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Cipher Mining (CIFR)
NASDAQ:CIFR
US Market

Cipher Mining (CIFR) AI Stock Analysis

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CIFR

Cipher Mining

(NASDAQ:CIFR)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$18.00
▲(18.81% Upside)
Cipher Mining's overall stock score is driven by positive strategic developments and technical indicators, offset by financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's strategic shift into high-performance computing and partnerships with tech giants are significant positives, but ongoing financial losses and liquidity risks weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships mark a strategic pivot into high-performance computing, potentially generating significant revenue and enhancing market position.
Expansion and Development
This expansion solidifies Cipher's position in the HPC sector, increasing operational capacity and future revenue potential.
Operational Efficiency
High mining efficiency positions Cipher as a leader in the industry, reducing costs and enhancing profitability over time.
Negative Factors
Ongoing Financial Losses
Persistent financial losses and liquidity risks can hinder growth and limit investment in new opportunities, affecting long-term viability.
Higher Electricity Costs
Rising production costs can erode margins, impacting profitability and competitiveness in the energy-intensive mining industry.
Depreciation and Fluctuations
Increased depreciation reduces net income, affecting financial performance and potentially limiting reinvestment capacity.

Cipher Mining (CIFR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cipher Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCipher Mining Inc., a technology company, operates in the bitcoin mining ecosystem in the United States. It engages in developing and growing a cryptocurrency mining business that specializes in bitcoin. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyCipher Mining generates revenue primarily through the mining of Bitcoin, which involves solving complex mathematical problems to validate transactions on the Bitcoin network. The company earns Bitcoin rewards and transaction fees for each block mined, which are then sold on the open market for fiat currency or reinvested. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of mined Bitcoin, potential energy cost savings from optimized operations, and partnerships with energy providers for competitive electricity rates. Additionally, Cipher Mining may explore opportunities in related services or technologies within the blockchain ecosystem to diversify its revenue.

Cipher Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights significant strategic advancements and achievements, including transformative partnerships with major tech companies and a robust development pipeline. Despite some cost challenges and financial fluctuations, the overall outlook is positive with strong financial backing and operational efficiency in place.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Partnerships and Transformations
Cipher Mining executed landmark HPC transactions with Fluidstack, Google, and Amazon Web Services, marking a strategic pivot into high-performance computing. The Amazon deal involves a 15-year lease with 300 megawatts of gross capacity and approximately $5.5 billion in contract revenue.
Expansion and Development Pipeline
Cipher secured ownership in a joint venture to develop a 1-gigawatt site in West Texas, named Colchis. The site features a fully executed 1-gigawatt Direct Connect Agreement with American Electric Power, with power availability targeted for 2028.
Financial Performance and Convertible Offering
Cipher completed a $1.3 billion convertible offering at a 0% coupon, with strong investor demand leading to a 37.5% premium to stock price and a 7x oversubscription.
Bitcoin Mining Efficiency
The company achieved a total self-mining hash rate of approximately 23.6 exahash per second with a fleet efficiency of 16.8 joules per terahash, positioning Cipher as one of the most efficient miners in the industry.
Negative Updates
Higher Electricity Costs
There was an increase in electricity cost per bitcoin due to the ramp-up of the Black Pearl facility and higher network hash rates, impacting production costs.
Depreciation and Fluctuations
The company faced higher depreciation expenses impacting bottom-line performance, driven by new asset deployments and upgrades, along with fluctuations in the fair value of a power purchase agreement.
Company Guidance
During the Cipher Mining Third Quarter 2025 Business Update Conference Call, the company announced significant progress in its strategic shift towards high-performance computing (HPC). They executed a landmark 15-year lease with Amazon Web Services for 300 megawatts of gross capacity, expected to generate approximately $5.5 billion in contract revenue. Additionally, Cipher secured a 10-year agreement with Fluidstack and Google for 168 megawatts, estimated to bring in $3 billion initially, with potential to reach $7 billion over 20 years. The company also revealed a new joint venture to develop a 1-gigawatt site in West Texas, further solidifying its position in the HPC sector. Cipher's bitcoin mining operations continue to perform well, boasting an operational mining capacity of 477 megawatts and a self-mining hash rate of 23.6 exahash per second. Financially, Cipher completed a $1.3 billion convertible offering, enhancing their balance sheet to support future growth. The company's transformation is underpinned by its expertise in site sourcing and development, positioning it as a leader in next-generation compute infrastructure.

Cipher Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cipher Mining faces financial challenges with ongoing losses and cash flow issues. Despite revenue growth, profitability metrics are concerning with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with low debt, but negative return on equity is a concern.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cipher Mining's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced revenue growth, with a 4.44% increase in the TTM period. However, profitability metrics are concerning, with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins indicating ongoing losses. The gross profit margin has also declined significantly from previous years, suggesting cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a solid capital structure despite profitability issues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows. Although there is a positive free cash flow growth rate in the TTM period, the high free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that the company is not efficiently converting its earnings into cash. This poses liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue158.85M151.27M126.84M3.04M0.000.00
Gross Profit33.92M28.11M76.53M2.29M-4.87K0.00
EBITDA-1.91M61.09M39.70M-31.93M-72.12M1.11M
Net Income-154.00M-44.63M-25.78M-39.05M-72.15M1.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B855.45M566.14M418.46M354.17M173.09K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.70M5.58M86.11M11.93M209.84M0.00
Total Debt189.29M56.39M21.98M20.66M0.000.00
Total Liabilities269.86M173.49M74.80M75.57M636.05K176.57K
Stockholders Equity748.90M681.95M491.34M342.89M353.53M-3.48K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-521.97M-227.01M-149.26M-248.83M-36.78M-321.64K
Operating Cash Flow-138.98M-87.51M-94.24M-20.91M-31.67M-321.64K
Investing Cash Flow-240.29M-192.13M52.76M-173.91M-120.14M-170.00M
Financing Cash Flow333.80M213.51M115.66M-3.09M361.65M171.60M

Cipher Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price15.15
Price Trends
50DMA
18.31
Negative
100DMA
13.66
Positive
200DMA
8.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.59
Positive
RSI
41.61
Neutral
STOCH
16.60
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIFR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 15.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.51, below the 50-day MA of 18.31, and above the 200-day MA of 8.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CIFR.

Cipher Mining Risk Analysis

Cipher Mining disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cipher Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cipher Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$4.82B39.735.24%103.62%49.48%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$4.04B5.5023.13%53.51%112.53%
64
Neutral
$637.64M5.2122.44%9.52%496.04%
56
Neutral
$5.69B-79.53-9.69%35.41%-38.08%
53
Neutral
$4.85B-8.32-181.95%30.58%-752.41%
39
Underperform
$1.53B-2.12-2.75%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIFR
Cipher Mining
15.15
9.42
164.40%
RIOT
Riot Platforms
13.38
1.83
15.84%
WULF
TeraWulf Inc
11.79
5.18
78.37%
MARA
MARA Holdings
9.69
-10.27
-51.45%
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp
1.59
-0.64
-28.70%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.02
-1.33
-39.70%

Cipher Mining Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Secures $333M for Texas Facility Expansion
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Cipher Compute LLC, a subsidiary of Cipher Mining Inc., completed a private offering of $333 million in senior secured notes to finance the expansion of its Barber Lake Facility in Texas. These notes, which are part of a larger series due in 2030, are intended to support the construction of additional facilities and include specific covenants and redemption options, reflecting Cipher’s strategic efforts to enhance its operational capabilities and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Expands Texas Data Center Capacity
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced an amended agreement with Fluidstack and Google, expanding its Barber Lake data center capacity in Texas by an additional 39 MW, with completion expected by January 2027. This expansion, part of a 10-year HPC colocation agreement with Fluidstack, is projected to generate approximately $830 million in revenue, with potential extensions increasing the total to $9 billion. Google has increased its financial backing of Fluidstack’s obligations by $333 million, supporting the project’s growth and Cipher’s strategic positioning in the industry.

Private Placements and Financing
Cipher Mining Completes $1.4 Billion Note Offering
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Cipher Compute LLC, a subsidiary of Cipher Mining Inc., completed a private offering of $1.4 billion in 7.125% Senior Secured Notes due 2030. The proceeds will finance the construction of the Barber Lake Facility, a high-performance computing data center in Texas. The notes, issued at 100% of their principal amount, are subject to various covenants and redemption options, and Cipher will provide a completion guarantee for the facility.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Announces $1.4 Billion Note Offering
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced that its subsidiary, Cipher Compute LLC, has priced a $1.4 billion offering of 7.125% senior secured notes due 2030. The proceeds from this offering are intended to finance the construction of the Barber Lake Facility, a high-performance computing data center in Texas. The notes will be sold to qualified institutional buyers, and the offering is expected to close on November 13, 2025, subject to market conditions. This move is part of Cipher’s strategy to expand its data center operations and strengthen its position in the industry.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Expands with New Texas Data Center
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc.’s subsidiary, Cipher Barber Lake LLC, entered into a lease agreement with Fluidstack USA II Inc. for the development of a 244 MW HPC data center facility near Colorado City, Texas. This move is part of Cipher’s strategic efforts to expand its data center operations, potentially impacting its operational capacity and market positioning in the cryptocurrency mining sector.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Announces $1.4 Billion Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced that its subsidiary, Cipher Compute LLC, plans to offer $1.4 billion in senior secured notes due 2030, subject to market conditions. The proceeds will finance the construction of a high-performance computing data center, the Barber Lake Facility, in Texas. The offering will be secured by assets of the issuer and guarantor, and includes a completion guarantee from Cipher. This move is expected to enhance Cipher’s position in the data center industry by expanding its infrastructure capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cipher Mining Announces Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Cipher Mining announced its third quarter 2025 financial results and significant corporate developments. The company reported a revenue of $72 million and non-GAAP adjusted earnings of $41 million. Notably, Cipher secured a 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services to provide space and power for AI workloads, and formed a joint venture to develop a 1-gigawatt site in West Texas. These strategic moves are expected to enhance Cipher’s credibility and positioning in the HPC space, as well as capitalize on the growing demand for data center capacity.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Announces CFO Retirement and Successor
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Cipher Mining announced the retirement of its Chief Financial Officer, Edward Farrell, effective October 14, 2025. Mr. Farrell, who played a crucial role in the company’s early success and public listing, will transition to a Senior Advisor role to ensure a smooth leadership change. Gregory Mumford, with over a decade of experience in financial services and digital infrastructure, will succeed Mr. Farrell as CFO. Mr. Mumford’s appointment is expected to bolster Cipher’s growth strategy, leveraging his expertise in capital markets and strategic advisory.

Private Placements and Financing
Cipher Mining Issues $1.3 Billion Convertible Notes
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. issued $1.3 billion in 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031, with an additional option for $200 million fully exercised by initial purchasers. These notes are senior, unsecured obligations and are convertible under certain conditions, with a maturity date of October 1, 2031. The company also entered into capped call transactions to mitigate potential dilution of its common stock upon conversion of the notes, with a cap price set at $23.32, representing a 100% premium over the stock’s last reported sale price on September 25, 2025.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Announces $1.1 Billion Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced the pricing of its $1.1 billion convertible senior notes due 2031 in a private offering to qualified institutional buyers. The offering size was increased from the previously announced $800 million, and the notes are set to settle on September 30, 2025. The proceeds will be used to fund data center construction, accelerate HPC strategy, expand development sites, and for general corporate purposes. The issuance is expected to impact Cipher’s market positioning by supporting its growth in bitcoin mining and HPC hosting, potentially affecting the market price of its common stock through associated financial transactions.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Announces $800M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced its intention to offer $800 million in convertible senior notes due 2031 in a private offering to qualified institutional buyers. The proceeds will be used to finance data center construction at Barber Lake, accelerate the company’s HPC strategy, expand its development pipeline, and for general corporate purposes. This move is expected to enhance Cipher’s operational capacity and strengthen its position in the data center and bitcoin mining industry.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cipher Mining Secures Major HPC Colocation Agreement
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Cipher Mining Inc. announced a 10-year high-performance computing colocation agreement with Fluidstack, which includes the development of a data center facility in Colorado City, Texas, expected to deliver 168 megawatts of critical IT load by September 2026. This agreement, backed by Google with a $1.4 billion backstop of Fluidstack’s obligations, is projected to secure approximately $3 billion in contracted revenue over the initial term, establishing Cipher as a major AI data center developer and strengthening its position in the rapidly growing HPC sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025