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Iren Limited (IREN)
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IREN (IREN) AI Stock Analysis

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IREN

IREN

(NASDAQ:IREN)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$46.00
▼(-5.06% Downside)
IREN's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call highlights, including a major AI cloud contract with Microsoft, which significantly boosts growth prospects. However, challenges in technical indicators and cash flow management weigh down the score. The company's valuation is moderate, with room for improvement in profitability and operational efficiency.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent record-breaking revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Strategic AI Cloud Contract
The significant AI cloud contract with Microsoft secures a substantial revenue stream and strengthens IREN's market position in AI services.
Vertically Integrated Platform
A vertically integrated platform reduces dependency on third parties, enhancing operational efficiency and scalability, crucial for long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth suggests liquidity issues, potentially limiting IREN's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives sustainably.
Higher Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can erode profit margins, requiring careful management to maintain financial health and shareholder value.
Incremental Cost Increases
Incremental cost increases, while potentially beneficial long-term, may pressure short-term profitability and require effective cost management.

IREN (IREN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IREN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIris Energy (IREN) is a renewable energy company focused on the development and operation of sustainable data center facilities for cryptocurrency mining. The company primarily operates in the cryptocurrency and energy sectors, leveraging its expertise in green energy solutions to provide efficient and environmentally-friendly mining operations. Iris Energy is committed to using renewable energy sources, particularly hydroelectric power, to minimize the carbon footprint associated with cryptocurrency mining.
How the Company Makes MoneyIris Energy generates revenue primarily through its cryptocurrency mining operations, which involve the acquisition and utilization of specialized mining hardware to validate transactions on blockchain networks and earn cryptocurrency rewards. The company's revenue model is driven by the mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, where it earns income based on the amount of cryptocurrency mined and the prevailing market prices. Key revenue streams include the production of mined cryptocurrencies, potential transaction fees from the networks, and partnerships with energy providers that enable them to secure low-cost renewable energy, which is crucial for maintaining profitability in the competitive mining industry. Additionally, Iris Energy's strategic focus on sustainable energy solutions positions it favorably in the market, attracting environmentally conscious investors and partners.

IREN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly highlighted by the significant AI cloud contract with Microsoft. Despite some increases in operating expenses and costs associated with design enhancements, the positive developments, especially in revenue growth and AI cloud services expansion, paint an optimistic outlook for IREN.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
Q1 FY '26 marked the fifth consecutive quarter of record revenues, with total revenue reaching $240 million, up 28% quarter-over-quarter and 355% year-over-year.
Major AI Cloud Contract with Microsoft
IREN announced a $9.7 billion AI cloud contract with Microsoft, expected to generate approximately $1.94 billion in annual recurring revenue with an 85% project EBITDA margin.
GPU Fleet and Infrastructure Expansion
The company plans to scale its GPU fleet from 23,000 to 140,000 GPUs by the end of 2026, supporting $3.4 billion in annualized run rate revenue. This expansion leverages just 16% of IREN's secured power capacity.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA was $92 million, reflecting continued margin strength despite higher payroll tax expenses.
Strategic Positioning in AI Cloud Services
The vertically integrated model positions IREN as a partner of choice for hyperscalers, with a focus on scalability and cost efficiency.
Negative Updates
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased due to higher depreciation and SG&A expenses, the latter driven by a materially higher share price leading to an acceleration of share-based payment expenses.
Incremental Cost Increases
Design enhancements at the Childress data center have resulted in incremental cost increases, although they are expected to provide long-term value protection.
Company Guidance
During IREN's Q1 FY '26 Results Briefing, the company reported a revenue of $240 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $92 million. A significant highlight was the announcement of a $9.7 billion AI cloud contract with Microsoft, expected to generate approximately $1.94 billion in annual recurring revenue. This five-year contract involves deploying NVIDIA GB300 GPUs across 200 megawatts of data centers, with a 20% upfront prepayment to support capital expenditures. IREN plans to expand its GPU fleet from 23,000 to 140,000 by the end of 2026, which is projected to support $3.4 billion in annualized run rate revenue. The company's vertically integrated platform is a key differentiator, eliminating third-party dependencies and enabling efficient GPU deployments. The expansion will utilize only 16% of the secured 3 gigawatts of power, allowing for future growth.

IREN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IREN demonstrates strong revenue growth and a solid capital structure, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The company shows potential for improvement in operational efficiency and cash conversion, which could enhance its financial stability and shareholder value.
Income Statement
75
Positive
IREN's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 37.1% increase in TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is robust at 68.3%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is moderate at 17.4%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, indicating potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is modest at 6.1%, suggesting average profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio of 67.4% demonstrates a strong capital structure, providing a buffer against financial risks.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates challenges, with negative free cash flow growth of -49.2% in TTM, highlighting potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating that despite negative cash flow, the company is generating significant income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue693.58M501.02M187.19M75.51M59.04M7.90M
Gross Profit453.27M342.03M100.13M36.09M51.59M5.68M
EBITDA952.49M201.69M31.21M-9.83M8.14M729.00K
Net Income523.26M86.94M-28.92M-171.83M-419.77M-60.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.27B2.94B1.15B332.07M392.28M100.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B564.53M411.13M68.89M75.62M29.27M
Total Debt965.63M964.23M1.66M1.45M74.46M62.93M
Total Liabilities1.39B1.12B55.68M26.71M91.52M138.08M
Stockholders Equity2.88B1.82B1.10B305.36M300.75M-37.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-859.19M-1.13B-427.19M-110.02M-272.69M-4.13M
Operating Cash Flow433.35M245.89M52.72M6.04M21.56M1.31M
Investing Cash Flow-1.34B-1.38B-498.47M-71.47M-318.12M-60.69M
Financing Cash Flow1.83B1.29B782.13M28.24M372.04M88.04M

IREN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price48.45
Price Trends
50DMA
54.85
Negative
100DMA
38.48
Positive
200DMA
23.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.89
Positive
RSI
44.16
Neutral
STOCH
57.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IREN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 48.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.46, below the 50-day MA of 54.85, and above the 200-day MA of 23.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IREN.

IREN Risk Analysis

IREN disclosed 99 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IREN reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
If a United States person is treated as owning at least 10% of our Ordinary shares, such holder may be subject to adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences. Q2, 2023
2.
The ability of shareholders to bring actions or enforce judgments against us or our directors and executive officers may be limited. Claims of U.S. civil liabilities may not be enforceable against us. Q2, 2023
3.
Acquisitions of shares in the Company may be subject to review and approval by the Australian Federal Treasurer under the Foreign Acquisitions and Takeovers Act 1975 (Cth). Q2, 2023

IREN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.86B13.6918.52%102.21%
68
Neutral
$6.00B47.895.24%103.62%49.48%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$750.93M5.9822.44%9.52%496.04%
62
Neutral
$13.51B24.3830.19%236.14%
55
Neutral
$7.57B-9.69%35.41%-38.08%
41
Neutral
$3.93B-5.66-2.75%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IREN
IREN
47.81
35.19
278.84%
RIOT
Riot Platforms
16.13
4.03
33.31%
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp
4.24
0.76
21.84%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.38
-2.21
-48.15%
CLSK
Cleanspark
15.10
0.58
3.99%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
20.35
14.05
223.02%

IREN Corporate Events

Iris Energy’s Earnings Call Highlights Record Growth and AI Expansion
Nov 9, 2025

The recent earnings call of Iris Energy Ltd. (IREN) was marked by an optimistic sentiment, driven by the company’s strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. A significant highlight was the AI cloud contract with Microsoft, which is expected to substantially boost revenue. Despite some increases in operating expenses and costs associated with design enhancements, the overall outlook remains positive, particularly due to the expansion in AI cloud services.

Iris Energy Secures Major Microsoft Contract, Reports Record Earnings
Nov 7, 2025

Iris Energy Ltd. (IREN) is a leading AI Cloud Service Provider known for delivering large-scale GPU clusters for AI training and inference, with operations based in renewable-rich regions across the U.S. and Canada. In its latest earnings report, IREN announced a significant $9.7 billion contract with Microsoft, which will contribute to a targeted $3.4 billion in AI Cloud annualized run-rate revenue by the end of 2026. The company also reported record financial results for Q1 FY26, with total revenue reaching $240.3 million, a 355% increase from the previous year, and net income soaring to $384.6 million from a net loss in the prior year. Key financial metrics include an adjusted EBITDA of $91.7 million, marking a substantial increase from the previous year. IREN’s strategic expansion includes transitioning data centers to GPUs and accelerating the construction of liquid-cooled data centers, enhancing its capacity for high-performance AI deployments. Looking forward, IREN’s management remains optimistic about scaling its AI Cloud platform, leveraging its extensive power portfolio to drive long-term growth and value creation.

Business Operations and Strategy
IREN Secures Major GPU Infrastructure Deal with Microsoft
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 2, 2025, IREN Limited’s subsidiary, IE US Hardware 3 Inc., entered into a significant agreement with Microsoft to provide dedicated GPU infrastructure at the Horizon data center facilities in Texas, valued at approximately $9.7 billion through 2031. This partnership marks a major step for IREN, reinforcing its position as a leading AI Cloud Service Provider and opening new customer segments among global hyperscalers. Concurrently, IREN secured a $5.8 billion agreement with Dell for the supply of GPUs and ancillary products, which will support the Microsoft contract’s execution. These strategic agreements are expected to enhance IREN’s market positioning and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (IREN) stock is a Sell with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IREN stock, see the IREN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
IREN Closes $1 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, IREN Limited announced the closing of its $1.0 billion offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2031, which was oversubscribed due to strong investor demand. The net proceeds of approximately $979.0 million will be used for general corporate purposes and working capital, with $56.7 million allocated to fund capped call transactions aimed at reducing potential dilution of ordinary shares upon conversion of the notes.

The most recent analyst rating on (IREN) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IREN stock, see the IREN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
IREN Announces $875M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, IREN Limited announced the pricing of its $875 million offering of 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031, aimed at qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A of the Securities Act. The offering, expected to close on October 14, 2025, includes an option for initial purchasers to buy an additional $125 million in notes. Net proceeds are estimated at $856.5 million, with plans to use $49.6 million for capped call transactions and the rest for corporate purposes. This move is expected to impact IREN’s market positioning by potentially reducing share dilution and providing financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (IREN) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IREN stock, see the IREN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
IREN Launches $875 Million Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, IREN Limited announced the launch of an offering of $875 million in senior convertible notes due 2031, aimed at qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A of the Securities Act of 1933. The company plans to use the proceeds to fund capped call transactions and for general corporate purposes. Additionally, IREN has issued over 66 million shares through an at-the-market offering, raising approximately $1 billion, and reported a cash balance of $1 billion as of September 30, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (IREN) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IREN stock, see the IREN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Iris Energy Appoints Anthony Lewis as New CFO
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, IREN Limited announced the appointment of Anthony Lewis as Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Belinda Nucifora. Lewis, who joined IREN as Chief Capital Officer in July 2025, brings extensive experience from his previous roles at Macquarie Group, enhancing IREN’s financial operations and capital markets strategy. This leadership change is expected to support the company’s growth trajectory in its AI cloud business and capital structure evolution.

The most recent analyst rating on (IREN) stock is a Hold with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Iris Energy stock, see the IREN Stock Forecast page.

Iris Energy Ltd. Reports Strong FY 2025 Earnings
Sep 1, 2025

Iris Energy Ltd. (IREN) recently held its FY 2025 earnings call, which was marked by a generally positive sentiment. The company reported significant growth in EBITDA and data center capacity, alongside a robust expansion in its AI cloud business. Despite challenges such as increased operating expenses and potential risks related to power costs, the overall sentiment was optimistic, with the highlights of the call significantly outweighing the lowlights.

Iris Energy Ltd. Expands Data Centers and AI Services
Aug 29, 2025

Iris Energy Ltd. is a leading owner and operator of next-generation data centers powered by 100% renewable energy, focusing on Bitcoin mining and high-performance computing (HPC) and AI services. The company has been mining Bitcoin since 2019 and is expanding its operations to include AI Cloud Services, leveraging its data centers in the United States and Canada.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025