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Tyson Foods (TSN)
NYSE:TSN
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Tyson Foods (TSN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSN

Tyson Foods

(NYSE:TSN)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(7.45% Upside)
Tyson Foods' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance in revenue growth and cash flow, despite challenges in profitability and operational efficiency. The earnings call highlighted significant growth in key segments, although the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, with no strong momentum signals. The company's strategic focus and diversified portfolio are positive factors for future growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for Tyson's products, reflecting effective market strategies and product appeal.
Balance Sheet Health
A balanced leverage ratio suggests Tyson has a healthy financial structure, providing stability and flexibility for future investments.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports Tyson's ability to fund operations, invest in growth, and return value to shareholders.
Negative Factors
Profit Margins
Despite improvements, Tyson's relatively low profit margins indicate potential challenges in cost management and pricing power.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow suggests potential pressures on Tyson's ability to invest in growth and manage financial obligations.
Leverage Risks
While leverage is currently balanced, any adverse market changes could strain Tyson's financial flexibility and stability.

Tyson Foods (TSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tyson Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTyson Foods, Inc. is one of the largest food companies in the world, primarily engaged in the production and marketing of chicken, beef, and pork products. The company operates through multiple segments, including Chicken, Beef, Pork, and Prepared Foods, offering a wide range of fresh, frozen, and processed food items. With a strong emphasis on sustainability and innovation, Tyson Foods serves both retail and foodservice channels, supplying a diverse array of products that cater to consumer preferences and dietary needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyTyson Foods generates revenue through the sale of its meat products across various segments. The Chicken segment includes fresh, frozen, and processed chicken products, while the Beef and Pork segments provide similar offerings in their respective categories. Prepared Foods encompasses fully cooked protein items, deli meats, and other processed foods. The company's revenue model relies heavily on direct sales to grocery retailers, foodservice distributors, and restaurants. Additionally, Tyson Foods benefits from partnerships with major retail chains and foodservice operators, which help to expand its market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include economies of scale, operational efficiencies, and a focus on value-added products that cater to evolving consumer trends, such as health and sustainability. Market dynamics, including meat pricing and demand fluctuations, also play a significant role in the company's profitability.

Tyson Foods Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Channel
Revenue by Channel
Shows how revenue is distributed across different sales channels, revealing the company's market reach and effectiveness in various distribution strategies.
Chart InsightsTyson Foods is experiencing robust growth in its Retail and Foodservice channels, with both segments showing a steady upward trajectory. Retail, in particular, is gaining momentum, likely driven by increased consumer demand and strategic market positioning. However, the International segment is facing challenges, with a noticeable decline in recent quarters, possibly due to geopolitical tensions or currency fluctuations. The Industrial and Other segment shows volatility, indicating potential market shifts or operational adjustments. Investors should monitor these dynamics as they could impact overall revenue stability and growth prospects.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Tyson Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong overall performance for Tyson Foods with significant growth in the Chicken and Prepared Foods segments, robust cash flow, and successful innovation initiatives. However, the Beef segment faced notable challenges due to external factors like drought and disease, and there were pressures from raw material costs in Prepared Foods. Despite these challenges, the company's diversified portfolio and strategic focus on operational excellence position it well for the future.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Chicken Segment
The Chicken segment delivered $457 million in adjusted operating income, an increase of 28% year-over-year, driven by higher volumes, better operational execution, and lower feed costs. This marked the fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year volume growth.
Prepared Foods Sales and Market Share Growth
Prepared Foods saw sales growth of 3%, or 5.7% excluding the effect of a product recall, driven by higher pricing and a favorable product mix. The segment achieved a 7.4% margin in Q4 and grew its retail market share in volume and dollars.
Significant Free Cash Flow Generation
The company generated $1.2 billion in free cash flow, resulting in a strong financial position with a net leverage of 2.1x.
Robust Financial Performance
Total company sales grew 4.8% to $13.9 billion in Q4, and adjusted earnings per share increased by 25% to $1.15. Full-year adjusted EPS was $4.12, up 33% from the prior year.
Innovation and Market Penetration
The company increased its household penetration to 72% of U.S. households, with strong performances from brands like Hillshire Farm, Tyson, and Jimmy Dean. The innovation pipeline delivered products with simpler, recognizable ingredients.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Beef Segment
The Beef segment faced significant challenges due to tight cattle supplies, with adjusted operating income expected to be a loss between $600 million and $400 million for 2026. Factors such as drought, herd rebuilding, and the New World screwworm in Mexico contributed to these challenges.
Raw Material Cost Pressures in Prepared Foods
Prepared Foods faced $135 million in commodity cost pressure in Q4, with $344 million for the full year, impacting profitability despite operational improvements.
Volatility in Commodity Chicken Pricing
The company noted some exposure to commodity market volatility, impacting chicken pricing, although it was somewhat insulated by value-added products.
Company Guidance
During Tyson Foods' fourth-quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, several key metrics were highlighted that showcase the company's performance and future guidance. The company reported a 4.8% increase in sales to $13.9 billion for the quarter, and a full-year sales increase of 3.3% to $54.4 billion. Adjusted operating income for Q4 rose by 19% to $608 million, and for the full year, it increased by 26% to $2.3 billion. The Chicken segment was a standout performer, delivering $457 million in adjusted operating income, driven by higher volumes, better operational execution, and lower feed costs. The Prepared Foods segment also saw growth with a 3% increase in sales and a 7.4% margin in the quarter. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, Tyson Foods expects full-year sales growth of 2% to 4% and an adjusted operating income range of $2.1 billion to $2.3 billion. The company anticipates challenges in the Beef segment due to tight cattle supplies but expects Chicken to benefit from changing consumer preferences and high beef prices. Tyson's financial position remains strong, with net leverage at 2.1x and free cash flow of $1.2 billion for the year.

Tyson Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tyson Foods demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved cash flow generation, but faces challenges in maintaining profitability and operational efficiency. The balance sheet shows a stable capital structure with reduced leverage, but declining return on equity. Continued focus on improving margins and cash flow conversion will be crucial for sustaining growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tyson Foods has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 34.15% in the latest year, indicating robust top-line expansion. However, the gross profit margin has slightly decreased from 6.80% to 6.54%, and the net profit margin has also declined from 1.50% to 0.87%, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased, suggesting pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved slightly from 0.53 to 0.49, indicating a reduction in leverage. However, the return on equity has decreased from 4.35% to 2.62%, showing a decline in profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Tyson Foods has experienced a significant free cash flow growth of 26.70%, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, indicating efficient cash utilization.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue54.44B54.44B53.31B52.88B53.28B47.05B
Gross Profit3.56B3.56B3.63B2.63B6.67B6.53B
EBITDA2.58B2.58B2.97B1.02B5.72B5.68B
Net Income474.00M474.00M800.00M-648.00M3.24B3.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.66B36.66B37.10B36.25B36.82B36.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.23B1.23B1.72B573.00M1.03B2.51B
Total Debt8.83B8.83B9.79B9.51B8.32B9.35B
Total Liabilities18.43B18.43B18.59B18.00B17.01B18.45B
Stockholders Equity18.09B18.09B18.39B18.13B19.70B17.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.18B1.18B1.46B-187.00M800.00M2.63B
Operating Cash Flow2.15B2.15B2.59B1.75B2.69B3.84B
Investing Cash Flow-665.00M-665.00M-888.00M-2.30B-1.94B58.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.98B-1.98B-581.00M88.00M-2.32B-2.73B

Tyson Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price53.05
Price Trends
50DMA
53.21
Negative
100DMA
54.14
Negative
200DMA
55.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
49.72
Neutral
STOCH
51.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.65, below the 50-day MA of 53.21, and below the 200-day MA of 55.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSN.

Tyson Foods Risk Analysis

Tyson Foods disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tyson Foods reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tyson Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$4.27B3.3855.20%9.89%65.80%197.95%
74
Outperform
$18.17B10.0910.24%2.89%10.29%17.32%
69
Neutral
$1.67B21.303.95%3.48%1.11%414.23%
69
Neutral
$8.33B9.784.67%
63
Neutral
$28.23B23.905.35%3.50%-4.31%-29.96%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$18.38B38.992.60%3.77%2.12%-40.75%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSN
Tyson Foods
53.05
-8.09
-13.23%
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
58.23
7.20
14.11%
BG
Bunge Global
93.15
7.42
8.66%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
87.66
0.86
0.99%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
34.50
1.80
5.50%
SFD
Smithfield Foods
21.41
1.83
9.35%

Tyson Foods Corporate Events

Tyson Foods Reports Growth in Sales and Adjusted EPS
Nov 11, 2025

Tyson Foods, Inc., headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas, is a leading global food company specializing in protein products with well-known brands such as Tyson, Jimmy Dean, and Hillshire Farm.

Executive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Appoints Devin Cole as COO
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Tyson Foods appointed Devin Cole as Chief Operating Officer, reporting to CEO Donnie King. Cole, with over 30 years of industry experience, previously held leadership roles within Tyson and other companies, and his appointment includes a significant compensation package. Concurrently, Brady Stewart, Group President of Prepared Foods, Beef & Pork, and Chief Supply Chain Officer, departed the company. Stewart’s exit involves a severance agreement with benefits tied to his tenure and performance, subject to certain conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSN) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tyson Foods stock, see the TSN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025