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Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP)
NYSE:FDP

Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) AI Stock Analysis

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FDP

Fresh Del Monte Produce

(NYSE:FDP)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
â–²(13.35% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by strong cash flow generation and a healthier, low-leverage balance sheet. Offsetting factors are thin profitability and mixed momentum signals, while valuation looks only moderately attractive given a mid-20s P/E despite the dividend. Earnings call and recent strategic events are net supportive but tempered by ongoing banana-segment pressures and recent impairments.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained free cash flow growth and high cash conversion provide durable financial flexibility. With FCF growing ~21% TTM and strong conversion versus net income, the company can fund capex, dividends, and working capital through cycles without relying on new debt, supporting long-term stability.
Low leverage / healthier balance sheet
A very low debt-to-equity ratio and sub-1x adjusted leverage reduce financial risk and interest exposure. This stronger capital structure supports investment in supply chain, disease mitigation, and margin-improving initiatives, and gives resilience against agricultural cyclical shocks over the medium term.
Shift to higher-margin value-added categories
A strategic mix shift toward value-added products and strong pineapple demand creates structurally higher margins. Coupled with planned divestiture of low-margin assets, this improves long-run profitability resilience by focusing resources on differentiated, higher-margin product lines and channels.
Negative Factors
Thin overall profitability
Very low net margins and falling operating margins indicate structural pressure on profitability. Even with good cash flow, persistent thin returns limit reinvestment and shareholder returns, and suggest pricing or cost-structure issues that may take multiple quarters to rectify.
Banana-segment disease and cost pressures
Ongoing fungal diseases and rising production/procurement costs materially erode a core business line. Declining yields and higher per-unit costs create persistent margin volatility and supply risk for a major product, reducing predictability of earnings and raising remediation costs over time.
Recent impairments and operating loss
Significant impairment charges reflect asset underperformance and prior capital allocation issues. These write-downs reduce equity and signal possible structural problems in certain farms/businesses, potentially constraining future investment and implying higher scrutiny of asset returns going forward.

Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fresh Del Monte Produce Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFresh Del Monte Produce Inc., through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and distributes fresh and fresh-cut fruits and vegetables in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Fresh and Value-Added Products, Banana, and Other Products and Services. It offers pineapples, fresh-cut fruit, fresh-cut vegetables, melons, and vegetables; non-tropical fruits, such as grapes, apples, citrus, blueberries, strawberries, pears, peaches, plums, nectarines, cherries, and kiwis; other fruit and vegetables, and avocados; and prepared fruit and vegetables, juices, other beverages, and meals and snacks. The company also engages in the sale of poultry and meat products; and third-party freight services business. In addition, it manufactures and sells plastic and box products, such as bins, trays, bags, and boxes. The company offers its products under the Del Monte brand, as well as under other brands, such as UTC, Rosy, Fruit Express, Just Juice, Fruitini, Mann's Logo, Arcadian Harvest, Nourish Bowls, Broccolini, Caulilini, Better Burger Leaf, RomaLeaf, and other regional brands. It markets and distributes its products to retail stores, club stores, convenience stores, wholesalers, distributors, and foodservice operators. Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. was founded in 1886 and is based in George Town, Cayman Islands.
How the Company Makes MoneyFresh Del Monte Produce generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of fresh and processed fruits and vegetables. Key revenue sources include the sale of whole fruits, fresh-cut fruit products, and value-added items such as packaged salads and snacks. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and foodservice providers, which enhance its distribution capabilities and market reach. Additionally, FDP engages in direct sales and exports, allowing it to penetrate international markets. Seasonal demand fluctuations and the company's ability to manage supply chain efficiencies further contribute to its financial performance.

Fresh Del Monte Produce Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with strong execution in the fresh and value-added products segment and strategic asset divestment. However, significant challenges in the banana segment due to disease pressures and market dynamics weigh heavily on the overall performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Pineapple Program Success
The pineapple program continues to perform well with strong demand outstripping supply. The company is confident in maintaining strong margins in this segment.
Fresh and Value-Added Products Segment Growth
Adjusted gross margin for the fresh and value-added products segment reached an impressive 13.9%, indicative of strong performance and strategic shift towards higher-margin categories.
Strategic Divestiture of Mann Packing
The company entered an agreement to divest Mann Packing, expected to strengthen overall margin profile and enhance capital efficiency.
Positive Cash Flow and Debt Management
Net cash provided by operating activities was $234 million, with long-term debt standing at $173 million and an adjusted leverage ratio well below 1x EBITDA.
Negative Updates
Banana Segment Challenges
The banana segment faced higher per unit production and procurement costs, leading to a gross margin decrease to 1.3%. Challenges include TR4 disease and Black Sigatoka, with production in Costa Rica declining 22% year-over-year.
Impairment Charges and Operating Loss
The company reported an operating loss of $22 million, driven by $56 million in impairment charges related to Mann Packing divestiture and underperforming banana farms in the Philippines.
Avocado Market Pressure
The avocado segment saw lower per unit selling prices due to increased industry supply, impacting net sales despite stable margins.
Company Guidance
During Fresh Del Monte Produce's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance that reflects a strategic focus on higher-margin value-added categories. The company reported net sales of $1.022 billion, driven by higher selling prices in the Banana segment, offset by lower sales volume in fresh-cut vegetables. Adjusted net sales were $960 million. Gross profit stood at $81 million, with a gross margin of 7.9%, while adjusted gross profit was $88 million with a margin of 9.2%. The company experienced a net loss of $29 million, translating to a diluted earnings per share loss of $0.61; however, adjusted net income was $33 million, with adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.69. Fresh Del Monte expects net sales growth of approximately 2% year-over-year and anticipates gross margins in the fresh and value-added products segment to range between 11% to 13%. The banana segment faces cost pressures from disease treatments, with gross margins expected to compress to around 4%. The company projects capital expenditures for 2025 to be between $60 million to $70 million, and net cash provided by operating activities is expected to range from $190 million to $200 million. Additionally, a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share was declared.

Fresh Del Monte Produce Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fresh Del Monte Produce shows solid financial health with strong cash flow performance and improved leverage. However, profitability margins remain a concern, with declining EBIT and EBITDA margins. The company has a positive revenue growth trajectory, but operational efficiency needs improvement to enhance profitability.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Fresh Del Monte Produce shows a stable revenue growth rate of 3.9% in the TTM period, indicating a positive trend compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is modest at 8.4%, and the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.9%, reflecting challenges in cost management or pricing power. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.11, indicating a strong reduction in leverage and a healthier balance sheet. Return on equity is moderate at 4.0%, showing a decrease from the previous year, which could be a concern for investors seeking higher returns. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow has increased, with a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 21.2% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.41, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 0.77, suggesting good cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.32B4.28B4.32B4.41B4.25B4.21B
Gross Profit363.80M357.20M343.60M307.50M291.90M259.00M
EBITDA199.40M274.20M134.20M230.10M187.70M158.70M
Net Income80.20M142.20M-11.40M98.60M80.00M49.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.07B3.10B3.18B3.46B3.40B3.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.20M32.60M33.80M17.20M16.10M16.50M
Total Debt335.10M411.30M598.20M737.30M702.00M685.20M
Total Liabilities1.04B1.09B1.27B1.48B1.52B1.46B
Stockholders Equity2.01B1.99B1.90B1.90B1.80B1.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow176.20M130.80M120.20M13.70M30.00M30.60M
Operating Cash Flow229.50M182.50M177.90M61.80M128.50M180.60M
Investing Cash Flow-15.00M20.40M56.40M-49.10M-82.50M-108.80M
Financing Cash Flow-173.10M-209.90M-213.50M-12.00M-53.20M-85.80M

Fresh Del Monte Produce Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.17
Price Trends
50DMA
36.38
Positive
100DMA
35.55
Positive
200DMA
34.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
53.88
Neutral
STOCH
85.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FDP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.20, below the 50-day MA of 36.38, and above the 200-day MA of 34.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FDP.

Fresh Del Monte Produce Risk Analysis

Fresh Del Monte Produce disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fresh Del Monte Produce reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fresh Del Monte Produce Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.71B3.2948.69%10.53%65.80%197.95%
71
Outperform
$1.76B22.543.95%3.34%1.11%414.23%
69
Neutral
$20.79B44.102.60%3.48%2.12%-40.75%
66
Neutral
$20.85B11.5810.24%3.14%10.29%17.32%
63
Neutral
$1.39B47.988.75%2.23%7.09%-83.75%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
$1.19B36.101.69%4.40%-7.37%-84.53%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
36.94
6.34
20.72%
AGRO
Adecoagro SA
8.18
-1.09
-11.76%
BG
Bunge Global
107.81
31.28
40.87%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
77.92
-26.14
-25.12%
TSN
Tyson Foods
60.07
6.27
11.66%
DOLE
Dole
14.64
1.72
13.31%

Fresh Del Monte Produce Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
Fresh Del Monte to Acquire Key Del Monte Foods Assets
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, Fresh Del Monte Produce announced it had been selected as the successful bidder to acquire select assets of the bankrupt Del Monte Foods Corporation II Inc. for $285 million plus certain assumed liabilities, through a court-supervised auction under Section 363 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. Subject to court approval scheduled for January 28, 2026, regulatory clearances and customary closing conditions, the deal is expected to close by the end of the first quarter of 2026 and would reunify the Del Monte brand under a single owner for the first time in nearly 40 years, combining fresh and shelf-stable categories under one integrated strategy. The proposed transaction covers prepared and packaged vegetable, tomato, refrigerated fruit and beverage brands including Del Monte, S&W, Contadina, Take Root Organics and JOYBA, along with selected facilities in the U.S., Mexico and Venezuela, key contracts, inventories and global ownership of the Del Monte brand subject to existing licenses, while excluding canned fruit and certain broth and stock businesses. Fresh Del Monte plans to operate the acquired assets through a dedicated business unit, maintain continuity for retailers and consumers with no immediate product changes, and finance the purchase with cash on hand and its revolving credit facility, a move that could expand its multi-category food platform, deepen its presence across channels and occasions, and potentially strengthen its competitive position in both fresh and shelf-stable segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (FDP) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fresh Del Monte Produce stock, see the FDP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Fresh Del Monte Promotes Abbas to President and COO
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. announced that Mohammed Abbas, 49, will be promoted to President and Chief Operating Officer effective January 1, 2026, after serving as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer since February 2022 and previously leading the company’s operations across Asia Pacific, the Middle East and North Africa in various senior regional roles since 2016. In connection with the promotion, the board’s compensation committee approved notable increases to Abbas’s base salary and performance-linked cash incentives under the company’s annual and long-term executive incentive plans, while confirming there are no special arrangements, family relationships or related-party transactions underlying his appointment, underscoring a governance-focused approach to a key leadership transition that could influence strategic execution and operational oversight across the company’s global markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (FDP) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fresh Del Monte Produce stock, see the FDP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026