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TeraWulf Inc (WULF)
NASDAQ:WULF
US Market

TeraWulf Inc (WULF) AI Stock Analysis

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WULF

TeraWulf Inc

(NASDAQ:WULF)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
▲(0.97% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (large losses, negative operating cash flow, and high leverage). Offsetting this is a constructive earnings-call outlook driven by long-duration HPC contracting and major project financing, while technicals are neutral-to-mixed and valuation lacks support due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Long-term contracted HPC revenue
A 10-year, 360MW IT-load contract creates a durable, predictable revenue stream and high NOI that materially diversifies TeraWulf from spot BTC mining. Such long-term contracted cash flows underpin capacity investment, improve cash visibility, and reduce exposure to crypto price cycles.
Major financing support for build-out
Securing $3.2B of project financing backed by a strategic partner materially reduces funding/execution risk for large-scale campus expansion. This enables timely capex deployment, helps convert contracted demand into revenue, and supports scaling without sole reliance on equity markets.
High-margin recurring HPC leases
Early HPC lease revenue at very high margins demonstrates a scalable, capital-efficient revenue mix. Recurring, contract-based HPC leasing enhances margin sustainability versus commodity mining, supports steady EBITDA generation, and strengthens the business model as capacity ramps.
Negative Factors
Substantial GAAP net losses
Large, persistent GAAP losses strain equity and limit reinvestment capacity. Even with project financings, continued sizable net losses can erode shareholder value, increase reliance on external capital, and hinder the company's ability to fund operations without dilutive or costly financing.
High leverage and thin equity base
Elevated leverage and a low equity ratio raise financial risk if revenue or margins underperform. High debt increases fixed servicing costs, restricts flexibility, and can amplify downside in cyclical crypto/HPC markets, making long-term capital structure repair a potential constraint.
Negative operating cash flow despite FCF gains
While FCF growth is notable, negative operating cash flow indicates core operations aren't yet cash-generative. Reliance on financing or non‑operational cash items to cover losses is unsustainable long-term; converting growth into consistent OCF is critical for durable financial health.

TeraWulf Inc (WULF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TeraWulf Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeraWulf Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a digital asset technology company in the United States. It develops, owns, and operates bitcoin mining facility sites. The company operates two bitcoin mining facility sites located in New York and Pennsylvania. TeraWulf Inc. is based in Easton, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeraWulf generates revenue primarily through the mining of Bitcoin and potentially other cryptocurrencies. The company employs a revenue model based on the production of new Bitcoins, which are earned through solving complex cryptographic puzzles in the mining process. Key revenue streams include the sale of mined Bitcoins at market prices, as well as transaction fees collected from the Bitcoin network. Additionally, TeraWulf may benefit from strategic partnerships with energy providers to secure low-cost, renewable energy, which enhances its profitability by reducing operating expenses. The company's focus on sustainability also aligns with growing market demand for eco-friendly mining practices, potentially attracting investors and customers who prioritize environmental responsibility.

TeraWulf Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic achievements and financial milestones, particularly in the HPC segment and new partnerships. However, it also revealed challenges, such as a substantial net loss, decreased Bitcoin mining, and increased operating expenses. Despite these challenges, the positive developments and future growth potential in the HPC segment outweighed the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant IT Load Agreement
TeraWulf signed approximately 360 megawatts of critical IT load with Fluidstack backed by Google at the Lake Mariner campus, expected to generate average annual revenue of $670 million and net operating income of $565 million.
Major Financing Achievement
Closed $3.2 billion in senior secured financing backed by Google to fully fund the Lake Mariner high-power compute build-out.
Revenue Growth
GAAP revenues increased 6% quarter-over-quarter to $50.6 million from $47.6 million in the previous quarter.
HPC Leasing Segment Performance
Recognized $7.2 million of HPC lease revenue with a margin of 82%, following lease commencement at WULF Den and CB-1.
Strong Financial Liquidity
Pro forma liquidity totals over $1 billion, providing cash for strategic initiatives and a strong balance sheet.
Joint Venture Expansion
Expanded partnership with Fluidstack and Google to develop the Abernathy HPC campus in Texas, adding 168 megawatts of new capacity with potential expansion up to 600 megawatts.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Bitcoin Mining
Self-mined 377 Bitcoin in the third quarter, a 22% decrease compared to 485 Bitcoin mined in the previous quarter.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased 28% quarter-over-quarter to $4.5 million, primarily due to increased staffing levels.
Substantial Net Loss
Reported a GAAP net loss of $455 million in the third quarter, significantly higher than the $18.4 million loss in the previous quarter.
Accelerated Depreciation
Recorded accelerated depreciation expense of $7.8 million related to a minor building and related miners.
Company Guidance
During TeraWulf's 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Call, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic advancements. They secured a 10-year agreement for 360 megawatts of IT load, yielding approximately $670 million in average annual revenue and over $565 million in net operating income. TeraWulf closed $3.2 billion in senior secured financing, supported by Google, to fund the Lake Mariner campus's build-out. The company self-mined 377 Bitcoin, a 22% decrease from the previous quarter, with power costs normalizing at $0.047 per kilowatt hour. Despite a net loss of $455 million, non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA improved by 25% to $18.1 million. TeraWulf also increased its annual target for new HPC signings to 250-500 megawatts, reflecting strong customer demand and expanded capabilities.

TeraWulf Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth (16.32% TTM) and improved free cash flow growth (162.81% TTM) are outweighed by severe profitability weakness (net margin -91.42%, EBIT margin -97.52%), deteriorating gross margin (55.30% in 2024 to 43.83% TTM), high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.87), and negative operating cash flow.
Income Statement
35
Negative
TeraWulf Inc. shows a significant revenue growth rate of 16.32% TTM, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins, which are -91.42% and -97.52% respectively. The gross profit margin has decreased from 55.30% in 2024 to 43.83% TTM, reflecting increased cost pressures. Overall, while revenue growth is a positive sign, the lack of profitability is a major concern.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.87 TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -269.71%, highlighting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 10.08%, suggesting a low proportion of equity financing. Despite the high leverage, the company has managed to maintain some level of equity, but the overall financial stability is weak.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
TeraWulf Inc. has experienced a substantial increase in free cash flow growth at 162.81% TTM, which is a positive development. However, the operating cash flow remains negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is -0.41, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.84, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow. Despite the improvement in free cash flow growth, the overall cash flow position remains precarious.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue167.60M140.05M69.23M15.03M0.0013.43M
Gross Profit84.21M77.44M41.91M3.95M-52.00K3.91M
EBITDA-486.70M-17.41M161.00K-38.83M-43.35M135.29K
Net Income-564.03M-72.42M-73.42M-90.79M-95.68M-439.32K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.45B787.51M378.11M317.69M264.91M30.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments711.81M274.06M54.44M1.28M46.45M6.30M
Total Debt1.09B491.25M124.47M129.31M95.71M95.71M
Total Liabilities2.21B543.07M155.62M199.93M141.73M1.74M
Stockholders Equity247.34M244.44M222.49M117.75M123.18M28.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-676.56M-292.36M-70.91M-106.92M-133.17M-563.65K
Operating Cash Flow-77.73M-24.42M4.26M-34.07M-24.10M-398.83K
Investing Cash Flow-341.09M-91.16M-78.01M-94.05M-201.41M2.06M
Financing Cash Flow1.11B335.21M119.87M89.98M271.97M1.07M

TeraWulf Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.37
Price Trends
50DMA
13.44
Negative
100DMA
13.07
Positive
200DMA
9.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
48.36
Neutral
STOCH
65.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WULF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.67, below the 50-day MA of 13.44, and above the 200-day MA of 9.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WULF.

TeraWulf Inc Risk Analysis

TeraWulf Inc disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TeraWulf Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TeraWulf Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$5.75B45.935.24%103.62%49.48%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$3.59B5.2623.13%53.51%112.53%
64
Neutral
$657.06M5.2322.44%9.52%496.04%
56
Neutral
$6.31B-83.78-9.69%35.41%-38.08%
50
Neutral
$5.60B-9.44-181.95%30.58%-752.41%
42
Neutral
$1.40B-2.02-2.75%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WULF
TeraWulf Inc
13.37
8.36
166.87%
RIOT
Riot Platforms
15.47
3.48
29.02%
MARA
MARA Holdings
9.50
-8.45
-47.08%
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp
1.51
0.02
1.34%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.03
-1.15
-36.16%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
15.96
10.14
174.23%

TeraWulf Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
TeraWulf Expands Data Center Capacity with New Site Acquisitions
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, TeraWulf announced the acquisition of two strategically located brownfield infrastructure sites in Hawesville, Kentucky, and Charles County, Maryland, adding about 1.5 GW of capacity and more than doubling its infrastructure platform to roughly 2.8 GW across five sites. The Hawesville transaction, which closed on February 2, 2026, provides over 250 buildable acres, immediate access to power infrastructure, and roughly 480 MW of existing power availability for phased development of a high-performance computing and AI-focused data center, while granting the seller a minority stake in the development vehicle. In Maryland, the company agreed to acquire the Morgantown Generating Station, a 210 MW grid-connected power plant with expansion potential up to 1 GW, pending regulatory approvals, enhancing TeraWulf’s presence in the PJM market and supporting plans to pair future onsite load with incremental generation and storage. Collectively, these moves deepen TeraWulf’s regional diversification, expand its pipeline of energy-advantaged sites to support 250–500 MW of new contracted capacity per year, and are positioned to bolster grid reliability, local economic development, and the company’s role in repurposing legacy industrial and energy assets for modern compute-intensive demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (WULF) stock is a Hold with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraWulf Inc stock, see the WULF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TeraWulf Secures Major Financing for Abernathy HPC Campus
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, TeraWulf Inc. announced that its joint venture vehicle Flash Compute LLC completed a $1.3 billion private offering of 7.250% senior secured notes due 2030, issued at par and sold primarily to institutional investors under Rule 144A and Regulation S. The proceeds are earmarked to fund a substantial portion of the construction costs for the Abernathy HPC Campus in Texas, establish debt reserves, provide $75 million in cash collateral for a related letter of credit, and cover associated fees, effectively securing long-term, project-linked financing for TeraWulf’s major new data center development. The notes, which are senior secured obligations of Flash Compute, carry semi-annual interest payments beginning June 30, 2026, include scheduled principal amortization after project completion, and are governed by an indenture imposing restrictive covenants on additional indebtedness, liens, asset sales, affiliate transactions, and non-core operations. The financing package also features a capped completion guarantee from JV Partners Holdco of up to $100 million, secured by a first-priority lien on its reserve account, providing additional assurance that the Abernathy HPC Campus can be completed even if note proceeds and existing equity contributions fall short, thereby strengthening the project’s credit profile and risk mitigation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WULF) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraWulf Inc stock, see the WULF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TeraWulf Subsidiary Upsizes $1.3 Billion Note Offering
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, TeraWulf Inc. announced that Flash Compute LLC, an entity majority-owned indirectly by TeraWulf through Big Country Wulf LLC, has increased and priced a private offering of senior secured notes to $1.3 billion in aggregate principal amount, up from a previously planned $1.275 billion, with the notes due in 2030 and bearing interest at 7.250%. The transaction, targeted at qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A and certain non-U.S. investors under Regulation S, is expected to close on December 29, 2025, and underscores the substantial debt financing being put in place to support the operations and expansion of Flash Compute’s infrastructure platform, which could have meaningful implications for TeraWulf’s consolidated financial profile and its strategic positioning in the high-performance computing market.

The most recent analyst rating on (WULF) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraWulf Inc stock, see the WULF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
TeraWulf Highlights Financing Plans for Texas HPC Campus
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, TeraWulf Inc. disclosed that its affiliate Flash Compute LLC will use updated investor presentation slides in connection with a planned financing offering, highlighting the development of a high-performance computing data center campus in Abernathy, Texas and the structure of the Flash Compute ownership between TeraWulf and Fluidstack. The materials include projected rent, operating expenses, debt service and cash flow for the Abernathy project through 2031, indicating expectations for high NOI margins and gradual deleveraging via mandatory amortization and excess cash flow sweeps, underscoring the company’s strategy to scale capital-intensive HPC infrastructure while managing financing risk and long-term returns for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WULF) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraWulf Inc stock, see the WULF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
TeraWulf Plans Major Senior Notes Private Offering
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, TeraWulf Inc. disclosed that its affiliated entity Flash Compute LLC had released selected slides from an investor presentation for use in meetings connected with a planned private debt offering. The company also announced Flash Compute’s intention, as of that date, to issue $1.275 billion in senior secured notes due 2030 in a private placement to qualified institutional buyers and certain non-U.S. investors, a capital-raising move that would significantly shape the financing of its Abernathy, Texas HPC campus and related data center operations, with implications for the group’s leverage profile and future cash flows as outlined in projected debt service and cash flow schedules.

The most recent analyst rating on (WULF) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraWulf Inc stock, see the WULF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
TeraWulf Inc Announces Mandatory Stock Conversion
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, TeraWulf Inc. announced the mandatory conversion of all outstanding shares of its Series A Convertible Preferred Stock into common stock, effective December 9, 2025. This strategic move is aimed at simplifying the company’s capital structure, enhancing financial discipline, and supporting future growth, as stated by TeraWulf’s CFO, Patrick Fleury.

The most recent analyst rating on (WULF) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraWulf Inc stock, see the WULF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
TeraWulf Inc Reports 87% Revenue Growth in Q3 2025
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

In the third quarter of 2025, TeraWulf Inc. achieved significant milestones in its operations and financial strategies, marking a transformational period for the company. The company commenced recurring HPC lease revenue, secured over $17 billion in long-term customer contracts, and completed more than $5 billion in long-term financings to support its expanding platform. TeraWulf’s Lake Mariner Campus in New York has energized substantial Bitcoin-mining and HPC capacities, and the company has formed a joint venture in Texas to further expand its footprint. The company’s financial results for the quarter showed an 87% increase in revenue year-over-year, driven by higher bitcoin prices and expanded mining capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (WULF) stock is a Hold with a $16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraWulf Inc stock, see the WULF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026