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Aviat Networks (AVNW)
NASDAQ:AVNW

Aviat Networks (AVNW) AI Stock Analysis

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AVNW

Aviat Networks

(NASDAQ:AVNW)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(8.34% Upside)
Aviat Networks' overall stock score reflects solid revenue growth and strategic initiatives, such as new product launches and leadership changes, which are positive. However, challenges in profitability, cash flow, and technical indicators weigh on the score. The company's valuation is fair, but not compelling, and while the earnings call was positive, external risks like the U.S. government shutdown could impact future performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Aviat Networks' strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for its products and services, enhancing its market position and potential for future expansion.
New Product Launch
The launch of the Aprisa LTE 5G router solution positions Aviat to capitalize on the growing cellular router market, driving long-term revenue opportunities.
Leadership Change
The new CFO's extensive experience is expected to strengthen Aviat's financial strategy, supporting growth and enhancing stakeholder value.
Negative Factors
Profitability Concerns
Despite revenue growth, low net profit margins indicate potential inefficiencies, which could hinder long-term financial health if not addressed.
Cash Flow Challenges
Inefficient cash generation could limit Aviat's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations effectively.
Federal Government Shutdown Impact
The potential revenue impact from government shutdowns poses a risk to Aviat's financial stability and could delay project timelines.

Aviat Networks (AVNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aviat Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAviat Networks (AVNW) is a leading provider of advanced communication solutions that focus on delivering high-capacity, low-latency wireless networking technologies. The company primarily operates in the telecommunications sector, offering a range of products and services including microwave and millimeter-wave radio systems, IP networking solutions, and software-defined networking (SDN) solutions. Aviat Networks serves a diverse clientele, including mobile operators, private enterprises, and government agencies, enabling them to enhance their network capabilities and connectivity.
How the Company Makes MoneyAviat Networks generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its hardware products, including microwave and millimeter-wave radios, as well as software solutions that facilitate network management and optimization. The company also earns income from professional services, which include installation, maintenance, and support services for its products. Additionally, Aviat Networks benefits from recurring revenue through software licenses and maintenance contracts. Key partnerships with telecommunications operators and technology providers enhance its market reach and contribute significantly to its earnings, enabling the company to leverage joint marketing opportunities and expand its service offerings.

Aviat Networks Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Aviat Networks Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Aviat Networks reported strong revenue growth and improved financial metrics, driven by new product launches and increased demand in private networks. However, there are some concerns about potential impacts from the U.S. federal government shutdown, which could affect revenue timing.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Total revenues of $107.3 million, up 21.4% versus the year-ago period.
Strong Non-GAAP Gross Margin
Non-GAAP gross margin of 33.8%, a significant improvement compared to 23.2% in the prior year.
Growth in Private Network Opportunities
Secured significant project bookings in public safety and utility networks, including a large multistate network modernization project worth approximately $8 million.
Launch of Aprisa LTE 5G Router Solution
Introduction of a new LTE 5G router solution for public safety vehicles, targeting a market expected to grow at a 12% annual rate.
Improved Financial Performance
First quarter non-GAAP EPS of $0.43, up by $1.30 from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA of $9.1 million, an increase of $16.8 million from last year.
Strong Cash Position
Cash and marketable securities at the end of the quarter were $64.8 million.
Negative Updates
Federal Government Shutdown Impact
Anticipated revenue impact from the U.S. federal government shutdown, affecting approximately 5% of business, with some opportunities pushed out to later quarters.
Company Guidance
In the Aviat Networks First Quarter Fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company reported a robust start to the fiscal year with total revenues of $107.3 million, marking a 21.4% increase from the previous year. Key financial metrics included a non-GAAP gross margin of 33.8%, adjusted EBITDA of $9.1 million, and a non-GAAP EPS of $0.43. The company highlighted growth in both North America and international markets, driven by private networks and mobile network operators. Notably, Aviat secured significant bookings in utility networks and launched the Aprisa LTE 5G router solution targeting public safety, which is expected to tap into the growing $2.8 billion cellular router and gateway market. Despite potential impacts from a U.S. federal government shutdown, Aviat maintains its fiscal 2026 guidance with full-year revenues projected between $440 million and $460 million and adjusted EBITDA between $45 million and $55 million.

Aviat Networks Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aviat Networks demonstrates solid revenue growth and stable gross margins, reflecting effective cost management. However, profitability remains a concern with low net profit margins. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Cash flow challenges are evident, with negative free cash flow growth, highlighting the need for improved cash generation strategies. Overall, the company is on a stable trajectory but needs to address profitability and cash flow issues to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Aviat Networks shows a consistent revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue growth rate of 4.35%. The gross profit margin is stable at 34.25%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.95%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting operational efficiency but also highlighting potential for better cost control.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.41, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity is low at 0.53%, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability but with potential risks due to increasing debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy at 56.13%, indicating some ability to generate cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue450.80M434.61M408.08M344.43M302.96M302.96M
Gross Profit155.73M139.44M144.73M122.38M109.23M109.23M
EBITDA32.31M17.68M24.24M28.02M33.45M33.45M
Net Income11.71M1.34M10.76M10.17M21.16M21.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets643.32M633.30M633.30M535.22M363.14M323.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.83M59.69M59.69M64.62M22.24M47.77M
Total Debt109.41M90.92M90.92M52.18M2.75M2.92M
Total Liabilities379.68M370.11M370.11M279.34M144.40M122.15M
Stockholders Equity263.64M263.18M263.18M255.88M218.74M201.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.17M-7.25M27.86M-6.98M997.00K14.45M
Operating Cash Flow34.51M5.72M30.54M-1.64M2.79M17.30M
Investing Cash Flow-10.15M-28.53M-35.22M-11.95M-7.79M-2.85M
Financing Cash Flow-16.64M18.68M48.70M-681.00K-4.87M-8.05M

Aviat Networks Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price21.23
Price Trends
50DMA
22.42
Negative
100DMA
22.49
Negative
200DMA
21.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
47.04
Neutral
STOCH
29.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVNW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.23, below the 50-day MA of 22.42, and below the 200-day MA of 21.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AVNW.

Aviat Networks Risk Analysis

Aviat Networks disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aviat Networks reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aviat Networks Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$291.75M23.0338.74%10.12%153.04%
76
Outperform
$470.50M24.1944.70%16.06%166.69%
66
Neutral
$267.92M20.365.24%10.89%
65
Neutral
$249.74M19.787.67%4.26%0.15%17.21%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
49
Neutral
$190.12M134.870.84%-3.78%-92.62%
47
Neutral
$164.16M-41.78-17.45%76.52%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVNW
Aviat Networks
21.23
4.32
25.55%
AUDC
Audiocodes
8.92
-0.38
-4.09%
CRNT
Ceragon Networks
2.05
-2.61
-56.01%
FEIM
Frequency Electronics
53.02
34.13
180.68%
BKTI
BK Technologies
76.14
38.38
101.64%
INSG
Inseego
10.60
0.32
3.11%

Aviat Networks Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aviat Networks Appoints New CFO Andrew C. Schmidt
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Aviat Networks appointed Andrew C. Schmidt as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Andrew Fredrickson, who served as interim CFO. Schmidt brings over 25 years of financial leadership experience, aligning with Aviat’s strategic goals to drive growth in public safety and software sales. His appointment is expected to strengthen Aviat’s global strategy and drive value for stakeholders as the company scales for growth.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aviat Networks Updates Investor Relations Presentation
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Aviat Networks updated its investor relations presentation on its website, which will be used for discussions with current and potential investors. The presentation outlines Aviat’s strategic focus on mission-critical, 5G, and rural broadband networks, highlighting its consistent revenue growth and strong financial performance. The company emphasizes its competitive advantages, such as a modular radio platform, innovative software solutions, and a robust supply chain, which position it favorably against competitors in the microwave transmission industry.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aviat Networks Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting 2025
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

Aviat Networks held its Fiscal Year 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 81.6% of the company’s shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected directors for the upcoming year, ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year 2026, approved the named executive officer compensation, and endorsed the Third Amended and Restated 2018 Incentive Plan.

Executive/Board Changes
Aviat Networks CFO Resignation Announced
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Aviat Networks announced that Michael Connaway, their Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, voluntarily resigned from his position, effective September 10, 2025. Connaway will assist with the transition of his responsibilities until September 30, 2025, without any new compensatory arrangements being made.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025