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Aviat Networks (AVNW)
NASDAQ:AVNW

Aviat Networks (AVNW) AI Stock Analysis

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AVNW

Aviat Networks

(NASDAQ:AVNW)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(13.68% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is driven primarily by moderate financial performance (improving cash profile but inconsistent profitability and recent TTM revenue softness) and a constructive earnings update (strong bookings, better EBITDA/cash flow, guidance maintained). Technicals are supportive but look overextended, while valuation appears only average given earnings variability and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strong bookings and backlog momentum
Sustained bookings above shipments (book-to-bill >1 and the highest Q2 bookings in a decade) indicate durable demand and a growing backlog that should feed revenue over coming quarters. This pipeline strength improves revenue visibility and supports medium-term operational planning and capacity allocation.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue softness and lumpy growth
A YoY quarterly revenue decline and recent TTM softness underscore lumpy equipment/project demand. This variability reduces predictability of top-line conversion and complicates capacity and resource planning, making steady revenue growth and operating leverage harder to achieve over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong bookings and backlog momentum
Sustained bookings above shipments (book-to-bill >1 and the highest Q2 bookings in a decade) indicate durable demand and a growing backlog that should feed revenue over coming quarters. This pipeline strength improves revenue visibility and supports medium-term operational planning and capacity allocation.
Read all positive factors

Aviat Networks (AVNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aviat Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Aviat Networks, Inc. provides wireless transport solutions worldwide. It offers a comprehensive suite of products and localized professional and support services enabling customers to simplify their networks and lives. The company's products and s...
How the Company Makes Money
Aviat Networks generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its hardware products, including microwave and millimeter-wave radios, as well as software solutions that facilitate network management and optimization. The com...

Aviat Networks Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue contributions from various business segments, showing which areas are the most lucrative and where growth opportunities or risks may lie.
Chart InsightsAviat Networks' Services segment shows volatility, with a recent dip followed by a strong rebound, while the Product segment maintains robust growth. The earnings call highlights record adjusted EBITDA and EPS growth, despite a slight revenue decline due to international challenges. The company anticipates strong future revenue growth, driven by demand in private networks and new product introductions, but must address control weaknesses and international revenue timing issues to sustain momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Aviat Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced clear operational and financial progress — including the highest Q2 bookings in a decade, YTD revenue growth of 5.9%, a $13.2 million year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA YTD, strong quarterly cash from operations ($23.9M), and a materially improved net debt position — against near-term pressures such as a Q2 revenue decline (-5.6% YoY), margin compression (~2.2–2.4 ppts YoY in the quarter), and limited immediate revenue impact from newly announced product wins and BEAD timing uncertainty. Management maintained full‑year guidance and signaled several growth catalysts that are expected to be more meaningful in fiscal 2027.
Positive Updates
Strong Bookings Momentum
Company reported the highest second-quarter bookings in the last ten years; book-to-bill was >1 in the prior quarter and is >1 this quarter, indicating demand > shipments and positive backlog trends.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Total revenues for Q2 were $111.5 million versus $118.2 million in the year-ago quarter, a decline of $6.7 million or approximately -5.6% year-over-year.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Bookings Momentum
Company reported the highest second-quarter bookings in the last ten years; book-to-bill was >1 in the prior quarter and is >1 this quarter, indicating demand > shipments and positive backlog trends.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management left fiscal 2026 guidance unchanged, targeting full‑year revenues of $440–$460 million and full‑year adjusted EBITDA of $45–$55 million (implying H2 quarters of roughly $110–$120M each), while excluding BEAD upside until timing is clear (BEAD expected in back half of calendar 2026; fixed wireless is estimated to capture ~10–15% of BEAD locations); the company said the new ruggedized 5G router is de minimis in FY26 (first PO received, ~15 customers engaged, ~$1.6B addressable market) and the initial MDU order is a small contribution for now. Supporting metrics cited on the call include Q2 revenue $111.5M (six‑month revenue $218.8M, up $12.2M or 5.9% YTD), Q2 adjusted EBITDA $11.3M (10.1% of revenue) and YTD adjusted EBITDA $20.4M (up $13.2M YoY), Q2 non‑GAAP EPS $0.54 (GAAP $0.44), Q2 gross margins 32.4% GAAP / 32.9% non‑GAAP (YTD 32.8% / 33.4%), Q2 GAAP op ex $28.8M (non‑GAAP op ex $27.1M; management cited a $3.7M reduction in non‑GAAP op ex), Q2 net income $5.7M (non‑GAAP $7.0M), cash & marketable securities $86.5M, debt $105.4M (net debt $18.9M, improved $23.0M YoY), Q2 operating cash flow $23.9M, inventory reduction $7.4M, a $20.1M sequential decline in unbilled receivables, and ~ $6.5M remaining on the share buyback authorization.

Aviat Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moderate fundamentals: multi-year revenue growth and improving recent cash generation, but latest TTM revenue softness and historically volatile operating profitability keep overall quality mixed. Balance sheet is generally stable with manageable leverage, though returns remain modest.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Sep 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue446.77M434.61M408.08M344.43M302.96M302.96M
Gross Profit150.53M139.44M144.73M122.38M109.23M109.23M
EBITDA34.84M17.68M24.24M28.02M33.45M33.45M
Net Income14.61M1.34M10.76M10.17M21.16M21.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets659.36M633.30M535.22M363.14M323.90M323.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments86.47M59.69M64.62M22.24M47.77M47.77M
Total Debt108.36M90.92M52.18M2.75M2.92M2.92M
Total Liabilities387.74M370.11M279.34M144.40M122.15M122.15M
Stockholders Equity271.61M263.18M255.88M218.74M201.75M201.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.08M-7.25M27.86M-6.98M997.00K14.45M
Operating Cash Flow24.31M5.72M30.54M-1.64M2.79M17.30M
Investing Cash Flow-8.23M-28.53M-35.22M-11.95M-7.79M-2.85M
Financing Cash Flow17.17M18.68M48.70M-681.00K-4.87M-8.05M

Aviat Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.75
Price Trends
50DMA
24.30
Negative
100DMA
23.05
Positive
200DMA
23.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
41.67
Neutral
STOCH
27.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVNW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.36, below the 50-day MA of 24.30, and above the 200-day MA of 23.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVNW.

Aviat Networks Risk Analysis

Aviat Networks disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aviat Networks reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aviat Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$299.81M20.2334.98%10.12%153.04%
63
Neutral
$306.43M12.045.54%10.89%
62
Neutral
$199.56M-90.22-1.22%-3.78%-92.62%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
$228.93M31.484.98%4.28%0.15%17.21%
55
Neutral
$185.87M185.41-9.51%-17.45%76.52%
54
Neutral
$439.64M81.8712.49%16.06%166.69%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVNW
Aviat Networks
23.75
4.87
25.79%
AUDC
Audiocodes
8.54
-0.56
-6.17%
CRNT
Ceragon Networks
2.22
-0.17
-7.11%
FEIM
Frequency Electronics
44.67
29.14
187.64%
BKTI
BK Technologies
79.20
43.20
120.00%
INSG
Inseego
11.46
2.77
31.88%

Aviat Networks Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aviat Networks Updates Investor Presentation, Highlights Stronger Balance Sheet
Positive
Jan 13, 2026
On January 13, 2026, Aviat Networks posted an updated investor relations presentation to its website and began using it in meetings with current and potential investors, coinciding with its appearance at the 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference o...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Aviat Networks Appoints New CFO Andrew C. Schmidt
Positive
Dec 3, 2025
On December 3, 2025, Aviat Networks appointed Andrew C. Schmidt as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Andrew Fredrickson, who served as interim CFO. Schmidt brings over 25 years of financial leadership experience, aligni...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aviat Networks Updates Investor Relations Presentation
Positive
Nov 18, 2025
On November 18, 2025, Aviat Networks updated its investor relations presentation on its website, which will be used for discussions with current and potential investors. The presentation outlines Aviat’s strategic focus on mission-critical, ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aviat Networks Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting 2025
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025
Aviat Networks held its Fiscal Year 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 81.6% of the company’s shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected directors for the upcoming year, ratified the appointment o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026