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Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA)
NASDAQ:MARA
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Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) AI Stock Analysis

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MARA

Marathon Digital Holdings

(NASDAQ:MARA)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-1.02% Downside)
Marathon Digital Holdings' overall stock score reflects a challenging financial environment with strong revenue growth but significant profitability and cash flow issues. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation appears reasonable. The earnings call and recent corporate events highlight strategic growth initiatives, but market risks and operational challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
MARA reported increased revenue driven by a significant rise in BTC price and improvements in fleet efficiency.
Partnerships
MARA plans to partner with energy companies to monetize stranded energy.
Technological Advancements
Partnerships with companies like Google-backed TAE Power Solutions and LG-backed PADO AI suggest growing potential in AI-adjacent technologies.
Negative Factors
Earnings Impact
A non-cash, fair value negative price adjustment caused MARA's per share earnings to plummet.
Operational Costs
Costs associated with the leased sites is still high which remains a drag on COGS.
Profitability Challenges
Reported lower gross profits and higher SG&A, leading to a narrow adjusted EBITDA miss.

Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marathon Digital Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarathon Digital Holdings, Inc. operates as a digital asset technology company that mines cryptocurrencies with a focus on the blockchain ecosystem and the generation of digital assets in United States. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 8,115 bitcoins, which included the 4,794 bitcoins held in the investment fund. The company was formerly known as Marathon Patent Group, Inc. and changed its name to Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. in February 2021. Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarathon Digital Holdings generates revenue primarily through the mining of Bitcoin, utilizing its extensive fleet of high-performance mining rigs. The company earns money by solving complex cryptographic puzzles, which allows it to validate transactions on the Bitcoin network and receive newly minted Bitcoin as a reward. Additionally, Marathon may generate revenue from the sale of mined Bitcoin, which can fluctuate based on market conditions. The company also potentially benefits from strategic partnerships with energy providers to secure low-cost electricity for its mining operations, further enhancing profitability. Furthermore, by leveraging its infrastructure, Marathon may explore opportunities in blockchain technology and digital asset management, expanding its revenue streams.

Marathon Digital Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted MARA's record-breaking financial performance and strategic expansions, including significant growth in bitcoin holdings and infrastructure investments. However, concerns were raised about market frothiness and operational challenges in the bitcoin mining sector. Overall, while there are positive achievements, the acknowledgment of market risks and operational hurdles presents a balanced outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
In Q2 2025, MARA reported record-breaking financial performance with revenues increasing by 64% to $238.5 million, driven primarily by a 50% increase in the average bitcoin price. Net income for the quarter was $808.2 million, compared to a net loss of $199.7 million in the same period last year.
Significant Bitcoin Holdings Growth
MARA's bitcoin holdings surged by over 170% year-over-year, from approximately 18,500 BTC to nearly 50,000 BTC. The market value of their bitcoin holdings increased by more than $4.2 billion or 362% year-over-year.
Strategic Partnerships and Infrastructure Expansion
MARA announced strategic partnerships with TAE Power Solutions and Pado AI. They completed the construction of a new behind-the-meter data center at a wind-powered site in Texas, and established regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia and an entity in France for European operations.
Convertible Notes Offering
MARA issued $950 million of 0% convertible senior notes due 2032 to bolster their balance sheet, providing flexibility for strategic actions like bitcoin purchases, M&A, or debt repayment.
Negative Updates
Concerns Over Bitcoin Market Frothiness
Despite strong bitcoin holdings, MARA expressed concerns about the current frothy market conditions and potential downward pressure on bitcoin prices if buying demand subsides.
Challenges in Balancing Growth and Investment
MARA's growth in power assets has slowed partly due to a strategic focus on acquiring the right types of assets and potential competition from hyperscalers for power assets.
Bitcoin Mining Market Volatility
The company experienced fluctuations in bitcoin mining operations, with market share bouncing significantly between months due to factors like curtailment and maintenance cycles.
Company Guidance
During the MARA Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported record-breaking financial performance, with revenues increasing by 64% to $238.5 million compared to the previous year. Their bitcoin holdings surged by over 170%, reaching nearly 50,000 BTC, while the market value of these holdings rose by $4.2 billion, a 362% year-over-year increase. MARA achieved an 82% increase in their energized hash rate, now at 57.4 exahash per second. The company also reported net income of $808.2 million, a significant turnaround from a net loss of $199.7 million the previous year. Their purchased energy cost per bitcoin was among the lowest in the sector at $33,735 per coin, with a 24% year-over-year improvement in daily cost per petahash. The company highlighted strategic initiatives, such as partnerships to develop AI infrastructure, construction of a wind-powered data center, and a convertible notes offering to bolster their balance sheet, emphasizing their position as a leading bitcoin holder and infrastructure innovator.

Marathon Digital Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marathon Digital Holdings faces financial challenges with inconsistent revenue growth and significant negative net income. The balance sheet reflects high leverage, and cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow and reliance on financing activities for liquidity.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Marathon Digital Holdings shows inconsistent revenue growth with a decrease in total revenue from 2024 to TTM. Gross profit margins are volatile, and the company has significant negative net income in TTM, leading to a negative net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational challenges, although EBITDA remains positive due to adjustments.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high level of debt with a debt-to-equity ratio above 0.7, indicating moderate leverage. However, the company has improved its equity position over the years, showing a positive trajectory. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure despite high liabilities.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative free cash flow in TTM, with significant capital expenditures impacting cash reserves. The operating cash flow is negative, indicating potential challenges in generating cash from operations. The company relies heavily on financing activities to maintain liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue798.41M656.38M387.51M117.75M159.16M4.36M
Gross Profit-5.78M-159.37M-15.34M-33.67M116.77M-7.37M
EBITDA1.43B1.06B467.46M-601.78M1.95M-7.26M
Net Income678.77M541.25M261.17M-694.02M-37.10M-10.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.72B6.80B1.99B1.20B1.45B313.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments109.47M391.77M357.31M103.70M268.56M141.32M
Total Debt2.65B2.47B326.13M783.51M728.41M184.10K
Total Liabilities2.93B2.67B375.05M809.30M765.22M1.51M
Stockholders Equity4.79B4.13B1.62B385.94M683.02M311.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.52B-930.48M-343.26M-217.59M-727.14M-91.16M
Operating Cash Flow-1.13B-677.02M-315.65M-176.48M-18.22M-7.77M
Investing Cash Flow-2.87B-3.23B4.59M-390.23M-891.92M-81.29M
Financing Cash Flow3.58B3.95B555.86M410.65M1.04B229.69M

Marathon Digital Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.66
Price Trends
50DMA
16.50
Negative
100DMA
15.12
Positive
200DMA
16.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
41.93
Neutral
STOCH
22.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MARA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.25, below the 50-day MA of 16.50, and below the 200-day MA of 16.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MARA.

Marathon Digital Holdings Risk Analysis

Marathon Digital Holdings disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marathon Digital Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marathon Digital Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
¥815.90B12.849.17%3.05%8.46%12.96%
65
Neutral
$956.70M8.82-23.29%53.68%-265.12%
63
Neutral
$4.45B-3.39%130.86%-22.83%
58
Neutral
$645.90M363.301.33%174.88%-97.01%
52
Neutral
$5.70B13.7818.26%41.32%-12.83%
51
Neutral
$1.87B-21.39%0.11%-914.42%
50
Neutral
$1.93B-46.99%19.82%-77.95%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MARA
Marathon Digital Holdings
15.66
0.55
3.64%
WULF
TeraWulf Inc
5.40
1.83
51.26%
BTBT
Bit Digital
3.00
0.10
3.45%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
4.76
0.83
21.12%
IREN
Iris Energy
17.97
10.39
137.07%
FUFU
BitFuFu
4.03
-0.73
-15.34%

Marathon Digital Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marathon Digital Expands with Exaion Investment Deal
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, MARA Holdings, Inc. announced an investment agreement with Exaion SAS, a subsidiary of EDF, to acquire a 64% stake in Exaion, with the option to increase ownership to 75% by 2027. This strategic move is expected to expand MARA’s capabilities in AI and high-performance computing infrastructure, enhancing its market position and meeting the growing demand for secure cloud solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (MARA) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marathon Digital Holdings stock, see the MARA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marathon Digital Raises $950M in Convertible Notes
Neutral
Jul 28, 2025

On July 25, 2025, Marathon Digital Holdings completed a private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2032, raising $950 million. The proceeds are intended for repurchasing existing notes, capped call transactions, acquiring bitcoin, and general corporate purposes. The notes are convertible into common stock and are subject to specific conditions for redemption and conversion, impacting the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (MARA) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marathon Digital Holdings stock, see the MARA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Marathon Digital Announces $950M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 23, 2025, MARA Holdings, Inc. announced the pricing of a $950 million upsized private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2032, with an option for initial purchasers to acquire an additional $200 million. The net proceeds are expected to be used for repurchasing existing convertible notes, capped call transactions, acquiring bitcoin, and general corporate purposes. The offering is anticipated to close on July 25, 2025, and is aimed at qualified institutional buyers, potentially impacting the market price of MARA’s common stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (MARA) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marathon Digital Holdings stock, see the MARA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marathon Digital Announces $850M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Jul 23, 2025

On July 23, 2025, MARA Holdings, Inc. announced that as of June 30, 2025, it had 310,000 energized miners and mined 2,358 bitcoin during the second quarter of 2025. The company’s total bitcoin holdings reached 49,951, and its compute power was 57.4 EH/s. Additionally, MARA announced a proposed private offering of $850 million in convertible senior notes due 2032, with plans to use the proceeds for repurchasing existing notes, acquiring bitcoin, and general corporate purposes. This move is expected to impact the market price of MARA’s common stock and notes.

The most recent analyst rating on (MARA) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marathon Digital Holdings stock, see the MARA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Marathon Digital Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting Decisions
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Marathon Digital Holdings held its annual meeting of stockholders where key decisions were made regarding company leadership and operations. The election of Class II directors saw Georges Antoun and Jay Leupp elected to serve until 2028. The appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 was ratified. However, the compensation for the Named Executive Officers was not approved by stockholders. An amendment to the 2018 Plan was approved, reflecting strategic adjustments in the company’s governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (MARA) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marathon Digital Holdings stock, see the MARA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025