Nutrien (NTR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $38.03B
• Dividend Yield: 3.95%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.56M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.88
• Revenue Growth: 2.67%
• EPS Growth: 154.37%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 25,500
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Agricultural Inputs
• EPS (TTM): 1.37
• Shares Outstanding: 483,340,550
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,442,179
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,560,834
• PEG Ratio: -0.71
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.91
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.85
• P/FCF Ratio: 16.01
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.54
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.26
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.74
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 11.74
• 1Y Price Target: $91.36
• Price Target Upside: 17.70% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15
• EPS Forecast (FY): 6.46
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $37.27B

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: C$83.00 ▲(6.93% Upside)

Nutrien's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial stability, technical challenges, reasonable valuation, and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's strong cash flow and improved sales guidance are significant positives, while technical indicators suggest caution. The strategic focus on cost management and increased shareholder returns further supports the stock's potential.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The significant increase in adjusted EBITDA indicates strong demand and effective operations, suggesting a positive trajectory for revenue growth.

Cash Flow Generation

Strong free cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility and supports strategic investments, dividends, and share repurchases.

Market Position

Anticipated record potash shipments highlight Nutrien's strong market position and ability to meet growing global demand, supporting long-term growth.

Negative Factors

Profitability Pressure

Compressed margins indicate challenges in maintaining profitability, which could affect long-term financial health if not addressed.

Operational Challenges

Operational disruptions in Trinidad could impact cash flow and profitability, highlighting risks in supply chain reliability.

Increased Leverage

Increased leverage may constrain financial flexibility and elevate risk, potentially impacting future investment and growth opportunities.

Nutrien Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. It offers potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate products; and financial solutions. The company also distributes crop nutrients, crop protection products, seeds, and merchandise products through approximately 2,000 retail locations in the United States, Canada, South America, and Australia. In addition, it provides services directly to growers through a network of farm centers in North America, South America, and Australia. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Nutrien generates revenue primarily through the sale of fertilizers and agricultural inputs, with significant contributions from both its Retail and Wholesale segments. The Wholesale segment focuses on producing and selling potash, nitrogen, and phosphate fertilizers to agricultural customers globally, while the Retail segment provides farmers with crop inputs, crop protection products, and agronomic services. Key revenue streams include sales of nutrient products, retail sales of seeds and crop protection chemicals, and the provision of agronomic advice and services. Nutrien also benefits from strategic partnerships with agricultural producers and cooperatives, enhancing its distribution capabilities and market reach. Additionally, fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly for potash and nitrogen, play a crucial role in the company's financial performance, driving revenues based on global supply and demand dynamics.

Nutrien Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Nutrien's financials show a mixed picture. Revenue growth is stabilizing, but profitability margins are under pressure. The balance sheet reflects increased leverage, yet remains stable with a strong equity base. Cash flow performance is a highlight, with significant improvement in free cash flow, indicating financial health.

Income Statement

Nutrien's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth is slightly positive at 1.1%, indicating a recovery from previous declines. However, margins have compressed significantly compared to historical highs, with the net profit margin at 2.05% and EBIT margin at 6.44%. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 29.4%, suggesting some resilience in cost management. Overall, while revenue is stabilizing, profitability remains under pressure.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.61 in the TTM, indicating higher leverage, but it remains manageable. Return on equity has decreased to 2.14%, reflecting lower profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base. While leverage has increased, the company maintains a strong equity position, providing some financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth in the TTM at 99.4%, a significant improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.23, indicating that cash generation is aligned with earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, showing effective cash conversion. Despite past fluctuations, the recent surge in free cash flow is a positive indicator of financial health.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	25.96B	25.97B	29.06B	37.88B	27.71B	20.91B
Gross Profit	7.58B	7.53B	8.47B	15.42B	9.41B	5.24B
EBITDA	4.99B	4.21B	4.88B	12.78B	6.58B	2.89B
Net Income	1.36B	674.00M	1.26B	7.66B	3.15B	459.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	53.26B	51.84B	52.75B	54.59B	49.95B	47.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.39B	853.00M	941.00M	901.00M	499.00M	1.45B
Total Debt	13.64B	12.81B	12.57B	11.93B	10.85B	11.36B
Total Liabilities	28.14B	27.40B	27.55B	28.72B	26.25B	24.83B
Stockholders Equity	25.09B	24.41B	25.16B	25.82B	23.65B	22.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.71B	1.38B	2.47B	5.67B	2.10B	1.77B
Operating Cash Flow	3.67B	3.54B	5.07B	8.11B	3.89B	3.32B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.76B	-2.13B	-2.96B	-2.90B	-1.81B	-1.20B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.52B	-1.45B	-2.06B	-4.73B	-3.00B	-1.34B

Nutrien Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 77.62
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NTR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 77.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.59, below the 50-day MA of 80.11, and above the 200-day MA of 77.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:NTR.

Nutrien Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IFOS	78 Outperform	$642.84M	4.22	33.41%	―	20.52%	1196.33%
NTR	68 Neutral	$38.03B	15.32	7.22%	3.95%	2.67%	154.37%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
MGRO	57 Neutral	$35.10M	-6.16	-310.19%	―	49.17%	-1068.82%
ERTH	50 Neutral	$20.06M	-4.72	-32.75%	―	-29.91%	-89.29%
NPK	46 Neutral	C$57.94M	-5.09	-37.27%	―	-36.30%	10.13%
KRN	43 Neutral	C$6.13M	-7.77	-21.94%	―	―	39.56%

Nutrien Corporate Events

Nutrien Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Business Review

Nutrien Ltd. reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, with net earnings of $0.5 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion. The company has shown significant earnings growth through increased fertilizer sales and improved operational efficiency. Nutrien is reviewing strategic alternatives for its Phosphate business to enhance long-term value and has completed a controlled shutdown of its Trinidad Nitrogen facility due to operational challenges. Additionally, Nutrien plans to sell its stake in Profertil S.A., aiming to use the proceeds for growth investments, share repurchases, and debt reduction, aligning with its strategic focus on core assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NTR) stock is a Hold with a C$87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nutrien stock, see the TSE:NTR Stock Forecast page.

Nutrien Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Business Moves

Nutrien Ltd. reported strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with net earnings of $0.5 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion. The company achieved record fertilizer sales volumes and improved reliability, contributing to increased earnings and cash returns to shareholders. Nutrien is reviewing strategic alternatives for its Phosphate business to enhance long-term value and has completed a controlled shutdown of its Trinidad Nitrogen facility due to operational challenges. The company also announced the sale of its equity interest in Profertil S.A., aligning with its capital allocation priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NTR) stock is a Hold with a C$87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nutrien stock, see the TSE:NTR Stock Forecast page.

Nutrien Declares Quarterly Dividend, Reinforcing Shareholder Value

Nutrien Ltd. announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.545 per share, payable on January 16, 2026, to shareholders of record as of December 31, 2025. This announcement reflects Nutrien’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and highlights its robust financial position, which allows it to continue rewarding investors while maintaining its strategic focus on growth and efficiency in the agricultural sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NTR) stock is a Hold with a C$87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nutrien stock, see the TSE:NTR Stock Forecast page.

Nutrien Initiates Shutdown of Trinidad Nitrogen Operations Amid Supply Challenges

Nutrien Ltd. has announced a controlled shutdown of its Trinidad Nitrogen operations due to port access restrictions and unreliable natural gas supply, which have impacted the facility’s financial performance. Despite this, Nutrien expects to meet its 2025 nitrogen sales volume targets, thanks to strong performance from its North American operations, and continues to engage with stakeholders to assess future options.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NTR) stock is a Hold with a C$87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nutrien stock, see the TSE:NTR Stock Forecast page.

Nutrien to Divest Stake in Profertil for $600 Million

Nutrien Ltd. announced an agreement to sell its 50 percent equity position in the Argentine nitrogen producer Profertil S.A. to Adecoagro S.A. and Asociacion de Cooperativas Argentinas Coop Ltda for approximately $600 million. This strategic move aligns with Nutrien’s focus on core assets and geographies, with plans to allocate proceeds towards growth investments, share repurchases, and debt reduction, enhancing earnings quality and supporting long-term growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NTR) stock is a Hold with a C$64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nutrien stock, see the TSE:NTR Stock Forecast page.

Nutrien Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Amid Favorable Market

Nutrien Ltd., a leading global provider of crop inputs and services, operates a world-class network of production, distribution, and ag retail facilities, focusing on creating long-term value across the agricultural value chain. In its second quarter of 2025, Nutrien reported net earnings of $1.2 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 billion, reflecting strong operational performance and favorable fertilizer market conditions. Key highlights include record Potash sales volumes, increased Nitrogen operating rates, and a significant return of $0.8 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Nutrien has raised its full-year Potash sales volume guidance and continues to maintain capital allocation priorities. Looking forward, Nutrien remains optimistic about the fertilizer market fundamentals, driven by strong global demand and supply disruptions, and aims to achieve its 2026 performance targets while continuing to optimize operations and shareholder returns.

Nutrien’s Earnings Call: Strong Potash Sales & Positive Outlook

Nutrien’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust performance, particularly in the potash and nitrogen segments, while also acknowledging challenges in the phosphate market and certain regional areas due to adverse weather conditions. The company showcased its strategic progress and effective cost management, marking a positive sentiment overall.