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MARA Holdings (MARA)
NASDAQ:MARA
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MARA Holdings (MARA) AI Stock Analysis

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MARA

MARA Holdings

(NASDAQ:MARA)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(2.74% Upside)
MARA's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth but challenges in profitability and cash flow. Technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish trend. The valuation is reasonable, and recent earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic growth initiatives, though risks from bitcoin price volatility and operational challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
MARA reported increased revenue driven by a significant rise in BTC price and improvements in fleet efficiency.
Strategic Partnerships
MARA plans to partner with energy companies to monetize stranded energy.
Technological Advancements
Partnerships with companies like Google-backed TAE Power Solutions and LG-backed PADO AI suggest growing potential in AI-adjacent technologies.
Negative Factors
Cost Management
Costs associated with the leased sites is still high which remains a drag on COGS.
Financial Adjustments
A non-cash, fair value negative price adjustment caused MARA's per share earnings to plummet.
Profitability Challenges
Reported lower gross profits and higher SG&A, leading to a narrow adjusted EBITDA miss.

MARA Holdings (MARA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MARA Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarathon Digital Holdings, Inc. operates as a digital asset technology company that mines cryptocurrencies with a focus on the blockchain ecosystem and the generation of digital assets in United States. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 8,115 bitcoins, which included the 4,794 bitcoins held in the investment fund. The company was formerly known as Marathon Patent Group, Inc. and changed its name to Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. in February 2021. Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarathon Digital Holdings generates revenue primarily through the mining of Bitcoin, utilizing its extensive fleet of high-performance mining rigs. The company earns money by solving complex cryptographic puzzles, which allows it to validate transactions on the Bitcoin network and receive newly minted Bitcoin as a reward. Additionally, Marathon may generate revenue from the sale of mined Bitcoin, which can fluctuate based on market conditions. The company also potentially benefits from strategic partnerships with energy providers to secure low-cost electricity for its mining operations, further enhancing profitability. Furthermore, by leveraging its infrastructure, Marathon may explore opportunities in blockchain technology and digital asset management, expanding its revenue streams.

MARA Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a largely positive outlook for MARA, highlighting record-breaking financial performance, significant growth in bitcoin holdings, and strategic international expansion. However, concerns were noted about the volatility of bitcoin prices and the operational challenges posed by seasonal curtailment in Texas.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
Q2 2025 was a record-breaking quarter for MARA, with revenues increasing by 64% year-over-year to $238.5 million, driven by a 50% increase in the average bitcoin price. This was the highest revenue quarter in the company's history.
Significant Growth in Bitcoin Holdings
Between Q2 2024 and Q2 2025, MARA's bitcoin holdings surged by over 170% from approximately 18,500 BTC to nearly 50,000 BTC. The market value of these holdings increased by more than $4.2 billion, or 362% year-over-year.
Strategic International Expansion
MARA is setting up regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia and France to expand its infrastructure and explore international opportunities, particularly in regions with abundant energy and growing demand for sovereign compute.
Low-Cost Energy Strategy
MARA completed the construction of a new behind-the-meter data center at a wind-powered site in Texas, providing access to low-cost power and improving margin structure.
Positive Net Income
Reported net income of $808.2 million in Q2 2025 compared to a net loss of $199.7 million in Q2 2024, reflecting the impact of bitcoin holdings on the balance sheet.
Negative Updates
Bitcoin Price Volatility Concerns
There are concerns about the current frothy bitcoin price, with potential downward pressure if buying demand subsides as long-term holders take profits.
Summer Curtailment in Texas
Production in Texas was affected by curtailment due to warmer months, impacting the company's ability to maintain consistent mining output.
Company Guidance
During the MARA Q2 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported record-breaking financial performance. Key metrics included a 64% increase in revenues, reaching $238.5 million, and a surge in bitcoin holdings by over 170% from the previous year, totaling nearly 50,000 BTC. The market value of these holdings rose by more than $4.2 billion, a 362% increase year-over-year. MARA's energized hashrate expanded by 82% to 57.4 exahash per second. The company achieved a net income of $808.2 million, contrasting with a net loss of $199.7 million the previous year. This performance was bolstered by a 50% increase in average bitcoin price and strategic investments in low-cost, flexible power sources, including a wind-powered data center in Texas. MARA also reported a 52% increase in blocks won compared to the prior year and announced strategic partnerships to support AI infrastructure. The company's cost structure improved, with purchased energy costs per bitcoin at $33,735, among the lowest in the sector.

MARA Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marathon Digital Holdings shows a mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth and a solid equity base but faces profitability and cash flow challenges. The company’s high leverage and negative cash flows could pose risks, but strategic improvements in revenue generation and equity positioning offer potential upside.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company's recent TTM data indicates a challenging financial environment, with a negative gross profit margin and EBIT margin, but a strong EBITDA margin at 178.76%. Revenue growth is notable, with a substantial increase from 2024 to TTM, showing resilience. However, the net profit margin has been inconsistent, currently at 84.98%, due to fluctuations in net income.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage, but the equity ratio has improved to 62.06%, indicating a strong equity base. Return on equity is solid at 14.16% in the TTM, showing effective use of shareholder funds despite the high level of liabilities.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow and free cash flow remain negative, indicating cash flow challenges, although there is a significant increase in financing cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential issues in converting profits into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, suggesting inefficiencies in core operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue798.41M656.38M387.51M117.75M159.16M4.36M
Gross Profit-5.78M-159.37M-15.34M-33.67M116.77M-7.37M
EBITDA1.43B1.06B467.46M-601.78M1.95M-7.26M
Net Income678.77M541.25M261.17M-694.02M-37.10M-10.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.72B6.80B1.99B1.20B1.45B313.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments109.47M391.77M357.31M103.70M268.56M141.32M
Total Debt2.65B2.47B326.13M783.51M728.41M184.10K
Total Liabilities2.93B2.67B375.05M809.30M765.22M1.51M
Stockholders Equity4.79B4.13B1.62B385.94M683.02M311.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.52B-930.48M-343.26M-217.59M-727.14M-91.16M
Operating Cash Flow-1.13B-677.02M-315.65M-176.48M-18.22M-7.77M
Investing Cash Flow-2.87B-3.23B4.59M-390.23M-891.92M-81.29M
Financing Cash Flow3.58B3.95B555.86M410.65M1.04B229.69M

MARA Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.06
Price Trends
50DMA
16.66
Negative
100DMA
15.62
Positive
200DMA
16.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
49.75
Neutral
STOCH
70.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MARA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.75, below the 50-day MA of 16.66, and below the 200-day MA of 16.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MARA.

MARA Holdings Risk Analysis

MARA Holdings disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MARA Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MARA Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$17.88B11.6810.28%3.72%9.78%1.27%
68
Neutral
$631.22M13.7129.72%39.84%-10.81%
63
Neutral
$826.08M8.82-11.34%14.65%-240.80%
63
Neutral
$6.38B-3.39%130.86%-22.83%
58
Neutral
$3.70B-46.99%19.82%-77.95%
55
Neutral
$5.92B14.3218.26%41.32%-12.83%
54
Neutral
$3.00B-21.39%0.11%-914.42%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MARA
MARA Holdings
16.06
0.80
5.24%
WULF
TeraWulf Inc
9.63
5.81
152.09%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.57
-0.26
-9.19%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
7.64
4.44
138.75%
IREN
Iris Energy
29.11
22.21
321.88%
FUFU
BitFuFu
3.87
-0.45
-10.42%

MARA Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marathon Digital Expands with Exaion Investment Deal
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, MARA Holdings, Inc. announced an investment agreement with Exaion SAS, a subsidiary of EDF, to acquire a 64% stake in Exaion, with the option to increase ownership to 75% by 2027. This strategic move is expected to expand MARA’s capabilities in AI and high-performance computing infrastructure, enhancing its market position and meeting the growing demand for secure cloud solutions.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marathon Digital Raises $950M in Convertible Notes
Neutral
Jul 28, 2025

On July 25, 2025, Marathon Digital Holdings completed a private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2032, raising $950 million. The proceeds are intended for repurchasing existing notes, capped call transactions, acquiring bitcoin, and general corporate purposes. The notes are convertible into common stock and are subject to specific conditions for redemption and conversion, impacting the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

Private Placements and Financing
Marathon Digital Announces $950M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 23, 2025, MARA Holdings, Inc. announced the pricing of a $950 million upsized private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2032, with an option for initial purchasers to acquire an additional $200 million. The net proceeds are expected to be used for repurchasing existing convertible notes, capped call transactions, acquiring bitcoin, and general corporate purposes. The offering is anticipated to close on July 25, 2025, and is aimed at qualified institutional buyers, potentially impacting the market price of MARA’s common stock.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marathon Digital Announces $850M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 23, 2025

On July 23, 2025, MARA Holdings, Inc. announced that as of June 30, 2025, it had 310,000 energized miners and mined 2,358 bitcoin during the second quarter of 2025. The company’s total bitcoin holdings reached 49,951, and its compute power was 57.4 EH/s. Additionally, MARA announced a proposed private offering of $850 million in convertible senior notes due 2032, with plans to use the proceeds for repurchasing existing notes, acquiring bitcoin, and general corporate purposes. This move is expected to impact the market price of MARA’s common stock and notes.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marathon Digital Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting Decisions
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Marathon Digital Holdings held its annual meeting of stockholders where key decisions were made regarding company leadership and operations. The election of Class II directors saw Georges Antoun and Jay Leupp elected to serve until 2028. The appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified. However, the compensation for the Named Executive Officers was not approved by stockholders. An amendment to the 2018 Plan was approved, reflecting strategic adjustments in the company’s governance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025