revenue, and softness/lumpiness in the cable segment. Overall, the positive revenue/margin performance, cash position and strategic initiatives outweigh the near‑term challenges, but risks around supply chain and elevated operating investments warrant monitoring.
Positive Updates
Revenue Beat and Year‑over‑Year Growth
First‑quarter net sales from continuing operations were $34.3 million, above guidance of $30.0–$33.0 million and up 16% year‑over‑year from $29.7 million.
Negative Updates
Persistent Net Loss (Continuing Operations)
Net loss per share from continuing operations remained a loss of $0.02 in the quarter (unchanged year‑over‑year), indicating the company has not yet returned to GAAP profitability on continuing operations.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Beat and Year‑over‑Year Growth
First‑quarter net sales from continuing operations were $34.3 million, above guidance of $30.0–$33.0 million and up 16% year‑over‑year from $29.7 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Clearfield reported Q1 net sales of $34.3M (above prior guidance of $30–33M) and gave forward-looking ranges of $32–35M net sales for the next quarter, operating expenses “up slightly” versus Q1, and net loss per diluted share of $0.02–$0.10; for full-year fiscal 2026 it reiterated net sales guidance of $160–170M, expects operating expenses as a percentage of revenue to be consistent with FY2025, and forecasted earnings per share from continuing operations of $0.48–$0.62. Management also said BEAD-related revenue and initial contribution from the new Nova platform should be modest in FY26, that the EPS ranges assume quarter-end shares outstanding (and exclude potential additional repurchases), and highlighted liquidity and capital items including roughly $157M in cash/short‑ and long‑term investments, no debt, $5.2M spent to repurchase 179,000 shares in the quarter, and $23.1M remaining on an $85M repurchase authorization as of 12/31/2025.

Clearfield Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: income statement is weak with a sharp TTM revenue decline (~-76%) and net losses (net margin ~-5%), but the balance sheet is strong with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.03) and cash flow remains positive (TTM free cash flow ~$17.2M) despite weakening versus the prior period.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue149.00M150.13M125.57M225.72M270.88M140.76M
Gross Profit53.74M50.54M25.85M79.86M112.95M61.18M
EBITDA16.79M14.79M-5.84M47.37M67.23M28.04M
Net Income-6.76M-8.05M-12.45M32.53M49.36M20.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets268.05M306.17M315.27M355.52M229.13M125.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments96.44M105.98M128.97M168.11M22.45M23.59M
Total Debt8.08M8.76M13.52M16.48M36.85M2.53M
Total Liabilities18.40M50.01M39.51M40.35M81.55M22.09M
Stockholders Equity249.65M256.16M275.76M315.16M147.58M103.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.58M24.71M12.66M11.63M-8.15M8.86M
Operating Cash Flow22.24M29.45M22.22M20.01M1.00M10.90M
Investing Cash Flow-22.53M-8.84M-6.90M-112.25M-8.20M-13.60M
Financing Cash Flow-15.14M-14.24M-36.91M113.42M10.65M-536.00K

Clearfield Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.00
Price Trends
50DMA
30.09
Negative
100DMA
30.08
Negative
200DMA
33.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.05
Positive
RSI
36.77
Neutral
STOCH
41.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CLFD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.30, below the 50-day MA of 30.09, and below the 200-day MA of 33.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CLFD.

Clearfield Risk Analysis

Clearfield disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clearfield reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clearfield Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$304.70M20.2334.98%10.12%153.04%
67
Neutral
$1.37B37.115.50%29.67%41.90%
64
Neutral
$355.82M-164.62-2.61%-9.94%30.96%
63
Neutral
$265.53M12.045.54%10.89%
62
Neutral
$201.35M-90.22-1.22%-3.78%-92.62%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
48
Neutral
$46.36M-8.96-19.98%93.47%37.19%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CLFD
Clearfield
26.00
0.76
3.01%
AVNW
Aviat Networks
20.58
4.28
26.26%
CRNT
Ceragon Networks
2.24
0.18
8.74%
GILT
Gilat
18.43
12.96
236.93%
BKTI
BK Technologies
80.49
43.44
117.25%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group
1.83
0.61
50.00%

Clearfield Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Clearfield Shareholders Back Board, Executive Pay and Auditor
Positive
Feb 27, 2026
On February 26, 2026, Clearfield held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, with approximately 73% of outstanding common shares represented, reflecting solid investor participation in the company’s governance process. Shareholders elected...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026