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Verde Agritech Plc J (TSE:NPK)
TSX:NPK

Verde Agritech (NPK) AI Stock Analysis

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Verde Agritech

(TSX:NPK)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.50
▼(-3.85%Downside)
The overall stock score for Verde Agritech is impacted primarily by significant financial challenges, as indicated by declining revenues and profitability, high leverage, and negative cash flows. While technical indicators are neutral, the valuation remains unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. However, recent corporate events show promise in potentially strengthening the company's position and enhancing liquidity.

Verde Agritech (NPK) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Verde Agritech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVerde Agritech is a leading agricultural technology company focused on producing innovative and sustainable mineral fertilizers. Operating primarily in the agribusiness sector, the company is known for its flagship product, a multi-nutrient fertilizer marketed under the brand name Super Greensand. Verde Agritech is dedicated to improving soil fertility and increasing agricultural yields while promoting environmentally friendly farming practices.
How the Company Makes MoneyVerde Agritech makes money through the sale of its mineral fertilizers, primarily Super Greensand, which is marketed to farmers, agricultural cooperatives, and distributors. The company's revenue model is based on leveraging its proprietary technology to produce high-quality, sustainable fertilizers that enhance soil health and crop productivity. Key revenue streams include direct sales to agricultural operators and partnerships with distributors who help expand the product's reach in domestic and international markets. Additionally, Verde Agritech may engage in licensing agreements or collaborations with other agritech companies to further monetize its proprietary technologies.

Verde Agritech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 10.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with successful cost-cutting measures and debt renegotiations as positive aspects. However, significant challenges remain, such as declining sales, revenue, and cash position, compounded by a tough economic environment and credit market issues in Brazil.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Reduction Efforts
The company achieved a reduction in general and administrative expenses by 21% in the quarter and 13% year-to-date.
Improvement in EBITDA
EBITDA before non-cash events was almost zero or CAD 30,000 negative, compared to CAD 620,000 in 2023, showing an improvement.
Successful Debt Renegotiation
The company has successfully renegotiated 92% of its debt with creditors, aiming to move 95% of total loans to long-term.
Negative Updates
Decline in Sales Volume and Revenue
Sales in Q3 were 101,000 tonnes, compared to 108,000 tonnes in Q3 2023, with revenue dropping from CAD 9.4 million to CAD 7.1 million.
Credit Market Challenges
The company faces significant challenges due to increased bankruptcy protections for farmers and distributors, impacting credit policies.
Cash Position Decline
Cash and other receivables held by the Group decreased to CAD 14.7 million from CAD 25.4 million the previous year.
High Interest Rates Impacting Farmers
Brazil's high interest rates are creating a 'disaster' for farmers, complicating credit and financial conditions in the agriculture sector.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Verde AgriTech, several key metrics and market insights were addressed. The company reported sales of 101,000 tonnes in Q3 2024, slightly down from 108,000 tonnes in the same quarter of 2023. Revenue also declined to CAD 7.1 million from CAD 9.4 million the previous year, reflecting a challenging market environment. Despite these setbacks, Verde AgriTech managed to improve its EBITDA, reducing it from a negative CAD 620,000 in Q3 2023 to nearly breaking even at CAD 30,000 negative in Q3 2024. The call highlighted significant cost reduction efforts, including a 21% decrease in general and administrative expenses and a 43% reduction in sales agent fees. The company's total loan balance stood at CAD 42.2 million, with cash and receivables totaling CAD 14.7 million, marking a decrease from CAD 25.4 million in 2023. The management discussed the impacts of fluctuating KCl prices, which have dropped significantly to around $285 per tonne in Brazil, and the challenging credit environment for farmers due to high interest rates. Additionally, Verde AgriTech outlined its strategic focus on expanding market presence through field sales teams and exploring opportunities in carbon monetization and rare earths, while emphasizing the need for a conservative approach to credit risk.

Verde Agritech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Verde Agritech is facing severe financial difficulties, with a significant revenue drop, negative gross and net profit margins, high leverage, and deteriorating cash flows. These issues indicate substantial operational challenges and financial instability.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Verde Agritech's income statement reveals significant challenges. The TTM data shows a drop in total revenue to $21.6M, a stark decrease from $80.3M in 2022. The company is currently experiencing negative gross and net profit margins, with a gross profit margin of 56.7% and a substantial net loss margin of -58.2%. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight operational inefficiencies and declining profitability. The revenue growth rate is negative, indicating significant revenue contraction over the period.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Verde Agritech's balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.31, indicating a high level of leverage, which could pose risks in periods of financial stress. The equity ratio stands at 42.1%, suggesting moderate reliance on equity financing. However, the return on equity is negative, impacted by the net losses, which points to insufficient returns on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow statement reveals significant weaknesses in Verde Agritech's cash management. The TTM operating cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow has deteriorated to -$2.84M. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting poor cash generation relative to earnings. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, underscoring challenges in covering net losses through operational cash flows.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.60M37.86M80.27M27.71M9.17M
Gross Profit12.25M24.70M62.25M20.58M5.65M
EBITDA-4.54M1.98M24.36M5.29M1.48M
Net Income-12.56M-5.98M17.80M3.52M550.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.02M96.17M97.31M41.40M28.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.48M6.97M1.16M1.53M2.24M
Total Debt39.75M46.20M38.37M5.58M3.47M
Total Liabilities41.68M50.67M48.96M15.04M7.59M
Stockholders Equity30.34M45.51M48.35M26.36M21.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.84M1.63M-30.83M-4.28M-525.00K
Operating Cash Flow-1.89M4.62M11.47M-1.68M1.06M
Investing Cash Flow753.00K-4.02M-42.02M-2.55M-1.47M
Financing Cash Flow-3.12M5.02M30.03M3.67M2.08M

Verde Agritech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.52
Price Trends
50DMA
0.51
Positive
100DMA
0.60
Negative
200DMA
0.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
49.45
Neutral
STOCH
35.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NPK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.52, above the 50-day MA of 0.51, and below the 200-day MA of 0.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:NPK.

Verde Agritech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$511.96M3.7130.22%8.78%
57
Neutral
C$42.86M-201.16%-91.55%-495.60%
TSGSP
49
Neutral
C$36.06M-24.23%56.08%
TSNPK
45
Neutral
C$26.86M-32.62%-39.06%-9.07%
44
Neutral
C$958.76M-6.68-13.31%2.79%17.55%-32.28%
TSKRN
43
Neutral
C$8.79M-35.90%-16.48%
TSMRZ
39
Underperform
C$27.57M-387.94%30.14%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NPK
Verde Agritech
0.52
-0.27
-34.18%
TSE:IFOS
Itafos
2.81
1.49
113.04%
TSE:MRZ
Mirasol Resources
0.34
-0.03
-8.11%
TSE:GSP
Gensource Potash
0.08
0.00
0.00%
TSE:KRN
Karnalyte Resources
0.16
0.03
23.08%
TSE:MGRO
MustGrow Biologics
0.83
0.08
10.67%

Verde Agritech Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Verde AgriTech Navigates Q1 2025 Challenges and Eyes Recovery
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Verde AgriTech Ltd reported a challenging Q1 2025, with a 44% decrease in sales volume and revenue compared to Q1 2024, due to a severe crisis in the Brazilian agricultural sector. However, the company is experiencing a recovery in orders for the second half of 2025, with confirmed orders 40% higher than the same period in 2024, driven by increased credit approvals. Verde secured court approval for a debt renegotiation agreement, which extends repayment terms and reduces interest rates, positioning the company for future growth. The company’s products also contribute to environmental benefits, such as carbon capture and reduced chloride application in soils.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Verde AgriTech Navigates Q1 Challenges with Optimism for Recovery
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Verde AgriTech Ltd reported a challenging Q1 2025 due to a crisis in the Brazilian agricultural sector, leading to a significant reduction in sales volume and revenue compared to the previous year. Despite these setbacks, the company is experiencing a recovery in orders and expects stronger sales performance in the second half of 2025 as market conditions improve. Verde has also secured a debt renegotiation agreement, which provides extended repayment terms and reduced interest rates, aiding its financial stability. Additionally, the company’s products have contributed to significant carbon capture and chloride reduction, emphasizing its environmental impact.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Verde AgriTech Appoints New CMO to Drive Global Expansion
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Verde AgriTech has appointed Guilherme Medeiros as Chief Marketing Officer to drive marketing innovation and support the introduction of new low-carbon products. His extensive experience in strategic marketing and customer engagement is expected to enhance Verde’s market presence and visibility, particularly as the company expands its operations in Brazil and globally. This appointment is seen as a pivotal step in Verde’s strategy to reshape the agricultural inputs market and strengthen its position as a leader in sustainable agriculture solutions.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Verde Agritech Updates Technical Report for Man of War Project
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

Verde Agritech has filed an amended NI 43-101 Technical Report for its Man of War Rare Earths Project in Brazil, following a review by the Ontario Securities Commission. The updated report, which addresses the OSC’s comments, removes certain resource disclosures and adjusts mineral resource estimates. This amendment could impact Verde’s operations by aligning its reporting with regulatory standards, potentially affecting its market positioning and stakeholder perceptions.

Private Placements and FinancingLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Verde Agritech Secures Court Approval for Debt Restructuring
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Verde Agritech has received court approval for its Debt Renegotiation Agreement, which extends payment terms and reduces interest rates, thereby enhancing the company’s liquidity. The agreement affects 92.2% of its creditors with an 18-month grace period and a 108-month repayment plan, while non-adherent creditors, representing 5.3% of the debt, will see a 75% principal reduction. This restructuring is expected to improve Verde’s financial stability and operational flexibility, potentially strengthening its position in the sustainable agriculture industry.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Verde Agritech and Nautica Holdings Announce Strategic Rare Earths Transaction
Positive
Apr 9, 2025

Verde Agritech Ltd and Nautica Holdings Limited have announced a strategic transaction involving the sale of high-grade magnetic rare earth exploration assets in Brazil. This move allows Verde to unlock value for its shareholders, while Nautica positions itself as a key player in the rare earths sector, aiming to capitalize on the growing global demand for critical minerals. The transaction includes Nautica’s commitment of AUD $1 million towards an IPO on the Australian Securities Exchange, and the development and exploration of the acquired assets. This strategic alignment is expected to deliver long-term value to Verde’s shareholders and support Nautica’s vision of securing essential minerals for global technological advancements.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025