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Inseego Corp (INSG)
NASDAQ:INSG
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Inseego (INSG) AI Stock Analysis

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INSG

Inseego

(NASDAQ:INSG)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(13.90% Upside)
Inseego's overall stock score is driven by positive earnings call outcomes and technical indicators, which are offset by significant financial challenges. The company's strategic initiatives and improved capital structure provide a positive outlook, but high leverage and negative cash flows remain critical concerns.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
2Q results topped guidance and estimates, with FWA strength offsetting Mobile softness.
Profitability
Non-GAAP gross margin expanded, boosting EBITDA above guidance.
Strategic Focus
CEO Juho Sarvikas' strategic focus on SaaS and FWA growth strengthens long-term value proposition.
Negative Factors
Market Exposure
Lowering estimates driven by pressure in Mobile from concentrated carrier exposure.
Profitability Challenges
Profitability faces headwinds from E-Rate program delay and seasonal softness in Mobile.
Strategy Execution
Strategy execution still unproven, leading to a more modest ramp ahead than prior expectation.

Inseego (INSG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Inseego Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInseego Corp (INSG) is a leading provider of cloud-based software and solutions for the mobile and IoT (Internet of Things) markets. The company focuses on enabling enterprises and service providers to enhance their connectivity and operational efficiency through innovative products. Inseego's core offerings include mobile broadband solutions, IoT devices, and software platforms that facilitate real-time data analytics and management.
How the Company Makes MoneyInseego generates revenue primarily through the sale of hardware, software, and subscription services. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of 4G and 5G mobile broadband devices, IoT hardware, and cloud-based software solutions that support data analytics and management. Additionally, Inseego offers subscription-based services that provide ongoing support and software updates. Significant partnerships with major telecommunications companies and service providers also contribute to their earnings, as these relationships allow Inseego to expand its market reach and offer bundled solutions to customers.

Inseego Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.60%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects positive momentum with sequential growth in revenue and EBITDA, successful product launches, and strategic wins with Tier 1 carriers and enterprise customers. Despite some challenges with E-Rate funding and a year-over-year decline in mobile revenue, the overall outlook is positive with improved capital structure and future growth strategies in place.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Growth in Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
Inseego reported sequential growth in Q2 2025 in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA, exceeding guidance through strong FWA demand, favorable product mix, and disciplined expense management.
Successful Launch of FX4100 FWA Solution
The mid-Q2 launch of the FX4100 FWA solution exceeded expectations with strong early demand, reflecting expansion in the enterprise FWA market and capturing greater market share.
New Tier 1 Carrier Win
Inseego secured a new Tier 1 carrier customer to stock both mobile and FWA products, diversifying the customer base and validating growth opportunities.
Multimillion-Dollar Enterprise Agreement
Closed a multimillion-dollar agreement with an S&P 500 company for a deployment combining Inseego's hardware with its Connect software, reinforcing value as a trusted enterprise connectivity partner.
Improved Capital Structure
The company reduced total debt to $41 million and established a $15 million working capital facility with BMO Bank, providing additional flexibility.
Negative Updates
E-Rate Funding Uncertainty
A $10 million educational mobile deal was removed from the forecast due to uncertainty in congressional E-Rate funding for hotspots.
Year-Over-Year Mobile Revenue Decline
Mobile revenue came in lower year-over-year due to record promotional activity in 2024 and the timing of new program launches later in 2025.
Company Guidance
During Inseego Corp.'s Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company exceeded its guidance by achieving sequential growth in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Total revenue for Q2 2025 reached $40.2 million, driven by strong fixed wireless access (FWA) demand, a favorable product mix, and disciplined expense management. This quarter marked a notable shift where FWA revenue surpassed mobile hotspot revenue, which is seen as a validation of the company's growth strategy. Non-GAAP gross margin was solid at 41.2%, and adjusted EBITDA was $4.7 million, reflecting a 29% sequential increase and an 11.7% margin. The company also strengthened its capital structure by paying off $15 million in convertible notes, resulting in a total debt of $41 million, which is a manageable 2x LTM adjusted EBITDA. For Q3 2025, Inseego expects to continue sequential revenue growth, with guidance set for total revenue between $40 million and $43 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $4 million and $5 million.

Inseego Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Inseego faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and a negative equity position. While cash flow management shows some positives, the company's financial leverage poses risks. Improvement in profitability and balance sheet strength is needed for long-term stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Inseego's TTM revenue showed a slight increase compared to the previous year, with a Gross Profit Margin of 38.74% and a Net Profit Margin of 3.42%. However, the company has experienced declining revenues over the past few years. Despite a positive EBIT Margin of 2.45%, the EBITDA Margin is negative, indicating challenges in covering depreciation and amortization costs.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a negative stockholders' equity, leading to an undefined Debt-to-Equity Ratio. This suggests significant financial leverage and potential solvency issues. The Equity Ratio is negative, reflecting the company's heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Despite operating cash flow covering net income with a ratio of 3.87, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a decline compared to the previous year. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is positive at 3.18, indicating some ability to reinvest in the business. However, cash flow fluctuations present challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue174.01M191.24M195.69M245.32M262.40M313.83M
Gross Profit68.24M68.80M35.78M66.91M75.92M90.84M
EBITDA10.41M9.76M-13.71M-32.62M-15.52M-72.55M
Net Income6.48M4.57M-46.19M-67.97M-47.91M-111.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets83.07M100.00M121.80M159.02M215.84M227.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.22M39.60M7.52M7.14M47.50M40.02M
Total Debt43.61M60.71M170.73M173.94M157.87M175.21M
Total Liabilities93.57M112.86M223.90M229.13M240.70M255.29M
Stockholders Equity-10.50M-12.86M-102.11M-70.12M-24.85M-27.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.36M33.42M-3.00M-46.61M-54.05M-15.05M
Operating Cash Flow-7.72M33.52M7.17M-33.29M-25.21M20.05M
Investing Cash Flow41.53M43.03M-10.17M-13.32M6.08M-34.71M
Financing Cash Flow-64.22M-38.78M2.21M5.43M29.92M42.08M

Inseego Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.78
Price Trends
50DMA
7.65
Positive
100DMA
7.83
Positive
200DMA
9.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
63.33
Neutral
STOCH
91.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INSG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.36, above the 50-day MA of 7.65, and below the 200-day MA of 9.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INSG.

Inseego Risk Analysis

Inseego disclosed 6 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Inseego reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Inseego Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$227.65M20.2239.51%4.63%328.61%
68
Neutral
¥241.26B15.546.62%2.44%9.22%2.43%
65
Neutral
$118.23M-10.88%-2.06%-22.58%
65
Neutral
$91.26M-10.16%-24.50%60.82%
63
Neutral
$130.12M28.09111.75%-10.99%
60
Neutral
$861.37M-81.20%75.16%28.13%
53
Neutral
$106.30M-4.46%-12.22%71.69%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INSG
Inseego
8.78
-3.16
-26.47%
KVHI
KVH Industries
5.45
0.99
22.20%
LTRX
Lantronix
2.97
-0.53
-15.14%
BKTI
BK Technologies
61.97
44.30
250.71%
SILC
Silicom
16.00
2.97
22.79%
ONDS
Ondas Holdings
3.93
3.22
453.52%

Inseego Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Inseego Secures $15M Credit Facility with BMO Bank
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Inseego Corp. entered into a $15 million revolving secured asset-backed credit facility with BMO Bank N.A., providing further operating flexibility and liquidity. The facility, which matures on August 5, 2028, is secured by a continuing security interest in substantially all property of each loan party. Inseego also reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with a revenue of $40.2 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $4.7 million, marking a 27% and 29% sequential increase respectively. The company launched its new FX4100 enterprise-grade wireless router and expanded its carrier footprint, signaling strong market demand and positioning for durable growth and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (INSG) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inseego stock, see the INSG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025