Tyson Foods (TSN)
NYSE:TSN
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Tyson Foods
(NYSE:TSN)
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Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$68.00
▲(3.60% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/03/26
TSN scores as moderate: financial performance is stable but still recovering with thin profitability, while technicals are supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages. The key offsets are a high P/E valuation and an earnings outlook that is positive outside of a materially loss-making beef segment guided for 2026.
Positive Factors
Branded strength & volume gains
Tyson’s branded retail and foodservice momentum reflects structural market share gains and stronger consumer preference for its products. Durable branded volume growth supports pricing power, steadier demand across channels, and margin resiliency versus commoditized products over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Structural beef weakness & footprint cuts
A multihundred-million-dollar beef loss and announced plant reductions indicate persistent structural headwinds: tight cattle supply, elevated cattle costs, and regional frictions. This will likely depress consolidated margins, require ongoing restructuring expense, and divert management attention and capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Branded strength & volume gains
Tyson’s branded retail and foodservice momentum reflects structural market share gains and stronger consumer preference for its products. Durable branded volume growth supports pricing power, steadier demand across channels, and margin resiliency versus commoditized products over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Tyson Foods (TSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$22.65B
Dividend Yield3.48%
Average Volume (3M)2.83M
Price to Earnings (P/E)59.4
Beta (1Y)0.17
Revenue Growth2.12%
EPS Growth-40.75%
CountryUS
Employees138,000
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryAgricultural Farm Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.97
Shares Outstanding282,069,950
10 Day Avg. Volume2,029,268
30 Day Avg. Volume2,831,903
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.97
Price to Book (P/B)1.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.35
P/FCF Ratio16.02
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.33
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.54
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit9.14
Enterprise Value/Ebitda13.41
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$71.17Price Target Upside8.42% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)3.89
Revenue Forecast (FY)$56.49B
Tyson Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tyson Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods. The company processes live fed cattle and live market hogs; fabricates dressed bee...
How the Company Makes Money
Tyson Foods makes money primarily by processing and selling protein and prepared food products through multiple operating segments. In its Beef segment, it generates revenue by procuring live cattle, processing them into boxed beef and related pro...
Tyson Foods Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Highlights the financial contribution of each business segment, offering insight into which areas drive growth and profitability for Tyson Foods.
Highlights the financial contribution of each business segment, offering insight into which areas drive growth and profitability for Tyson Foods.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyTyson Foods Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 02, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial picture outside of the beef segment. Key strengths include 6.2% consolidated sales growth to $14.3B, strong prepared foods and chicken performance, meaningful pork margin expansion, improved free cash flow and leverage, and sustained branded retail and foodservice share gains. Offsetting these positives are material beef headwinds — higher cattle costs, regional supply frictions, plant footprint reductions, and a 2026 beef segment loss outlook — along with a 12% drop in segment operating income and a 15% decline in adjusted EPS in Q1. On balance, the operational momentum and financial improvements across multiple segments and balance-sheet metrics materially outweigh the concentrated beef challenges.Positive Updates
Total Company Sales Growth
Total company sales grew 6.2% year-over-year to $14.3 billion in Q1, demonstrating demand resilience across the portfolio.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Segment Operating Income and EPS
First quarter segment operating income was $811 million, down 12% year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.97, down 15% versus prior year, impacted by higher tax rate and segment performance mix.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Total Company Sales Growth
Total company sales grew 6.2% year-over-year to $14.3 billion in Q1, demonstrating demand resilience across the portfolio.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Tyson guided fiscal 2026 (on a 52‑week comparable) to total company sales up 2%–4% and total adjusted operating income of $2.1–$2.3 billion; by segment they expect prepared foods segment operating income of $1.25–$1.35 billion, chicken $1.65–$1.90 billion, pork $250–$300 million, international $150–$200 million, and beef to be a loss of $500–$250 million (excludes facility-closure costs); corporate expenses and amortization are forecast at $950–$975 million, interest expense about $370 million, an effective tax rate of ~25%, CapEx $700 million–$1.0 billion, and free cash flow of $1.1–$1.7 billion (improved largely from working capital); Q1 highlights noted on the call included sales of $14.3 billion (+6.2% YoY), Q1 segment operating income $811 million (‑12% YoY), adjusted EPS $0.97 (‑15%), operating cash flow $942 million, Q1 CapEx $252 million, Q1 free cash flow just under $700 million, dividends $177 million, share repurchases $47 million (returned $224 million to shareholders), liquidity of $4.5 billion, net leverage of 2.0x and gross debt reduced by $1.4 billion year‑over‑year.Tyson Foods Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 55.13B | 54.44B | 53.31B | 52.88B | 53.28B | 47.05B |
| Gross Profit | 3.29B | 3.56B | 3.63B | 2.63B | 6.67B | 6.53B |
| EBITDA | 2.24B | 2.58B | 2.97B | 1.02B | 5.72B | 5.68B |
| Net Income | 200.00M | 474.00M | 800.00M | -648.00M | 3.24B | 3.05B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 36.02B | 36.66B | 37.10B | 36.25B | 36.82B | 36.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.28B | 1.23B | 1.72B | 573.00M | 1.03B | 2.51B |
| Total Debt | 8.36B | 8.83B | 9.79B | 9.51B | 8.32B | 9.35B |
| Total Liabilities | 17.86B | 18.43B | 18.59B | 18.00B | 17.01B | 18.45B |
| Stockholders Equity | 18.02B | 18.09B | 18.39B | 18.13B | 19.70B | 17.72B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.11B | 1.18B | 1.46B | -187.00M | 800.00M | 2.63B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.07B | 2.15B | 2.59B | 1.75B | 2.69B | 3.84B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -615.00M | -665.00M | -888.00M | -2.30B | -1.94B | 58.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.50B | -1.98B | -581.00M | 88.00M | -2.32B | -2.73B |
Tyson Foods Technical Analysis
Positive
65.64
Price Trends
63.00
Positive
60.30
Positive
56.79
Positive
Market Momentum
0.91
Negative
64.82
Neutral
95.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.64, above the 50-day MA of 63.00, and above the 200-day MA of 56.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSN.
Tyson Foods Risk Analysis
Tyson Foods disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tyson Foods reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Tyson Foods Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $3.59B | 20.41 | 26.11% | 10.53% | 65.80% | 197.95% | |
75 Outperform | $11.50B | 8.98 | 15.31% | 4.44% | ― | ― | |
72 Outperform | $1.99B | 18.92 | 4.53% | 3.34% | 1.11% | 414.23% | |
66 Neutral | $33.60B | 25.81 | 4.80% | 3.55% | -4.31% | -29.96% | |
65 Neutral | $23.98B | 18.12 | 5.98% | 3.14% | 10.29% | 17.32% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
61 Neutral | $22.65B | 59.42 | 1.10% | 3.48% | 2.12% | -40.75% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
TSN
Tyson Foods
65.64
6.17
10.38%
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
69.73
24.88
55.48%
BG
Bunge Global
123.92
49.16
65.75%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
75.83
-15.03
-16.55%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
41.94
11.46
37.62%
SFD
Smithfield Foods
29.22
10.17
53.36%
Tyson Foods Corporate Events
Executive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Announces New Chief Accounting Officer Appointment
Positive
Apr 2, 2026
On April 2, 2026, Tyson Foods announced that Phillip Thomas will be appointed Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer, effective April 6, 2026, succeeding Lori Bondar, who will step down from the Chief Accounting Officer role but r...
Private Placements and Financing
Tyson Foods Issues New 2036 Senior Unsecured Notes
Neutral
Feb 20, 2026
On February 20, 2026, Tyson Foods, Inc. completed a public offering of $500 million in 4.950% senior notes due February 20, 2036, issued as general senior unsecured obligations ranking equally with its other senior unsecured debt. The notes pay in...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tyson Foods Announces New Senior Notes Debt Offering
Positive
Feb 11, 2026
On February 10, 2026, Tyson Foods agreed to sell $500 million of 4.950% senior notes due 2036 in an underwritten public offering under its shelf registration. The offering, led by a syndicate of major investment banks, is expected to close on Febr...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tyson Foods Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Incentive Plan
Positive
Feb 9, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting, Tyson Foods shareholders elected 15 directors, including members of the Tyson family and senior executives, to serve until the next annual meeting, reflecting continuity in the company’s leadership and governance....
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tyson Foods Updates Segment Reporting and Performance Metrics
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026
On February 2, 2026, Tyson Foods announced that beginning with the first quarter of fiscal 2026 it has overhauled its internal and external segment reporting by stopping the allocation of corporate expenses and amortization to operating segments a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.