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TURF - ETF AI Analysis

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TURF

T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF (TURF)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
The T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF (TURF) has a balanced overall rating, reflecting both strengths and challenges within its holdings. Strong contributors include Agnico Eagle (AEM), which benefits from robust financial performance, positive momentum, and a strategic focus on cost control, and Vale (VALE), which is supported by strong technical indicators, operational efficiency, and an attractive dividend yield. However, weaker holdings like ADM face challenges such as declining profit margins and bearish technical trends, which may weigh on the fund's overall performance. A key risk factor is the ETF's concentration in natural resource companies, which could make it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns or commodity price fluctuations.
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings
Several key holdings, such as Agnico Eagle and Cameco, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, driving the ETF's returns.
Sector Focus on Growth Areas
The ETF is heavily weighted in Materials and Energy sectors, which have shown resilience and growth potential in recent market conditions.
Reasonable Expense Ratio
With an expense ratio of 0.44%, the fund offers relatively low costs compared to actively managed ETFs, helping investors retain more of their returns.
Negative Factors
Over-Concentration in Materials and Energy
The ETF's heavy exposure to Materials and Energy sectors (over 80% combined) makes it vulnerable to sector-specific downturns.
Underperforming Holding
TotalEnergies SE has shown weak year-to-date performance, which could drag on the fund's overall returns.
Limited Geographic Diversification
The ETF is predominantly focused on North America, with over 67% exposure to the USA and Canada, limiting its ability to benefit from broader global market trends.

TURF vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TURF Summary

The T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF (TURF) is an actively managed fund that focuses on companies involved in natural resources like energy, agriculture, and mining. It includes well-known names such as Exxon Mobil and Shell, offering exposure to global resource trends. Investors might consider TURF for potential growth in the natural resources sector and diversification across industries and countries. However, it’s important to note that the ETF’s performance is closely tied to the natural resources market, which can be volatile and influenced by global economic conditions.
How much will it cost me?The T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF (TURF) has an expense ratio of 0.44%, which means you’ll pay $4.40 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than the average for ETFs because it is actively managed, meaning experts are selecting and adjusting investments to try to outperform the market.
What would affect this ETF?TURF could benefit from rising global demand for energy, agricultural products, and raw materials, especially as economies grow and focus on sustainability. However, it may face challenges from fluctuating commodity prices, regulatory changes in the energy and mining sectors, or economic slowdowns that reduce demand for natural resources. The ETF's global exposure and top holdings in major companies like Shell and Exxon Mobil position it well for growth, but reliance on cyclical industries could lead to volatility.

TURF Top 10 Holdings

The T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF (TURF) leans heavily into materials and energy, with names like Exxon Mobil and Shell providing steady momentum thanks to operational efficiency and robust production. However, Chevron has been lagging recently, weighed down by cash flow concerns. Nutrien and Archer Daniels Midland are also struggling to gain traction, dampened by technical challenges and weaker revenue growth. On the brighter side, Vale’s rising performance and Cameco’s strong year-to-date gains add a spark to the fund’s global mix. Overall, TURF’s positioning reflects a concentrated bet on natural resources, with mixed results across its holdings.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Corteva5.48%$768.27K$45.04B7.08%
75
Outperform
Shell (UK)4.98%$698.49K£157.68B9.95%
74
Outperform
Exxon Mobil4.29%$601.62K$484.00B-2.70%
75
Outperform
Nutrien4.08%$572.95KC$39.00B23.02%
71
Outperform
Chevron3.75%$525.53K$301.04B-7.67%
74
Outperform
Agnico Eagle3.40%$477.02K$86.91B104.95%
80
Outperform
BHP Group Ltd3.17%$444.38KAU$211.94B-7.92%
68
Neutral
Archer Daniels Midland2.59%$363.72K$29.10B10.90%
63
Neutral
Vale SA2.58%$361.81K$53.05B26.88%
79
Outperform
Cameco2.34%$328.86KC$54.30B49.39%
72
Outperform

TURF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
27.50
Positive
100DMA
26.75
Positive
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
59.98
Neutral
STOCH
70.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TURF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.52, equal to the 50-day MA of 27.50, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TURF.

TURF Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$14.03M0.44%
$97.11M0.99%
$84.48M0.75%
$70.99M0.90%
$58.73M0.75%
$33.53M0.45%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TURF
T. Rowe Price Natural Resource ETF
28.14
2.70
10.61%
AGIX
KraneShares Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF
AIFD
TCW Artificial Intelligence ETF
HECO
SPDR Galaxy Hedged Digital Asset Ecosystem ETF
YNOT
Horizon Digital Frontier ETF
NRES
Xtrackers RREEF Global Natural Resources ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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