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Aviat Networks (AVNW)
NASDAQ:AVNW

Aviat Networks (AVNW) AI Stock Analysis

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AVNW

Aviat Networks

(NASDAQ:AVNW)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(10.04% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by strong recent execution and guidance reaffirmation from the earnings call, but is held back by mid-tier underlying financial quality (thin profitability and cash flow pressure) and only mixed technical trend signals. Valuation is also a modest headwind given a 21.25 P/E without a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin Improvement
Sustained double-digit revenue growth with a materially higher non-GAAP gross margin reflects stronger product demand and improved pricing/portfolio mix. That durable top-line expansion and margin rescue cash generation potential and supports reinvestment in product, services, and distribution over multiple quarters.
New Product Addressing Growing Market
Introducing the Aprisa LTE 5G router targets an expanding, mission-critical market (cellular routers/gateways). Product diversification into high-growth, public-safety and utility segments supports recurring software and service revenue and strengthens long-term competitive positioning beyond legacy radio sales.
Acquisition-Driven Scale and Modular Platform
Strategic acquisitions and a modular radio/software platform broaden product scope and industrial end-market exposure. This creates cross-sell opportunities, supply-chain efficiencies, and higher barriers to entry, supporting more stable revenue streams and margin sustainability over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Thin Profitability
Low net margins and negligible ROE limit internal funding for R&D, M&A, and shareholder returns. Persistently thin profitability increases reliance on operational improvements or higher-margin product mix to deliver durable shareholder value and makes results more sensitive to cost or pricing pressure.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative FCF growth and weak cash conversion constrain the company’s ability to self-fund expansion, pay down debt, or return capital. Over several quarters this can force external financing, limit strategic optionality, and increase vulnerability to supply-chain or demand shocks.
Government Contract Timing Risk
Concentration in government-related work creates timing and award-risk; procurement delays can defer revenue recognition and cash flow across quarters. Even a modest share of revenue exposed to government cycles can materially disrupt planning and working capital in the medium term.

Aviat Networks (AVNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aviat Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAviat Networks, Inc. provides wireless transport solutions worldwide. It offers a comprehensive suite of products and localized professional and support services enabling customers to simplify their networks and lives. The company's products and solutions include wireless transmission systems for microwave and millimeter wave networking applications. It serves communications service providers and private network operators, including state/local government, utility, federal government, and defense organizations. The company markets its products through a direct sales, service, and support organization; indirect sales channels comprising dealers, resellers, and sales representatives; and through online. Aviat Networks, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyAviat Networks generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its hardware products, including microwave and millimeter-wave radios, as well as software solutions that facilitate network management and optimization. The company also earns income from professional services, which include installation, maintenance, and support services for its products. Additionally, Aviat Networks benefits from recurring revenue through software licenses and maintenance contracts. Key partnerships with telecommunications operators and technology providers enhance its market reach and contribute significantly to its earnings, enabling the company to leverage joint marketing opportunities and expand its service offerings.

Aviat Networks Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue contributions from various business segments, showing which areas are the most lucrative and where growth opportunities or risks may lie.
Chart InsightsAviat Networks' Services segment shows volatility, with a recent dip followed by a strong rebound, while the Product segment maintains robust growth. The earnings call highlights record adjusted EBITDA and EPS growth, despite a slight revenue decline due to international challenges. The company anticipates strong future revenue growth, driven by demand in private networks and new product introductions, but must address control weaknesses and international revenue timing issues to sustain momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Aviat Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Aviat Networks reported strong revenue growth and improved financial metrics, driven by new product launches and increased demand in private networks. However, there are some concerns about potential impacts from the U.S. federal government shutdown, which could affect revenue timing.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Total revenues of $107.3 million, up 21.4% versus the year-ago period.
Strong Non-GAAP Gross Margin
Non-GAAP gross margin of 33.8%, a significant improvement compared to 23.2% in the prior year.
Growth in Private Network Opportunities
Secured significant project bookings in public safety and utility networks, including a large multistate network modernization project worth approximately $8 million.
Launch of Aprisa LTE 5G Router Solution
Introduction of a new LTE 5G router solution for public safety vehicles, targeting a market expected to grow at a 12% annual rate.
Improved Financial Performance
First quarter non-GAAP EPS of $0.43, up by $1.30 from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA of $9.1 million, an increase of $16.8 million from last year.
Strong Cash Position
Cash and marketable securities at the end of the quarter were $64.8 million.
Negative Updates
Federal Government Shutdown Impact
Anticipated revenue impact from the U.S. federal government shutdown, affecting approximately 5% of business, with some opportunities pushed out to later quarters.
Company Guidance
In the Aviat Networks First Quarter Fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company reported a robust start to the fiscal year with total revenues of $107.3 million, marking a 21.4% increase from the previous year. Key financial metrics included a non-GAAP gross margin of 33.8%, adjusted EBITDA of $9.1 million, and a non-GAAP EPS of $0.43. The company highlighted growth in both North America and international markets, driven by private networks and mobile network operators. Notably, Aviat secured significant bookings in utility networks and launched the Aprisa LTE 5G router solution targeting public safety, which is expected to tap into the growing $2.8 billion cellular router and gateway market. Despite potential impacts from a U.S. federal government shutdown, Aviat maintains its fiscal 2026 guidance with full-year revenues projected between $440 million and $460 million and adjusted EBITDA between $45 million and $55 million.

Aviat Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth and stable gross margin support the business (Income Statement score 72), and leverage is moderate (D/E 0.41; Balance Sheet score 68). Offsetting this, profitability is thin (net margin 2.95%, ROE 0.53%) and cash generation is a key weakness (Cash Flow score 60 with negative free cash flow growth), keeping the overall financial score mid-range.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Aviat Networks shows a consistent revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue growth rate of 4.35%. The gross profit margin is stable at 34.25%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.95%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting operational efficiency but also highlighting potential for better cost control.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.41, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity is low at 0.53%, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability but with potential risks due to increasing debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy at 56.13%, indicating some ability to generate cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue450.80M434.61M408.08M344.43M302.96M302.96M
Gross Profit155.73M139.44M144.73M122.38M109.23M109.23M
EBITDA32.31M17.68M24.24M28.02M33.45M33.45M
Net Income11.71M1.34M10.76M10.17M21.16M21.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets643.32M633.30M633.30M535.22M363.14M323.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.83M59.69M59.69M64.62M22.24M47.77M
Total Debt109.41M90.92M90.92M52.18M2.75M2.92M
Total Liabilities379.68M370.11M370.11M279.34M144.40M122.15M
Stockholders Equity263.64M263.18M263.18M255.88M218.74M201.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.17M-7.25M27.86M-6.98M997.00K14.45M
Operating Cash Flow34.51M5.72M30.54M-1.64M2.79M17.30M
Investing Cash Flow-10.15M-28.53M-35.22M-11.95M-7.79M-2.85M
Financing Cash Flow-16.64M18.68M48.70M-681.00K-4.87M-8.05M

Aviat Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.81
Price Trends
50DMA
21.43
Positive
100DMA
22.36
Negative
200DMA
22.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
52.38
Neutral
STOCH
48.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVNW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.69, above the 50-day MA of 21.43, and below the 200-day MA of 22.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AVNW.

Aviat Networks Risk Analysis

Aviat Networks disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aviat Networks reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aviat Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$284.70M23.0738.74%10.12%153.04%
67
Neutral
$514.11M23.9944.70%16.06%166.69%
66
Neutral
$279.99M20.915.24%10.89%
65
Neutral
$229.41M18.027.67%4.28%0.15%17.21%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
49
Neutral
$204.33M151.320.84%-3.78%-92.62%
47
Neutral
$166.92M-42.92-17.45%76.52%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVNW
Aviat Networks
21.81
2.26
11.56%
AUDC
Audiocodes
8.35
-1.41
-14.45%
CRNT
Ceragon Networks
2.30
-2.23
-49.23%
FEIM
Frequency Electronics
52.58
35.73
212.05%
BKTI
BK Technologies
76.28
42.13
123.37%
INSG
Inseego
10.89
-0.92
-7.79%

Aviat Networks Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aviat Networks Updates Investor Presentation, Highlights Stronger Balance Sheet
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Aviat Networks posted an updated investor relations presentation to its website and began using it in meetings with current and potential investors, coinciding with its appearance at the 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference on January 14, 2026. The materials highlight that Aviat has strengthened its balance sheet in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 versus the first quarter, including higher cash and cash equivalents, lower net debt, and reductions in unbilled receivables and inventories, supporting positive cash generation. The presentation also underscores the company’s long acquisition-driven expansion into access and industrial solutions—through deals for Redline Communications, NEC’s Pasolink microwave business, and 4RF—and positions Aviat as a disciplined operator in an $11 billion addressable market, emphasizing its competitive edge over both microwave specialists and broader wireless equipment vendors through a modular product platform, integrated software and services, and a supply chain model designed to deliver faster and at lower total cost of ownership.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVNW) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aviat Networks stock, see the AVNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Aviat Networks Appoints New CFO Andrew C. Schmidt
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Aviat Networks appointed Andrew C. Schmidt as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Andrew Fredrickson, who served as interim CFO. Schmidt brings over 25 years of financial leadership experience, aligning with Aviat’s strategic goals to drive growth in public safety and software sales. His appointment is expected to strengthen Aviat’s global strategy and drive value for stakeholders as the company scales for growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVNW) stock is a Hold with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aviat Networks stock, see the AVNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aviat Networks Updates Investor Relations Presentation
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Aviat Networks updated its investor relations presentation on its website, which will be used for discussions with current and potential investors. The presentation outlines Aviat’s strategic focus on mission-critical, 5G, and rural broadband networks, highlighting its consistent revenue growth and strong financial performance. The company emphasizes its competitive advantages, such as a modular radio platform, innovative software solutions, and a robust supply chain, which position it favorably against competitors in the microwave transmission industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVNW) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aviat Networks stock, see the AVNW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aviat Networks Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting 2025
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

Aviat Networks held its Fiscal Year 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 81.6% of the company’s shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected directors for the upcoming year, ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year 2026, approved the named executive officer compensation, and endorsed the Third Amended and Restated 2018 Incentive Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (AVNW) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aviat Networks stock, see the AVNW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026