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IREN (IREN)
NASDAQ:IREN
US Market

IREN (IREN) AI Stock Analysis

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IREN

IREN

(NASDAQ:IREN)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(20.24% Upside)
IREN's overall stock score reflects strong strategic growth initiatives and a solid capital structure, offset by challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The significant AI cloud contract with Microsoft and recent corporate events provide a positive outlook, although technical indicators suggest caution in the short term.
Positive Factors
Strategic Growth Initiatives
The significant AI cloud contract with Microsoft positions IREN for substantial revenue growth and strengthens its market position in AI cloud services, providing a durable competitive advantage.
Revenue Growth
Consistent and strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for IREN's services and effective business strategies, enhancing its long-term market presence.
Capital Structure Optimization
The convertible notes offering improves financial flexibility and reduces debt burden, strengthening IREN's balance sheet and supporting future strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Moderate profitability metrics suggest potential inefficiencies in operations, which may hinder long-term financial performance if not addressed.
Cash Flow Management
Negative cash flow growth indicates challenges in liquidity management, which could impact IREN's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives sustainably.
Higher Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can pressure margins and profitability, potentially limiting IREN's ability to invest in growth and innovation over the long term.

IREN (IREN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IREN Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIREN Limited operates in the vertically integrated data center business in Australia and Canada. The company owns and operates computing hardware, as well as electrical infrastructure and data centers. It also mines Bitcoin, a scarce digital asset that is created and transmitted through the operation of a peer-to-peer network of computers running the Bitcoin software. The company was formerly known as Iris Energy Limited and changed its name to IREN Limited in November 2024. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIREN generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling electricity and natural gas to both residential and commercial customers. The company also earns income from its water supply and wastewater treatment services, which are essential for maintaining public health and environmental standards. Additionally, IREN is involved in waste management, providing collection and disposal services that contribute to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with local governments and investments in renewable energy projects further enhance its earnings. The company benefits from regulatory frameworks that promote sustainable practices and incentivize investments in clean energy, positioning it favorably in the evolving energy market.

IREN Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly highlighted by the significant AI cloud contract with Microsoft. Despite some increases in operating expenses and costs associated with design enhancements, the positive developments, especially in revenue growth and AI cloud services expansion, paint an optimistic outlook for IREN.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
Q1 FY '26 marked the fifth consecutive quarter of record revenues, with total revenue reaching $240 million, up 28% quarter-over-quarter and 355% year-over-year.
Major AI Cloud Contract with Microsoft
IREN announced a $9.7 billion AI cloud contract with Microsoft, expected to generate approximately $1.94 billion in annual recurring revenue with an 85% project EBITDA margin.
GPU Fleet and Infrastructure Expansion
The company plans to scale its GPU fleet from 23,000 to 140,000 GPUs by the end of 2026, supporting $3.4 billion in annualized run rate revenue. This expansion leverages just 16% of IREN's secured power capacity.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA was $92 million, reflecting continued margin strength despite higher payroll tax expenses.
Strategic Positioning in AI Cloud Services
The vertically integrated model positions IREN as a partner of choice for hyperscalers, with a focus on scalability and cost efficiency.
Negative Updates
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses increased due to higher depreciation and SG&A expenses, the latter driven by a materially higher share price leading to an acceleration of share-based payment expenses.
Incremental Cost Increases
Design enhancements at the Childress data center have resulted in incremental cost increases, although they are expected to provide long-term value protection.
Company Guidance
During IREN's Q1 FY '26 Results Briefing, the company reported a revenue of $240 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $92 million. A significant highlight was the announcement of a $9.7 billion AI cloud contract with Microsoft, expected to generate approximately $1.94 billion in annual recurring revenue. This five-year contract involves deploying NVIDIA GB300 GPUs across 200 megawatts of data centers, with a 20% upfront prepayment to support capital expenditures. IREN plans to expand its GPU fleet from 23,000 to 140,000 by the end of 2026, which is projected to support $3.4 billion in annualized run rate revenue. The company's vertically integrated platform is a key differentiator, eliminating third-party dependencies and enabling efficient GPU deployments. The expansion will utilize only 16% of the secured 3 gigawatts of power, allowing for future growth.

IREN Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IREN demonstrates strong revenue growth and a solid capital structure, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The company shows potential for improvement in operational efficiency and cash conversion, which could enhance its financial stability and shareholder value.
Income Statement
75
Positive
IREN's income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 37.1% increase in TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin is robust at 68.3%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is moderate at 17.4%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, indicating potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is modest at 6.1%, suggesting average profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio of 67.4% demonstrates a strong capital structure, providing a buffer against financial risks.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates challenges, with negative free cash flow growth of -49.2% in TTM, highlighting potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating that despite negative cash flow, the company is generating significant income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue693.58M501.02M187.19M75.51M59.04M7.90M
Gross Profit453.27M342.03M100.13M36.09M51.59M5.68M
EBITDA952.49M201.69M31.21M-9.83M8.14M729.00K
Net Income523.26M86.94M-28.92M-171.83M-419.77M-60.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.27B2.94B1.15B332.07M392.28M100.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B564.53M411.13M68.89M75.62M29.27M
Total Debt965.63M964.23M1.66M1.45M74.46M62.93M
Total Liabilities1.39B1.12B55.68M26.71M91.52M138.08M
Stockholders Equity2.88B1.82B1.10B305.36M300.75M-37.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-859.19M-1.13B-427.19M-110.02M-272.69M-4.13M
Operating Cash Flow433.35M245.89M52.72M6.04M21.56M1.31M
Investing Cash Flow-1.34B-1.38B-498.47M-71.47M-318.12M-60.69M
Financing Cash Flow1.83B1.29B782.13M28.24M372.04M88.04M

IREN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price39.92
Price Trends
50DMA
52.63
Negative
100DMA
42.15
Negative
200DMA
25.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.02
Positive
RSI
43.47
Neutral
STOCH
20.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IREN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 39.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.10, below the 50-day MA of 52.63, and above the 200-day MA of 25.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IREN.

IREN Risk Analysis

IREN disclosed 99 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IREN reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
If a United States person is treated as owning at least 10% of our Ordinary shares, such holder may be subject to adverse U.S. federal income tax consequences. Q2, 2023
2.
The ability of shareholders to bring actions or enforce judgments against us or our directors and executive officers may be limited. Claims of U.S. civil liabilities may not be enforceable against us. Q2, 2023
3.
Acquisitions of shares in the Company may be subject to review and approval by the Australian Federal Treasurer under the Foreign Acquisitions and Takeovers Act 1975 (Cth). Q2, 2023

IREN Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$3.07B10.9118.52%102.21%
68
Neutral
$5.39B43.055.24%103.62%49.48%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$13.07B20.3530.19%236.14%
64
Neutral
$721.79M5.7522.44%9.52%496.04%
56
Neutral
$6.40B-85.09-9.69%35.41%-38.08%
39
Underperform
$1.65B-2.38-2.75%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IREN
IREN
39.92
28.67
254.84%
RIOT
Riot Platforms
14.50
3.70
34.26%
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp
1.78
-0.36
-16.82%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.23
-0.95
-29.87%
CLSK
Cleanspark
12.03
1.77
17.25%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
16.21
11.00
211.13%

IREN Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
IREN Closes $2.3 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, IREN Limited closed its offering of $2.3 billion convertible senior notes, comprising $1.15 billion of 0.25% notes due 2032 and $1.15 billion of 1.00% notes due 2033. The proceeds, totaling approximately $2.27 billion after expenses, will be used to repurchase existing convertible notes, fund capped call transactions, and for general corporate purposes. The company also completed a registered direct placement of 39.7 million ordinary shares to fund the repurchase of existing notes, reducing outstanding debt and extending maturities. These transactions are expected to lower cash coupons and provide a hedge against share dilution upon note conversion.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
IREN Announces $2 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, IREN Limited announced the pricing of its $2 billion convertible notes offering, consisting of $1 billion in 0.25% convertible senior notes due 2032 and $1 billion in 1.00% convertible senior notes due 2033. The notes are intended to fund the repurchase of existing convertible notes and for general corporate purposes. Additionally, IREN priced a registered direct offering of its ordinary shares to further support the repurchase of these notes. This strategic financial maneuver aims to optimize IREN’s capital structure and potentially impact the trading price of its ordinary shares and notes.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
IREN Announces $1 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, IREN Limited announced plans for a $1 billion offering of convertible senior notes due in 2032 and 2033, alongside a registered direct offering of ordinary shares to fund the repurchase of existing convertible notes. This strategic move aims to manage debt and potentially reduce dilution of shares, with implications for market activities that could affect the trading prices of IREN’s shares and notes.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Buyback
IREN Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at AGM
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 19, 2025, IREN held its Annual General Meeting where shareholders approved several key proposals, including the 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan and amendments to the company’s constitution. These amendments align quorum requirements with Nasdaq rules, provide for director elections at each annual meeting, add a forum selection provision, update advance notice provisions for universal proxies, and implement miscellaneous changes. Additionally, shareholders approved the repurchase of ordinary shares through Prepaid Forward and Capped Call Transactions, and supported executive compensation measures and annual advisory votes on executive compensation.

Business Operations and Strategy
IREN Secures Major GPU Infrastructure Deal with Microsoft
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 2, 2025, IREN Limited’s subsidiary, IE US Hardware 3 Inc., entered into a significant agreement with Microsoft to provide dedicated GPU infrastructure at the Horizon data center facilities in Texas, valued at approximately $9.7 billion through 2031. This partnership marks a major step for IREN, reinforcing its position as a leading AI Cloud Service Provider and opening new customer segments among global hyperscalers. Concurrently, IREN secured a $5.8 billion agreement with Dell for the supply of GPUs and ancillary products, which will support the Microsoft contract’s execution. These strategic agreements are expected to enhance IREN’s market positioning and operational capabilities.

Private Placements and Financing
IREN Closes $1 Billion Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, IREN Limited announced the closing of its $1.0 billion offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2031, which was oversubscribed due to strong investor demand. The net proceeds of approximately $979.0 million will be used for general corporate purposes and working capital, with $56.7 million allocated to fund capped call transactions aimed at reducing potential dilution of ordinary shares upon conversion of the notes.

Private Placements and Financing
IREN Announces $875M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 9, 2025, IREN Limited announced the pricing of its $875 million offering of 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031, aimed at qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A of the Securities Act. The offering, expected to close on October 14, 2025, includes an option for initial purchasers to buy an additional $125 million in notes. Net proceeds are estimated at $856.5 million, with plans to use $49.6 million for capped call transactions and the rest for corporate purposes. This move is expected to impact IREN’s market positioning by potentially reducing share dilution and providing financial flexibility.

Private Placements and Financing
IREN Launches $875 Million Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, IREN Limited announced the launch of an offering of $875 million in senior convertible notes due 2031, aimed at qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A of the Securities Act of 1933. The company plans to use the proceeds to fund capped call transactions and for general corporate purposes. Additionally, IREN has issued over 66 million shares through an at-the-market offering, raising approximately $1 billion, and reported a cash balance of $1 billion as of September 30, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025