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Cipher Mining (CIFR)
NASDAQ:CIFR
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Cipher Mining (CIFR) AI Stock Analysis

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CIFR

Cipher Mining

(NASDAQ:CIFR)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▼(-11.23% Downside)
Cipher Mining's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with ongoing losses and liquidity risks being the primary concerns. However, the company's strategic shift towards high-performance computing and strong partnerships provide a positive outlook. Technical indicators are mixed, and valuation metrics are weak, further impacting the score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships mark a strategic pivot into high-performance computing, enhancing Cipher's market position and revenue potential in the tech sector.
Expansion and Development
The development of the Colchis site solidifies Cipher's infrastructure capabilities, ensuring long-term growth and energy security for its operations.
Bitcoin Mining Efficiency
High efficiency in mining operations positions Cipher as a leader in the industry, ensuring competitive advantage and profitability in Bitcoin mining.
Negative Factors
Profitability Concerns
Ongoing losses and negative margins indicate challenges in achieving sustainable profitability, which could impact long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
Inefficient cash conversion limits Cipher's ability to reinvest in growth and manage operational expenses, threatening financial stability.
Higher Electricity Costs
Rising electricity costs could erode margins and profitability, especially if energy prices remain volatile, impacting Cipher's cost structure.

Cipher Mining (CIFR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cipher Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCipher Mining Inc., a technology company, operates in the bitcoin mining ecosystem in the United States. It engages in developing and growing a cryptocurrency mining business that specializes in bitcoin. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyCipher Mining generates revenue primarily through the mining of Bitcoin, which involves solving complex mathematical problems to validate transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain. As miners successfully complete these tasks, they are rewarded with newly minted Bitcoin and transaction fees, providing a direct source of income. In addition to mining operations, the company may also engage in partnerships with energy providers to secure favorable rates for electricity, which is a significant cost factor in mining. Furthermore, Cipher Mining may explore collaborations with other blockchain entities or investors, enhancing its market presence and revenue potential through strategic alliances.

Cipher Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant strategic advancements and achievements, including transformative partnerships with major tech companies and a robust development pipeline. Despite some cost challenges and financial fluctuations, the overall outlook is positive with strong financial backing and operational efficiency in place.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Partnerships and Transformations
Cipher Mining executed landmark HPC transactions with Fluidstack, Google, and Amazon Web Services, marking a strategic pivot into high-performance computing. The Amazon deal involves a 15-year lease with 300 megawatts of gross capacity and approximately $5.5 billion in contract revenue.
Expansion and Development Pipeline
Cipher secured ownership in a joint venture to develop a 1-gigawatt site in West Texas, named Colchis. The site features a fully executed 1-gigawatt Direct Connect Agreement with American Electric Power, with power availability targeted for 2028.
Financial Performance and Convertible Offering
Cipher completed a $1.3 billion convertible offering at a 0% coupon, with strong investor demand leading to a 37.5% premium to stock price and a 7x oversubscription.
Bitcoin Mining Efficiency
The company achieved a total self-mining hash rate of approximately 23.6 exahash per second with a fleet efficiency of 16.8 joules per terahash, positioning Cipher as one of the most efficient miners in the industry.
Negative Updates
Higher Electricity Costs
There was an increase in electricity cost per bitcoin due to the ramp-up of the Black Pearl facility and higher network hash rates, impacting production costs.
Depreciation and Fluctuations
The company faced higher depreciation expenses impacting bottom-line performance, driven by new asset deployments and upgrades, along with fluctuations in the fair value of a power purchase agreement.
Company Guidance
During the Cipher Mining Third Quarter 2025 Business Update Conference Call, the company announced significant progress in its strategic shift towards high-performance computing (HPC). They executed a landmark 15-year lease with Amazon Web Services for 300 megawatts of gross capacity, expected to generate approximately $5.5 billion in contract revenue. Additionally, Cipher secured a 10-year agreement with Fluidstack and Google for 168 megawatts, estimated to bring in $3 billion initially, with potential to reach $7 billion over 20 years. The company also revealed a new joint venture to develop a 1-gigawatt site in West Texas, further solidifying its position in the HPC sector. Cipher's bitcoin mining operations continue to perform well, boasting an operational mining capacity of 477 megawatts and a self-mining hash rate of 23.6 exahash per second. Financially, Cipher completed a $1.3 billion convertible offering, enhancing their balance sheet to support future growth. The company's transformation is underpinned by its expertise in site sourcing and development, positioning it as a leader in next-generation compute infrastructure.

Cipher Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cipher Mining faces financial challenges with ongoing losses and cash flow issues. Despite revenue growth, profitability metrics are concerning with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with low debt, but negative return on equity is a concern.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cipher Mining's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced revenue growth, with a 4.44% increase in the TTM period. However, profitability metrics are concerning, with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins indicating ongoing losses. The gross profit margin has also declined significantly from previous years, suggesting cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid capital structure despite profitability issues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows. Although there is a positive free cash flow growth rate in the TTM period, the high free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that the company is not efficiently converting its earnings into cash. This poses liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue158.85M151.27M126.84M3.04M0.000.00
Gross Profit33.92M28.11M76.53M2.29M-4.87K0.00
EBITDA-1.91M61.09M39.70M-31.93M-72.12M1.11M
Net Income-154.00M-44.63M-25.78M-39.05M-72.15M1.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B855.45M566.14M418.46M354.17M173.09K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.70M5.58M86.11M11.93M209.84M0.00
Total Debt189.29M56.39M21.98M20.66M0.000.00
Total Liabilities269.86M173.49M74.80M75.57M636.05K176.57K
Stockholders Equity748.90M681.95M491.34M342.89M353.53M-3.48K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-521.97M-227.01M-149.26M-248.83M-36.78M-321.64K
Operating Cash Flow-138.98M-87.51M-94.24M-20.91M-31.67M-321.64K
Investing Cash Flow-240.29M-192.13M52.76M-173.91M-120.14M-170.00M
Financing Cash Flow333.80M213.51M115.66M-3.09M361.65M171.60M

Cipher Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.15
Price Trends
50DMA
17.04
Positive
100DMA
11.92
Positive
200DMA
7.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Positive
RSI
57.03
Neutral
STOCH
83.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIFR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.04, above the 50-day MA of 17.04, and above the 200-day MA of 7.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CIFR.

Cipher Mining Risk Analysis

Cipher Mining disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cipher Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cipher Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$5.56B44.425.24%103.62%49.48%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$750.93M5.9822.44%9.52%496.04%
64
Neutral
$4.20B6.1523.13%53.51%112.53%
52
Neutral
$7.57B-9.69%35.41%-38.08%
45
Neutral
$6.21B-181.95%30.58%-752.41%
41
Neutral
$3.90B-5.61-2.75%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIFR
Cipher Mining
19.15
12.45
185.82%
RIOT
Riot Platforms
14.96
2.31
18.26%
WULF
TeraWulf Inc
14.84
6.95
88.09%
MARA
MARA Holdings
11.11
-16.31
-59.48%
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp
4.20
0.70
20.00%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.32
-2.29
-49.67%

Cipher Mining Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Cipher Mining Completes $1.4 Billion Note Offering
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Cipher Compute LLC, a subsidiary of Cipher Mining Inc., completed a private offering of $1.4 billion in 7.125% Senior Secured Notes due 2030. The proceeds will finance the construction of the Barber Lake Facility, a high-performance computing data center in Texas. The notes, issued at 100% of their principal amount, are subject to various covenants and redemption options, and Cipher will provide a completion guarantee for the facility.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cipher Mining Announces $1.4 Billion Note Offering
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced that its subsidiary, Cipher Compute LLC, has priced a $1.4 billion offering of 7.125% senior secured notes due 2030. The proceeds from this offering are intended to finance the construction of the Barber Lake Facility, a high-performance computing data center in Texas. The notes will be sold to qualified institutional buyers, and the offering is expected to close on November 13, 2025, subject to market conditions. This move is part of Cipher’s strategy to expand its data center operations and strengthen its position in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Cipher Mining’s Strategic Shift and Growth Prospects
Nov 5, 2025

Cipher Mining Inc. recently held its earnings call, showcasing a positive sentiment driven by strategic advancements and achievements. The company highlighted transformative partnerships with major tech companies and a robust development pipeline. Despite facing some cost challenges and financial fluctuations, the overall outlook remains optimistic, supported by strong financial backing and operational efficiency.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Expands with New Texas Data Center
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc.’s subsidiary, Cipher Barber Lake LLC, entered into a lease agreement with Fluidstack USA II Inc. for the development of a 244 MW HPC data center facility near Colorado City, Texas. This move is part of Cipher’s strategic efforts to expand its data center operations, potentially impacting its operational capacity and market positioning in the cryptocurrency mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cipher Mining Announces $1.4 Billion Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced that its subsidiary, Cipher Compute LLC, plans to offer $1.4 billion in senior secured notes due 2030, subject to market conditions. The proceeds will finance the construction of a high-performance computing data center, the Barber Lake Facility, in Texas. The offering will be secured by assets of the issuer and guarantor, and includes a completion guarantee from Cipher. This move is expected to enhance Cipher’s position in the data center industry by expanding its infrastructure capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Cipher Mining Inc.’s Risk Management Crucial Amid Contractual and Economic Challenges
Nov 4, 2025

Cipher Mining Inc. faces significant business risks due to its contracts with HPC data center tenants, which include indemnification and liability provisions that could lead to substantial costs in the event of breaches or third-party claims. The company’s financial condition could be adversely affected if it fails to meet development obligations or complete facilities on time, leading to potential tenant terminations and the need to find new occupants. Additionally, economic conditions and regulatory changes may impact tenants’ decision-making, potentially resulting in delayed transactions and revenue loss. These factors underscore the importance of effective risk management to safeguard Cipher Mining Inc.’s financial health and operational stability.

Cipher Mining’s Strategic Moves and Q3 2025 Results
Nov 4, 2025

Cipher Mining Inc., a company specializing in the development and operation of industrial-scale data centers for bitcoin mining and high-performance computing (HPC) hosting, has reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting significant strategic developments.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cipher Mining Announces Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Cipher Mining announced its third quarter 2025 financial results and significant corporate developments. The company reported a revenue of $72 million and non-GAAP adjusted earnings of $41 million. Notably, Cipher secured a 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services to provide space and power for AI workloads, and formed a joint venture to develop a 1-gigawatt site in West Texas. These strategic moves are expected to enhance Cipher’s credibility and positioning in the HPC space, as well as capitalize on the growing demand for data center capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cipher Mining Announces CFO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Cipher Mining announced the retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Edward Farrell, effective October 14, 2025. Mr. Farrell, who played a crucial role in the company’s early success and public listing, will transition to a Senior Advisor role to ensure a smooth leadership change. Gregory Mumford, with over a decade of experience in financial services and digital infrastructure, will succeed Mr. Farrell as CFO. Mr. Mumford’s appointment is expected to bolster Cipher’s growth strategy, leveraging his expertise in capital markets and strategic advisory.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Cipher Mining Issues $1.3 Billion Convertible Notes
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. issued $1.3 billion in 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031, with an additional option for $200 million fully exercised by initial purchasers. These notes are senior, unsecured obligations and are convertible under certain conditions, with a maturity date of October 1, 2031. The company also entered into capped call transactions to mitigate potential dilution of its common stock upon conversion of the notes, with a cap price set at $23.32, representing a 100% premium over the stock’s last reported sale price on September 25, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cipher Mining Announces $1.1 Billion Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced the pricing of its $1.1 billion convertible senior notes due 2031 in a private offering to qualified institutional buyers. The offering size was increased from the previously announced $800 million, and the notes are set to settle on September 30, 2025. The proceeds will be used to fund data center construction, accelerate HPC strategy, expand development sites, and for general corporate purposes. The issuance is expected to impact Cipher’s market positioning by supporting its growth in bitcoin mining and HPC hosting, potentially affecting the market price of its common stock through associated financial transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cipher Mining Announces $800M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced its intention to offer $800 million in convertible senior notes due 2031 in a private offering to qualified institutional buyers. The proceeds will be used to finance data center construction at Barber Lake, accelerate the company’s HPC strategy, expand its development pipeline, and for general corporate purposes. This move is expected to enhance Cipher’s operational capacity and strengthen its position in the data center and bitcoin mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Secures Major HPC Colocation Agreement
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced a 10-year high-performance computing colocation agreement with Fluidstack, which includes the development of a data center facility in Colorado City, Texas, expected to deliver 168 megawatts of critical IT load by September 2026. This agreement, backed by Google with a $1.4 billion backstop of Fluidstack’s obligations, is projected to secure approximately $3 billion in contracted revenue over the initial term, establishing Cipher as a major AI data center developer and strengthening its position in the rapidly growing HPC sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIFR) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cipher Mining stock, see the CIFR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025