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Aviat Networks (AVNW)
NASDAQ:AVNW

Aviat Networks (AVNW) AI Stock Analysis

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AVNW

Aviat Networks

(NASDAQ:AVNW)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(7.83% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is driven primarily by moderate financial performance (improving cash profile but inconsistent profitability and recent TTM revenue softness) and a constructive earnings update (strong bookings, better EBITDA/cash flow, guidance maintained). Technicals are supportive but look overextended, while valuation appears only average given earnings variability and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strong bookings and backlog momentum
Sustained bookings above shipments (book-to-bill >1 and the highest Q2 bookings in a decade) indicate durable demand and a growing backlog that should feed revenue over coming quarters. This pipeline strength improves revenue visibility and supports medium-term operational planning and capacity allocation.
Improving cash generation and healthier net debt
Material improvement in operating cash flow and a markedly lower net debt position enhance financial flexibility. Stronger cash generation supports working capital, targeted R&D and integration of acquisitions, and reduces refinancing risk, enabling the company to execute strategic initiatives over the next several quarters.
Modular product platform and acquisition-driven expansion
A modular radio platform combined with software/services and targeted acquisitions broadens addressable markets and increases recurring revenue potential. This structural competitive advantage lowers customer switching costs, supports cross-sell, and strengthens market position in mission-critical and rural broadband segments over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue softness and lumpy growth
A YoY quarterly revenue decline and recent TTM softness underscore lumpy equipment/project demand. This variability reduces predictability of top-line conversion and complicates capacity and resource planning, making steady revenue growth and operating leverage harder to achieve over the next several quarters.
Margin compression and inconsistent operating profitability
Recent gross margin compression and historically volatile operating results mean earnings are sensitive to mix and regional trends. Thin net margins and sporadic operating losses limit reinvestment capacity and the firm's ability to consistently absorb cost shocks, posing a structural risk to margin sustainability.
Timing uncertainty for BEAD and limited near-term product contribution
Key growth catalysts (BEAD program and new product wins) are constrained by timing and currently excluded from guidance, while initial product orders are small. This uncertainty delays structural revenue upside and weakens near-term visibility for sustained growth and cash-flow improvement.

Aviat Networks (AVNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aviat Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAviat Networks, Inc. provides wireless transport solutions worldwide. It offers a comprehensive suite of products and localized professional and support services enabling customers to simplify their networks and lives. The company's products and solutions include wireless transmission systems for microwave and millimeter wave networking applications. It serves communications service providers and private network operators, including state/local government, utility, federal government, and defense organizations. The company markets its products through a direct sales, service, and support organization; indirect sales channels comprising dealers, resellers, and sales representatives; and through online. Aviat Networks, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyAviat Networks generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its hardware products, including microwave and millimeter-wave radios, as well as software solutions that facilitate network management and optimization. The company also earns income from professional services, which include installation, maintenance, and support services for its products. Additionally, Aviat Networks benefits from recurring revenue through software licenses and maintenance contracts. Key partnerships with telecommunications operators and technology providers enhance its market reach and contribute significantly to its earnings, enabling the company to leverage joint marketing opportunities and expand its service offerings.

Aviat Networks Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue contributions from various business segments, showing which areas are the most lucrative and where growth opportunities or risks may lie.
Chart InsightsAviat Networks' Services segment shows volatility, with a recent dip followed by a strong rebound, while the Product segment maintains robust growth. The earnings call highlights record adjusted EBITDA and EPS growth, despite a slight revenue decline due to international challenges. The company anticipates strong future revenue growth, driven by demand in private networks and new product introductions, but must address control weaknesses and international revenue timing issues to sustain momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Aviat Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced clear operational and financial progress — including the highest Q2 bookings in a decade, YTD revenue growth of 5.9%, a $13.2 million year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA YTD, strong quarterly cash from operations ($23.9M), and a materially improved net debt position — against near-term pressures such as a Q2 revenue decline (-5.6% YoY), margin compression (~2.2–2.4 ppts YoY in the quarter), and limited immediate revenue impact from newly announced product wins and BEAD timing uncertainty. Management maintained full‑year guidance and signaled several growth catalysts that are expected to be more meaningful in fiscal 2027.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Bookings Momentum
Company reported the highest second-quarter bookings in the last ten years; book-to-bill was >1 in the prior quarter and is >1 this quarter, indicating demand > shipments and positive backlog trends.
Six-Month Revenue Growth
Year-to-date (six-month) total revenues were $218.8 million, up $12.2 million or 5.9% versus the prior six-month period.
Adjusted EBITDA and Profitability Improvement YTD
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $11.3 million (10.1% of revenue). Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA was $20.4 million, a significant improvement of $13.2 million versus the same period last year.
Strong Operating Cash Generation and Balance Sheet Improvement
Generated $23.9 million in cash from operating activities in the quarter. Cash and marketable securities totaled $86.5 million. Outstanding debt was $105.4 million, producing net debt of $18.9 million, an improvement of approximately $23.0 million versus 2025 (net debt $41.7M).
Cost Discipline and Operating Expense Reduction
GAAP operating expenses in Q2 were $28.8 million versus $32.9 million in the year-ago period, a reduction of $4.1 million (≈12.5%). Non-GAAP operating expenses were $27.1 million, reflecting continued cost control efforts.
Product Wins and New Market Entry
Received first initial order for PISA LTE 5G ruggedized cellular router (addressable segment cited at ~$1.6 billion) and an initial purchase order for the multi-dwelling unit (MDU) fixed wireless access solution from a U.S. tier-one provider, covering multiple market deployments.
Management Strengthened and Capital Return Optionality
Appointed Andy Schmidt as CFO (20+ years public company CFO experience). Company has ~$6.5 million remaining on its share buyback authorization and plans to resume repurchases at specified price levels.
Maintained Fiscal 2026 Guidance
Full-year revenue guidance maintained at $440 million to $460 million and full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance maintained at $45 million to $55 million, signaling confidence in the year outlook.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Total revenues for Q2 were $111.5 million versus $118.2 million in the year-ago quarter, a decline of $6.7 million or approximately -5.6% year-over-year.
Quarterly Gross Margin Compression
Q2 GAAP gross margin was 32.4% versus 34.6% a year ago (down 2.2 percentage points); Q2 non-GAAP gross margin was 32.9% versus 35.3% a year ago (down 2.4 percentage points), driven primarily by regional and product mix.
Operating Income and Non-GAAP Operating Profit Pressure
Q2 GAAP operating income was $7.3 million versus $8.0 million a year ago (down ≈8.8%). Q2 non-GAAP operating income was $9.6 million versus $12.6 million a year ago (down $3.0 million or ≈23.8%).
Near-Term Revenue Contribution from New Products Is Limited
Management characterized the PISA LTE 5G router contribution as de minimis in current guidance and the MDU order as small/early; both initiatives are promising but expected to be more material in fiscal 2027 rather than the remainder of fiscal 2026.
BEAD Opportunity Timing and Exclusion from Guidance
Potential tailwind from the BEAD program is not included in fiscal 2026 guidance due to timing uncertainty; management expects BEAD activity to materialize potentially in calendar H2 2026 but will only quantify when clarity exists.
Limited Disclosure on Backlog Detail
Despite strong bookings, management declined to provide detailed backlog figures, limiting near-term revenue visibility; only directional commentary (book-to-bill >1 and broad-based wins) was provided.
Company Guidance
Management left fiscal 2026 guidance unchanged, targeting full‑year revenues of $440–$460 million and full‑year adjusted EBITDA of $45–$55 million (implying H2 quarters of roughly $110–$120M each), while excluding BEAD upside until timing is clear (BEAD expected in back half of calendar 2026; fixed wireless is estimated to capture ~10–15% of BEAD locations); the company said the new ruggedized 5G router is de minimis in FY26 (first PO received, ~15 customers engaged, ~$1.6B addressable market) and the initial MDU order is a small contribution for now. Supporting metrics cited on the call include Q2 revenue $111.5M (six‑month revenue $218.8M, up $12.2M or 5.9% YTD), Q2 adjusted EBITDA $11.3M (10.1% of revenue) and YTD adjusted EBITDA $20.4M (up $13.2M YoY), Q2 non‑GAAP EPS $0.54 (GAAP $0.44), Q2 gross margins 32.4% GAAP / 32.9% non‑GAAP (YTD 32.8% / 33.4%), Q2 GAAP op ex $28.8M (non‑GAAP op ex $27.1M; management cited a $3.7M reduction in non‑GAAP op ex), Q2 net income $5.7M (non‑GAAP $7.0M), cash & marketable securities $86.5M, debt $105.4M (net debt $18.9M, improved $23.0M YoY), Q2 operating cash flow $23.9M, inventory reduction $7.4M, a $20.1M sequential decline in unbilled receivables, and ~ $6.5M remaining on the share buyback authorization.

Aviat Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moderate fundamentals: multi-year revenue growth and improving recent cash generation, but latest TTM revenue softness and historically volatile operating profitability keep overall quality mixed. Balance sheet is generally stable with manageable leverage, though returns remain modest.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue has grown meaningfully over the last several years (2023 and 2024 showed strong growth), but the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a modest revenue decline. Profitability is mixed: gross margin is fairly steady in the low-to-mid 30% range, but operating profitability has been volatile (several annual periods show operating losses), and net margin remains thin in the most recent periods (TTM net margin ~3.3%; FY2025 near breakeven). Overall, the company shows demand resilience but inconsistent operating leverage and earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage is moderate with debt below equity (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.40; FY2025 ~0.35), which is generally manageable for the industry, but it is notably higher than earlier years when leverage was very low. Equity has increased versus earlier periods, supporting the asset base, yet returns on equity are modest (TTM ~5.2%) and were very low in FY2025, reflecting limited profitability. The balance sheet looks stable, but the upward leverage trend and only average returns temper the picture.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation improved materially in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow and strong free cash flow growth versus the prior year period. However, cash flow has been choppy: FY2025 posted negative free cash flow, and FY2023 showed negative operating and free cash flow. Free cash flow is currently below net income in TTM (about two-thirds), suggesting earnings are not fully converting to free cash, even though the latest trend is improving.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Sep 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue446.77M434.61M408.08M344.43M302.96M302.96M
Gross Profit150.53M139.44M144.73M122.38M109.23M109.23M
EBITDA34.84M17.68M24.24M28.02M33.45M33.45M
Net Income14.61M1.34M10.76M10.17M21.16M21.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets659.36M633.30M535.22M363.14M323.90M323.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments86.47M59.69M64.62M22.24M47.77M47.77M
Total Debt108.36M90.92M52.18M2.75M2.92M2.92M
Total Liabilities387.74M370.11M279.34M144.40M122.15M122.15M
Stockholders Equity271.61M263.18M255.88M218.74M201.75M201.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.08M-7.25M27.86M-6.98M997.00K14.45M
Operating Cash Flow24.31M5.72M30.54M-1.64M2.79M17.30M
Investing Cash Flow-8.23M-28.53M-35.22M-11.95M-7.79M-2.85M
Financing Cash Flow17.17M18.68M48.70M-681.00K-4.87M-8.05M

Aviat Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.04
Price Trends
50DMA
22.79
Positive
100DMA
22.66
Positive
200DMA
22.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.58
Positive
RSI
60.15
Neutral
STOCH
53.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVNW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.73, above the 50-day MA of 22.79, and above the 200-day MA of 22.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVNW.

Aviat Networks Risk Analysis

Aviat Networks disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aviat Networks reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aviat Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$323.29M26.2038.74%10.12%153.04%
67
Neutral
$532.49M24.8544.70%16.06%166.69%
63
Neutral
$335.46M22.995.60%10.89%
62
Neutral
$206.75M-92.37-1.23%-3.78%-92.62%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
$202.39M23.117.67%4.28%0.15%17.21%
55
Neutral
$201.11M-67.69-17.45%76.52%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVNW
Aviat Networks
26.00
5.49
26.77%
AUDC
Audiocodes
7.55
-2.54
-25.20%
CRNT
Ceragon Networks
2.30
-0.37
-13.86%
FEIM
Frequency Electronics
54.46
39.60
266.49%
BKTI
BK Technologies
86.62
57.56
198.07%
INSG
Inseego
12.40
2.83
29.57%

Aviat Networks Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aviat Networks Updates Investor Presentation, Highlights Stronger Balance Sheet
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Aviat Networks posted an updated investor relations presentation to its website and began using it in meetings with current and potential investors, coinciding with its appearance at the 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference on January 14, 2026. The materials highlight that Aviat has strengthened its balance sheet in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 versus the first quarter, including higher cash and cash equivalents, lower net debt, and reductions in unbilled receivables and inventories, supporting positive cash generation. The presentation also underscores the company’s long acquisition-driven expansion into access and industrial solutions—through deals for Redline Communications, NEC’s Pasolink microwave business, and 4RF—and positions Aviat as a disciplined operator in an $11 billion addressable market, emphasizing its competitive edge over both microwave specialists and broader wireless equipment vendors through a modular product platform, integrated software and services, and a supply chain model designed to deliver faster and at lower total cost of ownership.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVNW) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aviat Networks stock, see the AVNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Aviat Networks Appoints New CFO Andrew C. Schmidt
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Aviat Networks appointed Andrew C. Schmidt as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Andrew Fredrickson, who served as interim CFO. Schmidt brings over 25 years of financial leadership experience, aligning with Aviat’s strategic goals to drive growth in public safety and software sales. His appointment is expected to strengthen Aviat’s global strategy and drive value for stakeholders as the company scales for growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVNW) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aviat Networks stock, see the AVNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aviat Networks Updates Investor Relations Presentation
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Aviat Networks updated its investor relations presentation on its website, which will be used for discussions with current and potential investors. The presentation outlines Aviat’s strategic focus on mission-critical, 5G, and rural broadband networks, highlighting its consistent revenue growth and strong financial performance. The company emphasizes its competitive advantages, such as a modular radio platform, innovative software solutions, and a robust supply chain, which position it favorably against competitors in the microwave transmission industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVNW) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aviat Networks stock, see the AVNW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aviat Networks Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting 2025
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

Aviat Networks held its Fiscal Year 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 81.6% of the company’s shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected directors for the upcoming year, ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year 2026, approved the named executive officer compensation, and endorsed the Third Amended and Restated 2018 Incentive Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVNW) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aviat Networks stock, see the AVNW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026