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Bunge Global Sa (BG)
NYSE:BG

Bunge Global (BG) AI Stock Analysis

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Bunge Global

(NYSE:BG)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$123.00
▲(5.90% Upside)
Bunge Global's overall stock score is driven by strong revenue growth and attractive valuation, but tempered by cash flow challenges and mixed technical indicators. The successful integration of Viterra and strategic financial management are positive, yet concerns remain regarding EPS decline and macroeconomic uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Viterra integration
Completed Viterra integration expands Bunge's global footprint and supply-chain scale, delivering lasting synergies in procurement, logistics and trading. Greater scale and cross-border coordination can sustainably lower unit costs and improve competitive positioning over the medium term.
Top-line growth
Sustained double-digit revenue growth signals strengthening market share and product demand across oilseeds, grains and ingredients. Robust top-line expansion supports capacity utilization, justifies incremental investment, and provides a foundation for durable margin recovery if cost discipline continues.
Return on equity & cash generation initiatives
A healthy ROE and strong adjusted funds from operations demonstrate the business’s ability to generate shareholder returns. Continued FFO and active buybacks reflect disciplined capital allocation and signal management prioritizes long-term value creation and balance-sheet optimization.
Negative Factors
Free cash flow weakness
Sharp deterioration in free cash flow undermines the firm's ability to self-fund capex, dividends and integration costs. Persistent negative FCF growth increases reliance on external financing and reduces financial flexibility, heightening execution risk during cyclical commodity downcycles.
Low profit margins
Thin gross and net margins leave limited buffer against commodity price swings, freight costs and input inflation. Structural low profitability means even modest adverse moves in spreads or volumes can erode earnings, making durable margin improvement critical for long-term resilience.
EPS decline & higher corporate costs
Reported EPS decline and elevated corporate expenses tied to integration and compensation reduce near-term earnings power. If higher overhead persists post-merger, it could pressure margins and cash flow, complicating realization of merger synergies and sustainable profitability.

Bunge Global (BG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bunge Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBunge Limited operates as an agribusiness and food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Agribusiness, Refined and Specialty Oils, Milling, and Sugar and Bioenergy. The Agribusiness segment purchases, stores, transports, processes, and sells agricultural commodities and commodity products, including oilseeds primarily soybeans, rapeseed, canola, and sunflower seeds, as well as grains primarily wheat and corn; and processes oilseeds into vegetable oils and protein meals. This segment offers its products for animal feed manufacturers, livestock producers, wheat and corn millers, and other oilseed processors, as well as third-party edible oil processing and biofuel companies; and for industrial and biodiesel production applications. The Refined and Specialty Oils segment sells packaged and bulk oils and fats that include cooking oils, shortenings, margarines, mayonnaise, and other products for baked goods companies, snack food producers, confectioners, restaurant chains, foodservice operators, infant nutrition companies, and other food manufacturers, as well as grocery chains, wholesalers, distributors, and other retailers. The Milling segment provides wheat flours and bakery mixes; corn milling products that comprise dry-milled corn meals and flours, wet-milled masa and flours, and flaking and brewer's grits, as well as soy-fortified corn meal, corn-soy blends, and other products; whole grain and fiber ingredients; quinoas and millets; die-cut pellets; and non-GMO products. The Sugar and Bioenergy segment produces sugar and ethanol; and generates electricity from burning sugarcane bagasse. Bunge Limited was founded in 1818 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyBunge Global generates revenue through multiple key streams within its agribusiness operations. The primary revenue sources include the sale of processed agricultural products, such as oils and meal from oilseeds, and grain trading. The company also earns income from its fertilizer business, which involves the production and distribution of crop nutrients to farmers. Additionally, BG benefits from global commodity trading and has established significant partnerships with farmers and food manufacturers, allowing for efficient supply chain management and operational synergies. The company’s expansive global network and diversified product offerings help mitigate risks and stabilize earnings across different market conditions.

Bunge Global Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Soybeans Processed Volumes
Soybeans Processed Volumes
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Bunge Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with significant achievements in integrating Viterra and strong performance in soybean and softseed segments. However, challenges such as a decline in EPS, lower grain merchandising results, and an uncertain macroeconomic environment pose concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Integration of Viterra
The integration of Viterra was completed, and tangible benefits are being realized from the merger. The company is seeing improved agility, transparency, and collaboration across its operations.
Strong Performance in Soybean and Softseed Segments
Third-quarter results reflected strong performance in soybean and softseed processing and refining segments, driven by higher margins and strong execution.
Increased Production Capacity
Higher processing volumes were reported due to increased production capacity in Argentina, Canada, and Europe.
Record Adjusted Segment EBIT
Adjusted segment EBIT was $924 million, a significant increase from $559 million last year, reflecting improved results in various segments.
Strong Capital Allocation and Share Buyback
The company generated approximately $1.2 billion of adjusted funds from operations and completed share buybacks of $545 million.
Negative Updates
EPS Decline
Reported third-quarter earnings per share were $0.86 compared to $1.56 in the third quarter of 2024, primarily due to unfavorable mark-to-market timing differences and Viterra transaction costs.
Challenges in Grain Merchandising
Lower results in global wheat and corn merchandising were partially offset by higher results in wheat milling and ocean freight.
Uncertain Macroeconomic Environment
The company faces uncertainty due to macro trade and biofuel policy, impacting farmer and consumer behaviors, which remain largely spot.
Higher Corporate Expenses
Increase in corporate expenses due to the addition of Viterra and performance-based compensation accruals.
Company Guidance
During Bunge's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year, emphasizing the integration benefits following the Viterra acquisition. Bunge projected full-year 2025 adjusted EPS in the range of $7.30 to $7.60, with an expected second-half adjusted EPS between $4.00 and $4.25. The company highlighted a strong performance in soybean and softseed processing and refining, attributing improvements in adjusted segment EBIT to $924 million from $559 million the previous year. Additionally, Bunge outlined expectations for a 2025 adjusted annual effective tax rate of 23% to 25%, net interest expense ranging from $380 million to $400 million, capital expenditures between $1.6 billion and $1.7 billion, and depreciation and amortization of approximately $710 million. As Bunge navigates a complex operating environment, it remains focused on capturing synergies from the Viterra integration and leveraging its expanded global network to drive value creation.

Bunge Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bunge Global exhibits strong revenue growth but faces challenges in cash flow management and leverage. The income statement shows robust top-line expansion, but low profit margins indicate room for improvement in cost management. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a healthy ROE, while cash flow analysis highlights significant cash flow challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Bunge Global's income statement shows a strong revenue growth rate of 18.18% TTM, indicating robust top-line expansion. However, the gross profit margin of 6.27% and net profit margin of 2.71% TTM are relatively low, suggesting room for improvement in cost management and profitability. The EBIT margin of 4.48% and EBITDA margin of 5.42% TTM are moderate, reflecting stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.12 TTM, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) of 13.28% TTM is healthy, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis highlights a concerning free cash flow growth rate of -111.38% TTM, pointing to significant cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.10 TTM suggests limited cash generation relative to net income, while the negative free cash flow to net income ratio indicates cash flow issues that need addressing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue60.11B53.11B59.54B67.23B59.15B41.40B
Gross Profit3.48B3.39B4.84B3.68B3.36B2.79B
EBITDA2.90B2.46B4.02B2.88B3.23B2.11B
Net Income1.32B1.14B2.24B1.61B2.08B1.15B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.30B24.90B25.37B24.58B23.82B23.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.72B3.79B2.71B1.22B1.42B698.00M
Total Debt17.78B7.12B5.76B5.62B6.82B8.10B
Total Liabilities29.01B13.95B13.56B14.62B15.61B17.04B
Stockholders Equity15.77B9.91B10.85B9.22B7.67B6.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.00M524.00M2.19B-6.10B-3.29B-3.90B
Operating Cash Flow550.00M1.90B3.31B-5.55B-2.89B-3.54B
Investing Cash Flow-5.68B-1.11B-1.01B6.50B5.11B1.81B
Financing Cash Flow3.56B-90.00M-856.00M-769.00M-1.63B1.76B

Bunge Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price116.15
Price Trends
50DMA
96.85
Positive
100DMA
92.18
Positive
200DMA
85.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.80
Negative
RSI
84.65
Negative
STOCH
95.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 116.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.14, above the 50-day MA of 96.85, and above the 200-day MA of 85.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 84.65 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BG.

Bunge Global Risk Analysis

Bunge Global disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bunge Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bunge Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$9.26B10.6914.44%4.44%
73
Outperform
$3.93B3.4848.69%10.53%65.80%197.95%
71
Outperform
$1.84B23.543.95%3.34%1.11%414.23%
69
Neutral
$22.05B46.792.60%3.48%2.12%-40.75%
66
Neutral
$22.02B12.2310.24%3.14%10.29%17.32%
64
Neutral
$32.38B27.415.35%3.55%-4.31%-29.96%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BG
Bunge Global
116.15
40.02
52.57%
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland
68.23
18.51
37.23%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
83.49
-20.82
-19.96%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
39.33
8.98
29.59%
TSN
Tyson Foods
65.75
11.09
20.30%
SFD
Smithfield Foods
23.78
4.20
21.45%

Bunge Global Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Bunge Global Reduces Share Capital and Updates Governance
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

Effective December 16, 2025, Bunge Global SA reduced its share capital by USD 123,826.10, from USD 2,208,943.73 to USD 2,085,117.63, following the cancellation of 12,382,610 repurchased registered shares with a nominal value of $0.01 per share as part of its share repurchase program. In connection with this capital reduction, the company also amended Article 4a of its Articles of Association to update its Swiss capital band provision, formalizing the changes to its equity structure and governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (BG) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunge Global stock, see the BG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Bunge Global Announces Leadership Change in COO Role
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Bunge Global SA announced the departure of David Mattiske from his role as co-Chief Operating Officer to explore other professional opportunities. Julio Garros, currently serving as co-Chief Operating Officer, will take over as Chief Operating Officer starting December 12, 2025, ensuring a smooth transition of responsibilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (BG) stock is a Hold with a $99.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunge Global stock, see the BG Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Bunge Global Reports New Financial Obligation
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

Bunge Global has released a current report on Form 8-K, which is a standard form used by publicly traded companies to disclose significant events that shareholders should know about. The report’s content, however, is not detailed in the provided text, leaving the specific impact on Bunge Global’s operations, industry positioning, or implications for stakeholders unclear.

The most recent analyst rating on (BG) stock is a Hold with a $99.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bunge Global stock, see the BG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025