Nutrien (NTR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $39.52B
• Dividend Yield: 3.75%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.09M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 20.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.95
• Revenue Growth: -0.74%
• EPS Growth: 78.08%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 25,500
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 67
• Industry: Agricultural Inputs
• EPS (TTM): 3.65
• Shares Outstanding: 487,486,720
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 716,598
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,093,747
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.40
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.14
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.32
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 11.11
• 1Y Price Target: $90.74
• Price Target Upside: 11.94% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: C$86.00 ▲(6.09% Upside)

Nutrien's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and improving cash flows, despite challenges in profitability and technical indicators. The company's strategic cost savings and increased shareholder returns are positive, but valuation concerns and market pressures weigh on the score.

Positive Factors

Crop Outlook

US corn planting is largely complete, and crop conditions are progressing well, indicating a strong 2025 crop outlook.

Future Performance

Despite a weak start to the year, Nutrien maintained its full-year guidance, which suggests confidence in future performance.

Market Dynamics

The potash market dynamics are positive, with strong demand and supply constraints tightening the market.

Negative Factors

Earnings Growth

A lack of earnings growth and limited prospects for sustained higher fertilizer prices will weigh on sentiment.

Financial Performance

Nutrien reported weak first-quarter results, with revenue weaker across all segments and EBITDA below forecast across all segments except Potash.

Share Price

The company is downgraded to Market Perform due to significant share price gains, which limits further upside potential.

Nutrien Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. It offers potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate products; and financial solutions. The company also distributes crop nutrients, crop protection products, seeds, and merchandise products through approximately 2,000 retail locations in the United States, Canada, South America, and Australia. In addition, it provides services directly to growers through a network of farm centers in North America, South America, and Australia. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Nutrien generates its revenue primarily through the sale of fertilizers, which are essential for crop production. The company's key revenue streams include the production and sale of potash, nitrogen, and phosphate fertilizers. Nutrien also earns income from agricultural services, which encompass seed sales, crop protection products, and agronomic advice. The company's revenue model is supported by its extensive retail network, allowing it to reach farmers directly. Additionally, Nutrien benefits from significant partnerships with agricultural producers and retailers, which enhance its distribution capabilities and market presence. Factors such as global crop demand, commodity prices, and agricultural trends significantly influence Nutrien's earnings.

Nutrien Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Nutrien's financial health shows stable profitability margins and a strong equity position, but declining revenue and free cash flow growth are concerns. The company needs strategic improvements to enhance overall financial performance.

Income Statement

The company's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is 28.47%, which is decent, but the net profit margin is low at 2.05%, indicating challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth has been negative recently, declining by 8.91% from 2024 to 2025, which is concerning. EBIT and EBITDA margins for TTM are moderate at 10.51% and 18.47%, respectively. Overall, the income statement reflects stable margins but with a downward revenue trend.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet presents a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 45.32% for TTM, indicating a strong equity cushion. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.61, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is low at 2.19%, showing limited profitability relative to equity. Despite some leverage, the company's balance sheet is stable, with a good proportion of assets financed by equity.

Cash Flow

Cash flow metrics indicate some areas of concern. Free cash flow growth has declined significantly by 37.79% from 2024 to TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 5.58, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.63 for TTM highlights potential issues in maintaining free cash flow levels. Overall, cash flow performance shows strong operational cash flow but declining free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	25.96B	25.97B	29.06B	37.88B	27.71B	20.91B
Gross Profit	7.58B	7.53B	8.47B	15.42B	9.41B	5.24B
EBITDA	4.99B	4.21B	4.88B	12.07B	6.58B	2.89B
Net Income	1.36B	674.00M	1.26B	7.66B	3.15B	459.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	53.26B	51.84B	52.75B	54.59B	49.95B	47.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.39B	853.00M	941.00M	901.00M	499.00M	1.45B
Total Debt	13.64B	12.81B	12.57B	11.93B	10.85B	11.36B
Total Liabilities	28.14B	27.40B	27.55B	28.72B	26.25B	24.83B
Stockholders Equity	25.09B	24.41B	25.16B	25.82B	23.65B	22.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.71B	1.38B	2.47B	5.67B	2.10B	1.77B
Operating Cash Flow	3.67B	3.54B	5.07B	8.11B	3.89B	3.32B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.76B	-2.13B	-2.96B	-2.90B	-1.81B	-1.20B
Financing Cash Flow	-1.52B	-1.45B	-2.06B	-4.73B	-3.00B	-1.34B

Nutrien Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 81.06
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.58, below the 50-day MA of 81.10, and above the 200-day MA of 73.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NTR.

Nutrien Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NTR	69 Neutral	$39.52B	20.88	5.43%	3.75%	-0.74%	78.08%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.31B	6.16	0.76%	2.94%	3.30%	-36.34%
KRN	43 Neutral	C$5.86M	―	-15.71%	―	―	51.79%
NPK	43 Neutral	C$24.75M	―	-36.07%	―	-36.74%	15.76%
ITFS	―	$414.67M	3.79	30.90%	―	―	―
VVIVF	―	$9.75M	―	-32.32%	―	―	―
MGROF	―	$28.37M	―	-201.16%	―	―	―

Nutrien Corporate Events

Nutrien Declares Quarterly Dividend of US$0.545 per Share

Nutrien Ltd. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.545 per share, payable on October 17, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 29, 2025. The dividend will be paid in Canadian dollars to Canadian residents and in US dollars to non-residents, with the option for registered shareholders to change the currency of their payments. This announcement reflects Nutrien’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and maintaining its strong position in the agricultural industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NTR) stock is a Buy with a C$75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nutrien stock, see the TSE:NTR Stock Forecast page.

Nutrien Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results Amid Favorable Fertilizer Market

Nutrien Ltd. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with net earnings of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 billion. The company achieved record potash sales volumes and increased nitrogen operating rates, supported by robust global demand and supply disruptions in the fertilizer market. Nutrien raised its full-year potash sales volume guidance while maintaining other operational priorities, reflecting its strategic focus on optimizing capital expenditures and returning cash to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NTR) stock is a Buy with a C$75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nutrien stock, see the TSE:NTR Stock Forecast page.

Nutrien Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results Amid Fertilizer Market Demand

Nutrien Ltd. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with net earnings of $1.2 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 billion. The company achieved record sales volumes in potash and increased nitrogen operating rates, driven by robust global demand and supply disruptions in the fertilizer market. Nutrien is raising its full-year potash sales volume guidance while maintaining its capital allocation priorities. The company returned $0.8 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, highlighting its commitment to shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NTR) stock is a Buy with a C$75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nutrien stock, see the TSE:NTR Stock Forecast page.