Tyson Foods (TSN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $21.88B
• Dividend Yield: 3.48%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.80M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 110.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.18
• Revenue Growth: 2.12%
• EPS Growth: -40.75%
• Country: US
• Employees: 138,000
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): 0.97
• Shares Outstanding: 282,069,950
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,377,405
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,804,952
• PEG Ratio: -0.97
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.35
• P/FCF Ratio: 16.02
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.38
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.55
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.20
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 13.50
• 1Y Price Target: $69.33
• Price Target Upside: 8.99% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6
• EPS Forecast (FY): 3.93
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $56.45B

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: $70.00 ▲(10.05% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/12/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/12/26

The score is driven mainly by middling financial fundamentals (thin margins vs. prior-cycle levels despite manageable leverage and positive cash flow). Technicals are supportive with clear upward momentum, and the earnings call was net positive on guidance and cash flow despite a significant beef-loss outlook. Valuation is a key restraint due to the very high P/E, only partly offset by the dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Branded portfolio and share gains

Tyson's diversified branded portfolio and measurable retail/foodservice share gains indicate durable consumer preference and channel balance. Sustained branded strength supports pricing power, steadier volumes across cycles and reduces reliance on commodity spot margins, benefiting medium-term revenue stability.

Improving cash flow and leverage

Material cash-flow and balance-sheet improvement provides durable financial flexibility: stronger operating cash flow, meaningful liquidity and a reduced net leverage position enable sustainable capex funding, manageable interest burden, and optionality for strategic investments or disciplined capital returns over the next several quarters.

Operational efficiency and margin recovery

Network optimization and plant/distribution efficiencies are translating into structural margin improvement in pork and prepared foods. Persistent execution on yields, mix and pass-through pricing can sustain higher segment profitability, diversifying earnings and cushioning against volatility in commodity-driven segments.

Negative Factors

Beef business structural headwinds

Tyson's beef segment faces a sustained earnings drag from tight cattle supplies, elevated input costs and packer dynamics. Factory closures and footprint downsizing are structural responses that reduce capacity but indicate multi-quarter profitability pressure, increasing consolidated earnings volatility and resource reallocation needs.

Compressed profitability and weak returns

Flat top-line growth and materially reduced margins versus prior peaks have driven ROE into low single digits, signaling weaker core earnings power. Sustained below-cycle margins constrain reinvestment capacity and shareholder returns unless structural margin recovery or higher organic growth is achieved.

Soft cash conversion and FCF growth

Although recent absolute FCF is positive, recent negative FCF growth and softer cash conversion versus reported earnings limit long-term flexibility. Persistent weak conversion reduces headroom for faster deleveraging, sustained buybacks, or buffering margin shocks from commodity cycles and operational disruptions.

Tyson Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tyson Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods. The company processes live fed cattle and live market hogs; fabricates dressed beef and pork carcasses into primal and sub-primal meat cuts, as well as case ready beef and pork, and fully cooked meats; raises and processes chickens into fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products; and supplies poultry breeding stock; sells specialty products, such as hides and meats. It also manufactures and markets frozen and refrigerated food products, including ready-to-eat sandwiches, flame-grilled hamburgers, Philly steaks, pepperoni, bacon, breakfast sausage, turkey, lunchmeat, hot dogs, flour and corn tortilla products, appetizers, snacks, prepared meals, ethnic foods, side dishes, meat dishes, breadsticks, and processed meats under the Jimmy Dean, Hillshire Farm, Ball Park, Wright, State Fair, Aidells, and Gallo Salame brands. The company also offers its products under Tyson and ibp brands. It sells its products through its sales staff to grocery retailers, grocery wholesalers, meat distributors, warehouse club stores, military commissaries, industrial food processing companies, chain restaurants or their distributors, live markets, international export companies, and domestic distributors who serve restaurants and food service operations, such as plant and school cafeterias, convenience stores, hospitals, and other vendors, as well as through independent brokers and trading companies. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas.

How the Company Makes Money

Tyson Foods generates revenue through the sale of its meat products across various segments. The Chicken segment includes fresh, frozen, and processed chicken products, while the Beef and Pork segments provide similar offerings in their respective categories. Prepared Foods encompasses fully cooked protein items, deli meats, and other processed foods. The company's revenue model relies heavily on direct sales to grocery retailers, foodservice distributors, and restaurants. Additionally, Tyson Foods benefits from partnerships with major retail chains and foodservice operators, which help to expand its market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include economies of scale, operational efficiencies, and a focus on value-added products that cater to evolving consumer trends, such as health and sustainability. Market dynamics, including meat pricing and demand fluctuations, also play a significant role in the company's profitability.

Tyson Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials appear stable but not strong: revenue has been largely flat and profitability is still thin versus the 2021–2022 peak. Leverage is manageable and equity stable, with a return to positive earnings/cash generation, but ROE has fallen to low single digits and recent cash conversion/FCF growth is soft.

Income Statement

TSN’s revenue has been largely flat in recent years (low-single-digit growth in the annual periods), and profitability has compressed materially versus the 2021–2022 peak. Results improved from the 2023 loss year, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) profitability remains thin (low gross and net margins), signaling continued pressure from costs/pricing dynamics and a weaker earnings base than prior-cycle levels.

Balance Sheet

Leverage looks manageable with debt at roughly half of equity across periods, and equity has remained relatively stable. However, returns on equity have fallen sharply from the strong 2021–2022 levels to low single digits in the most recent periods, indicating that while the capital structure is not overly stretched, the balance sheet is currently generating modest shareholder returns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive in the most recent annual period and in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), a constructive sign after the 2023 free-cash-flow shortfall. That said, free cash flow growth is negative recently, and cash generation relative to accounting earnings is not particularly strong in the latest periods, suggesting softer cash conversion and less room for shareholder returns or faster deleveraging if conditions remain pressured.

Breakdown	TTM	Sep 2025	Sep 2024	Sep 2023	Sep 2022	Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	55.13B	54.44B	53.31B	52.88B	53.28B	47.05B
Gross Profit	3.29B	3.56B	3.63B	2.63B	6.67B	6.53B
EBITDA	2.24B	2.58B	2.97B	1.02B	5.72B	5.68B
Net Income	200.00M	474.00M	800.00M	-648.00M	3.24B	3.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	36.02B	36.66B	37.10B	36.25B	36.82B	36.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.28B	1.23B	1.72B	573.00M	1.03B	2.51B
Total Debt	8.36B	8.83B	9.79B	9.51B	8.32B	9.35B
Total Liabilities	17.86B	18.43B	18.59B	18.00B	17.01B	18.45B
Stockholders Equity	18.02B	18.09B	18.39B	18.13B	19.70B	17.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.11B	1.18B	1.46B	-187.00M	800.00M	2.63B
Operating Cash Flow	2.07B	2.15B	2.59B	1.75B	2.69B	3.84B
Investing Cash Flow	-615.00M	-665.00M	-888.00M	-2.30B	-1.94B	58.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-2.50B	-1.98B	-581.00M	88.00M	-2.32B	-2.73B

Tyson Foods Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 63.61
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.31, above the 50-day MA of 61.39, and above the 200-day MA of 55.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSN.

Tyson Foods Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SFD	77 Outperform	$9.98B	11.52	14.44%	4.44%	―	―
CALM	73 Outperform	$4.04B	3.59	48.69%	10.53%	65.80%	197.95%
FDP	70 Outperform	$2.01B	22.56	4.53%	3.34%	1.11%	414.23%
ADM	64 Neutral	$32.73B	30.54	4.80%	3.55%	-4.31%	-29.96%
BG	64 Neutral	$23.71B	24.90	6.34%	3.14%	10.29%	17.32%
TSN	63 Neutral	$21.88B	110.91	1.10%	3.48%	2.12%	-40.75%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%

Tyson Foods Corporate Events

Tyson Foods Announces New Senior Notes Debt Offering

On February 10, 2026, Tyson Foods agreed to sell $500 million of 4.950% senior notes due 2036 in an underwritten public offering under its shelf registration. The offering, led by a syndicate of major investment banks, is expected to close on February 20, 2026, subject to customary conditions.

Tyson plans to use the net proceeds for general corporate purposes, with a focus on paying down existing debt, including the planned retirement of its 4.00% notes due March 2026. The transaction is set to extend the company’s debt maturity profile and support balance sheet management as it navigates its 2026 financial and operational priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSN) stock is a Hold with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tyson Foods stock, see the TSN Stock Forecast page.

Tyson Foods Shareholders Back Board, Pay and Incentive Plan

At its 2026 Annual Meeting, Tyson Foods shareholders elected 15 directors, including members of the Tyson family and senior executives, to serve until the next annual meeting, reflecting continuity in the company’s leadership and governance. Shareholders also ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as independent auditor for the fiscal year ending Oct. 3, 2026, reinforcing existing oversight of the company’s financial reporting.

Investors approved an amendment and restatement of the 2000 Stock Incentive Plan and supported, on an advisory basis, the compensation of named executive officers, signaling broad backing for current executive pay and incentive structures. Three shareholder proposals seeking enhanced class-based vote disclosure, a report on environmental and human health impacts from waste lagoons, and a report on the impact of U.S. immigration changes on Tyson’s finances and operations all failed, underscoring management’s prevailing influence and limiting immediate shifts in disclosure or ESG-related reporting priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSN) stock is a Hold with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tyson Foods stock, see the TSN Stock Forecast page.

Tyson Foods Updates Segment Reporting and Performance Metrics

On February 2, 2026, Tyson Foods announced that beginning with the first quarter of fiscal 2026 it has overhauled its internal and external segment reporting by stopping the allocation of corporate expenses and amortization to operating segments and instead reporting these items separately, while also designating International as a distinct reportable segment. The company’s Chief Executive Officer, acting as chief operating decision maker, will now evaluate segment performance using a redefined segment operating income metric that excludes corporate expenses and amortization, and Tyson has retroactively recast segment operating income (loss) for all fiscal quarters and years in 2023, 2024 and 2025 to align with this presentation, a move that primarily affects how profitability and resource allocation are viewed across businesses rather than underlying economics, but will change how investors analyze segment trends and margins going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSN) stock is a Buy with a $73.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tyson Foods stock, see the TSN Stock Forecast page.

Tyson Foods Secures New $750 Million Loan Agreement

On December 12, 2025, Tyson Foods, Inc. entered into a new Loan Agreement with CoBank, replacing its previous Term Loan Agreement from May 2023. The new agreement provides a $750 million senior unsecured revolving credit facility, allowing Tyson Foods to manage its financial commitments more flexibly. This move is expected to enhance the company’s financial stability and operational flexibility, as it repaid all outstanding borrowings under the previous agreement and terminated its commitments. The Loan Agreement includes covenants similar to the previous one, ensuring the company maintains a minimum interest expense coverage ratio and other financial safeguards.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSN) stock is a Hold with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tyson Foods stock, see the TSN Stock Forecast page.

Tyson Foods Restructures Beef Business Network

On November 21, 2025, Tyson Foods announced significant changes to its beef business network to enhance long-term success. The company will cease operations at its Lexington, Nebraska facility and adjust its Amarillo, Texas facility to a single, full-capacity shift, while increasing production at other locations to meet customer demand. Tyson Foods is committed to supporting affected employees through this transition, ensuring continued delivery of high-quality protein products.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSN) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tyson Foods stock, see the TSN Stock Forecast page.