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Corteva (CTVA)
NYSE:CTVA

Corteva (CTVA) AI Stock Analysis

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Corteva

(NYSE:CTVA)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$86.00
▲(11.69%Upside)
Corteva's overall stock score of 73 reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings outlook. The company's cash flow and balance sheet are solid, and it has effective operational strategies. However, overvaluation concerns and technical indicators suggest potential short-term volatility.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
CTVA reported a solid 1Q earnings beat on margin expansion across both segments.
Product Offering
Strategic agreement with FMC for Fluidapyr fungicide enhances CTVA's product offering.
Sector Tailwinds
CTVA is best-positioned to benefit from ag sector tailwinds.
Strategic Partnerships
The collaboration with FMC is an incremental positive for growth.
Negative Factors
Interest Rate Sensitivity
Corteva's multiple expansion can continue, as it is less sensitive to interest rates compared to construction and auto sectors.
Tariff Concerns
CTVA noted its guidance does not reflect any tariff effects, and does not expect a material net impact to full year 2025 results.

Corteva (CTVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Corteva Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCorteva, Inc. operates in the agriculture business. It operates through two segments, Seed and Crop Protection. The Seed segment develops and supplies advanced germplasm and traits that produce optimum yield for farms. It offers trait technologies that enhance resistance to weather, disease, insects, and herbicides used to control weeds, as well as food and nutritional characteristics. This segment also provides digital solutions that assist farmer decision-making with a view to optimize product selection, and maximize yield and profitability. The Crop Protection segment offers products that protect against weeds, insects and other pests, and diseases, as well as enhances crop health above and below ground through nitrogen management and seed-applied technologies. This segment provides herbicides, insecticides, nitrogen stabilizers, and pasture and range management herbicides. It serves agricultural input industry. The company operates in the United States, Canada, Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Corteva, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyCorteva generates revenue primarily through the sale of its seed and crop protection products. The Seed segment focuses on producing and selling a variety of seeds, including corn, soybean, and sunflower, which are engineered to improve yield and resist pests and diseases. The Crop Protection segment offers a range of products such as herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides, which help protect crops from weeds, insects, and disease. Additionally, Corteva leverages digital agriculture technologies that provide data-driven insights to optimize farming practices. The company benefits from strategic partnerships and a strong distribution network, allowing it to effectively reach global markets and support its earnings growth.

Corteva Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Seed Sales by Segment
Seed Sales by Segment
Tracks revenue from seed sales across various segments, indicating market demand and competitive positioning in the agriculture sector.
Chart InsightsCorteva's seed sales show robust growth in corn and soybean segments, with corn sales peaking in Q2 2024. The company anticipates a 5% increase in U.S. corn planting, aligning with their strategic focus on new seed products. Despite tariff and currency challenges, Corteva's operational excellence and cost management have led to significant margin expansion. The introduction of 500 new seed products is expected to sustain growth, while high single-digit volume gains in crop protection will mitigate pricing pressures. The overall outlook remains positive, driven by strong demand and strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Corteva Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 23.54%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Corteva delivered a strong first quarter performance with significant EBITDA growth and margin expansion, driven by operational excellence and strategic product launches. However, challenges such as currency headwinds, tariff impacts, and pricing pressure in crop protection remain. The overall outlook is positive, with strong growth expected in the seed business and corn planting.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
Corteva reported a 15% increase in Q1 EBITDA and nearly 400 basis points of margin expansion, driven by strong cost execution in Biologicals, CP new products, and seed out-licensing.
Positive Outlook for Seed Business
Organic sales in the seed business were up 2% in Q1, with a strong demand for new products. The company plans to introduce approximately 500 new products, including 300 new seed hybrids and varieties.
Growth in Corn Planting and Ethanol Production
Farmers in the US are projected to increase corn planting by about 5%. Brazil's corn ethanol industry is expected to see significant growth, with corn accounting for nearly a third of the country's total ethanol production by 2026.
Operational Excellence and Cost Improvement
Corteva is tracking well against the $400 million net cost target and expects to generate $65 million in benefits this year from transitioning to a net out-licenser technology.
Resilience in Crop Protection
Organic sales for crop protection were up 3%, with double-digit volume growth for new products and Biologicals. The company expects high single-digit volume gains to offset low single-digit pricing headwinds.
Negative Updates
Currency Headwinds
The company faced a significant currency headwind of 5% of sales in Q1, with a total expected impact of $275 million for the year.
Tariff Challenges
Tariffs are expected to have a direct cost impact of about $50 million in 2025, mainly affecting the crop protection segment.
Pressure on Crop Protection Pricing
Crop protection pricing is expected to be down low single digits for the year due to competitive market dynamics, though volume growth is expected to compensate.
Company Guidance
In the call discussing Corteva Agriscience's first quarter 2025 earnings, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance due to strong performance metrics. They reported a 15% year-over-year increase in Q1 EBITDA, with nearly 400 basis points of margin expansion driven by effective cost execution across three growth platforms: Biologicals, CP new products, and seed out-licensing. Both business segments achieved double-digit EBITDA growth, primarily due to operational excellence, and they are on track to meet their $400 million net cost improvement target. Corteva anticipates a 5% increase in corn planting in the U.S., while Enlist beans are expected to be planted on over 65% of U.S. soybean acres. Globally, Corteva projects high single-digit volume gains in crop protection, which will offset low single-digit pricing headwinds. Additionally, the company is managing potential $50 million tariff impacts, but these are not expected to affect the full-year guidance.

Corteva Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Corteva exhibits a solid financial position with strong cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet. While profitability margins show room for improvement, the company's low leverage and healthy equity ratio provide a stable foundation. The consistent cash flow performance supports future growth and strategic initiatives.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Corteva shows a solid performance with a stable revenue base in the TTM period. The gross profit margin stands at 44.6%, indicating efficient cost management, while the net profit margin is 6.8%, reflecting reasonable profitability. However, there is a slight decline in revenue from the previous year. The EBIT margin of 13.4% and EBITDA margin of 17.9% demonstrate healthy operational efficiency, although there's room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity (ROE) is 4.7%, showing moderate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is a strong 57.7%, reflecting a solid capital structure. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Corteva's cash flow is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 35.8% in the TTM period, highlighting effective cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.32, showcasing excellent cash conversion capability. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.84 further underscores the company's ability to generate free cash relative to its net income. This positions the company well for potential reinvestment or debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.83B16.91B17.23B17.45B15.65B14.22B
Gross Profit7.51B7.38B7.31B7.02B6.43B5.71B
EBITDA3.02B2.73B2.54B2.73B3.62B1.90B
Net Income1.14B907.00M735.00M1.15B1.76B681.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.12B40.83B43.00B42.62B42.34B42.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.01B3.17B2.74B3.31B4.54B3.79B
Total Debt4.08B2.70B2.49B1.31B1.12B1.11B
Total Liabilities17.60B16.80B17.72B17.08B16.72B17.59B
Stockholders Equity24.29B23.79B25.04B25.30B25.38B24.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.10B1.55B1.17B267.00M2.15B1.59B
Operating Cash Flow2.65B2.15B1.77B872.00M2.73B2.06B
Investing Cash Flow-353.00M-589.00M-1.99B-632.00M-362.00M-674.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.97B-1.20B-99.00M-1.18B-1.27B303.00M

Corteva Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price77.00
Price Trends
50DMA
69.29
Positive
100DMA
65.11
Positive
200DMA
62.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.88
Negative
RSI
79.92
Negative
STOCH
95.96
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.65, above the 50-day MA of 69.29, and above the 200-day MA of 62.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.92 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTVA.

Corteva Risk Analysis

Corteva disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Corteva reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Corteva Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CFCF
75
Outperform
$15.20B12.3826.14%2.13%0.66%25.75%
73
Outperform
$52.53B46.954.66%0.88%>-0.01%108.45%
ICICL
70
Neutral
$9.31B23.916.70%2.39%-3.48%-18.34%
FMFMC
69
Neutral
$5.52B16.988.81%5.22%1.45%-70.85%
MOMOS
69
Neutral
$11.99B32.633.09%2.33%-13.37%-50.63%
SMSMG
57
Neutral
$3.98B137.724.98%3.83%0.75%
44
Neutral
C$976.20M-6.71-13.35%2.69%17.20%-32.62%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTVA
Corteva
77.12
25.24
48.65%
CF
Cf Industries Holdings
94.65
26.18
38.24%
FMC
FMC
44.23
-8.29
-15.78%
MOS
Mosaic Co
37.27
10.91
41.39%
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
68.54
8.26
13.70%
ICL
Icl
7.31
3.16
76.14%

Corteva Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Corteva Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Corteva, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 89.05% of the company’s outstanding shares were voted. During the meeting, stockholders elected 12 directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025