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Karnalyte Res J (TSE:KRN)
TSX:KRN
Canadian Market

Karnalyte Resources (KRN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:KRN

Karnalyte Resources

(TSX:KRN)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.26
▼(-3.33% Downside)
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (pre-revenue, recurring losses, and ongoing free-cash-flow burn), partially offset by favorable technical momentum with the stock trading above major moving averages. Valuation is constrained by lack of profitability and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strategic Developments
These strategic steps can enhance operational efficiency and strengthen management, positioning the company for future growth.
Market Demand
Sustained demand for potash driven by geopolitical factors supports long-term revenue potential for Karnalyte's core products.
Debt-Free Position
A debt-free balance sheet provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, allowing the company to focus on strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Revenue Challenges
The absence of revenue indicates operational challenges and raises concerns about the company's ability to achieve profitability.
Cash Flow Issues
Persistent negative cash flow strains financial resources, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and sustain operations.
Declining Assets
Decreasing asset levels may impact the company's financial stability and ability to support future operational needs.

Karnalyte Resources (KRN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Karnalyte Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKarnalyte Resources Inc. explores for and develops agricultural and industrial potash, nitrogen, and magnesium products in Canada. The company owns 100% interests in Subsurface Mineral Leases KLSA 010, KL 247A, and KL 246 totaling 367 km2 of mineral rights. It also holds interests in the Wynyard potash project located in Wynyard, Saskatchewan; and Proteos nitrogen project located in Central Saskatchewan. Karnalyte Resources Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyKarnalyte Resources generates revenue through the exploration, development, and eventual production of potash and magnesium products. The company's primary revenue stream is expected to come from the sale of potash, which is used as a key ingredient in fertilizers. As the global agricultural industry grows, the demand for fertilizers increases, driving potential sales for Karnalyte. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships and off-take agreements that provide upfront capital or guaranteed sales channels, further contributing to its revenue. However, as of now, Karnalyte is in the development stage, and its earnings depend on successfully bringing its projects into production.

Karnalyte Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Karnalyte Resources faces significant financial challenges with no revenue generation and persistent losses. The company has a strong equity position due to no debt, but declining assets and cash flow issues pose risks to financial stability. The lack of revenue and decreasing cash reserves raise concerns about the company's ability to sustain operations and invest in growth.
Income Statement
Karnalyte Resources has consistently reported zero revenue, indicating ongoing operational challenges. The company shows persistent net losses, with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting a lack of profitability. The gross profit margin remains negative due to the absence of revenue, and the continued decline in gross profit.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with no debt, leading to a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of zero. However, the equity ratio is decreasing, and the total assets have been declining over the years, suggesting potential liquidity concerns. Stockholders' equity is also decreasing, indicating reduced financial stability.
Cash Flow
Negative operating cash flow and free cash flow highlight cash management issues, with free cash flow deteriorating significantly over the years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, showing inefficiency in converting net income to cash. The company struggles with financing cash flows, with no inflow from financing activities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-49.00K-55.00K-56.00K-51.00K-80.00K-92.00K
EBITDA-891.00K-1.60M-1.37M-1.68M-1.61M-3.34M
Net Income-954.00K-1.66M-1.42M-2.70M-2.48M-3.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.29M6.88M8.38M9.88M8.39M11.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments605.00K870.00K2.30M3.68M1.80M4.82M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.0039.00K
Total Liabilities2.25M2.01M1.89M2.01M2.63M3.31M
Stockholders Equity4.04M4.87M6.49M7.88M5.76M7.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.83M-1.69M-546.84K-2.20M-3.08M-2.66M
Operating Cash Flow-967.00K-955.00K-839.00-1.17M-2.56M-1.60M
Investing Cash Flow548.00K-471.00K-546.00-754.00K-422.00K-1.05M
Financing Cash Flow0.000.000.003.80K-39.00K-32.00K

Karnalyte Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.27
Price Trends
50DMA
0.18
Positive
100DMA
0.15
Positive
200DMA
0.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
50.28
Neutral
STOCH
12.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KRN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.25, above the 50-day MA of 0.18, and above the 200-day MA of 0.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:KRN.

Karnalyte Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$40.08B16.227.22%3.52%2.67%154.37%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
C$12.26M-12.04-21.94%39.56%
50
Neutral
C$69.52M-6.25-37.27%-36.30%10.13%
36
Underperform
C$24.29M-17.36-7.87%33.49%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:KRN
Karnalyte Resources
0.23
0.12
109.09%
TSE:WRX
Western Resources
0.04
<0.01
14.29%
TSE:NPK
Verde Agritech
1.32
0.66
100.00%
TSE:NCP
Nickel Creek Platinum Corp
3.90
3.47
806.98%
TSE:NTR
Nutrien
82.93
11.37
15.88%

Karnalyte Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Karnalyte Files Updated Feasibility Study Confirming Strong Economics for Wynyard Potash Project
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

Karnalyte Resources has filed an NI 43-101 Technical Report on the updated feasibility study for its flagship Wynyard Project, confirming robust project fundamentals including a projected 70-year mine life, attractive after-tax economics with an NPV of $2.04 billion at an 8% discount rate and a 12.5% IRR, and planned annual output of 2.175 million tonnes of potash plus 104,000 tonnes of hydromagnesite. The filing marks a critical step toward project development, underpinning Karnalyte’s strategic positioning in the potash market by demonstrating long-term production potential and partially de-risked cash flows through an existing offtake agreement, which collectively strengthen the company’s investment case as it seeks the financing needed to advance construction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KRN) stock is a Hold with a C$0.26 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Karnalyte Resources stock, see the TSE:KRN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Karnalyte Resources Reports Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Progress
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Karnalyte Resources Inc. reported its third-quarter results for 2025, highlighting progress on its NI 43-101 compliant technical report, which is crucial for advancing mine development and corporate opportunities. The company is also reviewing its development strategy to expand magnesium chloride production alongside potash, aiming to unlock additional value. Despite financial challenges, with a net loss reported, Karnalyte remains focused on optimizing operations, seeking partnerships, and ensuring sustainable growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025