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Iris Energy (IREN)
NASDAQ:IREN
US Market
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Iris Energy (IREN) AI Stock Analysis

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IREN

Iris Energy

(NASDAQ:IREN)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(13.43% Upside)
IREN's strong earnings call and positive corporate events are significant strengths, indicating robust growth and strategic positioning. However, challenges in valuation and cash flow management temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Shares are surging ~16% after IREN reported record quarterly and annual results and announced significant expansion of its AI Cloud Services business.
Partnerships
IREN has secured NVIDIA Preferred Partner status, enhancing access to new GPUs and attracting more customers to its HPC/AI verticals.
Negative Factors
Operational Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA estimates for FY2025 and FY2026 are lowered, reflecting anticipated changes in the company's operational metrics.
Revenue Forecast
Revenue estimates for FY2025 and FY2026 have been adjusted downwards due to changes in estimated utilization and forecasts for BTC and global hash rates.

Iris Energy (IREN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Iris Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIris Energy (IREN) is a renewable energy company focused on the development and operation of sustainable data center facilities for cryptocurrency mining. The company primarily operates in the cryptocurrency and energy sectors, leveraging its expertise in green energy solutions to provide efficient and environmentally-friendly mining operations. Iris Energy is committed to using renewable energy sources, particularly hydroelectric power, to minimize the carbon footprint associated with cryptocurrency mining.
How the Company Makes MoneyIris Energy generates revenue primarily through its cryptocurrency mining operations, which involve the acquisition and utilization of specialized mining hardware to validate transactions on blockchain networks and earn cryptocurrency rewards. The company's revenue model is driven by the mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, where it earns income based on the amount of cryptocurrency mined and the prevailing market prices. Key revenue streams include the production of mined cryptocurrencies, potential transaction fees from the networks, and partnerships with energy providers that enable them to secure low-cost renewable energy, which is crucial for maintaining profitability in the competitive mining industry. Additionally, Iris Energy's strategic focus on sustainable energy solutions positions it favorably in the market, attracting environmentally conscious investors and partners.

Iris Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
IREN's FY 2025 earnings call highlighted significant growth in EBITDA and data center capacity, strong AI cloud business expansion, and a robust financial position. However, the increase in operating expenses and potential risks associated with power costs present challenges. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating a positive sentiment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record EBITDA Growth
IREN achieved a 10x EBITDA growth year-on-year, demonstrating strong financial performance for FY 2025.
Significant Expansion in Data Center Capacity
The company tripled its operating data center capacity to 810 megawatts and expanded its Bitcoin mining capacity by 400% to 50 exahash.
AI Cloud Business Growth
The AI cloud business is scaling rapidly with more than 10,000 GPUs online or being commissioned, contributing to the company's strong growth trajectory.
Strong Financial Position
IREN closed the financial year with approximately $565 million in cash and $2.9 billion in total assets, supporting future growth initiatives.
Strategic Partnerships
IREN has been designated as an NVIDIA preferred partner, enhancing its supply access and broadening its customer pipeline.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased to $114 million, mainly due to overheads and depreciation costs linked to the expanded data center platform and increased hardware.
Challenges in Power Costs
The company is dealing with low net power costs at $0.035 per kilowatt hour, which while competitive, may be a risk if costs increase.
Company Guidance
During the IREN FY 2025 results conference call, Dan Roberts, Co-Founder and Co-CEO, highlighted several key metrics and achievements. The company reported a record 10x growth in EBITDA year-on-year and achieved strong net income, with Belinda Nucifora, CFO, noting a record Q4 revenue of $187 million. Operationally, IREN expanded its contracted grid-connected power by over one-third to nearly 3 gigawatts and tripled its operating data center capacity to 810 megawatts. The company also increased its Bitcoin mining capacity by 400% to 50 exahash, generating over $1 billion in annualized revenue, while their AI cloud business saw significant progress with more than 10,000 GPUs online or being commissioned. Additionally, they commenced construction of a 2-gigawatt data center hub in Sweetwater, Texas. Looking forward, IREN anticipates continued growth, with annualized revenue from operations approaching $1.25 billion, and plans to deploy 60,000 NVIDIA GB300s with further potential for expansion.

Iris Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iris Energy exhibits strong revenue growth and a robust gross profit margin. However, it faces profitability challenges due to negative net income and high operating expenses. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, but cash flow generation is weak due to high capital expenditures.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Iris Energy shows significant revenue growth from $2.17M in 2020 to $282.69M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2024, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company faces challenges with profitability, as evidenced by a negative EBIT and net income margins. The gross profit margin remains robust at 77.07% TTM, but high operating expenses are impacting net profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a solid equity base, with a high equity ratio of 69.45% in TTM 2024, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 suggests a conservative use of leverage. However, the company needs to address its net losses to improve return on equity, which currently is negative due to consistent net losses.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Iris Energy's free cash flow remains negative despite a positive operating cash flow of $31.65M TTM, due to substantial capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating cash from operations is better than accounting profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, necessitating better capital management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue373.56M501.02M188.76M75.51M59.04M7.84M
Gross Profit342.03M342.03M166.56M57.61M51.59M5.18M
EBITDA132.56M285.68M25.40M-122.26M-377.12M-43.38M
Net Income-35.67M86.94M-28.95M-171.87M-419.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.99B2.94B1.15B332.07M570.46M134.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments196.03M564.53M411.13M68.89M109.97M39.08M
Total Debt324.07M964.23M1.66M1.45M108.21M84.03M
Total Liabilities564.19M1.12B55.68M26.71M133.10M184.36M
Stockholders Equity1.43B1.82B1.10B305.36M437.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.42B-1.13B-427.19M-110.02M-272.69M
Operating Cash Flow-156.38M245.89M52.72M6.04M21.56M1.64M
Investing Cash Flow-1.07B-1.38B-498.47M-71.47M-318.12M
Financing Cash Flow1.10B1.29B782.13M28.24M372.04M116.57M

Iris Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.21
Price Trends
50DMA
18.24
Positive
100DMA
13.08
Positive
200DMA
11.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.65
Negative
RSI
76.35
Negative
STOCH
84.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IREN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.16, above the 50-day MA of 18.24, and above the 200-day MA of 11.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.35 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IREN.

Iris Energy Risk Analysis

Iris Energy disclosed 99 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Iris Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Disruptions at over-the-counter ("OTC") trading desks and potential consequences of an OTC trading desk's failure could adversely affect our business. We may be required to, or may otherwise determine it is appropriate to, switch to an alternative digital asset trading platform and/or custodian. Q2, 2023
2.
Investing in our Ordinary shares could be subject to greater volatility than investing directly in Bitcoin or other digital assets. Q2, 2023
3.
Future sales, or the possibility of future sales, of a substantial number of our Ordinary shares could adversely affect the price of our Ordinary shares. Q2, 2023

Iris Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$17.88B11.6610.24%3.76%9.66%1.70%
68
Neutral
$632.85M13.5729.72%39.84%-10.81%
67
Neutral
$7.18B-3.39%130.86%-22.83%
63
Neutral
$826.08M8.82-11.34%14.65%-240.80%
58
Neutral
$3.70B-46.99%19.82%-77.95%
54
Neutral
$3.27B-21.39%0.11%-914.42%
37
Underperform
$17.83M242.25%-13.86%-32.19%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IREN
Iris Energy
28.21
21.44
316.69%
WULF
TeraWulf Inc
8.98
4.77
113.30%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.50
-0.17
-6.37%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
8.11
5.22
180.62%
ARBK
Argo Blockchain
0.26
-0.82
-75.93%
FUFU
BitFuFu
3.83
-0.60
-13.54%

Iris Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Iris Energy Achieves Record Revenues and AI Expansion
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

In June 2025, IREN Limited achieved several milestones, including record monthly revenues and meeting its self-mining target of 50 EH/s. The company also expanded its AI Cloud business by procuring next-generation NVIDIA GPUs, and completed an oversubscribed $550 million convertible notes offering. These developments position IREN as a leader in both Bitcoin and AI technologies, enhancing its infrastructure capabilities and market presence.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Iris Energy Transitions to U.S. Domestic Issuer
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

Iris Energy will transition from filing as a foreign private issuer to a U.S. domestic issuer with the SEC starting July 1, 2025. This change will require the company to adhere to more detailed and prompt reporting standards, impacting its regulatory compliance processes.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Iris Energy Expands AI Cloud with NVIDIA GPUs
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On July 3, 2025, IREN Limited announced an expansion of its AI Cloud business with the purchase of 2.4k NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs, bringing its total to 4.3k GPUs. This expansion, fully funded from existing cash, positions IREN as a leading provider of next-generation compute in a supply-constrained market, supporting its growth in AI infrastructure and offering attractive risk-adjusted returns.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Iris Energy Appoints New Chief Capital Officer
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, IREN Limited announced the appointment of Anthony Lewis as Chief Capital Officer, a new role aimed at enhancing the company’s capital markets strategy. Lewis, with over two decades of experience at Macquarie Group, is expected to drive IREN’s financial strategy as it explores AI infrastructure investments, potentially impacting its growth and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025