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Xometry, Inc. (XMTR)
:XMTR
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Xometry (XMTR) AI Stock Analysis

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XMTR

Xometry

(NASDAQ:XMTR)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$64.00
▲(15.38% Upside)
Xometry's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including profitability and cash flow issues. However, the positive technical analysis indicates strong market momentum, which partially offsets these concerns. The valuation remains a mixed factor due to negative earnings, but growth prospects provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and effective market penetration, suggesting a positive long-term trajectory for Xometry's business model.
Marketplace Gross Margin
Improved gross margins reflect enhanced pricing strategies and operational efficiencies, which can drive sustainable profitability over time.
AI Capabilities
Investment in AI technology enhances competitive advantage by optimizing pricing and selection, leading to better customer satisfaction and retention.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues indicate operational inefficiencies, which may hinder long-term financial health if not addressed.
Cash Flow Concerns
Cash flow challenges limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and may affect its financial flexibility.
Rising Debt Levels
Higher leverage increases financial risk and could constrain future investment capacity, impacting long-term strategic initiatives.

Xometry (XMTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xometry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXometry, Inc. operates a marketplace that enables buyers to source manufactured parts and assemblies in the United States and internationally. It provides CNC machining, milling, and turning services; sheet, laser, waterjet, and plasma cutting services; and sheet metal forming services. The company also offers 3D printing services, such as carbon digital light synthesis, fused deposition modeling, HP multi jet fusion, PolyJet, selective laser sintering, stereolithography, metal 3D printing service, direct metal laser sintering, and metal binder jetting; and injection molding services, including plastic injection, over, insert, and prototype molding, as well as bridge and production tooling. In addition, it provides other services comprising urethane and die casting, vapor smoothing, finishing, rapid prototyping, high- volume production, and assembly services. The company offers its products under the Allied Machine & Engineering, Brubaker, HTC, OSG, Kyocera, Mitsubishi Materials, SOWA, Viking Drill & Tool, Dauphin, and Sandvik brands. It serves aerospace and defense, automotive, consumer products, product designers, education, electronic and semiconductors, energy, hardware startups, industrial, medical and dental, robotics, and supply chain and purchasing industries. The company was formerly known as NextLine Manufacturing Corp. and changed its name to Xometry, Inc. in June 2015. Xometry, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Derwood, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyXometry generates revenue through its transaction-based model, earning money by taking a commission on each order placed through its platform. Key revenue streams include customer payments for manufactured parts and services, which are facilitated by the company's proprietary software that provides instant pricing and lead times. Additionally, Xometry offers subscription services for manufacturers to gain access to enhanced features and tools on the platform. Significant partnerships with various manufacturing facilities and industry leaders further bolster its earnings by expanding its service offerings and enhancing its network capabilities.

Xometry Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Buyers
Active Buyers
Measures the number of customers actively purchasing, reflecting the company's ability to attract and maintain a strong customer base, which is crucial for sustained revenue growth.
Chart InsightsXometry's active buyers have shown consistent growth, nearly doubling from mid-2020 to mid-2025, reflecting strong marketplace demand. The latest earnings call highlights a 26% year-over-year marketplace growth, driven by an expanding buyer network, aligning with this trend. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and a decline in supplier services revenue, the company remains optimistic, raising its full-year revenue growth outlook. This sustained increase in active buyers underpins Xometry's strategic focus on marketplace expansion and successful AI integration, positioning it well for continued growth despite external challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Xometry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with record revenue growth and improved marketplace gross margins, driven by expanding AI capabilities and successful product launches. Despite a decline in supplier services revenue and international segment losses, the company's positive financial metrics and increased revenue guidance suggest a strong business outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Q3 2025 revenue increased by 28% year-over-year to $181 million, with marketplace revenue growth accelerating to 31% year-over-year.
Marketplace Gross Margin Improvement
Marketplace gross margin increased by 210 basis points year-over-year to 35.7% in Q3, driven by AI-powered pricing and selection algorithms.
Strong Active Buyer Growth
Active buyers increased 21% year-over-year to 78,282, with marketplace revenue per active buyer up 9% year-over-year.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Q3 adjusted EBITDA was $6.1 million, an improvement of $6.8 million year-over-year, demonstrating strong operating leverage.
New Product Launches
Launch of auto-quoting for injection molding services in the U.S. and Europe, and a new Workcenter mobile app to enhance supplier engagement.
Increased Revenue Guidance
Raised full-year 2025 revenue growth outlook, with expectations of strong secular growth continuing into 2026.
Negative Updates
Supplier Services Revenue Decline
Supplier services revenue declined approximately 1% quarter-over-quarter, with expectations of a 4% year-over-year decrease in Q4.
International Segment Loss
International segment adjusted EBITDA loss was $4.2 million in Q3 2025 compared with $2 million in Q3 2024, due to investments for global scale.
Company Guidance
In Xometry's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported a record quarter across several metrics, underscoring the success of its marketplace model in the custom manufacturing sector. Q3 revenue increased by 28% year-over-year to $181 million, with marketplace revenue accelerating by 31% to $167 million. Marketplace gross margin improved by 210 basis points to 35.7%, reflecting advancements in AI pricing algorithms. The number of active buyers rose by 21% to 78,282, and marketplace revenue per active buyer grew by 9%. Xometry raised its full-year marketplace growth outlook to 27-28% and expects to reach $676-$678 million in total revenue for 2025. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $6.1 million, a significant improvement from the previous year. The company anticipates continued strong growth in 2026, maintaining a focus on expanding its AI capabilities and global marketplace network.

Xometry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xometry shows moderate revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The increasing leverage and negative return on equity highlight financial risks, necessitating improvements in operational efficiency and cash flow management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Xometry shows a moderate revenue growth rate of 6.46% TTM, indicating positive sales momentum. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins, which suggest ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin remains stable, but the overall profitability needs improvement.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.23 TTM, indicating higher leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, reflecting losses and inefficiencies in generating shareholder value. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but the high debt levels suggest a need for better balance sheet management.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Xometry's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative free cash flow growth and a high free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting difficulties in converting earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue642.78M545.53M463.41M380.92M218.34M141.41M
Gross Profit247.83M215.62M178.26M145.99M57.14M33.29M
EBITDA-40.17M-28.20M-52.30M-66.77M-56.93M-26.88M
Net Income-63.00M-50.40M-67.47M-79.06M-61.38M-31.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets698.88M680.13M707.39M734.11M502.59M88.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments224.52M239.84M268.78M319.43M116.73M59.87M
Total Debt333.45M295.14M299.52M302.32M22.47M17.90M
Total Liabilities425.79M364.53M376.97M362.31M77.10M200.21M
Stockholders Equity271.96M314.45M329.30M370.71M424.45M-111.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.71M-33.48M-48.36M-76.22M-74.83M-26.24M
Operating Cash Flow10.74M-15.38M-29.88M-62.58M-68.57M-22.05M
Investing Cash Flow-11.41M-20.18M16.81M15.14M-212.75M6.67M
Financing Cash Flow3.93M4.64M1.07M280.97M307.77M35.26M

Xometry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price55.47
Price Trends
50DMA
54.01
Positive
100DMA
47.84
Positive
200DMA
38.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.31
Positive
RSI
48.08
Neutral
STOCH
12.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XMTR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 55.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.86, above the 50-day MA of 54.01, and above the 200-day MA of 38.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XMTR.

Xometry Risk Analysis

Xometry disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xometry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xometry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.74B20.0120.97%1.24%3.19%69.89%
77
Outperform
$13.96B29.7417.85%0.70%8.01%2.67%
75
Outperform
$17.15B26.5917.97%0.96%0.83%-1.32%
75
Outperform
$10.19B43.6412.76%12.60%24.02%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$8.49B27.5512.38%5.52%9.03%
55
Neutral
$2.87B-21.46%22.40%-18.99%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XMTR
Xometry
55.47
24.21
77.45%
FLS
Flowserve
68.77
8.42
13.95%
GNRC
Generac Holdings
144.73
-47.53
-24.72%
ITT
ITT
180.86
23.57
14.99%
PNR
Pentair
104.11
-3.90
-3.61%
SPXC
SPX
211.97
32.99
18.43%

Xometry Corporate Events

Xometry Achieves Record Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Xometry, Inc. is a global AI-powered marketplace that connects buyers and suppliers in the custom manufacturing industry, offering a unique platform that streamlines the procurement process.

Xometry, Inc. Reports Record Revenue Growth in Q3 2025
Nov 5, 2025

Xometry, Inc.’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s robust financial performance marked by record revenue growth and improved marketplace gross margins. The expansion of AI capabilities and successful product launches were pivotal in driving these results. Despite some challenges, such as a decline in supplier services revenue and losses in the international segment, the company’s positive financial metrics and increased revenue guidance suggest a promising business outlook.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025