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Riot Platforms (RIOT)
NASDAQ:RIOT
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Riot Platforms (RIOT) AI Stock Analysis

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RIOT

Riot Platforms

(NASDAQ:RIOT)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▼(-1.29%Downside)
Riot Platforms demonstrates significant growth potential through revenue increases and strategic initiatives, particularly in Bitcoin mining and AI/HPC data centers. However, these strengths are offset by profitability challenges, negative cash flows, and valuation concerns. Technical analysis shows positive momentum but warns of overbought conditions, suggesting caution. Overall, the company presents a mixed outlook, with significant growth opportunities tempered by financial and market risks.
Positive Factors
Site Attractiveness
Riot's Corsicana site is described as one of the most attractive HPC sites.
Strategic Expansion
Management is highly focused on transitioning to HPC, which indicates strategic forward-thinking.
Negative Factors
Adjusted EBITDA Discrepancy
There is a noted discrepancy between analyst estimates and management's estimates for adjusted EBITDA, highlighting a conservative approach by the analyst.
Earnings Performance
RIOT reported a miss on adj. EBITDA as SG&A and 'other COGS' increased more than expected for the quarter.

Riot Platforms (RIOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Riot Platforms Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRiot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) is a leading cryptocurrency mining company based in the United States. The company focuses primarily on Bitcoin mining, leveraging its strategically located data centers to optimize mining operations. Riot Platforms aims to be one of the most efficient and cost-effective Bitcoin miners in the industry, employing advanced technologies and sustainable practices. The company is committed to expanding its operations and enhancing its infrastructure to increase its mining output and overall competitiveness in the cryptocurrency market.
How the Company Makes MoneyRiot Platforms makes money primarily through its Bitcoin mining operations. The company earns revenue by solving complex cryptographic puzzles, which validates Bitcoin transactions and adds them to the blockchain. For each block successfully mined, Riot receives a fixed Bitcoin reward, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, Riot may generate revenue by selling the Bitcoin it mines on cryptocurrency exchanges, taking advantage of favorable market prices. The company might also engage in strategic partnerships or investments to enhance its mining capabilities and increase operational efficiency. Factors such as energy cost management, technological advancements, and scaling of operations play crucial roles in Riot's profitability.

Riot Platforms Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Cost to Mine Bitcoin
Average Cost to Mine Bitcoin
Shows the cost efficiency of mining operations, crucial for understanding profitability margins and how well the company can withstand fluctuations in Bitcoin prices.
Chart InsightsRiot Platforms experienced a significant increase in the average cost to mine Bitcoin in 2024, driven by rising power costs and the Bitcoin halving event. Despite these challenges, the company achieved substantial growth in Bitcoin holdings and hash rate, indicating strategic resilience. The earnings call highlights Riot's focus on expanding its mining operations and exploring AI/HPC opportunities to leverage power assets, suggesting potential future revenue streams. While increased costs pose a risk, Riot's strategic initiatives and increased Bitcoin holdings per share reflect a strong position in the evolving crypto landscape.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Riot Platforms Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 89.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant operational improvements and strategic acquisitions that are expected to enhance future performance. However, the company faced substantial financial losses due to market conditions and high expenses. The balance between positive operational developments and financial challenges resulted in a neutral sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Uptime Improvement
Riot Platforms achieved an average uptime of nearly 90% in Bitcoin Mining operations, indicating enhanced operating efficiency.
Strategic Acquisition of Rhodium Assets
Riot acquired certain assets of Rhodium, including mining operations and access to 125 megawatts of contracted power, which is expected to enhance hash rate capacity and reduce operating losses.
Prudent Financial Management
Riot used limited ATM programs in 2025 and accessed alternative financing sources, including a Bitcoin collateralized credit facility with Coinbase, limiting dilution to shareholders.
AI/HPC Data Center Business Progress
Riot made significant progress in building its data center business, including land acquisitions and enhancing internal expertise, with a focus on AI/HPC data center development.
Increased Bitcoin Production and Holdings
Riot produced 1,530 Bitcoins in Q1 2025, an increase from 1,516 in the prior quarter, and increased Bitcoin holdings by 8% to 19,223.
Revenue and Gross Profit Growth
Riot's total revenue for Q1 2025 was $161.4 million, a 13% increase quarter-over-quarter, and gross profit increased to $73.6 million from $55.7 million.
Engineering Division Profitability
The Engineering division achieved a gross profit of $2.1 million, a turnaround from a gross loss of $2.4 million in the prior quarter.
Negative Updates
Negative Adjusted EBITDA and Net Loss
Riot reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $176.3 million and a net loss of $296.4 million, driven by mark-to-market adjustments due to Bitcoin price decline.
Decline in Bitcoin Price
Bitcoin price fell from $93,354 at the end of Q4 2024 to $82,534 at the end of Q1 2025, contributing to a $208 million mark-to-market downward adjustment.
High Depreciation and Amortization Costs
Depreciation and amortization costs were $77.9 million, contributing to overall losses.
Ongoing Litigation Expenses
Cash SG&A for the quarter included one-time litigation expenses of $8.6 million, impacting financial results.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Riot Platforms provided key guidance on several performance metrics and strategic initiatives. The company achieved an average mining uptime of nearly 90%, significantly improving its operational efficiency. Riot's self-mining hash rate increased by 7% to 33.7 exahash, while Bitcoin production rose to 1,530 Bitcoin. Despite a global hash rate increase of 10%, Riot managed to enhance its Bitcoin yield to 7% year-to-date. The company reported a total revenue of $161.4 million, a 13% increase from the previous quarter, with a gross profit of $73.6 million and a gross margin of 46%. However, the net loss was $296.4 million, primarily due to mark-to-market adjustments. Riot ended the quarter with Bitcoin holdings of 19,223, an 8% increase from the end of 2024. The company also advanced its AI/HPC data center business, securing necessary easements for municipal water and acquiring additional land, while maintaining its strong financial position with limited use of its ATM program.

Riot Platforms Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Riot Platforms shows promising revenue growth but struggles with profitability. Negative EBIT and net income margins, along with negative operating cash flow, reflect financial challenges. However, a strong balance sheet provides some stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Riot Platforms has shown strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $376.7M to $458.7M (21.8%) in the TTM, which is positive. However, the company is struggling with profitability as evidenced by negative EBIT and net income margins in the TTM (-61.9% and -86.9% respectively). This indicates high operational costs or inefficiencies. The gross profit margin at 31.8% is reasonable, but overall, profitability is a concern given the negative net profit margin.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 79.2% in the TTM, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.01, reflecting prudent financial management regarding leverage. However, the negative net income affects the return on equity, which is also negative. The company's assets have grown, but the net loss impacts overall financial health.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow is negative at -$319.3M in the TTM, indicating cash outflows from core operations. Free cash flow is also negative, but an improvement in cash from financing activities provides liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not favorable due to negative values, highlighting cash constraints. Despite these challenges, the company has managed to secure financing to support liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue376.66M280.68M259.17M213.24M12.08M
Gross Profit113.90M26.34M65.47M131.15M5.83M
EBITDA324.18M-2.79M25.37M11.71M-7.81M
Net Income109.40M-49.47M-509.55M-7.93M-12.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.94B2.05B1.32B1.53B280.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments412.13M908.35M339.75M482.66M235.01M
Total Debt613.16M21.34M22.25M13.44M0.00
Total Liabilities791.62M163.06M168.52M173.62M3.08M
Stockholders Equity3.14B1.89B1.15B1.36B277.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.52B-391.05M-352.33M-508.36M-52.42M
Operating Cash Flow-255.05M33.09M530.00K-86.38M-11.15M
Investing Cash Flow-1.51B-414.77M-354.86M-490.33M-32.83M
Financing Cash Flow1.52B748.52M272.35M665.64M259.92M

Riot Platforms Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.69
Price Trends
50DMA
10.59
Positive
100DMA
9.12
Positive
200DMA
10.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.13
Negative
RSI
77.69
Negative
STOCH
73.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RIOT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.50, above the 50-day MA of 10.59, and above the 200-day MA of 10.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.69 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RIOT.

Riot Platforms Risk Analysis

Riot Platforms disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Riot Platforms reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Riot Platforms Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$17.10B11.449.70%3.58%11.11%-4.78%
58
Neutral
$3.47B54.04-11.36%89.47%-737.43%
57
Neutral
$5.25B24.36-14.71%59.99%-283.24%
51
Neutral
$2.98B-32.09%
49
Neutral
$867.65M-46.57%-2.39%-2961.26%
47
Neutral
$18.18M-40.72%-24.19%72.41%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RIOT
Riot Platforms
14.69
3.49
31.16%
ANY
Sphere 3D
0.69
-0.38
-35.51%
CLSK
Cleanspark
12.34
-4.78
-27.92%
BMBL
Bumble
8.57
-0.56
-6.13%
BTDR
Bitdeer Technologies
15.16
5.29
53.60%

Riot Platforms Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Riot Platforms Expands Credit Agreement with Coinbase
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Riot Platforms, Inc. entered into an amended and restated credit agreement with Coinbase Credit, Inc., increasing the principal amount from $100 million to $200 million and extending the availability period. This agreement aims to enhance Riot Platforms’ financial flexibility and operations by allowing more borrowings and securing obligations with financial assets, including bitcoin and cash.

The most recent analyst rating on (RIOT) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riot Platforms stock, see the RIOT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 19, 2025