tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Cipher Mining (CIFR)
NASDAQ:CIFR
US Market
Advertisement

Cipher Mining (CIFR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,366 Followers

Top Page

CIFR

Cipher Mining

(NASDAQ:CIFR)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(5.93% Upside)
Cipher Mining's overall score reflects strong strategic progress and operational improvements, but significant financial challenges remain. The company's robust balance sheet and strategic initiatives are positive, yet profitability and cash flow issues weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Expansion and Development
Cipher successfully energized and commenced hashing at Black Pearl, as part of the company’s Phase I, 150 MW expansion at the site.
Financial Outlook
Analyst increases the price target to $7.00 due to higher HPC valuation and potential economic ROI of 40% from the CIFR/Fortress JV.
Partnerships and Collaborations
The partnership with Fortress Credit Advisors as a JV financing partner for Barber Lake could free Cipher Mining from significant capex requirements, enhancing its capacity for AI hosting.
Negative Factors
EBITDA and Expense Management
CIFR reported an adjusted EBITDA miss driven by lower gross margin and higher cash G&A.
Gross Margin Decline
Gross profit/margin fell to $28.2M/64.8% in 2Q vs. $34.1M/69.6% in the prior quarter.
Revenue Performance
2Q revenues of $43.6M, down -11% q/q and short of consensus estimates at $50.6M.

Cipher Mining (CIFR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cipher Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCipher Mining Inc. (CIFR) is a U.S.-based technology company specializing in cryptocurrency mining, primarily focusing on Bitcoin. Operating within the blockchain and digital currency sectors, Cipher Mining aims to establish and manage large-scale, energy-efficient Bitcoin mining facilities. The company leverages advanced technologies and strategic geographic locations to optimize its mining operations and contribute to the Bitcoin network's infrastructure.
How the Company Makes MoneyCipher Mining generates revenue by mining Bitcoin, which involves solving complex mathematical problems to validate transactions on the Bitcoin network. In return for their computational work, Cipher Mining earns Bitcoin as a reward, which can then be held as an asset or sold on the open market. The company's revenue model is significantly influenced by the market price of Bitcoin, mining difficulty, and operational efficiency. Key revenue streams include the Bitcoin rewards and transaction fees obtained from successfully mined blocks. Significant partnerships with technology providers, energy suppliers, and financial institutions help Cipher Mining reduce costs and improve operational efficiency, contributing to its earnings.

Cipher Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -9.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant strategic progress and financial achievements, such as exceeding growth guidance, efficient operations, and improved adjusted earnings. However, these positives were tempered by a revenue decline and increased GAAP net loss, indicating financial challenges. The strategic initiatives and financial health improvements suggest a company poised for future growth, but current financial metrics show areas needing attention.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeds Growth Guidance
Cipher Mining exceeded its prior growth guidance, finishing Q2 2025 at 16.8 exahash per second and is on track to reach 23.5 exahash per second by the end of Q3 2025.
Efficient Power Costs and Mining Operations
Cipher's projected all-in weighted average power cost remains highly competitive at $0.031 per kilowatt hour. Fleet efficiency is expected to improve to 16.8 joules per terahash with the new fleet deployment.
Successful Convertible Offering
Cipher raised approximately $168 million in net proceeds from its first convertible senior notes offering, enhancing its financial position and lowering its cost of capital.
Strategic Development of Black Pearl Phase 2
Cipher is moving forward with Black Pearl Phase 2 to support both hydro Bitcoin mining and HPC compute applications, designed for seamless conversion between the two.
Improved Adjusted Earnings
Adjusted earnings increased to $30 million or $0.08 per share in Q2 2025, a significant rise from $6 million in the previous quarter.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased by 10% from $49 million in Q1 2025 to $44 million in Q2 2025, due to rising network hash rate and summer power prices in Texas.
Increased GAAP Net Loss
GAAP net loss was $46 million or $0.12 per share in Q2 2025, influenced by a decrease in the fair value of the power purchase agreement at Odessa and higher depreciation expenses.
Higher Electricity Costs at Joint Ventures
The all-in electricity cost per Bitcoin at the Alborz, Bear, and Chief joint venture sites was roughly $44,594 in Q2 2025, significantly higher than at wholly owned facilities.
Company Guidance
During Cipher Mining's second quarter conference call for 2025, the company reported significant achievements and future plans. The company increased its Bitcoin holdings from 1,034 to 1,063 Bitcoin and paid off all short-term borrowings. Operationally, Cipher exceeded its initial projection of 16 exahash per second, reaching 16.8 exahash per second by the end of the second quarter. For the third quarter, it aims to surpass expectations again, targeting 23.5 exahash per second. The company's fleet efficiency improved from 20.8 to an anticipated 16.8 joules per terahash, and it maintained a low projected all-in power cost of $0.031 per kilowatt hour. Cipher's revenue for the quarter was $44 million, with an average all-in electricity cost of approximately $27,324 per Bitcoin produced, reflecting competitive unit economics. The company's operating capacity stands at 477 megawatts, with a potential expansion of up to 2.6 gigawatts. They also raised approximately $168 million in net proceeds from a convertible senior notes offering, which funded new equipment purchases and strategic site developments like Black Pearl Phase 2. The company is also considering hybrid infrastructure to accommodate both Bitcoin mining and high-performance computing applications, positioning itself for growth in the evolving energy and data center landscape.

Cipher Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cipher Mining shows strong revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet is robust with high equity, but operational inefficiencies and high capital expenditures negatively impact cash flow.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Cipher Mining's revenue has shown significant growth from $3.04M in 2022 to $152.09M in TTM. However, the net profit margin remains negative due to high operating losses, with a TTM net income of -$123.51M. The gross profit margin has improved slightly but remains low due to high costs. Overall, despite revenue growth, profitability challenges persist.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an equity ratio of approximately 80.4% in TTM, indicating low leverage. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly, and the company has a history of net losses, impacting ROE negatively. The increase in assets and equity is a positive signal of potential growth.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Operating cash flow is negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. Free cash flow has worsened in TTM, indicating significant capital expenditures. Cash flow from financing activities has been positive, suggesting reliance on external funding. Overall, cash flow management remains a concern, with negative free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue158.85M151.27M126.84M3.04M0.000.00
Gross Profit-10.16M28.11M76.53M2.29M-4.87K0.00
EBITDA-1.91M61.09M39.70M-31.93M-72.12M-107.03K
Net Income-154.00M-44.63M-25.78M-39.05M-78.71M-107.03K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B855.45M566.14M418.46M354.17M173.09K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments174.79M5.58M86.11M11.93M209.84M1.28M
Total Debt189.29M56.42M21.98M20.32M0.000.00
Total Liabilities269.86M173.49M74.80M75.57M636.05K176.57K
Stockholders Equity748.90M681.95M491.34M342.89M353.53M-3.48K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-521.97M-227.01M-149.26M-248.83M-36.78M-321.64K
Operating Cash Flow-138.98M-87.51M-94.24M-20.91M-31.67M-321.64K
Investing Cash Flow-240.29M-192.13M52.76M-173.91M-120.14M-170.00M
Financing Cash Flow333.80M213.51M115.66M-3.09M361.65M171.60M

Cipher Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.72
Price Trends
50DMA
5.04
Negative
100DMA
3.97
Positive
200DMA
4.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
42.91
Neutral
STOCH
25.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIFR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.64, below the 50-day MA of 5.04, and above the 200-day MA of 4.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CIFR.

Cipher Mining Risk Analysis

Cipher Mining disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cipher Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cipher Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$17.48B11.7210.35%3.82%10.01%1.29%
64
Neutral
$969.49M8.82-23.29%53.68%-265.12%
63
Neutral
$4.30B-3.39%130.86%-22.83%
58
Neutral
$652.43M366.971.33%174.88%-97.01%
51
Neutral
$1.87B-21.39%0.11%-914.42%
44
Neutral
$2.05B-46.99%19.82%-77.95%
37
Underperform
$21.30M242.25%-13.86%-32.19%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIFR
Cipher Mining
4.90
1.25
34.25%
WULF
TeraWulf Inc
5.46
2.11
62.99%
BTBT
Bit Digital
3.17
0.27
9.31%
ARBK
Argo Blockchain
0.32
-0.89
-73.55%
IREN
Iris Energy
17.73
10.48
144.55%
FUFU
BitFuFu
3.91
-1.09
-21.80%

Cipher Mining Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cipher Mining Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Cipher Mining announced its second quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a revenue of $44 million and non-GAAP adjusted earnings of $30 million. The company successfully commenced hashing at its Black Pearl Phase I site ahead of schedule, contributing to a self-mining capacity of approximately 16.8 EH/s, with expectations to reach 23.5 EH/s by the end of the third quarter. Cipher is also advancing its strategic plan for Black Pearl Phase II, aiming to accommodate both AI compute and hydro-bitcoin mining, which will allow flexibility in leasing to HPC tenants or continuing bitcoin mining. The company completed a $172.5 million convertible note offering and maintains a 2.6-gigawatt pipeline, positioning itself as a leading developer of HPC data centers while setting standards in bitcoin mining.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Cipher Mining Ends Board Observer Agreement with Bitfury
Neutral
Jul 25, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. terminated its Board Observer Agreement with Bitfury Investors, which was initially established in April 2022. The agreement allowed Bitfury to designate a non-voting observer to the company’s board, a right they never exercised. The termination includes mutual releases and confidentiality provisions, indicating a clean break without further obligations for either party.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 71.38% of the company’s common stock was represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected directors for terms expiring in 2028, ratified the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the independent registered public accounting firm, and approved executive compensation and its advisory vote frequency, indicating continued shareholder support for the company’s governance and financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Cipher Mining Enhances Compliance with Form S-3 Filing
Neutral
May 22, 2025

Cipher Mining has incorporated the Statement of Eligibility on Form T-1 under the Trust Indenture Act of 1939 into its Registration Statement on Form S-3. This move is part of the company’s regulatory compliance efforts, which may impact its operational transparency and stakeholder trust.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Plans $150M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
May 20, 2025

Cipher Mining announced plans to offer $150 million in convertible senior notes due 2030, with Morgan Stanley managing the offering. The proceeds will fund the completion of Phase 1 of the Black Pearl data center project, including purchasing mining rigs at a discount and covering tariffs and shipping costs. The offering is contingent on a concurrent delta offering of borrowed common stock to facilitate hedging transactions. The company aims to reduce capital expenditure overhang and accelerate its rig deployment timeline, with the data center expected to be energized in June 2025 and rigs arriving in July 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025