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TURF - ETF AI Analysis

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TURF

T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF (TURF)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
TURF, the T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF, has a solid but not top-tier rating, reflecting a mix of strong core holdings and some notable risks. High-quality names like Agnico Eagle, Corteva, Exxon Mobil, and Shell support the fund with strong financial performance, positive earnings calls, and generally attractive valuations, helping underpin the ETF’s overall quality. However, several holdings face issues such as high valuations, bearish technical signals, and operational or profitability challenges, and the fund’s focus on natural resource companies means it is exposed to sector-specific risks like commodity price swings and cyclical demand.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown strong gains so far this year and in recent months, indicating positive momentum in its natural resource holdings.
Leading Holdings Performing Well
Many of the top positions, including major energy and materials companies, have delivered strong year-to-date results, helping support the fund’s overall returns.
Global Natural Resource Exposure
Holdings spread across the U.S., Canada, the UK, Australia, and other countries give investors access to natural resource companies from several key regions.
Negative Factors
Sector Concentration Risk
A large majority of the portfolio is in materials and energy stocks, which can make the fund more sensitive to swings in commodity prices and resource demand.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is not especially low, so fees may be higher than some broad market ETFs even though they are reasonable for a specialized strategy.
Limited Industry Diversification
With only small allocations outside of natural resource–related sectors, the ETF offers less balance if these industries fall out of favor.

TURF vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TURF Summary

T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF (TURF) is an actively managed fund that focuses on the global natural resources theme, including energy, agriculture, and mining companies. It doesn’t track a fixed index but instead relies on T. Rowe Price’s research to pick stocks. Well-known holdings include Exxon Mobil and Chevron in energy, and Nutrien in agriculture. Investors might consider TURF if they want targeted exposure to natural resources for potential growth and diversification away from pure tech or broad market funds. A key risk is that it is heavily tied to commodity-related sectors, which can be very volatile and move sharply with global economic and commodity price swings.
How much will it cost me?The T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF (TURF) has an expense ratio of 0.44%, which means you’ll pay $4.40 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than the average for ETFs because it is actively managed, meaning experts are selecting and adjusting investments to try to outperform the market.
What would affect this ETF?TURF could benefit from rising global demand for energy, agricultural products, and raw materials, especially as economies grow and focus on sustainability. However, it may face challenges from fluctuating commodity prices, regulatory changes in the energy and mining sectors, or economic slowdowns that reduce demand for natural resources. The ETF's global exposure and top holdings in major companies like Shell and Exxon Mobil position it well for growth, but reliance on cyclical industries could lead to volatility.

TURF Top 10 Holdings

TURF is leaning hard into global natural resources, with a clear tilt toward energy and materials giants that set the tone for returns. Freeport-McMoRan and BHP have been rising, giving the fund a lift as metals and mining stay in demand, while Corteva and Nutrien add a steady agricultural backbone. On the energy side, Exxon and Chevron have cooled off recently, occasionally acting like a headwind even after earlier strength. With holdings spread across U.S. and international names like Shell, this ETF is a global bet on the resource cycle.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Corteva5.38%$6.16M$53.57B29.01%
75
Outperform
Exxon Mobil4.41%$5.06M$618.95B36.42%
74
Outperform
Shell (UK)4.37%$5.01M£184.86B32.32%
73
Outperform
Nutrien4.04%$4.63M$34.53B30.23%
75
Outperform
Chevron3.49%$4.00M$369.57B31.89%
71
Outperform
Agnico Eagle3.17%$3.63M$100.45B66.47%
80
Outperform
BHP Group Ltd3.03%$3.47MAU$285.03B66.90%
68
Neutral
Archer Daniels Midland2.88%$3.30M$33.36B46.80%
64
Neutral
Freeport-McMoRan2.62%$3.01M$87.74B62.65%
67
Neutral
Tyson Foods2.53%$2.90M$22.10B5.82%
69
Neutral

TURF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
34.64
Positive
100DMA
32.82
Positive
200DMA
29.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
50.69
Neutral
STOCH
54.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TURF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.90, equal to the 50-day MA of 34.64, and equal to the 200-day MA of 29.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TURF.

TURF Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$115.38M0.44%
60
Neutral
$946.90M0.55%
65
Neutral
$388.12M0.39%
58
Neutral
$357.13M0.55%
65
Neutral
$337.06M0.99%
61
Neutral
$298.69M0.75%
55
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TURF
T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF
34.73
9.67
38.59%
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AGIX
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WGMI
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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