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Bunge Global (BG)
NYSE:BG

Bunge Global (BG) AI Stock Analysis

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Bunge Global

(NYSE:BG)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$131.00
▲(10.88% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker profitability versus prior years, increased leverage, and historically volatile cash generation. These risks are partly offset by strong technical momentum (clear uptrend), constructive 2026 guidance with ahead-of-plan Viterra synergies, and a reasonable valuation supported by a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Expanded global origination & logistics footprint
The Viterra combination materially expands Bunge's global origination, processing and logistics footprint, improving connectivity between origin and destination markets. This scale supports durable merchandising advantages, tighter supply chains, and higher recurring volumes that compound over multiple years.
Realized and guided synergies
Management has realized early integration synergies and baked ~$190M into 2026 guidance with a ~$220M run-rate target. Structural cost, procurement, and network efficiencies from integration are likely to persist, incrementally improving margins and cash generation as operations standardize.
Strong liquidity and recurring cash generation
Bunge produced meaningful adjusted funds from operations and discretionary cash flow in 2025 while maintaining large unused committed credit lines. This durable liquidity profile supports ongoing capex, strategic investment, buybacks, and provides a multi-quarter buffer through commodity cycles, preserving strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Marked increase in leverage
Leverage stepped up sharply following acquisition activity and note issuance, reducing balance-sheet flexibility. Higher debt raises interest-cost sensitivity and refinancing risk in downturns, constraining the company's capacity to fund opportunistic investments or absorb prolonged commodity-driven earnings weakness.
Margin compression and weaker profitability
Despite revenue recovery, profitability has materially weakened and margins compressed. In a low-margin, cyclical commodity business, sustained margin contraction reduces earnings durability and leaves limited buffer for cost inflation or adverse market moves, elevating long-term earnings volatility.
Volatile cash conversion and working-capital swings
Operating cash flow has been inconsistent, reflecting working-capital swings and cyclical merchandising exposures. This volatility weakens predictability of free cash flow for reinvestment and returns, increasing reliance on asset sales, capital markets or credit lines to smooth funding needs across cycles.

Bunge Global (BG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bunge Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBunge Limited operates as an agribusiness and food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Agribusiness, Refined and Specialty Oils, Milling, and Sugar and Bioenergy. The Agribusiness segment purchases, stores, transports, processes, and sells agricultural commodities and commodity products, including oilseeds primarily soybeans, rapeseed, canola, and sunflower seeds, as well as grains primarily wheat and corn; and processes oilseeds into vegetable oils and protein meals. This segment offers its products for animal feed manufacturers, livestock producers, wheat and corn millers, and other oilseed processors, as well as third-party edible oil processing and biofuel companies; and for industrial and biodiesel production applications. The Refined and Specialty Oils segment sells packaged and bulk oils and fats that include cooking oils, shortenings, margarines, mayonnaise, and other products for baked goods companies, snack food producers, confectioners, restaurant chains, foodservice operators, infant nutrition companies, and other food manufacturers, as well as grocery chains, wholesalers, distributors, and other retailers. The Milling segment provides wheat flours and bakery mixes; corn milling products that comprise dry-milled corn meals and flours, wet-milled masa and flours, and flaking and brewer's grits, as well as soy-fortified corn meal, corn-soy blends, and other products; whole grain and fiber ingredients; quinoas and millets; die-cut pellets; and non-GMO products. The Sugar and Bioenergy segment produces sugar and ethanol; and generates electricity from burning sugarcane bagasse. Bunge Limited was founded in 1818 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyBunge primarily makes money by buying agricultural commodities (notably oilseeds such as soybeans and other grains), transforming and moving them through its network, and selling processed and merchandised products to end markets. A major revenue stream comes from oilseed processing: Bunge purchases oilseeds, crushes them into two main outputs—vegetable oils and protein meals—and sells these to customers in food manufacturing, animal feed, and industrial/biofuel-related markets; earnings are driven by the processing margin (the spread between input costs and the market value of the outputs), plant utilization, and operational efficiency. Another key revenue stream is merchandising and trading: Bunge originates crops from farmers and elevators, aggregates and stores them, transports them via its logistics system (e.g., ports, export terminals, and related infrastructure), and sells to domestic and export customers; profitability depends on merchandising margins, freight/logistics optimization, and risk management rather than simply commodity price direction. The company also generates revenue from refined and specialty oils and other value-added products where applicable, typically earning through product premiums, customer relationships, and service reliability. Across these activities, Bunge uses hedging and risk management to manage exposure to commodity price movements and currency/freight factors, supporting more stable realized margins on processing and merchandising activities. Specific partnership details not publicly available are null.

Bunge Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Soybeans Processed Volumes
Soybeans Processed Volumes
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Bunge Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call described strong strategic progress — completion of the Viterra combination, significant adjusted EBIT growth, ahead-of-plan synergies, solid cash generation and liquidity, and a constructive multi-year outlook — but was tempered by a steep drop in reported EPS driven by one-time notable items and mark-to-market timing, modest adjusted EPS decline, a light Q1 cadence, and meaningful policy uncertainty (notably U.S. RVO/biofuel). Overall the company presented durable operational improvements and financial flexibility while acknowledging near-term timing and policy headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Completion and Integration of Viterra
Major milestone reached with completion of the Viterra combination; integration delivering increased connectivity, expanded origination/processing footprint, and improved coordination across origin and destination — management expects durable, compounding benefits and will provide further details at Investor Day (March 10).
Adjusted EBIT Growth
Adjusted segment EBIT of $756 million in Q4 versus $546 million prior year — an increase of $210 million, or ~38.5% year-over-year, with all segments showing higher results.
Synergies Ahead of Schedule
Realized synergies of just over $70 million in 2025; management is guiding approximately $190 million of realized synergies in 2026 with a run-rate of ~$220 million by year-end (cost synergies primarily baked into guidance).
Strong cash generation and liquidity
Generated ~ $1.7 billion adjusted funds from operations for the year and ~$1.25 billion discretionary cash flow; year-end committed credit facilities ~$9.7 billion with ~ $9.0 billion unused; retained cash flow ~$173 million after dividends, growth CapEx, and buybacks.
Capital return and investment activity
Returned capital via $459 million in dividends and repurchased 6.7 million shares for $551 million; invested ~$1.2 billion in growth and productivity CapEx while allocating $485 million to sustaining CapEx.
Forward guidance and financial targets
Management forecasted full-year 2026 adjusted EPS of $7.50–$8.00; provided guidance ranges including adjusted effective tax rate 23–27%, net interest expense $575–$620 million, CapEx $1.5–$1.7 billion, and depreciation & amortization ~ $975 million; trailing 12-month adjusted ROIC 8.1% (9.3% when adjusted for projects/excess cash) and cash return on equity 9.4% vs cost of equity 7.2%.
Negative Updates
Large decline in reported EPS
Reported Q4 EPS was $0.49 versus $4.36 in Q4 2024, a drop of ~$3.87 per share (~-88.7%). Management attributed much of the decline to an unfavorable mark-to-market timing difference of $0.55 per share and notable items (~$0.95) including U.S. defined benefit pension settlement, Viterra integration costs, and an impairment.
Adjusted EPS modest decline
Adjusted EPS fell to $1.99 in Q4 from $2.13 a year ago — a decline of $0.14 or ~-6.6% year-over-year despite higher adjusted EBIT, reflecting one-time items, timing effects, and tax benefits (~$50 million of net tax benefits included in the quarter).
Short-term visibility and policy uncertainty (RVO/biofuel)
Management cited limited forward visibility driven by geopolitical tensions, evolving trade flows and uncertainty around U.S. biofuel (RVO) policy; biofuel timing/details are a material swing factor and remain unresolved, increasing short-term earnings cadence risk.
Earnings cadence skewed to back half
Guidance assumes a back-half weighted year (management noted a 30/70 first-half/second-half split for the year and ~35/65 split for H1), implying a very light Q1; this front-loaded uncertainty contributed to lower near-term EPS expectations versus some sell‑side models.
Higher interest and acquisition-related financial headwinds
Net interest expense rose to $176 million in the quarter (increase vs prior year) reflecting debt assumed/issued for Viterra; year-end net debt (excluding readily marketable inventories) was ~ $700 million and adjusted leverage was 1.9x, reflecting acquisition-related leverage.
Delayed contribution from large projects and regional softness
Several large greenfield/multiyear projects are in commissioning or completion phases (e.g., Moorestown, Destrehan, West Sun) with limited contribution baked into 2026; regional weaknesses noted (lower North America processing/refining results and some European refining softness) and certain merchandizing/milling subsegments remain challenged.
Company Guidance
Bunge guided full-year 2026 adjusted EPS of $7.50–$8.00, saying the outlook is based on current forward curves (no assumed RVO change) and expects a back‑half weighting roughly 30%/70% (with Q1 light and a ~35%/65% Q1/Q2 split for the first half); key planning metrics include an adjusted annual effective tax rate of 23%–27%, net interest expense of $575–$620 million, capital expenditures of $1.5–$1.7 billion, and depreciation & amortization of ~ $975 million. Management baked about $190 million of realized synergies into 2026 (>$70M realized in 2025, ~ $220M run‑rate by year‑end), and referenced prior-year operating cash/returns: adjusted funds from operations of just over $1.7 billion, sustaining CapEx of $485 million, discretionary cash flow of ~$1.25 billion, $459 million of dividends, $1.2 billion of growth/productivity CapEx, ~$1.2 billion of asset sale proceeds, 6.7 million shares repurchased for $551 million, $173 million retained cash flow, year‑end net debt excluding RMI of ~ $700 million, adjusted leverage ~1.9x, committed credit facilities of ~$9.7 billion with ~$9.0 billion unused, and trailing‑12‑month adjusted ROIC of 8.1% (ROIC 6.9%; adjusted ROIC w/ projects/excess cash ~9.3%, ROIC ~7.5%).

Bunge Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Top-line rebounded in 2025, but profitability has compressed materially versus 2023 and the earnings run-rate is lower. Balance-sheet risk increased with a sharp step-up in debt, while cash flow is positive in 2025 but remains volatile over the cycle.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue rebounded strongly in 2025 (up ~17% to $70.3B after a down 2023–2024), but profitability has weakened versus prior years. Net income fell to $0.82B in 2025 from $1.14B in 2024 and $2.24B in 2023, and margins compressed meaningfully (net margin ~1.2% in 2025 vs ~2.1% in 2024 and ~3.8% in 2023). Overall, solid top-line scale and recovery, offset by clear margin pressure and a lower earnings run-rate.
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Leverage increased sharply in 2025: total debt rose to $13.8B from $7.1B in 2024 while equity expanded to $17.4B, alongside a large jump in total assets to $44.5B. While the larger equity base helps, the step-up in debt raises financial risk and reduces balance sheet flexibility versus the prior 2–3 years when leverage looked more moderate.
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed and somewhat volatile. Operating cash flow improved to $0.84B in 2025 (positive) but is down from $1.9B in 2024 and well below $3.3B in 2023; earlier years (2020–2022) saw sizable negative operating cash flow. Free cash flow was positive at $0.84B in 2025 and covered net income about 1.0x, but the overall pattern suggests working-capital swings and less consistent cash conversion than ideal.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue70.33B53.11B59.54B67.23B59.15B
Gross Profit3.41B3.39B4.84B3.68B3.36B
EBITDA2.46B2.46B4.02B2.88B3.23B
Net Income816.00M1.14B2.24B1.61B2.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.53B24.90B25.37B24.58B23.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.34B3.79B2.71B1.22B1.42B
Total Debt16.95B7.12B5.76B5.62B6.82B
Total Liabilities27.11B13.95B13.56B14.62B15.61B
Stockholders Equity17.37B9.91B10.85B9.22B7.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-923.00M524.00M2.19B-6.10B-3.29B
Operating Cash Flow800.00M1.90B3.31B-5.55B-2.89B
Investing Cash Flow-5.04B-1.11B-1.01B6.50B5.11B
Financing Cash Flow2.07B-90.00M-856.00M-769.00M-1.63B

Bunge Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price118.15
Price Trends
50DMA
116.25
Positive
100DMA
104.56
Positive
200DMA
92.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.82
Positive
RSI
47.09
Neutral
STOCH
44.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 118.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 120.65, above the 50-day MA of 116.25, and above the 200-day MA of 92.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BG.

Bunge Global Risk Analysis

Bunge Global disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bunge Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bunge Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
86
Outperform
$3.73B9.7344.65%10.53%65.80%197.95%
77
Outperform
$9.09B9.274.44%
70
Outperform
$1.89B18.924.53%3.34%1.11%414.23%
66
Neutral
$31.84B25.814.80%3.55%-4.31%-29.96%
64
Neutral
$22.86B18.125.98%3.14%10.29%17.32%
63
Neutral
$20.08B59.421.10%3.48%2.12%-40.75%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BG
Bunge Global
118.15
47.61
67.49%
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
66.17
21.81
49.15%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
78.35
-7.41
-8.64%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
39.83
11.53
40.76%
TSN
Tyson Foods
58.18
-0.13
-0.22%
SFD
Smithfield Foods
23.12
4.39
23.44%

Bunge Global Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Bunge Global Raises $1.2 Billion Through Senior Notes
Positive
Mar 19, 2026

On March 17, 2026, Bunge Limited Finance Corp., a wholly owned subsidiary of Bunge Global SA, completed the sale and issuance of $1.2 billion in senior unsecured notes, split between $500 million of 4.800% notes due 2033 and $700 million of 5.150% notes due 2036. The notes, which are fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Bunge, were issued under an existing shelf registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The offering generated approximately $1.19 billion in net proceeds after underwriting discounts and expenses, which Bunge plans to use for general corporate purposes, including potential debt repayment, working capital, capital expenditures, share repurchases and investments in subsidiaries. The transaction underscores Bunge’s continued access to U.S. capital markets and provides additional financial flexibility as it navigates commodity cycles and executes its broader capital allocation and strategic plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (BG) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunge Global stock, see the BG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Bunge Global Completes Acquisition of Viterra Limited
Neutral
Mar 17, 2026

On July 2, 2025, Bunge Global SA completed its previously announced stock-and-cash acquisition of Viterra Limited from a shareholder group that included affiliates of Glencore, Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, and British Columbia Investment Management Corporation. The deal brings under Bunge’s control a business that generated $21.0 billion in revenue but a $199 million loss for the six months to June 30, 2025, and comes with a balance sheet showing $18.0 billion in assets, higher non‑current borrowings, and reduced inventories and current liabilities, underscoring both the scale and leverage profile Bunge is absorbing as it integrates Viterra’s operations.

For the first half of 2025, Viterra reported a sharp swing to a net loss and a decline in gross margin compared with the same period in 2024, even as it maintained substantial cash reserves and a modest decrease in total equity. These figures, now incorporated into Bunge’s reporting, highlight integration and financing risks alongside the strategic benefit of enhanced global origination, logistics, and merchandising capacity for stakeholders across the agricultural supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (BG) stock is a Buy with a $138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunge Global stock, see the BG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026