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Chemtrade Logistics (TSE:CHE.UN)
TSX:CHE.UN
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Chemtrade Logistics (CHE.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CHE.UN

Chemtrade Logistics

(TSX:CHE.UN)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$14.50
â–²(1.33% Upside)
Chemtrade Logistics' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and fair valuation, offset by mixed financial performance and technical indicators. The company's record-breaking EBITDA and strategic acquisitions provide a positive outlook, but high leverage and cash flow challenges need to be addressed for long-term stability.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Chemtrade's double-digit revenue growth indicates strong demand for its products and services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial stability.
Strategic Acquisitions
Successful integration of acquisitions like Thatcher Group and Polytec enhances Chemtrade's product offerings and market reach, supporting sustainable growth.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage and high liquidity provides Chemtrade with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Chemtrade's ability to invest in growth or manage economic challenges.
Cash Flow Challenges
Challenges in cash flow generation may hinder Chemtrade's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, affecting long-term financial health.
Chlorine Price Softness
Continued softness in chlorine prices could pressure margins in the Electrochemicals segment, impacting profitability and cash flow.

Chemtrade Logistics (CHE.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Chemtrade Logistics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChemtrade Logistics (CHE.UN) is a leading provider of industrial chemicals, services, and logistics solutions, primarily serving the North American market. The company operates in sectors such as water treatment, specialty chemicals, and oil and gas. Chemtrade's core products include sulfuric acid, sodium hydroxide, and various other chemicals, alongside logistics services that encompass transportation and storage solutions for bulk chemicals.
How the Company Makes MoneyChemtrade generates revenue through the production and sale of a diverse range of industrial chemicals and specialty products. Its primary revenue streams come from the sale of chemicals used in various applications, including water treatment, mining, and manufacturing. The company also earns income from logistics services, which involve the transportation, storage, and handling of chemicals. Key partnerships with industrial clients in sectors like utilities, mining, and oil and gas facilitate long-term contracts that provide stable revenue. Additionally, Chemtrade benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing and secure ongoing business with established customers.

Chemtrade Logistics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance with record-breaking EBITDA and growth across major segments. Despite increased corporate costs and challenges with chlorine pricing, the company remains on track with its Vision 2030. Strategic acquisitions and a robust financial position contribute to a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking EBITDA
Chemtrade Logistics delivered the highest quarterly EBITDA in its history with double-digit year-over-year growth in revenue and distributable cash. Revenue increased by 12% and EBITDA by 10%.
Strong Segment Performance
The Sulphur and Water Chemicals segment saw a 19% revenue growth, while the Electrochemicals segment had a 12% increase in EBITDA year-over-year.
Positive Distributable Cash Flow
Distributable cash after maintenance CapEx increased by 18%, and on a per unit basis, it increased 24% year-over-year.
Favorable Market Conditions
Strong demand in the Water Chemicals segment, particularly in municipal and industrial markets, with successful price adjustments to offset raw material costs.
Strategic Acquisitions
Integration of the Thatcher Group is progressing well, and the acquisition of Polytec for USD 150 million is expected to enhance Chemtrade's water treatment solutions.
Robust Financial Position
Chemtrade maintained a strong balance sheet with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.8x and ample liquidity of approximately USD 484 million.
Vision 2030 Progress
Chemtrade is on track to achieve its Vision 2030 targets, aiming for mid-cycle EBITDA of $550 million to $600 million by 2030.
Negative Updates
Increased Corporate Costs
Corporate costs increased year-over-year due to higher incentive compensation and legal costs, primarily related to the Polytec acquisition.
Chlorine Price Softness
The Electrochemicals segment faced lower prices for chlorine, which is expected to continue affecting the MECU netbacks negatively.
Delayed Polytec Acquisition
The closing of the Polytec acquisition was delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown affecting regulatory approvals.
Potential Refinery Outages
There is a possibility of modest impacts from U.S. refinery outages, which could affect the sulfuric acid business.
Company Guidance
During the Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund's third-quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided updated guidance for the entire year. Chemtrade reported a record-high quarterly EBITDA and expects 2025 to be a record year, surpassing the 2023 adjusted EBITDA of $502.6 million. Key financial metrics highlighted include a 12% year-over-year increase in revenue and a 10% rise in EBITDA, with distributable cash after maintenance CapEx growing by 18%. Chemtrade's Sulphur and Water Chemicals segment saw a 19% revenue increase, while the Electrochemicals segment's EBITDA grew by 12% year-over-year. The company also discussed a sustainable payout ratio of 25% in Q3 and 32% on a trailing 12-month basis. Additionally, Chemtrade updated its assumptions for 2025, anticipating North American MECU sales volumes of 173,000, a MECU netback increase of CAD 70, and sodium chlorate volumes of 272,000 tonnes. The company maintains a strong balance sheet, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.8x and liquidity of approximately USD 484 million.

Chemtrade Logistics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chemtrade Logistics shows solid revenue growth and stable profitability in its income statement. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges indicate financial risks that need addressing for long-term stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Chemtrade Logistics shows a solid performance in its income statement with a consistent revenue growth rate of 2.65% in TTM, following a slight decline in the previous year. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 24%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin has improved slightly to 7.30% in TTM, reflecting better profitability. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased, suggesting some operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory with room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet of Chemtrade Logistics indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25 in TTM, which is a concern for financial stability. However, the company has improved its return on equity to 16.96%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 32.57%, suggesting a moderate level of financial leverage. While the company has made progress in improving equity returns, the high leverage remains a potential risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 28.24% in TTM, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.49, suggesting that cash generation is not fully aligned with reported profits. Despite these challenges, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.51 indicates that the company is still able to convert a significant portion of its profits into cash. Overall, the cash flow position shows some weaknesses that need to be addressed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.88B1.79B1.85B1.81B1.37B1.38B
Gross Profit456.24M430.55M420.65M353.90M-3.85M33.73M
EBITDA433.76M417.42M562.33M448.99M92.91M119.51M
Net Income129.12M126.91M249.32M109.11M-235.21M-167.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.23B2.28B2.11B2.16B2.05B2.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.08M25.50M21.52M72.57M13.91M12.51M
Total Debt1.03B899.26M863.95M1.04B1.19B1.38B
Total Liabilities1.50B1.47B1.40B1.59B1.67B1.89B
Stockholders Equity725.88M818.36M707.14M566.21M379.85M605.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow130.68M162.00M235.07M253.75M132.90M184.87M
Operating Cash Flow338.24M347.80M401.46M369.19M219.04M261.95M
Investing Cash Flow-207.56M-185.80M-118.46M-108.88M96.53M-74.79M
Financing Cash Flow-145.63M-159.30M-333.53M-203.00M-314.12M-187.86M

Chemtrade Logistics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.31
Price Trends
50DMA
13.55
Positive
100DMA
12.70
Positive
200DMA
11.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
59.55
Neutral
STOCH
89.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CHE.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.98, above the 50-day MA of 13.55, and above the 200-day MA of 11.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CHE.UN.

Chemtrade Logistics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$1.49B12.1114.30%4.80%10.20%-11.22%
66
Neutral
$3.82B11.009.35%2.04%-0.65%46.15%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CHE.UN
Chemtrade Logistics
14.31
3.05
27.09%
TSE:MX
Methanex
50.85
-14.50
-22.19%

Chemtrade Logistics Corporate Events

Chemtrade Logistics Reports Record-Breaking Earnings
Nov 13, 2025

Chemtrade Logistics’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health and strategic progress. The company reported record-breaking EBITDA and growth across its major segments, despite facing challenges such as increased corporate costs and chlorine pricing issues. The sentiment throughout the call was optimistic, underpinned by strategic acquisitions and a strong financial position, aligning with Chemtrade’s Vision 2030.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025