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Tyson Foods
(NYSE:TSN)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$61.00
â–˛(6.18% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
TSN scores as a mid-range setup driven primarily by pressured profitability and uneven cash-flow momentum, partially offset by a stable balance sheet. Earnings-call takeaways are supportive—especially strength in Chicken and Prepared Foods and tightened guidance—but persistent, sizable Beef losses materially temper the outlook. Technical signals are neutral and valuation is a key drag due to a high P/E, with the dividend providing some support.
Positive Factors
Prepared Foods Strength
Sustained share and unit gains in Prepared Foods and a raised segment outlook indicate durable brand and portfolio strength. Higher-margin, value-added products diversify earnings away from commodity proteins, supporting more stable margins and long-term revenue resilience versus cyclical meat markets.
Negative Factors
Beef Losses
A multi-hundred-million-dollar expected annual Beef loss and steep volume declines signal a structural headwind that materially depresses company profitability. Given cattle supply constraints and margin compression, Beef weakness is likely to weigh on consolidated operating income and cash flows for many months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Prepared Foods Strength
Sustained share and unit gains in Prepared Foods and a raised segment outlook indicate durable brand and portfolio strength. Higher-margin, value-added products diversify earnings away from commodity proteins, supporting more stable margins and long-term revenue resilience versus cyclical meat markets.
Read all positive factors
Tyson Foods Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Highlights the financial contribution of each business segment, offering insight into which areas drive growth and profitability for Tyson Foods.
Highlights the financial contribution of each business segment, offering insight into which areas drive growth and profitability for Tyson Foods.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyTyson Foods (TSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$20.00B
Dividend Yield3.5%
Average Volume (3M)2.97M
Price to Earnings (P/E)43.9
Beta (1Y)0.22
Revenue Growth3.91%
EPS Growth-50.15%
CountryUS
Employees133,000
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryAgricultural Farm Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.52
Shares Outstanding282,120,400
10 Day Avg. Volume2,506,000
30 Day Avg. Volume2,974,061
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.97
Price to Book (P/B)1.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.35
P/FCF Ratio16.02
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$69.43Price Target Upside20.85% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering8
EPS Forecast (FY)3.97
Revenue Forecast (FY)$56.63B
Tyson Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tyson Foods, Inc. operates as a prominent global food producer, encompassing a broad range of activities across four core divisions: Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods. Within its Beef and Pork segments, the company manages the entire process...
How the Company Makes Money
Tyson Foods makes money primarily by selling protein and prepared food products through a mix of branded and private-label channels to retailers, restaurants/foodservice operators, and other distributors in the U.S. and internationally. Its key re...
Tyson Foods Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple clear operational wins: sustained share and volume gains in Prepared Foods, strong and differentiated Chicken performance, improved genetics rollout, solid cash generation, tightened guidance and a healthy balance sheet with active share repurchases. However, material and ongoing weakness in Beef — including a substantial quarterly loss, a sharp 15.9% volume decline and a multi-hundred-million-dollar full-year expected loss — is the largest near-term headwind. Other transitory pressures include elevated commodity (notably beef trim) and freight costs that will lag into margins. Taken together, the company's diversified portfolio and financial strength provide a constructive outlook, but Beef remains a significant negative that tempers the overall performance.Positive Updates
Prepared Foods Share Gains and Sales Growth
Prepared Foods sales up 1.7% year-over-year to $2.6 billion; segment operating income $321 million with a 12.6% margin. Retail volume share up 70 basis points, unit share up 70 bps and dollar share up 50 bps; 13 consecutive weeks of share gains. Notable brand growth: Hillshire Snacking +18.4%, Hillshire Farm Lunch Meat +7.0%, Aidells dinner sausage +5.8%, Hillshire/Wright smoked sausage +3.4%, Jimmy Dean Refrigerated Breakfast +2.7%. Midpoint of full-year Prepared Foods outlook raised to $1.3 billion–$1.35 billion.
Negative Updates
Beef Segment Loss and Severe Volume Decline
Beef segment operating income was a loss of $138 million in the quarter. Beef volume declined 15.9% year-over-year while pricing rose 12.1%, driven by tight cattle supply and input cost pressure. Management now expects a full-year Beef segment operating income loss in the range of $650 million to $500 million due to USDA margin compression and higher cattle costs.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Prepared Foods Share Gains and Sales Growth
Prepared Foods sales up 1.7% year-over-year to $2.6 billion; segment operating income $321 million with a 12.6% margin. Retail volume share up 70 basis points, unit share up 70 bps and dollar share up 50 bps; 13 consecutive weeks of share gains. Notable brand growth: Hillshire Snacking +18.4%, Hillshire Farm Lunch Meat +7.0%, Aidells dinner sausage +5.8%, Hillshire/Wright smoked sausage +3.4%, Jimmy Dean Refrigerated Breakfast +2.7%. Midpoint of full-year Prepared Foods outlook raised to $1.3 billion–$1.35 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Tyson updated its fiscal 2026 guidance on a comparable 52‑week basis, narrowing sales growth to 2.5%–3.5% year‑over‑year and forecasting total company adjusted operating income of $2.1–$2.3 billion, interest expense of ~ $365 million and an effective tax rate of ~25%; capital expenditures are guided to $700–$900 million with free cash flow narrowed to $1.3–$1.7 billion. Segment outlooks: Prepared Foods raised its midpoint to $1.3–$1.35 billion, Chicken was reaffirmed at $1.9–$2.05 billion, Beef is now expected to record a full‑year operating loss of $650–$500 million, Pork was reaffirmed at $250–$300 million and International at $150–$200 million, while corporate expenses and amortization are pegged at $950–$975 million.Tyson Foods Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 55.69B | 54.44B | 53.31B | 52.88B | 53.28B | 47.05B |
| Gross Profit | 3.43B | 3.56B | 3.63B | 2.63B | 6.67B | 6.53B |
| EBITDA | 2.27B | 2.58B | 2.97B | 1.02B | 5.72B | 5.68B |
| Net Income | 574.00M | 474.00M | 800.00M | -648.00M | 3.24B | 3.05B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 35.61B | 36.66B | 37.10B | 36.25B | 36.82B | 36.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 740.00M | 1.23B | 1.72B | 573.00M | 1.03B | 2.51B |
| Total Debt | 8.01B | 8.83B | 9.79B | 9.51B | 8.32B | 9.35B |
| Total Liabilities | 17.43B | 18.43B | 18.59B | 18.00B | 17.01B | 18.45B |
| Stockholders Equity | 18.08B | 18.09B | 18.39B | 18.13B | 19.70B | 17.72B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.16B | 1.18B | 1.46B | -187.00M | 800.00M | 2.63B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.00B | 2.15B | 2.59B | 1.75B | 2.69B | 3.84B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -680.00M | -665.00M | -888.00M | -2.30B | -1.94B | 58.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.15B | -1.98B | -581.00M | 88.00M | -2.32B | -2.73B |
Tyson Foods Technical Analysis
Negative
57.45
Price Trends
58.48
Positive
61.15
Negative
59.33
Negative
Market Momentum
0.26
Negative
49.92
Neutral
45.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 57.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.43, below the 50-day MA of 58.48, and below the 200-day MA of 59.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSN.
Tyson Foods Risk Analysis
Tyson Foods disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tyson Foods reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Tyson Foods Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $4.12B | 13.34 | 11.82% | 5.33% | -31.68% | -73.76% | |
73 Outperform | $10.25B | 10.13 | 15.25% | 4.28% | 8.00% | -1.43% | |
64 Neutral | $38.20B | 35.55 | 7.73% | 2.40% | -3.82% | -20.58% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
58 Neutral | $20.41B | 20.63 | 6.35% | 2.32% | 80.50% | -48.63% | |
56 Neutral | $20.00B | 43.91 | 3.18% | 3.53% | 3.91% | -50.15% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
TSN
Tyson Foods
58.74
4.56
8.41%
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
79.87
24.87
45.23%
BG
Bunge Global
106.73
27.98
35.53%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
84.77
-16.69
-16.45%
SFD
Smithfield Foods
25.34
1.10
4.53%
Tyson Foods Corporate Events
Executive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Extends Chairman John Tyson’s Employment Agreement
Neutral
Jun 18, 2026
Tyson Foods, Inc. announced that on June 17, 2026 it entered into a Third Amended and Restated Employment Agreement with Chairman John H. Tyson, replacing his 2017 contract and committing him to remain with the company through at least September 3...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Tyson Foods Recasts Segments Under New Reporting Structure
Neutral
Jun 9, 2026
Tyson Foods has recast prior-period segment financial information from its 2025 fiscal year to align with a new reporting structure that took effect in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. Under the revised approach, the company now reports five segm...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Appoints Wes Morris as New COO
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
On June 8, 2026, Tyson Foods announced that long-time executive Wes Morris will become chief operating officer effective June 15, 2026, succeeding outgoing COO Devin Cole, who is retiring. Morris, a 20-plus-year company veteran and former head of ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tyson Foods Names Jeff Schomburger As Next CEO
Positive
May 28, 2026
Tyson Foods announced on May 28, 2026 that board member Jeff Schomburger will become president and chief executive officer on October 4, 2026, following a transition period beginning July 1 in which he joins as a senior executive and succeeds long...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.