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VUG - ETF AI Analysis

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VUG

Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
VUG (Vanguard Growth ETF) earns a solid overall rating because it is heavily invested in high-quality growth leaders like Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet, which all show strong financial performance, positive earnings outlooks, and promising growth in areas like cloud computing and AI. These strengths are partly offset by holdings such as Amazon, Tesla, and Eli Lilly, where high valuations, cash flow or leverage concerns, and mixed technical signals introduce more risk. The main risk factor is the fund’s concentration in a handful of large, fast-growing tech and AI-focused companies, which can increase volatility if market sentiment toward this sector shifts.
Positive Factors
Low Expense Ratio
The fund charges a very low fee, which helps investors keep more of their returns over time.
Large Asset Base
Very high assets under management suggest the ETF is widely used and likely has strong trading liquidity.
Exposure to Leading Growth Companies
The top holdings include many of the largest and most established growth-focused U.S. technology and internet companies, which have been key drivers of the growth style over time.
Negative Factors
Recent Weak Performance
The ETF has shown weak returns over the past month, three months, and year to date, which may concern investors focused on short-term results.
Heavy Concentration in a Few Stocks
A small number of mega-cap names make up a large share of the portfolio, increasing the impact if any of these companies struggle.
Sector and U.S. Market Concentration
The fund is heavily tilted toward U.S. technology and communication services stocks, which can make it more sensitive to downturns in those sectors and in the U.S. market overall.

VUG vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

VUG Summary

Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) is a fund that follows the CRSP US Large Cap Growth Index, focusing on big U.S. companies expected to grow faster than the overall market. It holds many well-known names, including Apple and Microsoft, along with other major tech and internet firms. Investors might consider VUG if they want simple, broad exposure to leading growth companies in one investment, aiming for long-term growth rather than income. A key risk is that it is heavily tilted toward technology and other growth stocks, so its price can rise and fall more than the overall stock market.
How much will it cost me?The Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) has an expense ratio of 0.04%, which means you’ll pay $0.40 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is much lower than average because it is a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs down for investors.
What would affect this ETF?The Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) could benefit from continued innovation and strong earnings growth in the technology sector, which makes up over half of its holdings, as well as consumer demand for products from companies like Apple and Amazon. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact growth stocks, particularly in sectors like technology and consumer cyclical, which rely on favorable borrowing conditions and robust consumer spending. Regulatory changes affecting major companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, or Tesla could also pose risks to the ETF's performance.

VUG Top 10 Holdings

VUG is riding the Big Tech and AI wave, with Nvidia and Apple doing much of the heavy lifting lately as their growth stories stay in the spotlight. Alphabet and Meta are also adding some spark, with generally rising sentiment around AI and digital advertising, even if the ride has been a bit bumpy. On the flip side, Microsoft and Amazon have been losing a bit of steam, and Tesla’s choppy performance isn’t helping. Overall, this is a U.S.-only, tech-heavy fund where a handful of mega-cap names really steer the ship.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Nvidia13.22%$46.31B$4.32T57.80%
76
Outperform
Apple11.49%$40.24B$3.78T7.69%
79
Outperform
Microsoft9.58%$33.57B$3.04T3.98%
79
Outperform
Alphabet Class A5.89%$20.65B$3.61T71.70%
85
Outperform
Amazon4.81%$16.84B$2.29T7.01%
71
Outperform
Meta Platforms4.69%$16.43B$1.63T3.07%
76
Outperform
Alphabet Class C4.66%$16.34B$3.61T69.73%
82
Outperform
Broadcom3.91%$13.71B$1.57T69.51%
76
Outperform
Tesla3.66%$12.82B$1.49T51.04%
73
Outperform
Eli Lilly & Co2.66%$9.32B$934.24B13.89%
72
Outperform

VUG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
476.75
Negative
100DMA
481.62
Negative
200DMA
465.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.10
Negative
RSI
40.93
Neutral
STOCH
56.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VUG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 463.82, equal to the 50-day MA of 476.75, and equal to the 200-day MA of 465.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VUG.

VUG Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$197.35B0.03%
75
Outperform
$117.42B0.18%
75
Outperform
$64.42B0.18%
76
Outperform
$51.00B0.04%
75
Outperform
$43.94B0.04%
76
Outperform
$39.11B0.06%
74
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VUG
Vanguard Growth ETF
458.08
86.87
23.40%
IWF
iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF
IVW
iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF
SCHG
Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF
SPYG
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF
VONG
Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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