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American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC)
NASDAQ:ABTC
US Market

American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC) AI Stock Analysis

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ABTC

American Bitcoin Corp

(NASDAQ:ABTC)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(4.71% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (negative margins and cash flow) and bearish technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is not supportive due to losses (negative P/E), partially offset by a positive recent corporate event highlighting operational scale and results.
Positive Factors
Operational scale & strategic positioning
Reported substantial bitcoin mining and acquisitions demonstrate durable operational scale. Scale lowers unit costs, improves bargaining with energy/tech partners, and enables inventory accumulation. This structural capability enhances competitive positioning across multi-month crypto cycles.
Diversified crypto revenue streams
Multiple revenue pillars—mining rewards, trading, investment products and management fees—plus tech and energy partnerships reduce reliance on any single income source. This structural diversification smooths revenue volatility and supports resilience over 2–6 months.
Manageable leverage
Relatively low debt provides financial flexibility to fund miner deployments or weather price shocks without excessive interest burden. Lower structural leverage supports access to capital for growth and reduces refinancing risk during continued negative profitability periods.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative profitability
Sustained negative gross, operating and net margins show revenue growth is not translating into profits. Structural cost or efficiency issues erode long-term sustainability, forcing reliance on external capital and challenging the firm's ability to achieve self-funded growth.
Negative operating & free cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flows mean the company cannot internally fund capex or expansion. Reliance on external financing raises dilution or leverage risks, constraining the firm's ability to scale mining operations or maintain equipment over the medium term.
Balance sheet volatility & negative equity episodes
Episodes of negative equity and volatile equity levels indicate past losses exceed capital cushions, weakening creditor confidence and raising refinancing difficulty. Structural equity volatility increases dilution likelihood and limits strategic flexibility during downturns.

American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Bitcoin Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionA Bitcoin accumulation and mining company formed via the merger of American Data Centers and Hut 8’s mining division. It aims to maximize Bitcoin held per share through a dual strategy combining scaled mining operations with opportunistic Bitcoin purchases. The company began trading on Nasdaq in September 2025 following its merger with Gryphon Digital Mining.
How the Company Makes MoneyABTC generates revenue primarily through Bitcoin mining operations, where it earns Bitcoin rewards for validating transactions on the blockchain. This is supplemented by income from trading activities, where the company profits from buying and selling cryptocurrencies at favorable prices. Additionally, ABTC has established partnerships with technology providers and energy companies to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs, which contributes positively to its overall profitability. The company may also earn revenue through management fees on investment products and advisory services offered to clients looking to enter the cryptocurrency market.

American Bitcoin Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 31, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strategic pivot from Bitcoin mining to power generation for HPC and AI data centers, highlighted by the significant Captus acquisition. While the company has improved its financial position through debt restructuring and strategic shifts, increased breakeven costs and a notable net loss pose challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Restructuring with Anchorage Digital
The company converted $13 million of debt to equity at a premium to stock price, significantly improving cash flow by reducing monthly interest payments and making Anchorage the largest shareholder.
Strategic Shift Towards Power Generation
The company announced a shift in focus from Bitcoin mining to developing world-class power assets for HPC and AI data centers, with a definitive agreement to acquire Captus, potentially providing up to 4 gigawatts of power.
Improved Financial Position
The company increased cash and cash equivalents from $368,000 to $735,000, reduced liabilities by approximately $13 million, and improved shareholder equity from a deficit of $18.9 million to $7 million.
Captus Acquisition
The acquisition of Captus is expected to position the company as one of the largest HPC and AI computing infrastructure providers with access to abundant natural gas and on-site carbon sequestration.
Negative Updates
Increased Breakeven Costs and Negative EBITDA
Breakeven costs per Bitcoin increased from $18,192 to $47,359, reflecting the halving event and a 66% increase in global hash rate. Adjusted EBITDA was approximately negative $5.5 million for 2024.
Decreased Bitcoin Mining Revenue
Bitcoin mining revenue decreased from $21.1 million in 2023 to $20.5 million in 2024, despite mining more Bitcoin, due to increased breakeven costs and reduced rewards from halving.
Net Loss for 2024
The company reported a net loss of approximately $21.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, despite improvements in certain financial metrics.
Company Guidance
During the Gryphon Digital Mining earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, the company outlined several key metrics and strategic shifts. Gryphon mined 334 Bitcoins in 2024, generating approximately $20.5 million in revenue, compared to 740 Bitcoins and $21.1 million in revenue in 2023. The breakeven cost per Bitcoin rose to $47,359 due to a halving event and a 66% increase in global hash rate. The adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was negative $5.5 million, impacted by $6 million in legal and marketing fees, a significant increase from $94,000 in 2023. A transformative debt restructuring with Anchorage Digital reduced liabilities by $13 million, and the company's cash and cash equivalents increased to $735,000 by year-end. Gryphon announced an acquisition agreement with Captus, aiming to develop up to 4 gigawatts of power for high-performance computing and AI infrastructure. The company plans to bring the first 130 megawatts online in 2026, emphasizing its strategic shift towards power generation and sustainable computing infrastructure.

American Bitcoin Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gryphon Digital Mining faces substantial financial challenges with negative profitability metrics and a precarious balance sheet. Despite some improvement in cash flow, the overall financial health is weak, requiring careful management.
Income Statement
Gryphon Digital Mining has experienced volatility in revenue and profitability. The revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 was significant, but the company has struggled to maintain consistent gross profit margins. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational challenges. The net profit margin remains negative, highlighting ongoing financial difficulties.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet shows signs of instability, with negative stockholders' equity indicating a potential risk of insolvency. The absence of debt in 2024 suggests a reduction in leverage, but the negative equity position raises concerns about financial health. The equity ratio is negative, underscoring the precarious financial position.
Cash Flow
Gryphon Digital Mining's cash flow statement reflects some positive changes, such as a significant increase in operating cash flow in 2024. However, free cash flow remains negative, and the company has faced challenges in generating consistent cash flows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates substantial cash flow relative to net losses, suggesting potential for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue81.78M71.54M64.98M65.70M17.63M15.65M
Gross Profit19.20M32.03M21.37M23.31M5.02M5.35M
EBITDA-82.36M519.59M44.03M-67.58M-26.63M-29.50M
Net Income-102.00M428.94M39.61M-104.21M-31.33M-33.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.16B1.11B538.52M19.47M94.48M77.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.98M92.39M4.58M7.88M13.09M18.34M
Total Debt185.61M5.60M44.36M14.61M17.30M15.60M
Total Liabilities587.37M91.33M64.73M24.29M34.53M19.64M
Stockholders Equity575.45M1.02B473.78M-4.83M59.95M57.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-84.97M-89.71M-56.93M-119.50M-8.21M-8.72M
Operating Cash Flow-85.53M-54.03M-55.97M-72.58M-8.17M-8.71M
Investing Cash Flow-274.36M-66.59M62.72M24.30M-10.49M-7.14M
Financing Cash Flow368.65M120.62M-6.76M48.27M14.74M9.53M

American Bitcoin Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.91
Price Trends
50DMA
3.27
Negative
100DMA
4.99
Negative
200DMA
4.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Negative
RSI
36.78
Neutral
STOCH
59.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ABTC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.81, below the 50-day MA of 3.27, and below the 200-day MA of 4.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ABTC.

American Bitcoin Corp Risk Analysis

American Bitcoin Corp disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Bitcoin Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Bitcoin Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$6.27B28.7115.88%1.66%3.96%-20.33%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$5.63B44.925.24%103.62%49.48%
64
Neutral
$3.95B5.7823.13%53.51%112.53%
64
Neutral
$715.32M5.7022.44%9.52%496.04%
56
Neutral
$6.54B-86.88-9.69%35.41%-38.08%
42
Neutral
$1.77B-2.55-2.75%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp
1.91
-0.07
-3.54%
RIOT
Riot Platforms
15.13
3.36
28.55%
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
171.68
-41.80
-19.58%
MARA
MARA Holdings
10.44
-6.75
-39.27%
BTBT
Bit Digital
2.21
-1.00
-31.15%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
16.55
11.74
244.07%

American Bitcoin Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
American Bitcoin Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Hut 8 Corp, the majority owner of American Bitcoin Corp, reported financial results for the periods ending September 30, 2025, revealing significant Bitcoin acquisitions and financial performance metrics. American Bitcoin mined and purchased substantial amounts of Bitcoin, with notable revenue and gross margin figures, reflecting its strategic market positioning and operational scale in the cryptocurrency sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (ABTC) stock is a Sell with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Bitcoin Corp stock, see the ABTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026