Tyson Foods (TSN)
NYSE:TSN
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Tyson Foods
(NYSE:TSN)
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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$69.00
â–²(6.45% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/28/26
TSN scores as moderate: the biggest driver is a recovering but still low-margin financial profile, supported by improving leverage and positive (though uneven) free cash flow. Earnings-call guidance and momentum in Chicken/Prepared Foods lift the outlook, but the projected beef losses and recent YoY EPS/operating-income declines remain meaningful headwinds. Technicals are neutral-to-mildly positive, while valuation is balanced by a decent dividend yield versus a mid-range P/E amid thin profitability.
Positive Factors
Prepared Foods margin & growth
Higher-margin Prepared Foods growth supports sustainable margin improvement and diversifies revenue away from commodity proteins. Volume, channel mix, pass-through pricing and plant/distribution efficiencies suggest durable earnings contribution less sensitive to livestock cycles.
Negative Factors
Beef segment structural drag
A large projected beef segment loss reflects tight cattle supply, elevated cattle costs and required capacity rationalization. Persistent beef weakness will pressure consolidated operating income and margins for multiple quarters and may necessitate further restructuring and capital redeployment.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Prepared Foods margin & growth
Higher-margin Prepared Foods growth supports sustainable margin improvement and diversifies revenue away from commodity proteins. Volume, channel mix, pass-through pricing and plant/distribution efficiencies suggest durable earnings contribution less sensitive to livestock cycles.
Read all positive factors
Tyson Foods Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Highlights the financial contribution of each business segment, offering insight into which areas drive growth and profitability for Tyson Foods.
Highlights the financial contribution of each business segment, offering insight into which areas drive growth and profitability for Tyson Foods.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyTyson Foods (TSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$21.06B
Dividend Yield3.48%
Average Volume (3M)2.86M
Price to Earnings (P/E)47.5
Beta (1Y)0.20
Revenue Growth3.91%
EPS Growth-50.15%
CountryUS
Employees138,000
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryAgricultural Farm Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.32
Shares Outstanding282,120,400
10 Day Avg. Volume2,889,763
30 Day Avg. Volume2,856,662
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.97
Price to Book (P/B)1.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.35
P/FCF Ratio16.02
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.39
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.53
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit8.03
Enterprise Value/Ebitda11.57
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$72.33Price Target Upside11.59% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering11
EPS Forecast (FY)4.05
Revenue Forecast (FY)$56.55B
Tyson Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tyson Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods. The company processes live fed cattle and live market hogs; fabricates dressed bee...
How the Company Makes Money
Tyson Foods makes money primarily by selling protein and prepared food products through a mix of branded and private-label channels to retailers, restaurants/foodservice operators, and other distributors in the U.S. and internationally. Its key re...
Tyson Foods Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 02, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial picture outside of the beef segment. Key strengths include 6.2% consolidated sales growth to $14.3B, strong prepared foods and chicken performance, meaningful pork margin expansion, improved free cash flow and leverage, and sustained branded retail and foodservice share gains. Offsetting these positives are material beef headwinds — higher cattle costs, regional supply frictions, plant footprint reductions, and a 2026 beef segment loss outlook — along with a 12% drop in segment operating income and a 15% decline in adjusted EPS in Q1. On balance, the operational momentum and financial improvements across multiple segments and balance-sheet metrics materially outweigh the concentrated beef challenges.Positive Updates
Total Company Sales Growth
Total company sales grew 6.2% year-over-year to $14.3 billion in Q1, demonstrating demand resilience across the portfolio.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Segment Operating Income and EPS
First quarter segment operating income was $811 million, down 12% year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.97, down 15% versus prior year, impacted by higher tax rate and segment performance mix.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Total Company Sales Growth
Total company sales grew 6.2% year-over-year to $14.3 billion in Q1, demonstrating demand resilience across the portfolio.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Tyson guided fiscal 2026 (on a 52‑week comparable) to total company sales up 2%–4% and total adjusted operating income of $2.1–$2.3 billion; by segment they expect prepared foods segment operating income of $1.25–$1.35 billion, chicken $1.65–$1.90 billion, pork $250–$300 million, international $150–$200 million, and beef to be a loss of $500–$250 million (excludes facility-closure costs); corporate expenses and amortization are forecast at $950–$975 million, interest expense about $370 million, an effective tax rate of ~25%, CapEx $700 million–$1.0 billion, and free cash flow of $1.1–$1.7 billion (improved largely from working capital); Q1 highlights noted on the call included sales of $14.3 billion (+6.2% YoY), Q1 segment operating income $811 million (‑12% YoY), adjusted EPS $0.97 (‑15%), operating cash flow $942 million, Q1 CapEx $252 million, Q1 free cash flow just under $700 million, dividends $177 million, share repurchases $47 million (returned $224 million to shareholders), liquidity of $4.5 billion, net leverage of 2.0x and gross debt reduced by $1.4 billion year‑over‑year.Tyson Foods Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 55.71B | 54.44B | 53.31B | 52.88B | 53.28B | 47.05B |
| Gross Profit | 3.65B | 3.56B | 3.63B | 2.63B | 6.67B | 6.53B |
| EBITDA | 2.53B | 2.58B | 2.97B | 1.02B | 5.72B | 5.68B |
| Net Income | 453.00M | 474.00M | 800.00M | -648.00M | 3.24B | 3.05B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 35.16B | 36.66B | 37.10B | 36.25B | 36.82B | 36.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 500.00M | 1.23B | 1.72B | 573.00M | 1.03B | 2.51B |
| Total Debt | 8.08B | 8.83B | 9.79B | 9.51B | 8.32B | 9.35B |
| Total Liabilities | 16.96B | 18.43B | 18.59B | 18.00B | 17.01B | 18.45B |
| Stockholders Equity | 18.10B | 18.09B | 18.39B | 18.13B | 19.70B | 17.72B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.23B | 1.18B | 1.46B | -187.00M | 800.00M | 2.63B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.14B | 2.15B | 2.59B | 1.75B | 2.69B | 3.84B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -550.00M | -665.00M | -888.00M | -2.30B | -1.94B | 58.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.11B | -1.98B | -581.00M | 88.00M | -2.32B | -2.73B |
Tyson Foods Technical Analysis
Negative
64.82
Price Trends
64.61
Negative
63.31
Negative
58.83
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.42
Positive
32.93
Neutral
15.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 64.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.21, above the 50-day MA of 64.61, and above the 200-day MA of 58.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSN.
Tyson Foods Risk Analysis
Tyson Foods disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tyson Foods reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Tyson Foods Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $3.54B | 5.08 | 26.11% | 10.53% | -8.85% | -29.16% | |
78 Outperform | $10.16B | 10.08 | 15.25% | 4.44% | 8.00% | -1.43% | |
68 Neutral | $38.45B | 35.72 | 4.78% | 3.55% | -3.82% | -20.58% | |
63 Neutral | $23.92B | 34.82 | 4.68% | 3.14% | 56.89% | -45.77% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
60 Neutral | $21.06B | 47.55 | 2.50% | 3.48% | 3.91% | -50.15% | |
57 Neutral | $1.53B | 21.91 | 3.43% | 3.34% | 0.22% | -52.50% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
TSN
Tyson Foods
61.02
6.29
11.50%
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
79.78
33.15
71.09%
BG
Bunge Global
123.30
47.08
61.76%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
74.72
-17.36
-18.85%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
32.14
-2.34
-6.79%
SFD
Smithfield Foods
25.83
3.31
14.70%
Tyson Foods Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Names Jeff Schomburger As Next CEO
Positive
May 28, 2026
Tyson Foods announced on May 28, 2026 that board member Jeff Schomburger will become president and chief executive officer on October 4, 2026, following a transition period beginning July 1 in which he joins as a senior executive and succeeds long...
Executive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Announces New Chief Accounting Officer Appointment
Positive
Apr 2, 2026
On April 2, 2026, Tyson Foods announced that Phillip Thomas will be appointed Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer, effective April 6, 2026, succeeding Lori Bondar, who will step down from the Chief Accounting Officer role but r...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.