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Xometry (XMTR)
NASDAQ:XMTR

Xometry (XMTR) AI Stock Analysis

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XMTR

Xometry

(NASDAQ:XMTR)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
▼(-9.86% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing net losses, rising leverage, and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (price well below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting these is a relatively strong earnings-call outlook with accelerating growth and improving adjusted EBITDA expectations, while valuation is difficult to support on earnings given the negative P/E and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Marketplace margin improvement
Sustained marketplace gross margin expansion reflects improving unit economics from better pricing, supplier mix and scale. Higher gross margins support durable operating leverage as revenue grows, improving the path to sustained adjusted EBITDA and eventual net profitability over the medium term.
Enterprise customer momentum
Growing high-spend enterprise clients create a more predictable, stickier revenue base with higher lifetime value and cross-sell potential. This structural shift reduces reliance on transactional demand, raises average order sizes, and bolsters long-term revenue stability and margin profile.
Product and supplier-network expansion
A larger supplier pool and continuous product innovation (AI DFM, auto quotes, Teamspace) strengthen two-sided network effects, improve fulfillment reliability and reduce lead times. These structural advantages raise switching costs and enhance long-term marketplace competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Persistent net losses
Despite revenue growth and margin gains, ongoing operating and net losses indicate the company has not yet converted unit economics into consistent GAAP profitability. Continued losses constrain retained earnings, limit return on equity, and require sustained improvement to ensure long-term financial self-sufficiency.
Negative free cash flow
Negative free cash flow after investments means the business depends on external capital to fund growth and platform investment. This reduces financial flexibility, increases dilution or borrowing risk, and delays the point at which internal cash generation can fully fund strategic initiatives.
Rising leverage
Increasing leverage for a still-loss-making company raises interest and refinancing risk, reducing resilience to macro shocks. Higher debt burdens limit strategic optionality and make sustained investment or opportunistic M&A more costly until earnings and cash flow sufficiently strengthen.

Xometry (XMTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xometry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXometry, Inc. operates a marketplace that enables buyers to source manufactured parts and assemblies in the United States and internationally. It provides CNC machining, milling, and turning services; sheet, laser, waterjet, and plasma cutting services; and sheet metal forming services. The company also offers 3D printing services, such as carbon digital light synthesis, fused deposition modeling, HP multi jet fusion, PolyJet, selective laser sintering, stereolithography, metal 3D printing service, direct metal laser sintering, and metal binder jetting; and injection molding services, including plastic injection, over, insert, and prototype molding, as well as bridge and production tooling. In addition, it provides other services comprising urethane and die casting, vapor smoothing, finishing, rapid prototyping, high- volume production, and assembly services. The company offers its products under the Allied Machine & Engineering, Brubaker, HTC, OSG, Kyocera, Mitsubishi Materials, SOWA, Viking Drill & Tool, Dauphin, and Sandvik brands. It serves aerospace and defense, automotive, consumer products, product designers, education, electronic and semiconductors, energy, hardware startups, industrial, medical and dental, robotics, and supply chain and purchasing industries. The company was formerly known as NextLine Manufacturing Corp. and changed its name to Xometry, Inc. in June 2015. Xometry, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Derwood, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyXometry generates revenue primarily through its marketplace model: customers submit part specifications, Xometry provides pricing/lead time and manages order fulfillment by routing jobs to manufacturing partners in its supplier network. The company earns revenue from the customer purchase price for the manufactured parts and related services, while paying suppliers for production; the difference (after considering direct costs) represents its marketplace economics. In addition, Xometry earns revenue from supplier-facing products and services, including subscription and/or usage-based tools (commonly marketed under its supplier solutions), which can include quoting/ordering software, job distribution access, and other workflow or business services that help suppliers acquire demand and operate on the platform. The company also has generated revenue from financial services and other value-added services offered to participants in its ecosystem (for example, programs designed to support suppliers’ cash flow or transaction processing); if specific program terms or contribution levels are not publicly detailed in a given period, those details are null. Significant factors influencing earnings include transaction volume and mix across manufacturing processes, take rate/margin on marketplace orders, growth and engagement of the supplier network, customer acquisition/retention, and efficiency gains from its software-driven pricing and matching capabilities. Partnerships and integrations with manufacturing suppliers and software/workflow ecosystems can support demand generation and supplier adoption, but specific material partnership revenue contributions are null unless explicitly disclosed.

Xometry Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Buyers
Active Buyers
Measures the number of customers actively purchasing, reflecting the company's ability to attract and maintain a strong customer base, which is crucial for sustained revenue growth.
Chart InsightsActive buyer growth has been steady and accelerating into 2025, effectively validating Xometry’s marketplace flywheel: more buyers plus rising marketplace revenue per buyer reflect improved monetization from AI pricing and new auto-quoting/product features. Management’s raised guidance and record-quarter commentary point to durable demand momentum, but weakening supplier services and international losses are a supply-side and margin risk—sustaining service levels as the buyer base scales will be the next operational test.
Data provided by:The Fly

Xometry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicates a strongly positive operational and financial trajectory: accelerating revenue growth, expanding marketplace margins, growing enterprise penetration, multiple product launches and improved adjusted EBITDA and cash generation. Management provided constructive guidance and highlighted continued investment in product, AI and global supply networks. Near-term cautions include international profitability that remains negative (though improving), a transitional drag on services monetization (Thomas ad/search), conservative near-term guidance given macro uncertainty, and a meaningful stock‑based compensation charge in Q1. Overall the positives—record results, margin expansion, enterprise momentum, product roadmap and a healthy balance sheet—outweigh the listed challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth and Profitability
Q4 revenue grew 30% year-over-year to more than $192M; full-year 2025 revenue growth accelerated to 26% (an 800 bps acceleration). Xometry delivered full-year adjusted EBITDA of $18.5M (vs. an adjusted EBITDA loss of $9.7M in 2024). Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $8.4M, an improvement of $7.3M year-over-year.
Marketplace Expansion and Margin Improvement
Q4 marketplace revenue was $178M and grew 33% year-over-year. Marketplace gross margin expanded 80 basis points year-over-year to 35.3% and marketplace gross profit dollars increased 36% year-over-year. Management highlighted multi-year improvement in marketplace gross margins from ~25% four years ago to ~35% in 2025.
Enterprise Customer Momentum
Enterprise traction strengthened: accounts with last 12 months spend ≥ $500,000 grew to over 140 (2025 end) with revenue from those accounts increasing over 40% year-over-year. The company ended 2025 with 4 customers spending at least $10M each. Accounts with ≥ $50,000 LTM spend rose 18% year-over-year to 1,760.
User and Supplier Network Growth plus Product Innovation
Active buyers increased 20% year-over-year to 81,821 (net add 3,539). Supplier network ~5,000 active suppliers across ~50 countries. Key product launches and enhancements in 2025: auto quotes for injection molding (US & EU), AI-powered DFM improvements (including interpreting technical drawings), high-performance additive manufacturing materials, CNC preferred subprocess, Teamspace (11,000+ teams globally) and a parts library, Workcenter mobile app, and Thomas platform ad/search upgrades.
Operating Leverage and Expense Discipline
Non-GAAP operating expenses in Q4 were $67M, up 15% year-over-year (about half the rate of revenue growth). Sales & marketing decreased 20 bps year-over-year to 15.6% of revenue; operations & support decreased 80 bps to 8.1% of revenue. Marketplace advertising spend was 5.2% of marketplace revenue (down 40 bps YoY). Management delivered ~20% incremental adjusted EBITDA margins in 2025.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Generation
Cash and cash equivalents plus marketable securities totaled $219M at year-end. Xometry generated $6.1M in operating cash flow in 2025. Q4 CapEx was $10.3M (mostly software), consistent with investment in product and platform.
Planned Leadership Succession and Continuity
Founding CEO Randy Altschuler will transition to Executive Chair effective July 1, 2026; President Sanjeev Sahni will become CEO. Management emphasizes a deliberate succession with Randy remaining closely involved as the largest individual long-term shareholder.
Negative Updates
International Segment Still Loss-Making
Q4 international adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $2.4M (improved $0.5M year-over-year), indicating the international business has yet to reach profitability and requires continued operating leverage and investment.
Services Revenue Weakness and Thomas Transition
Services (Thomas) revenue declined ~1% quarter-over-quarter in Q4 and management expects services revenue to be approximately flat in 2026 as the company transitions the recently launched Thomas ad serving platform and search upgrades, creating near-term drag on growth/monetization.
Guidance Reflects Caution and Implied Deceleration
Q1 2026 guidance of $187M–$189M (24%–25% YoY) and full-year 2026 guidance of at least 21% revenue growth imply a slower growth pace than Q4 2025 (Q4 was 30% YoY). Management cites macro uncertainty and provided conservative near-term guidance despite Q1 starting strong.
Significant Stock-Based Compensation in Q1
Q1 2026 stock-based compensation expense (including related payroll taxes) is expected to be approximately $11M, or ~6% of revenue, representing a sizable non-cash expense that will weigh on reported results in the quarter.
Ongoing Investment Needs and Near-Term CapEx
Q4 CapEx was $10.3M (primarily software). While investments support product-led growth, ongoing spending and platform investments create short-term capital needs that can temper cash conversion until scale is reached.
Customer Concentration Risk in Large Accounts
While having 4 customers with ≥ $10M spend is a milestone, it also concentrates meaningful revenue in a small number of large accounts, which could pose downside risk if any large customer reduces spend.
Company Guidance
Xometry guided Q1 2026 revenue of $187–189 million (up ~24%–25% YoY) with marketplace growth of ~27%–28% YoY and services revenue largely flat quarter‑over‑quarter; Q1 adjusted EBITDA is expected at $6.5–7.5 million (vs. roughly breakeven in Q1 2025) and stock‑based compensation (including payroll taxes) of about $11 million (~6% of revenue). For full‑year 2026 the company expects at least 21% revenue growth (with at least 20% growth in Q2–Q4), marketplace gross margin to be higher than in 2025, services revenue approximately flat with modest second‑half growth, and incremental adjusted EBITDA margins of at least 20% for the year.

Xometry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is growing and gross margin is stable (~39% TTM), but the company remains unprofitable (EBIT margin ~-9.1%, net margin ~-9.8%). Leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~1.23) and free cash flow is still negative (~-$24.1M TTM) despite slightly positive operating cash flow (~$6.1M TTM).
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Revenue continues to expand, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) growth of 6.8% and a multi-year increase in sales. Gross margin has stabilized around ~39% (TTM), showing decent unit economics. However, profitability remains a key issue: TTM operating losses persist (EBIT margin around -9.1%) and net losses continue (net margin around -9.8%), indicating the business has not yet scaled to consistent earnings.
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
The balance sheet shows meaningful leverage for a still-loss-making company. Total debt rose to ~$339M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), pushing debt-to-equity to ~1.23 (up from ~0.94 in 2024), which reduces financial flexibility. Equity remains positive (~$276M), but returns on equity are materially negative in recent periods, reflecting ongoing losses and limiting balance-sheet strength despite a solid asset base (~$704M).
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
Cash generation is improving but not yet sustainably positive. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow turned slightly positive (~$6.1M) versus negative in prior years, a clear step in the right direction. Still, free cash flow remains negative (about -$24.1M TTM), implying the company is not self-funding after investment needs, and cash flow support for earnings is not yet strong given continued net losses.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue686.63M545.53M463.41M380.92M218.34M
Gross Profit268.77M215.62M178.26M145.99M57.14M
EBITDA-37.50M-28.20M-52.30M-66.77M-56.93M
Net Income-61.75M-50.40M-67.47M-79.06M-61.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets703.72M680.13M707.39M734.11M502.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments219.14M239.84M268.78M319.43M116.73M
Total Debt349.26M295.14M299.52M302.32M22.47M
Total Liabilities426.98M364.53M376.97M362.31M77.10M
Stockholders Equity275.60M314.45M329.30M370.71M424.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.09M-33.48M-48.36M-76.22M-74.83M
Operating Cash Flow6.09M-15.38M-29.88M-62.58M-68.57M
Investing Cash Flow-16.64M-20.18M16.81M15.14M-212.75M
Financing Cash Flow2.89M4.64M1.07M280.97M307.77M

Xometry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.94
Price Trends
50DMA
54.44
Negative
100DMA
56.79
Negative
200DMA
49.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.70
Negative
RSI
38.82
Neutral
STOCH
41.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XMTR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.93, below the 50-day MA of 54.44, and below the 200-day MA of 49.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XMTR.

Xometry Risk Analysis

Xometry disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xometry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xometry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$15.72B28.2316.15%0.79%8.01%2.67%
76
Outperform
$9.32B30.5913.29%12.60%24.02%
68
Neutral
$14.12B25.6117.48%0.96%0.83%-1.32%
66
Neutral
$9.09B26.0515.81%1.17%3.19%69.89%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$11.69B50.026.19%5.52%9.03%
50
Neutral
$2.03B-48.93-21.90%22.40%-18.99%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XMTR
Xometry
39.20
13.48
52.41%
FLS
Flowserve
71.40
21.59
43.34%
GNRC
Generac Holdings
199.31
67.79
51.54%
ITT
ITT
182.69
48.76
36.41%
PNR
Pentair
86.49
-0.04
-0.05%
SPXC
SPX
186.77
52.50
39.10%

Xometry Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Xometry Announces CEO Succession and Board Leadership Changes
Positive
Feb 24, 2026

Xometry announced on February 24, 2026, that its board approved a leadership transition effective July 1, 2026, elevating President Sanjeev Singh Sahni to chief executive officer and adding him to the board as a Class I director, while expanding the board from six to seven members to accommodate his appointment. The company also detailed that current CEO Randolph Altschuler will step down from that role on July 1, 2026, to become executive chair for an indefinite term, and that current board chair Fabio Rosati will shift to lead independent director, moves that collectively reshape governance while keeping key leaders in influential positions.

These changes signal a planned succession that preserves continuity in Xometry’s strategic direction by retaining Altschuler as executive chair and promoting an internal leader to CEO. The revised board structure, including the enlarged board and a defined lead independent director role, may strengthen oversight and balance executive influence, with implications for investors focused on governance stability and long-term execution.

The most recent analyst rating on (XMTR) stock is a Hold with a $64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xometry stock, see the XMTR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026