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Bunge Global
(NYSE:BG)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$122.00
â–²(0.39% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/29/26
BG’s score is held back primarily by weaker recent profitability and efficiency (compressed net margin and lower ROE) and a more levered balance sheet alongside historically volatile cash generation. These are partially offset by a positive earnings call with raised FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance and strong operational momentum, while technicals are mixed and valuation looks only modestly supportive given the 27.168 P/E and ~2.40% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Integrated global logistics and processing platform
Bunge's ownership of origination assets, port terminals and processing plants creates durable competitive advantages across the value chain. This integrated model lets the firm capture logistics and processing margins, smooth flows across regions, and serve large industrial and food customers consistently over cycles.
Negative Factors
Higher leverage versus prior years
Leverage rising to roughly 1.0x increases earnings and liquidity sensitivity to commodity cycles and working-capital swings. Higher debt amplifies interest costs and reduces financial headroom for adverse seasons or prolonged margin stress, making capital allocation and cyclical resilience more constrained.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated global logistics and processing platform
Bunge's ownership of origination assets, port terminals and processing plants creates durable competitive advantages across the value chain. This integrated model lets the firm capture logistics and processing margins, smooth flows across regions, and serve large industrial and food customers consistently over cycles.
Read all positive factors
Bunge Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Soybeans Processed Volumes
Tracks how many soybeans are converted into products like meal and oil, which determines the company’s ability to capture processing margins (the crush spread). Strong processing volumes boost value-added revenue but also make earnings sensitive to feedstock costs and downstream demand for oil and meal.
Tracks how many soybeans are converted into products like meal and oil, which determines the company’s ability to capture processing margins (the crush spread). Strong processing volumes boost value-added revenue but also make earnings sensitive to feedstock costs and downstream demand for oil and meal.
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The Fly
The FlyBunge Global (BG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$20.41B
Dividend Yield2.65%
Average Volume (3M)1.44M
Price to Earnings (P/E)20.6
Beta (1Y)0.16
Revenue Growth80.50%
EPS Growth-48.63%
CountryUS
Employees34,000
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryAgricultural Farm Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)5.15
Shares Outstanding192,119,130
10 Day Avg. Volume953,902
30 Day Avg. Volume1,442,429
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.46
Price to Book (P/B)0.92
Price to Sales (P/S)0.21
P/FCF Ratio-16.73
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$146.67Price Target Upside20.68% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)9.47
Revenue Forecast (FY)$91.87B
Bunge Global Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Bunge Global S.A., established in 1818 and headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, operates as a prominent international agribusiness and food corporation. Its diverse operations are categorized into four main divisions: Agribusiness, Refined and Sp...
How the Company Makes Money
Bunge makes money primarily by earning margins across the agricultural supply chain—from buying, storing, transporting, processing, and selling commodities and ingredients—rather than by charging a single service fee. Key revenue streams include: ...
Bunge Global Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong operational and financial momentum: materially higher adjusted EBIT (+~113%), large increases in adjusted EPS (+~53%), improved guidance (FY26 adjusted EPS raised to $9.25–$9.75), successful completion of the Viterra-related share repurchase, positive synergy progress and healthy liquidity and returns that exceed cost of capital. Offsetting risks include net debt exceeding readily marketable inventory by $1.0 billion, higher interest expense, weaker grain merchandising/sugar results, and significant macro/geopolitical/weather uncertainty that could weigh on future performance. On balance, the positive operational execution, raised guidance, and return metrics outweigh the lowlights and transitory timing effects.Positive Updates
Strong EPS and Adjusted EPS Improvement
Reported Q2 EPS of $3.47 vs $2.61 a year ago (+33.0%). Adjusted EPS of $2.00 vs $1.31 a year ago (+52.7%). Reported result included a favorable mark-to-market timing difference of $1.67 per share and an unfavorable Viterra transaction/integration cost of $0.20 per share.
Negative Updates
Net Debt Exceeds Readily Marketable Inventory
At quarter end, net debt exceeded readily marketable inventory (RMI) by $1.0 billion, a potential liquidity/working-capital structural consideration despite overall strong committed facilities.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong EPS and Adjusted EPS Improvement
Reported Q2 EPS of $3.47 vs $2.61 a year ago (+33.0%). Adjusted EPS of $2.00 vs $1.31 a year ago (+52.7%). Reported result included a favorable mark-to-market timing difference of $1.67 per share and an unfavorable Viterra transaction/integration cost of $0.20 per share.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Bunge raised full‑year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $9.25–$9.75 (up from $9.00–$9.50) and reiterated an adjusted effective tax rate of 22–26%, net interest expense of $620–$660 million, capital expenditures of $1.5–$1.7 billion and depreciation & amortization of ~ $975 million. At quarter end adjusted leverage was 1.9x and net debt exceeded readily marketable inventory by about $1.0 billion; liquidity included ~$9.7 billion of committed facilities (≈$8.8 billion unused) and ~$2.4 billion available on a $3.0 billion commercial paper program. Trailing‑12‑month adjusted ROIC was 8.4% (9.3% adjusted for construction‑in‑progress/excess cash) and ROIC 6.8% (7.2% adjusted); TTM discretionary cash flow was ~$1.7 billion and YTD adjusted FFO was ~$1.3 billion, leaving ~ $1.1 billion of discretionary cash after $238 million of sustaining CapEx; YTD uses included $275 million of dividends, $541 million of growth/productivity CapEx, $105 million acquisition spend and ~ $250 million of share repurchases (completing a $2.0 billion Viterra‑related program) for a net use of $117 million. Management also noted a slight H2 weighting shift (Q3 low‑40% / Q4 high‑50%) and updated segment outlooks: Soybean Processing & Refining higher, Softseed Processing & Refining slightly higher, Tropical Oils unchanged, Grain Merchandising & Milling lower, Corporate unchanged.Bunge Global Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 91.81B | 70.33B | 53.11B | 59.54B | 67.23B | 59.15B |
| Gross Profit | 4.54B | 3.41B | 3.39B | 4.84B | 3.68B | 3.36B |
| EBITDA | 2.51B | 2.46B | 2.46B | 4.02B | 2.88B | 3.23B |
| Net Income | 1.01B | 816.00M | 1.14B | 2.24B | 1.61B | 2.08B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 46.78B | 44.53B | 24.90B | 25.37B | 24.58B | 23.82B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 593.00M | 2.20B | 3.79B | 2.71B | 1.22B | 1.42B |
| Total Debt | 16.81B | 15.86B | 7.12B | 5.76B | 5.62B | 6.82B |
| Total Liabilities | 29.44B | 27.11B | 13.95B | 13.56B | 14.62B | 15.61B |
| Stockholders Equity | 15.95B | 15.90B | 9.91B | 10.85B | 9.22B | 7.67B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -711.00M | -879.00M | 524.00M | 2.19B | -6.10B | -3.29B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.07B | 844.00M | 1.90B | 3.31B | -5.55B | -2.89B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -5.40B | -5.23B | -1.11B | -1.01B | 6.50B | 5.11B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.88B | 2.23B | -90.00M | -856.00M | -769.00M | -1.63B |
Bunge Global Technical Analysis
Negative
121.53
Price Trends
117.53
Negative
120.77
Negative
111.21
Negative
Market Momentum
-2.13
Positive
33.72
Neutral
12.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 121.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 115.40, above the 50-day MA of 117.53, and above the 200-day MA of 111.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BG.
Bunge Global Risk Analysis
Bunge Global disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bunge Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Bunge Global Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $4.12B | 13.34 | 11.82% | 5.33% | -31.68% | -73.76% | |
73 Outperform | $10.25B | 10.13 | 15.25% | 4.28% | 8.00% | -1.43% | |
64 Neutral | $38.20B | 35.55 | 4.78% | 2.40% | -3.82% | -20.58% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
58 Neutral | $20.41B | 20.63 | 6.35% | 2.32% | 80.50% | -48.63% | |
56 Neutral | $20.00B | 43.91 | 2.50% | 3.53% | 3.91% | -50.15% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
BG
Bunge Global
105.40
25.25
31.50%
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
78.06
22.20
39.74%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
87.06
-14.96
-14.67%
TSN
Tyson Foods
59.61
6.66
12.59%
SFD
Smithfield Foods
25.98
1.88
7.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.