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Tyson Foods
(NYSE:TSN)
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Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$61.00
â–¼(-5.89% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/08/26
The score is driven mainly by a middling financial profile—improving balance sheet and positive free cash flow, but still very thin margins—and a weak technical backdrop with bearish trend signals. These are partly offset by a positive earnings update with raised FY2026 profit guidance and supportive shareholder yield, though the high P/E and expected Beef losses temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained positive free cash flow and improved FCF guidance provide durable financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this supports capex funding, continued debt paydown, and shareholder returns without requiring deeper cuts to operations, reducing refinancing and liquidity risk in a cyclical industry.
Negative Factors
Large Expected Beef Segment Losses
A multi-hundred-million-dollar expected loss in Beef is a structural earnings headwind given the segment's scale. Persistent cattle-cycle tightness and negative AOI will weigh on consolidated operating income and cash generation over the medium term, limiting margin recovery and requiring sustained operational fixes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained positive free cash flow and improved FCF guidance provide durable financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this supports capex funding, continued debt paydown, and shareholder returns without requiring deeper cuts to operations, reducing refinancing and liquidity risk in a cyclical industry.
Read all positive factors
Tyson Foods Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Highlights the financial contribution of each business segment, offering insight into which areas drive growth and profitability for Tyson Foods.
Highlights the financial contribution of each business segment, offering insight into which areas drive growth and profitability for Tyson Foods.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyTyson Foods (TSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$19.92B
Dividend Yield3.48%
Average Volume (3M)3.62M
Price to Earnings (P/E)43.8
Beta (1Y)0.19
Revenue Growth3.91%
EPS Growth-50.15%
CountryUS
Employees138,000
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryAgricultural Farm Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.32
Shares Outstanding282,120,400
10 Day Avg. Volume2,774,319
30 Day Avg. Volume3,618,562
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.97
Price to Book (P/B)1.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.35
P/FCF Ratio16.02
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.39
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.50
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.56
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.85
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$71.63Price Target Upside10.50% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)4.02
Revenue Forecast (FY)$56.45B
Tyson Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tyson Foods, Inc. operates as a prominent global food producer, encompassing a broad range of activities across four core divisions: Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods. Within its Beef and Pork segments, the company manages the entire process...
How the Company Makes Money
Tyson Foods makes money primarily by selling protein and prepared food products through a mix of branded and private-label channels to retailers, restaurants/foodservice operators, and other distributors in the U.S. and internationally. Its key re...
Tyson Foods Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple operational wins: raised AOI guidance, strong Chicken and Prepared Foods performance, meaningful contribution from an improving genetics business, improved cash generation and balance sheet progress. These positives were partly offset by significant headwinds in the Beef segment (forecasted multi-hundred-million-dollar loss), modest overall margins, a 5% decline in adjusted EPS, and ongoing input cost inflation. Management presented these negatives as controllable or transitional (footprint optimization, seasonality, one-time Q2 items) while expressing confidence in continued execution and upside potential.Positive Updates
Raised Full-Year Adjusted Operating Income Guidance
Company increased full-year adjusted operating income (AOI) guidance to $2.2B–$2.4B, a $100M increase at the midpoint, reflecting stronger year-to-date performance and confidence in continued momentum.
Negative Updates
Beef Segment Headwinds and Expected Losses
Beef segment operating income declined; management expects full-year Beef segment operating loss of $500M–$350M due to tight cattle supply and cattle-cycle volatility despite footprint optimization actions.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Raised Full-Year Adjusted Operating Income Guidance
Company increased full-year adjusted operating income (AOI) guidance to $2.2B–$2.4B, a $100M increase at the midpoint, reflecting stronger year-to-date performance and confidence in continued momentum.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Tyson updated fiscal 2026 guidance expecting full‑year sales up 2–4% year‑over‑year on a comparable 52‑week basis and raised total company adjusted operating income by $100M at the midpoint to $2.2–$2.4 billion; interest expense is projected at ~ $365M (down $5M), the tax rate ~25%, CapEx $700M–$1.0B and free cash flow $1.2–$1.8B. Segment outlooks are: Prepared Foods AOI $1.25–$1.35B; Chicken AOI increased to $1.9–$2.05B (up $200M at the midpoint); Beef AOI expected to be a loss of $500–$350M; Pork AOI $250–$300M; International AOI $150–$200M; corporate expenses & amortization $950–$975M. Management cited strong H1 cash generation and balance‑sheet metrics—Q2 sales $13.7B, Q2 adjusted operating income $497M, H1 operating cash flow $829M, H1 CapEx $397M, H1 free cash flow $432M, liquidity $3.7B, net leverage 2.2x and nearly $1B of gross debt reduction over the past 12 months—to support the raised outlook.Tyson Foods Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 55.71B | 54.44B | 53.31B | 52.88B | 53.28B | 47.05B |
| Gross Profit | 3.65B | 3.56B | 3.63B | 2.63B | 6.67B | 6.53B |
| EBITDA | 2.54B | 2.58B | 2.97B | 1.02B | 5.72B | 5.68B |
| Net Income | 453.00M | 474.00M | 800.00M | -648.00M | 3.24B | 3.05B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 35.16B | 36.66B | 37.10B | 36.25B | 36.82B | 36.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 500.00M | 1.23B | 1.72B | 573.00M | 1.03B | 2.51B |
| Total Debt | 8.08B | 8.83B | 9.79B | 9.51B | 8.32B | 9.35B |
| Total Liabilities | 16.96B | 18.43B | 18.59B | 18.00B | 17.01B | 18.45B |
| Stockholders Equity | 18.10B | 18.09B | 18.39B | 18.13B | 19.70B | 17.72B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.23B | 1.18B | 1.46B | -187.00M | 800.00M | 2.63B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.14B | 2.15B | 2.59B | 1.75B | 2.69B | 3.84B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -550.00M | -665.00M | -888.00M | -2.30B | -1.94B | 58.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.11B | -1.98B | -581.00M | 88.00M | -2.32B | -2.73B |
Tyson Foods Technical Analysis
Negative
64.82
Price Trends
61.05
Negative
61.75
Negative
58.79
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.52
Negative
45.03
Neutral
40.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 64.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.55, above the 50-day MA of 61.05, and above the 200-day MA of 58.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSN.
Tyson Foods Risk Analysis
Tyson Foods disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tyson Foods reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Tyson Foods Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 Outperform | $4.04B | 6.11 | 26.11% | 10.53% | -8.85% | -29.16% | |
73 Outperform | $9.76B | 9.61 | 15.25% | 4.44% | 8.00% | -1.43% | |
68 Neutral | $38.06B | 35.91 | 4.78% | 3.55% | -3.82% | -20.58% | |
63 Neutral | $22.04B | 26.40 | 4.68% | 3.14% | 56.89% | -45.77% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
57 Neutral | $19.92B | 43.81 | 2.50% | 3.48% | 3.91% | -50.15% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
TSN
Tyson Foods
57.83
5.34
10.17%
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
80.41
27.77
52.75%
BG
Bunge Global
114.32
41.38
56.74%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
88.34
-8.56
-8.83%
SFD
Smithfield Foods
24.67
2.04
9.00%
Tyson Foods Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Appoints Wes Morris as New COO
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
On June 8, 2026, Tyson Foods announced that long-time executive Wes Morris will become chief operating officer effective June 15, 2026, succeeding outgoing COO Devin Cole, who is retiring. Morris, a 20-plus-year company veteran and former head of ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Names Jeff Schomburger As Next CEO
Positive
May 28, 2026
Tyson Foods announced on May 28, 2026 that board member Jeff Schomburger will become president and chief executive officer on October 4, 2026, following a transition period beginning July 1 in which he joins as a senior executive and succeeds long...
Executive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Announces New Chief Accounting Officer Appointment
Positive
Apr 2, 2026
On April 2, 2026, Tyson Foods announced that Phillip Thomas will be appointed Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer, effective April 6, 2026, succeeding Lori Bondar, who will step down from the Chief Accounting Officer role but r...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.