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Ondas Holdings (ONDS)
NASDAQ:ONDS

Ondas Holdings (ONDS) AI Stock Analysis

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Ondas Holdings

(NASDAQ:ONDS)

54Neutral
Ondas Holdings presents a mixed outlook. While there are promising growth opportunities highlighted by significant revenue growth and strategic partnerships, financial struggles and a potential Nasdaq delisting weigh heavily on the stock. Persistent operating losses, cash flow challenges, and valuation issues further complicate the picture, leading to a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Geopolitical Impact
Increasing NATO member military spending amid geopolitical conflicts is a positive for ONDS's proven Iron Drone.
Revenue Growth
Management reiterated a 2025 revenue target of at least $25M, up 248%, driven almost entirely by Ondas Autonomous Systems – the drone business.
Strategic Partnerships
ONDS announced a partnership with Palantir that aims to use its AI software for operations optimization and eventual expansion of platform capabilities.
Negative Factors
Debt and Equity
Weakness in shares from year-to-date created greater dilution from debt conversions than previously modeled.
Revenue Expectations
Management introduced a 2025 revenue target of $25M, below consensus of $33.4M.

Ondas Holdings (ONDS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ondas Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOndas Holdings Inc. is a leading provider in the development and commercialization of private wireless data communication systems. The company operates primarily in the technology and communications sectors, focusing on the development of its FullMAX platform, which is designed to enable mission-critical, industrial-grade wireless connectivity. Ondas serves various industries, including transportation, energy, and public safety, offering solutions that enhance communication reliability and efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyOndas Holdings makes money by providing its FullMAX wireless communication platform to industrial and government clients. The company's revenue is generated through the sale of network equipment, software licenses, and associated maintenance and support services. Ondas also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with key industry players to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Additionally, the company may derive income from custom development projects and consulting services tailored to specific client needs.

Ondas Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ondas Holdings is navigating a challenging financial landscape with persistent losses and cash flow constraints. While there are signs of revenue growth, significant profitability and leverage issues remain. The company's ability to secure financing offers some stability, but long-term sustainability will depend on improving operational efficiency and generating positive cash flows.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ondas Holdings shows a modest revenue growth in the TTM period compared to the previous year, indicating some positive trajectory. However, the company struggles with negative profit margins, highlighted by a negative gross profit margin and significant net losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, underscoring operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a reasonable equity ratio, reflecting a balance between assets and equity. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is concerning due to the high level of debt relative to equity, which could pose risks if revenue growth does not materialize. Return on Equity (ROE) is negative, further indicating profitability issues.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Ondas Holdings experiences negative free cash flow, although there is a slight improvement in free cash flow growth in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. However, the company demonstrates an ability to secure financing, which provides some liquidity cushion.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.82M7.19M15.69M2.13M2.91M2.16M
Gross Profit
2.23M345.18K6.38M1.11M1.10M927.67K
EBIT
-31.60M-34.61M-39.73M-50.01M-17.97M-11.52M
EBITDA
-28.59M-28.72M-34.64M-64.63M-15.55M-11.14M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-43.48M-38.01M-44.84M-92.66M-15.02M-15.43M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
25.36M29.96M14.98M29.78M40.82M26.06M
Total Assets
104.60M109.62M92.16M97.95M117.44M28.51M
Total Debt
42.35M60.31M35.29M33.39M1.09M8.03M
Net Debt
16.98M30.35M20.31M3.61M-39.72M-18.03M
Total Liabilities
7.53M71.51M47.11M39.72M5.21M13.43M
Stockholders Equity
26.08M16.58M33.14M58.22M112.23M15.08M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-31.53M-35.20M-34.30M-40.89M-17.92M-7.57M
Operating Cash Flow
-32.67M-33.47M-34.02M-37.96M-16.90M-7.53M
Investing Cash Flow
-714.28K-1.73M536.27K-6.93M-10.21M-16.14K
Financing Cash Flow
44.21M50.18M18.73M33.86M41.86M31.46M

Ondas Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.98
Price Trends
50DMA
0.84
Positive
100DMA
1.32
Negative
200DMA
1.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
57.34
Neutral
STOCH
84.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONDS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.82, above the 50-day MA of 0.84, and below the 200-day MA of 1.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ONDS.

Ondas Holdings Risk Analysis

Ondas Holdings disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ondas Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ondas Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$11.58B10.33-7.23%2.94%7.47%-10.84%
56
Neutral
$89.84M-10.88%-2.06%-22.58%
54
Neutral
$134.60M-157.00%-21.17%23.22%
54
Neutral
$101.72M-6.78%-14.38%49.11%
51
Neutral
$48.59M-25.57%8.46%39.81%
47
Neutral
$134.92M26.61111.75%1.60%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONDS
Ondas Holdings
0.94
0.23
32.39%
KVHI
KVH Industries
5.19
-0.04
-0.76%
LTRX
Lantronix
2.27
-1.47
-39.30%
AIRG
Airgain
4.05
-1.22
-23.15%
INSG
Inseego
8.99
2.39
36.21%

Ondas Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with strong revenue growth, new orders, and strategic partnerships. However, the company faces challenges with operating losses, cash flow management, and potential dilution from debt conversions. The positive aspects, particularly the growth and expansion opportunities, outweigh the negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenues increased over 500% to $4.2 million in Q1 2025 from $0.6 million in Q1 2024, driven primarily by OAS with a 600% increase in revenue.
New Orders and Expanding Backlog
Ondas secured more than $9 million of additional orders year-to-date, further growing the backlog to $16.8 million.
Iron Drone and Optimus Expansion
Ondas announced a new $1.7 million order for Iron Drone and expects further growth and deployments in various global regions, especially for defense and homeland security.
Debt Reduction
Outstanding convertible debt was reduced from $44.6 million to $20.6 million through conversions to equity.
Strategic Partnerships
Formed partnerships with Palantir Technologies and Volatus Aerospace to enhance product capabilities and market reach.
IEEE Ratification and AAR Selection
802.16t standard was ratified by IEEE and Ondas Networks' dot16 was selected as the protocol for the NGHE system.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss and Expenses
Operating expenses increased to $11.8 million for Q1 2025 from $8.7 million in Q1 2024, resulting in an operating loss of $10.3 million.
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash used in operations was $6.7 million for Q1 2025, highlighting ongoing cash flow management challenges.
Potential Dilution from Debt Conversion
Debt conversions led to an increase in share count from 93.2 million to 137.4 million, with more shares expected from future conversions.
Company Guidance
During Ondas Holdings Inc.'s First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided a positive outlook, anticipating a record year of revenue growth driven by Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS). The company reported $4.2 million in Q1 revenue, primarily from a $10 million backlog, and secured over $9 million in additional orders, increasing the backlog to $16.8 million. Ondas reaffirmed its full-year revenue target of at least $25 million, with at least $20 million expected from OAS. Notably, OAS expanded customer programs and secured two new defense and homeland security customers, contributing to the company's robust growth and positioning its Iron Drone radar system as a category leader. Additionally, Ondas Networks made progress with its selection by the Association of American Railroads for the dot16 standard, enhancing commercial adoption prospects across multiple frequency bands. Despite operating losses, Ondas highlighted improved cash efficiency and a reduction in convertible debt, supporting its strategic growth initiatives.

Ondas Holdings Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock SplitRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ondas Holdings Faces Nasdaq Delisting Notice
Negative
May 16, 2025

Ondas Holdings Inc. has received a notification from Nasdaq due to its common stock price falling below the $1.00 per share minimum requirement for 30 consecutive business days. The company has until November 12, 2025, to regain compliance, with options such as a reverse stock split being considered to resolve the deficiency. Failure to comply may result in delisting, though an additional compliance period may be available.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONDS) stock is a Buy with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ondas Holdings stock, see the ONDS Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on ONDS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, ONDS is a Neutral.

Ondas Holdings’ stock score is primarily impacted by its financial struggles, including declining revenues and high leverage, which contribute to a low financial performance score. However, the earnings call provides a positive outlook with strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives, offering some optimism. Technical indicators are mixed, with short-term support but a longer-term bearish trend. Overall, while there are promising growth opportunities, significant financial and operational challenges remain.

To see Spark’s full report on ONDS stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ondas Holdings Approves Stock Incentive Plan Amendment
Neutral
May 12, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 12, 2025, Ondas Holdings Inc. announced the approval of an amendment to its 2021 Stock Incentive Plan, increasing the number of authorized shares from 11 million to 26 million. The Board of Directors had adopted this amendment on April 10, 2025, pending stockholder approval. Additionally, the meeting included the election of six directors, ratification of the company’s independent accountants, advisory approval of executive compensation, and an amendment to increase the authorized shares of common stock from 300 million to 400 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (ONDS) stock is a Buy with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ondas Holdings stock, see the ONDS Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on ONDS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, ONDS is a Neutral.

Ondas Holdings faces considerable financial difficulties with declining revenues and high leverage, reflected in a low financial performance score. Technical indicators show a bearish trend, and the company’s valuation is impacted by a lack of profitability. However, the optimistic guidance for 2025, strategic partnerships, and military contracts provide some positive outlook, slightly lifting the overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on ONDS stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.