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Tyson Foods (TSN)
NYSE:TSN
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Tyson Foods (TSN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSN

Tyson Foods

(NYSE:TSN)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$62.00
▲(8.83% Upside)
Tyson Foods' strong financial performance and strategic initiatives are offset by valuation concerns and technical indicators suggesting caution. The company's robust earnings call and corporate events provide a positive outlook, but challenges in certain segments and economic uncertainties temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Tyson Foods' earnings per share exceeded consensus expectations due to stronger profits in Pork, International, and non-operating Other Income.
Market Dynamics
Improving spot margins and supply/demand dynamics suggest potential for Tyson Foods to exceed the high end of its outlook for the Chicken segment.
Operational Strategy
TSN announced plans to sell multiple cold storage warehouses to reduce network complexity and streamline inventory flow, expecting the initiative to generate ~$200mm of annual savings.
Negative Factors
Beef Segment Challenges
TSN took a $343mm impairment on its Beef business as a result of elongated cycle recovery.
Cost Pressures
Input costs have been on the rise, and there are also planned investments, which could impact profitability.
Profitability Concerns
TSN’s messaging on profit in 2H seemed to suggest weaker results for all five reporting segments in 2H25 than in 1H25.

Tyson Foods (TSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tyson Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTyson Foods, Inc. is one of the world's largest food companies and a recognized leader in protein production. Headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas, the company operates in several sectors including beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods. Tyson's core products include fresh and frozen meats, deli meats, and a variety of fully cooked and ready-to-eat meals, catering to both retail and foodservice customers. The company is committed to sustainability and innovation, continually expanding its product offerings to meet changing consumer preferences.
How the Company Makes MoneyTyson Foods generates revenue primarily through the sale of its protein-based products across various segments. The company operates in three main segments: Beef, Pork, and Chicken, each contributing significantly to its earnings. Tyson sells fresh, frozen, and prepared meats to grocery stores, restaurants, and foodservice operators. In addition to its core meat products, Tyson also has a growing portfolio of prepared foods, which includes items such as frozen meals and snacks. The company's revenue model relies heavily on volume sales, pricing strategies, and operational efficiencies. Key partnerships with retailers and foodservice distributors enhance Tyson's market reach and sales capabilities. Factors contributing to its earnings include supply chain management, cost control, and the ability to adapt to market trends such as the increasing demand for plant-based and sustainable protein options.

Tyson Foods Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Channel
Revenue by Channel
Shows how revenue is distributed across different sales channels, revealing the company's market reach and effectiveness in various distribution strategies.
Chart InsightsTyson Foods is experiencing robust growth in its Retail and Foodservice channels, with both segments showing a steady upward trajectory. Retail, in particular, is gaining momentum, likely driven by increased consumer demand and strategic market positioning. However, the International segment is facing challenges, with a noticeable decline in recent quarters, possibly due to geopolitical tensions or currency fluctuations. The Industrial and Other segment shows volatility, indicating potential market shifts or operational adjustments. Investors should monitor these dynamics as they could impact overall revenue stability and growth prospects.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Tyson Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive overall performance, with Tyson Foods achieving consistent year-over-year growth across key metrics and segments, particularly in Chicken and Prepared Foods. However, challenges remain in the Beef segment and macroeconomic uncertainties, including legal contingencies and potential tariff impacts, which could affect future performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Year-Over-Year Growth
Tyson Foods marked its fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth across sales, adjusted operating income, and adjusted earnings per share. Second quarter adjusted operating income increased by more than $100 million, or 27% compared to last year, with a 70 basis point margin expansion.
Strong Performance in Chicken Segment
The Chicken segment delivered its best second quarter adjusted operating income in nine years, with income nearly doubling compared to the same quarter last year, driven by strong operational execution and lower grain costs.
Prepared Foods Segment Profitability
Prepared Foods delivered double-digit margins, expanding by 50 basis points versus the prior year. Operational improvements led to line and labor efficiencies increasing by 250 and 280 basis points respectively.
Innovation and Brand Recognition
The Jimmy Dean chicken biscuits won the 2024 Circada Pacesetter Award for new product of the year, and new innovations like the chicken, egg, and cheese biscuit were launched. Tyson's brands continue to resonate with consumers, driving long-term value.
Negative Updates
Legal Contingency Accrual Impacting Sales
Sales were reduced by $343 million, or 2.6%, due to a legal contingency accrual primarily reflected in the Pork segment.
Challenges in Beef Segment
The Beef segment experienced a decline in adjusted operating income due to spread compression and higher year-over-year cattle costs.
Uncertain Macro Environment
The macro environment remains dynamic, affecting each of Tyson's businesses to varying degrees, with potential impacts from tariffs and consumer pressure.
Company Guidance
During Tyson Foods' second quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company reported its fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth in sales, adjusted operating income, and adjusted earnings per share. Notably, the second quarter's adjusted operating income improved by over $100 million, or 27% compared to the previous year, with a margin expansion of 70 basis points. The Chicken segment achieved its best second quarter adjusted operating income in nine years, with a 95% increase driven by operational improvements and lower grain costs. Prepared Foods delivered double-digit margins with a 50 basis point expansion, while the Pork segment marked its best second quarter adjusted operating income in three years. Tyson also highlighted a 48% increase in adjusted earnings per share, reflecting enhanced operational performance and strategic execution, and maintained a healthy balance sheet with a net leverage ratio improvement. The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 guidance with expected sales growth between flat to up 1% and adjusted operating income between $1.9 billion and $2.3 billion. Tyson's strategic initiatives include optimizing their logistics network for long-term savings and continuing to focus on operational excellence, consumer demand for protein, and growth in Prepared Foods through innovation and distribution strategies.

Tyson Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tyson Foods shows solid revenue growth and improved profitability metrics, with stable financial management and robust cash flows. However, profit margins remain relatively low, indicating room for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Tyson Foods has demonstrated a solid revenue growth trajectory with a 1.27% increase in revenue from 2024 to 2025 TTM, indicating strong demand for its products. The Gross Profit Margin remained stable at around 6.8%, while the Net Profit Margin improved to 1.7%, reflecting better cost management and efficiency compared to previous years. EBIT Margin rose to 2.9%, and EBITDA Margin was robust at 5.1%, showing improved operational performance. However, the profit margins are relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of approximately 0.49, indicative of balanced leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) has increased to 4.97% in the TTM period, signaling improved profitability for shareholders. The Equity Ratio stands at 50.7%, showing a healthy degree of asset financing through equity. While the balance sheet is solid, the moderate leverage and fluctuating equity levels could pose risks during adverse market conditions.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Tyson Foods achieved a positive Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of -11.95% from 2024 to 2025 TTM, highlighting efficient capital expenditure management. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.47, indicating strong cash flow generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.40, suggesting effective conversion of earnings into cash. Despite a slight decrease in free cash flow, cash flow metrics reflect a sound cash generation capability, though reliance on cash flow management remains crucial.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue40.58B53.31B52.88B53.28B47.05B43.19B
Gross Profit2.84B3.63B2.63B6.67B6.53B5.38B
EBITDA2.07B2.97B1.02B5.72B5.68B4.34B
Net Income427.00M800.00M-648.00M3.24B3.05B2.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.46B37.10B36.25B36.82B36.31B34.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.55B1.72B573.00M1.03B2.51B1.42B
Total Debt9.06B9.79B9.51B8.32B9.35B11.34B
Total Liabilities18.00B18.59B18.00B17.01B18.45B19.07B
Stockholders Equity18.34B18.39B18.13B19.70B17.72B15.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow929.00M1.46B-187.00M800.00M2.63B2.67B
Operating Cash Flow1.62B2.59B1.75B2.69B3.84B3.87B
Investing Cash Flow-405.00M-888.00M-2.30B-1.94B58.00M-1.42B
Financing Cash Flow-1.38B-581.00M88.00M-2.32B-2.73B-1.47B

Tyson Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price56.97
Price Trends
50DMA
55.09
Positive
100DMA
56.45
Positive
200DMA
57.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Negative
RSI
58.50
Neutral
STOCH
50.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 56.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.35, above the 50-day MA of 55.09, and below the 200-day MA of 57.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSN.

Tyson Foods Risk Analysis

Tyson Foods disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tyson Foods reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tyson Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$5.34B4.4155.96%7.28%83.19%339.22%
77
Outperform
$28.81B26.394.93%3.34%-6.70%-54.38%
77
Outperform
$15.98B7.9813.20%3.35%-8.87%13.21%
76
Outperform
$1.76B11.727.49%3.19%1.41%
71
Outperform
$9.89B
2.93%
69
Neutral
$19.78B25.204.31%3.52%1.99%
63
Neutral
$20.95B14.50-4.08%3.12%2.72%-11.24%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSN
Tyson Foods
56.97
-4.45
-7.25%
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
61.12
2.95
5.07%
BG
Bunge Global
83.40
-11.89
-12.48%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
113.25
47.54
72.35%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
35.80
8.34
30.37%
SFD
Smithfield Foods
25.71
5.90
29.78%

Tyson Foods Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesStock Buyback
Tyson Foods Appoints New Independent Director to Board
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Tyson Foods announced the appointment of Sarah Bond, a Microsoft executive, as a new independent director on its board, increasing the number of directors to 16. Bond’s extensive experience in consumer technology and leadership roles at Microsoft, T-Mobile, and McKinsey & Company is expected to contribute to Tyson’s long-term growth strategy. Additionally, the board approved an increase of 43 million shares authorized for repurchase, reflecting confidence in the company’s financial position and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025