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MARA Holdings (MARA)
NASDAQ:MARA
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MARA Holdings (MARA) AI Stock Analysis

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MARA

MARA Holdings

(NASDAQ:MARA)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(6.52% Upside)
MARA's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting strategic growth and robust Bitcoin holdings. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and cash flow challenges remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful business expansion, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships and acquisitions can drive innovation and diversification, strengthening MARA's competitive position in the tech industry.
Strong Financial Position
A strong liquidity position offers MARA the ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic uncertainties, supporting long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues can limit MARA's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, potentially impacting long-term sustainability.
Competitive Mining Environment
Increased competition in Bitcoin mining could pressure margins and profitability, challenging MARA's market position over time.
Risks in AI and Data Center Expansion
Expansion into AI and data centers involves significant risks, including tech obsolescence and high capital costs, which could affect MARA's financial health.

MARA Holdings (MARA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MARA Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a leading digital asset technology company that focuses on the mining and management of cryptocurrencies, primarily Bitcoin. The company operates in the blockchain and cryptocurrency sectors, leveraging its proprietary technology and infrastructure to optimize the mining process. Marathon aims to be one of the largest and most efficient Bitcoin miners in North America, focusing on sustainable energy solutions and innovative strategies to enhance its operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarathon Digital Holdings generates revenue primarily through the mining of Bitcoin, utilizing its extensive fleet of high-performance mining rigs. The company earns money by solving complex cryptographic puzzles, which allows it to validate transactions on the Bitcoin network and receive newly minted Bitcoin as a reward. Additionally, Marathon may generate revenue from the sale of mined Bitcoin, which can fluctuate based on market conditions. The company also potentially benefits from strategic partnerships with energy providers to secure low-cost electricity for its mining operations, further enhancing profitability. Furthermore, by leveraging its infrastructure, Marathon may explore opportunities in blockchain technology and digital asset management, expanding its revenue streams.

MARA Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted MARA's strong financial performance, strategic initiatives, and growth in Bitcoin holdings. However, challenges in the competitive mining environment and potential risks in AI and data center expansion were noted. Overall, the sentiment leans positive due to the significant achievements and strategic partnerships.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Bitcoin Holdings and Revenue Growth
MARA ended the quarter with 52,850 Bitcoin, marking a 98% increase from the previous year. Revenues increased by 92% to $252.4 million compared to $131.6 million in Q3 2024.
New Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships
MARA announced the pending acquisition of Exaion, a subsidiary of EDF, to expand AI-optimized private cloud capabilities. Additionally, a partnership with MPLX was announced to develop power generation facilities and data centers in West Texas with an initial capacity of 400 megawatts.
Successful Vertical Integration and Cost Management
The company reported a 15% improvement in daily cost per petahash, and 70% of its nameplate megawatt capacity is now owned and operated.
Strong Financial Position
MARA holds over $7 billion in liquid assets, providing flexibility for growth and international expansion.
Negative Updates
Challenging Mining Environment
The global hashrate grew by 20%, creating a competitive mining environment and contributing to a difficult performance backdrop.
Risks in AI and Data Center Expansion
Concerns about technology obsolescence and capital expenditure risks in expanding AI and HPC capabilities were discussed, highlighting the need for efficient cost management.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, MARA emphasized its strategic transition from a Bitcoin mining company to a vertically integrated digital infrastructure leader. The call highlighted MARA's plan to integrate energy, Bitcoin, and AI compute into a single scalable platform, with a key metric being profit per megawatt hour. MARA reported strong financial performance, ending the quarter with 52,850 Bitcoin, a 98% increase in holdings year-over-year, and achieving a net income of $123.1 million. The company mined 2,144 Bitcoin during the quarter and reported a 92% increase in revenues to $252.4 million. MARA's future growth strategy includes the acquisition of Exaion to expand into AI-optimized cloud services, and a new initiative with MPLX to develop power generation facilities and data centers in Texas, aiming for an initial 400 megawatts capacity with potential expansion to 1.5 gigawatts.

MARA Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MARA Holdings shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability with a solid equity base. However, operational inefficiencies and cash flow challenges are concerning, requiring focus on improving operational margins and cash flow generation.
Income Statement
65
Positive
MARA Holdings has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with a notable 15.13% increase in the TTM period. The company has managed to turn its net profit margin positive in the TTM, indicating improved profitability. However, the EBIT margin remains negative, suggesting operational challenges. The EBITDA margin is strong, reflecting good earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM, indicating financial stability. The return on equity has improved significantly, reflecting better utilization of equity to generate profits. However, the historical high leverage in previous years poses a potential risk.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash relative to its net income. However, the negative free cash flow growth rate indicates declining cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue919.17M656.38M387.51M117.75M159.16M4.36M
Gross Profit1.28M-159.37M-15.34M-33.67M116.77M-7.37M
EBITDA1.84B1.06B467.46M-601.78M1.95M-7.26M
Net Income926.69M541.25M261.17M-694.02M-37.10M-10.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.19B6.80B1.99B1.20B1.45B313.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments826.39M391.77M357.31M103.70M268.56M141.32M
Total Debt1.49M2.47B326.13M783.51M728.41M184.10K
Total Liabilities3.98B2.67B375.05M809.30M765.22M1.51M
Stockholders Equity5.16B4.13B1.62B385.94M683.02M311.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.32B-930.48M-343.26M-217.59M-727.14M-91.16M
Operating Cash Flow-891.41M-677.02M-315.65M-176.48M-18.22M-7.77M
Investing Cash Flow-2.62B-3.23B4.59M-390.23M-891.92M-81.29M
Financing Cash Flow4.17B3.95B555.86M410.65M1.04B229.69M

MARA Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.96
Price Trends
50DMA
18.09
Negative
100DMA
17.34
Negative
200DMA
15.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.62
Positive
RSI
36.37
Neutral
STOCH
11.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MARA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.03, below the 50-day MA of 18.09, and below the 200-day MA of 15.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MARA.

MARA Holdings Risk Analysis

MARA Holdings disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MARA Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MARA Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.26B7.4429.43%2.75%27.66%131.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$6.48B8.8423.13%53.51%112.53%
59
Neutral
$9.76B-9.69%35.41%-38.08%
58
Neutral
$4.17B14.6716.01%53.19%23.89%
52
Neutral
$7.05B51.485.24%103.62%49.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MARA
MARA Holdings
15.87
-3.38
-17.56%
RIOT
Riot Platforms
17.01
4.20
32.79%
SNEX
StoneX Group
89.07
24.20
37.31%
VIRT
Virtu Financial
35.64
2.29
6.87%
BMNR
BitMine Immersion Technologies
40.23
34.23
570.50%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
20.69
13.53
188.97%

MARA Holdings Corporate Events

MARA Holdings Faces Financial Risks with Bitcoin Management Strategy
Nov 6, 2025

MARA Holdings, Inc. faces significant risks due to its decision to manage a portion of its bitcoin holdings through a separately managed account. This approach, involving approximately 1,903 bitcoin as of September 30, 2025, exposes the company to potential market losses, loss of control, and counterparty failures. The lack of direct oversight and limited visibility into the third-party manager’s strategies and operations increases the vulnerability to operational failures, cybersecurity incidents, or mismanagement. Any adverse event affecting the manager or custodian could lead to substantial financial losses, severely impacting MARA Holdings’ business and financial health.

Marathon Digital’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategic Shifts
Nov 6, 2025

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) recently held its earnings call, revealing a predominantly positive sentiment driven by robust financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company showcased significant achievements in Bitcoin holdings and revenue growth, while also acknowledging challenges in the competitive mining landscape and potential risks associated with AI and data center expansion.

Marathon Digital Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. is a vertically integrated digital energy and infrastructure company that focuses on Bitcoin mining and power management solutions, leveraging excess energy for high-intensity computing tasks.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Marathon Digital Expands with Exaion Investment Deal
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, MARA Holdings, Inc. announced an investment agreement with Exaion SAS, a subsidiary of EDF, to acquire a 64% stake in Exaion, with the option to increase ownership to 75% by 2027. This strategic move is expected to expand MARA’s capabilities in AI and high-performance computing infrastructure, enhancing its market position and meeting the growing demand for secure cloud solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (MARA) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marathon Digital Holdings stock, see the MARA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025