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Itafos
(IFOS)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.50
▼(-18.03% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/01/26
The score is led by strong valuation support from a very low P/E, alongside solid recent profitability and an improving balance sheet. Offsetting this, negative TTM free cash flow and historically volatile results reduce financial quality confidence, while technical indicators point to weak-to-neutral near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Recent profitability & revenue growth
Sustained TTM profitability and accelerating revenue point to improving demand and realizations for core phosphate products. Over a 2–6 month horizon this underpins operating cash generation potential and margin resilience, supporting reinvestment and reducing sensitivity to single-period shocks.
Negative Factors
Negative TTM free cash flow
Negative trailing free cash flow despite reported earnings indicates elevated capex, working-capital absorption, or one-off outlays. Persistent negative FCF would constrain deleveraging, reduce optionality for investment or distributions, and increase reliance on external financing in tougher commodity cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recent profitability & revenue growth
Sustained TTM profitability and accelerating revenue point to improving demand and realizations for core phosphate products. Over a 2–6 month horizon this underpins operating cash generation potential and margin resilience, supporting reinvestment and reducing sensitivity to single-period shocks.
Read all positive factors
Itafos (IFOS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$481.11M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)69.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.5
Beta (1Y)0.16
Revenue Growth12.16%
EPS Growth-19.44%
CountryCA
Employees470
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryAgricultural Inputs
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.43
Shares Outstanding194,780,270
10 Day Avg. Volume75,524
30 Day Avg. Volume69,511
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.11
Price to Book (P/B)0.95
Price to Sales (P/S)0.73
P/FCF Ratio87.86
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$4.50Price Target Upside47.54% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.27
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$632.81M
Itafos Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Itafos, Inc. engages in the provision of phosphate fertilizers and specialty products. It operates through the following segments: Itafos Conda, Itafos Arraias, Development and Exploration, and Corporate. The Itafos Conda segment produces and sell...
How the Company Makes Money
Itafos makes money primarily by selling phosphate-based products to customers in the fertilizer and industrial markets. Its core revenue stream is the sale of processed phosphate products (including merchant-grade phosphate and related materials) ...
Itafos Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 562.41M | 567.74M | 491.24M | 465.52M | 593.29M | 413.25M |
| Gross Profit | 116.92M | 138.75M | 148.79M | 118.56M | 214.88M | 136.88M |
| EBITDA | 150.52M | 157.80M | 149.25M | 53.75M | 219.59M | 134.33M |
| Net Income | 81.80M | 118.16M | 87.79M | 3.86M | 115.10M | 51.03M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 819.95M | 861.76M | 695.86M | 587.23M | 614.01M | 633.85M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 48.26M | 70.36M | 74.37M | 31.05M | 42.81M | 31.57M |
| Total Debt | 86.31M | 112.47M | 108.17M | 103.83M | 143.90M | 254.09M |
| Total Liabilities | 379.17M | 427.52M | 348.03M | 328.50M | 360.89M | 499.25M |
| Stockholders Equity | 440.77M | 434.24M | 347.83M | 258.73M | 252.35M | 133.44M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -35.34M | 4.69M | 52.57M | 39.96M | 169.37M | 60.42M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 52.94M | 84.19M | 120.05M | 94.72M | 208.37M | 94.50M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -56.27M | -41.29M | -65.20M | -53.33M | -39.00M | -34.08M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -49.66M | -47.71M | -9.37M | -54.23M | -158.32M | -38.43M |
Itafos Technical Analysis
Negative
3.05
Price Trends
2.82
Negative
3.16
Negative
3.09
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.09
Negative
40.42
Neutral
14.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IFOS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.51, above the 50-day MA of 2.82, and below the 200-day MA of 3.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:IFOS.
Itafos Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | C$481.11M | 4.49 | 24.00% | ― | 12.16% | -19.44% | |
64 Neutral | C$1.79B | 15.55 | 15.37% | 4.73% | 10.86% | -10.00% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
46 Neutral | C$23.18M | -3.77 | -1497.85% | ― | ― | -250.58% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
TSE:IFOS
Itafos
2.47
-0.32
-11.47%
TSE:CHE.UN
Chemtrade Logistics
16.10
5.49
51.69%
TSE:ARGO
Argo Living Soils Corp.
0.96
0.06
6.67%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.