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Xometry (XMTR)
NASDAQ:XMTR
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Xometry (XMTR) AI Stock Analysis

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XMTR

Xometry

(NASDAQ:XMTR)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(13.01%Upside)
Xometry's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and positive earnings call guidance, weighted against ongoing profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest some positive momentum, though valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Corporate Governance
The participation of Xometry's CEO, CFO, and VP of Investor Relations at a major financial conference signifies strong corporate governance and transparency.
Financial Performance
Shares increased more than 10% after Xometry reported first-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA above expectations.
Market Expansion
Xometry is in the early stages of capitalizing on growth opportunities such as AI-powered instant quote engine and international market penetration.
Negative Factors
Competition
Fictiv has been acquired by a large group, which could increase competition for Xometry due to enhanced resources and capabilities.
Financial Forecast
The revised second-quarter adjusted EBITDA estimate is lower than previously forecasted.
Market Challenges
One major difference between Fictiv and Xometry is the concentration of partners, with Fictiv having many partners in China, whereas Xometry's more dispersed network could pose challenges in certain markets.

Xometry (XMTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xometry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXometry, Inc. (XMTR) is a leading digital manufacturing marketplace that connects businesses with custom manufacturers. The company operates within the advanced manufacturing and technology sectors, providing a platform for on-demand manufacturing services, including CNC machining, 3D printing, sheet metal fabrication, and injection molding. Xometry's core services are designed to streamline the manufacturing process by offering instant quoting, online ordering, and manufacturing solutions tailored to customer specifications.
How the Company Makes MoneyXometry makes money primarily through its digital marketplace platform, where it earns revenue by facilitating transactions between buyers and manufacturers. The company charges a service fee on each transaction, which varies based on the complexity and scope of the manufacturing project. Additionally, Xometry offers subscription plans for manufacturers to access premium tools and features, enhancing their visibility and access to more business opportunities. Key partnerships with major companies and integration with popular CAD software also contribute to Xometry's revenue by expanding its user base and market reach. The combination of transaction fees, subscription services, and strategic partnerships forms the backbone of Xometry's revenue model.

Xometry Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Buyers
Active Buyers
Measures the number of customers actively purchasing, reflecting the company's ability to attract and maintain a strong customer base, which is crucial for sustained revenue growth.
Chart InsightsXometry's active buyers have shown consistent growth, nearly doubling since mid-2020, reflecting strong demand for its marketplace services. The recent earnings call underscores this momentum, highlighting a 27% year-over-year increase in marketplace revenue. Despite challenges like supplier services revenue decline and slower international growth, the company's strategic focus on AI-driven marketplace optimization and global technology expansion positions it well for continued buyer growth and market penetration.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Xometry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was predominantly positive, with strong revenue growth, improved gross margins, and successful product and AI initiatives. However, challenges remain with supplier services revenue decline and macroeconomic uncertainties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth
Q2 revenue increased 23% year-over-year to $163 million, with marketplace growth at 26%, driven by expanding buyer and supplier networks.
Improved Gross Margin
Marketplace gross margin reached a record 35.4%, up 190 basis points year-over-year, contributing to an overall company gross margin of 40.1%.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA
Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $3.9 million, an improvement of $6.6 million year-over-year, with a US segment adjusted EBITDA of $6.9 million.
Enterprise Growth
Accounts with last 12-month spend of at least $50,000 increased 15% year-over-year, with significant growth in accounts spending over $500,000.
Successful Technology and AI Integration
Notable product releases and AI deployments in Q2 and early Q3, including enhanced quoting and Teamspace expansion in the EU.
Negative Updates
Supplier Services Revenue Decline
Supplier services revenue declined approximately 2% quarter-over-quarter, with expectations of a 5% decline for the full year 2025.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Continued cautious outlook due to uncertain macroeconomic environment and manufacturing indices suggesting cautious buyer behavior.
International Segment Loss
International segment adjusted EBITDA loss was $2.9 million in Q2 2025, roughly flat year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During Xometry's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial performance and provided guidance for the upcoming periods. Q2 revenue saw a remarkable 23% year-over-year increase, amounting to $163 million, driven by strong marketplace growth of 26% year-over-year. The company achieved a record overall gross margin of 40.1%, with marketplace gross margin reaching a high of 35.4%, up 190 basis points from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA improved significantly to $3.9 million, a year-over-year increase of $6.6 million. For Q3 2025, Xometry projects revenue between $167 million and $169 million, reflecting 18% to 19% growth compared to the previous year, and expects adjusted EBITDA in the range of $4 million to $5 million. The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue growth outlook for its marketplace to 23% to 24%, up from previous guidance of at least 22%, driven by strong demand and execution in its marketplace model.

Xometry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xometry's financial performance is characterized by strong revenue growth but hampered by ongoing profitability and cash flow challenges. While the balance sheet shows stability, the company must improve margins and cash flow to sustain long-term financial health.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Xometry has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 5.18% compared to the previous year, and an impressive growth trajectory over the past few years. However, the company continues to face profitability challenges with negative net income and EBIT margins, which have improved slightly but remain a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the significant decline in stockholders' equity and the persistent losses impact the return on equity, which remains negative. The equity ratio stands at a relatively healthy level, indicating stability in asset management.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Xometry's cash flow performance is mixed, with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating ongoing cash burn. There is a slight improvement in the free cash flow position, but the company needs to address the underlying cash flow issues to strengthen its financial health.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue545.53M463.41M381.05M218.34M141.41M
Gross Profit215.62M178.26M147.57M57.14M33.29M
EBITDA-28.20M-52.30M-59.53M-55.88M-25.83M
Net Income-50.40M-67.47M-76.01M-59.41M-31.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets680.13M707.39M736.92M502.59M88.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments239.84M268.78M319.43M116.73M59.87M
Total Debt295.14M299.52M302.32M22.47M17.90M
Total Liabilities364.53M376.97M362.09M77.10M39.50M
Stockholders Equity314.45M329.30M373.74M424.45M49.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.48M-48.36M-76.22M-74.83M-26.24M
Operating Cash Flow-15.38M-29.88M-62.58M-68.57M-22.05M
Investing Cash Flow-20.18M16.81M15.14M-212.75M6.67M
Financing Cash Flow4.64M1.07M280.97M307.77M35.26M

Xometry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price30.97
Price Trends
50DMA
33.36
Negative
100DMA
29.79
Positive
200DMA
30.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.56
Positive
RSI
41.88
Neutral
STOCH
17.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XMTR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 30.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.34, below the 50-day MA of 33.36, and above the 200-day MA of 30.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XMTR.

Xometry Risk Analysis

Xometry disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xometry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xometry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.51B22.6611.04%1.44%1.35%-40.63%
68
Neutral
$1.18B31.803.93%1.02%-5.39%12.14%
66
Neutral
$2.19B39.048.37%0.70%9.64%-24.68%
63
Neutral
C$7.32B2.189.30%2.40%10.51%-11.28%
59
Neutral
$1.57B-15.50%19.35%27.83%
54
Neutral
$1.39B-18.22%4.56%0.31%-423.59%
53
Neutral
$845.36M-1.15%3.05%84.62%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XMTR
Xometry
30.97
19.02
159.16%
HI
Hillenbrand
20.13
-17.64
-46.70%
SXI
Standex International
187.05
18.40
10.91%
HLIO
Helios Technologies
36.71
-7.02
-16.05%
TNC
Tennant Co
82.74
-12.47
-13.10%
KRNT
Kornit Digital
18.95
4.64
32.42%

Xometry Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Xometry Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

Xometry, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 18, 2025, where stockholders voted on three key proposals. The stockholders elected a Class I director to serve until 2028, approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers, and ratified Deloitte and Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance practices and commitment to maintaining transparency and accountability in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (XMTR) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xometry stock, see the XMTR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Xometry Announces $225M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Xometry announced a proposed $225 million offering of Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 in a private placement. The proceeds from this offering are expected to be used for capped call transactions, repurchasing shares of Xometry’s Class A common stock, and repurchasing a portion of its outstanding 2027 notes. This strategic move aims to manage potential dilution, optimize capital structure, and potentially enhance market positioning, though it carries inherent market risks and uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (XMTR) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xometry stock, see the XMTR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Xometry COO Peter Goguen to Depart by June 30
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Xometry, Inc. announced that its Chief Operating Officer, Peter Goguen, will be leaving the company effective June 30, 2025. In accordance with his employment agreement, Mr. Goguen will receive payments and benefits upon his departure, contingent upon his compliance with certain conditions including a general release and waiver of claims.

The most recent analyst rating on (XMTR) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xometry stock, see the XMTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025