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Bitdeer Technologies (BTDR)
NASDAQ:BTDR
US Market

Bitdeer Technologies (BTDR) AI Stock Analysis

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BTDR

Bitdeer Technologies

(NASDAQ:BTDR)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-0.25% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—especially substantial negative operating/free cash flow and higher leverage—despite a 2025 revenue/profitability rebound. Technicals also remain bearish with the stock well below major moving averages. Valuation is moderate (P/E ~18.6), while the earnings call signals operational progress but with significant margin, cash burn, and project-execution risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue rebound & profitability
A material revenue rebound and return to positive net income in 2025 indicate renewed demand and scale in core operations. Durable revenue and profitable quarters improve the company’s ability to fund operations and strategic projects, supporting longer-term recovery if cash generation stabilizes.
Rapid hash rate expansion
Significant and rapid expansion of managed hash rate strengthens market position and revenue-generating capacity. Higher scale improves mining output resilience to competition, enhances bargaining power for hosting, and supports recurring cash generation from self-mining and managed services.
Proprietary ASICs & AI/colocation pipeline
Vertical integration via in-house SealMiner rigs and a large power/colocation pipeline creates structural advantages: lower hardware costs, control over supply, and diversified revenue streams into AI/HPC. This reduces reliance on third-party suppliers and supports long-term margin improvement if deployment executes.
Negative Factors
Severe operating cash burn
Persistent, large negative operating and free cash flows materially raise funding and refinancing risk. Over the medium term this forces reliance on external financing or dilution, constrains discretionary investment, and makes the business vulnerable to commodity cycles and execution delays.
Rising leverage and derivative exposure
A marked step-up in leverage and sizeable derivative liabilities amplify financial risk in a volatile mining/AI market. Higher interest and refinancing exposure reduce flexibility, increase sensitivity to revenue swings, and can elevate probability of covenant pressure or dilutive financing under stress.
Margin compression & higher depreciation
Substantially compressed gross margins and accelerated depreciation shorten asset recovery and weaken sustainable profitability. Combined with higher energy costs, these factors reduce long-term free cash flow conversion and make earnings more sensitive to commodity price and operational efficiency swings.

Bitdeer Technologies (BTDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bitdeer Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBitdeer Technologies Group operates as a technology company for the cryptocurrency mining community. It mines cryptocurrencies for its own account and serve the cryptocurrency mining community by providing cryptocurrency mining solution. The company handles various processes involved in mining, such as miner procurement, transport logistics, mining datacenter design and construction, mining machine management, and daily operations. It has mining datacenters deployed in the United States and Norway. The company is headquartered in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyBitdeer Technologies generates revenue through multiple channels. Primarily, the company earns money by selling cryptocurrency mining hardware, such as ASIC miners, to customers who wish to set up their own mining operations. Additionally, Bitdeer operates a cloud mining service, allowing users to rent mining power without the need for physical hardware, which provides a steady stream of income. The company also offers hosting services for mining equipment, charging fees for electricity and maintenance. Significant partnerships with hardware manufacturers and blockchain networks enhance its market position and contribute to its earnings by ensuring a reliable supply of high-demand mining equipment and services.

Bitdeer Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Balanced: the company delivered exceptional top-line and operational growth (large revenue increase, rapid hash rate expansion, positive adjusted EBITDA YoY, proprietary ASIC progress and a sizable 3 GW power pipeline), but this was offset by meaningful margin compression, a widening adjusted net loss, heavy operating cash outflows ($599.5M), increased depreciation from a shortened useful life assumption, seasonally higher electricity costs and project/timing risks (Clarington litigation and dependency on signed colocation contracts).
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Rapid Self-Mining Expansion and Market Position
Self-mining revenue of $168.6M (Q4), up 306% YoY and 28.7% sequentially. Exited the year with >55 EH/s and brought an additional ~8 EH/s online in January to exit January at >63 EH/s, establishing the company among the largest publicly listed miners by hash rate under management.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA (YoY Turnaround)
Adjusted EBITDA of $31.2M in Q4 versus a negative $4.3M in Q4 2024 (YoY improvement). Despite being down sequentially from $39.6M in Q3 2025, the positive adjusted EBITDA demonstrates underlying operating scale.
Proprietary ASIC & Mining Hardware Progress
Mass production of SealMiner A3 commenced (initial shipments began in November); 8.7 EH of A3 deployed to date. SealMiner efficiencies: A2 ~15–16.5 J/TH; A3 ~12.5–14 J/TH; fleet-wide blended efficiency improved to 17.5 J/TH as of 01/31/2026. CLO4-1 chip completed (Sept) with rig mass production starting Q1 2026. SEAL-DL1 Litecoin/Doge chip taped out with initial tests showing better energy efficiency and higher fiat-per-MW returns than A2.
Large Power & Colocation Pipeline
Operational capacity >1.66 GW (online) and a 3 GW global power pipeline. Key site highlights: Teadle, Norway (225 MW, PUE ~1.1, hydropower; retrofit & lease discussions; test GPUs late 2026, production early 2027); Clarington (570 MW US site with accelerated interconnection and tenant discussions); Rockdale (563 MW mining operation with potential adjacent greenfield HPC build to add capacity).
Growing AI/HPC and GPU-as-a-Service Initiatives
Prioritizing colocation for large AI deployments while expanding GPU-as-a-service: Malaysia expansion +10–15 MW, planned +10 MW in Washington, evaluating partial Knoxville conversion. Management emphasizes contract-backed deployments (no large speculative builds).
Successful Access to Financing
Net cash generated from financing of $454.5M in the quarter (including $388.5M from convertible senior notes and $141.5M from ATM/ELOC sales). Liquidity position includes $149.4M cash, $83.1M cryptocurrencies (held at cost less impairment) and $135.6M cryptocurrency receivables (fair value).
Strong Revenue Growth
Total Q4 revenue of $224.8M, up 225.8% year-over-year and up 32.5% sequentially, driven largely by expanded self-mining activity and SealMiner sales.
Negative Updates
Severe Gross Margin Compression
Gross profit fell to $10.6M with a gross margin of 4.7% in Q4 versus 24.1% in Q3 2025 and 7.4% in Q4 2024. Margin deterioration driven by 13% lower average Bitcoin price QoQ, higher electricity costs, and elevated depreciation related to new mining capacity.
Widening Adjusted Net Loss
Adjusted net loss of $82.6M in Q4 versus $37.4M in Q4 2024 and $36.3M in Q3 2025, primarily due to higher energy and depreciation costs and increased operating and interest expenses despite higher revenue.
Sequential EBITDA & Operating Expense Pressure
Adjusted EBITDA declined sequentially to $31.2M from $39.6M in Q3 2025. Total operating expenses rose to $66.3M (from $60.5M in Q3 2025 and $42.5M in Q4 2024) driven by headcount additions, holiday compensation and increased year-end corporate activity.
Higher Energy Costs and Commodity Price Headwinds
Average electricity costs increased approximately 5% versus Q3 2025 (seasonal winter pricing at Norway sites). Average Bitcoin prices were ~13% lower QoQ, reducing realized mining revenue per BTC produced.
Increased Depreciation from Accounting Change for Rigs
Management shortened depreciable life for mining rigs from 5 years to 3 years (straight-line), substantially increasing noncash depreciation expense and pressuring margins and reported profitability.
Large Operational Cash Burn
Net cash used in operating activities was $599.5M in the quarter, driven by SealMiner supply chain and manufacturing costs, electricity for mining, general corporate overhead and interest—a material near-term cash outflow risk.
Leverage, Derivative Liabilities and Project Risk
Total borrowings of $1.0B (excluding derivative liabilities) and derivative liabilities of $501.1M (related to convertible notes) create notable balance sheet leverage. Litigation filed at the Clarington site could delay development and timing of tenant deals; many GPU/colocation deployments are contingent on signed contracts.
Company Guidance
Guidance highlights: Bitdeer expects full‑year 2026 crypto mining data‑center infrastructure spend of $180–$200 million (this covers power and crypto mining data center build‑out only and excludes SealMiner and GPU/AI colocation CapEx) and will begin reporting under GAAP in Q1 2026; the company entered 2026 with ~1.66 GW online and a 3.0 GW global power pipeline, is prioritizing colocation (Teadle: 225 MW with estimated PUE ~1.1, retrofit/test GPUs late‑2026 and first production GPUs early‑2027; retrofit benchmark $8–$12M/MW), Clarington: 570 MW (subject to potential litigation delay), Rockdale: 563 MW mining with ~179 MW potential greenfield expansion, Malaysia GPU cloud +10–15 MW and a planned +10 MW in Washington; self‑mining hash rate exited 2025 >55 EH, rose ~8 EH in January to >63 EH, with 8.7 EH of SealMiner A3 deployed, fleet efficiency 17.5 J/TH as of 01/31/2026 (SealMiner A2: 15–16.5 J/TH; A3: 12.5–14 J/TH), CLO4‑1 taped out (mass production Q1 2026), 2025 infrastructure CapEx totaled $176M, and the company will only deploy large GPU capacity with committed customer contracts rather than speculative builds.

Bitdeer Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
2025 shows a sharp rebound in revenue (+33.6% YoY) and a return to profitability, but this is overshadowed by very large negative operating and free cash flow (deepening cash burn) and a meaningful step-up in leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.27). The turnaround quality is further constrained by gross margin compression and earnings volatility across recent years.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue rebounded strongly in 2025 (+33.6% YoY) and profitability swung back to positive (net margin ~10.6%, EBIT margin ~25.8%), a major improvement versus the very large 2024 loss year. However, gross margin compressed sharply in 2025 (~9.8% vs ~19.0% in 2024 and ~21.1% in 2023), and the earnings profile has been volatile over the cycle (profit in 2021, losses in 2022–2024, profit again in 2025), which reduces confidence in durability.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
The balance sheet has become more leveraged: total debt rose materially by 2025 and debt-to-equity increased to ~1.27 (from ~1.03 in 2024 and ~0.28 in 2023). While equity remains sizable (about $868M in 2025) and 2025 returned to a positive return on equity (~7.6%), the step-up in leverage and the prior-year equity damage from losses increase financial risk and sensitivity to operating swings.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is the key weakness. Operating cash flow and free cash flow were deeply negative in 2025 (approximately -$1.74B and -$2.01B, respectively), worsening meaningfully from already-negative 2024 levels. This indicates the business is consuming substantial cash despite returning to accounting profitability in 2025, raising funding and dilution/refinancing risk if negative cash flow persists.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue620.25M349.78M368.55M333.34M394.66M
Gross Profit60.99M66.40M77.81M83.25M241.41M
EBITDA283.80M-502.58M27.40M6.86M196.39M
Net Income65.60M-599.15M-56.66M-60.37M82.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.80B1.56B639.39M651.41M646.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments176.69M518.79M161.10M231.36M372.09M
Total Debt1.19B286.26M92.83M100.23M92.43M
Total Liabilities1.94B1.28B306.82M333.07M358.89M
Stockholders Equity867.85M276.60M332.57M318.34M288.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.01B-749.29M-398.13M-331.24M-141.96M
Operating Cash Flow-1.74B-622.07M-271.79M-268.04M-52.47M
Investing Cash Flow38.86M112.70M199.85M133.79M394.57M
Financing Cash Flow1.37B844.27M-13.49M-3.88M-14.43M

Bitdeer Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.02
Price Trends
50DMA
11.86
Negative
100DMA
14.79
Negative
200DMA
14.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.25
Positive
RSI
30.49
Neutral
STOCH
6.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.58, below the 50-day MA of 11.86, and below the 200-day MA of 14.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BTDR.

Bitdeer Technologies Risk Analysis

Bitdeer Technologies disclosed 103 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bitdeer Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
It is not expected that we will pay dividends in the foreseeable future. Q1, 2023
2.
Our business and our industry are subject to significant risks. You should carefully consider all of the information set forth in this Report and in our other filings with the SEC, including the following risk factors, in evaluating our business. If any of the following risks actually occur, our business, financial condition, operating results, and growth prospects would likely be materially and adversely affected. This Report also contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. See the section entitled "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Information." Q1, 2023

Bitdeer Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
$2.37B-9.17-15.34%102.21%
53
Neutral
$1.98B-29.37-171.54%28.97%-4.18%
51
Neutral
$315.97M-4.65-25.48%-24.30%-181.62%
46
Neutral
$2.23B18.64-98.10%
46
Neutral
$1.80B-7.99-102.48%9.47%16.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BTDR
Bitdeer Technologies
8.38
-0.88
-9.50%
CLSK
Cleanspark
10.35
2.20
26.99%
ASAN
Asana
7.02
-11.96
-63.01%
GRND
Grindr
11.25
-6.68
-37.26%
SMRT
SmartRent
1.58
0.26
19.70%

Bitdeer Technologies Corporate Events

Bitdeer Launches US$300 Million Convertible Notes Plan Tied to Debt Repurchase and AI, Mining Expansion
Feb 20, 2026

On February 19, 2026, Bitdeer Technologies Group announced a proposed private placement of US$300 million in convertible senior notes due 2032 to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A, with an option for initial purchasers to buy an additional US$45 million of notes. The notes, which will be senior unsecured obligations convertible into cash, Class A ordinary shares or a mix of both, are part of a broader financing plan that also includes a registered direct equity offering and related balance sheet transactions.

Bitdeer plans to use part of the proceeds from the notes and the registered direct share sale to fund capped call transactions aimed at limiting dilution from potential note conversions and to repurchase a portion of its 5.25% convertible senior notes due 2029 in privately negotiated deals. Remaining proceeds are earmarked for datacenter expansion, high-performance computing and AI cloud growth, ASIC mining rig development and general corporate purposes, with the linked offerings and note repurchases expected to influence trading dynamics in Bitdeer’s Class A shares and outstanding notes as hedge positions are established and unwound.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTDR) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitdeer Technologies stock, see the BTDR Stock Forecast page.

Bitdeer Swings to Profit in Q4 2025 as It Accelerates Shift Toward AI Infrastructure
Feb 12, 2026

On February 12, 2026, Bitdeer Technologies Group reported unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, highlighting a sharp turnaround in profitability and rapid scale-up of its infrastructure. Q4 2025 revenue surged to $224.8 million from $69.0 million a year earlier, with gross profit more than doubling to $10.6 million and net profit swinging to $70.5 million from a $531.9 million loss, while adjusted EBITDA improved to a positive $31.2 million and cash, crypto and receivables totaled over $368 million at year-end.

Operationally, Bitdeer expanded total hash rate under management to 71.0 EH/s from 21.6 EH/s in Q4 2024 and nearly doubled self-owned mining rigs to 211,000, enabling self-mined Bitcoin to rise to 1,673 coins in the quarter and boosting its Bitcoin holdings to 2,017. Management framed Q4 2025 as a strategic inflection point, emphasizing a dual-track shift toward high-performance compute and AI colocation on top of its core Bitcoin mining, backed by 1,658 MW of online electrical capacity and a pipeline of additional crypto and AI/HPC data center projects in North America, Europe, Africa and Asia, which could strengthen Bitdeer’s positioning in both the digital asset and AI infrastructure markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTDR) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitdeer Technologies stock, see the BTDR Stock Forecast page.

Bitdeer Posts 430% Bitcoin Output Surge and Expands AI Infrastructure in January 2026 Update
Feb 10, 2026

On February 10, 2026, Bitdeer reported a sharp expansion in its January 2026 operations, lifting self-mining hashrate to 63.2 EH/s and increasing Bitcoin output 430% year on year to 668 coins as it deploys more proprietary SEALMINER rigs while phasing out older third-party machines. The company is also progressing U.S. manufacturing, advancing SEALMINER R&D with a promising new Litecoin/DOGE ASIC, and ramping GPU cloud capacity, including the January 13 deployment of NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 infrastructure in Malaysia, underscoring a strategic push from pure crypto mining into AI and HPC services backed by a 3,002 MW global power footprint and active hyperscaler discussions.

Bitdeer’s SEALMINER A2 and A3 lines saw higher cumulative deployments and external sales in January, while development of SEALMINER DL1 and 04-series chips targets higher mining efficiency and near-term mass production. With growing GPU fleets, AI-focused data center conversions in the U.S. and Norway, and significant pipeline capacity in North America, Africa, and Canada, the update signals an effort to diversify revenue, deepen vertical integration, and position the company as a key infrastructure provider for both digital assets and enterprise AI workloads.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTDR) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitdeer Technologies stock, see the BTDR Stock Forecast page.

Bitdeer Faces Ohio Leasehold Dispute After Subsidiaries Sued Over Industrial Property Rights
Feb 5, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Bitdeer Technologies Group disclosed that its wholly owned subsidiary Erie Creek LLC, along with sister subsidiaries Whitetail Creek LLC and Bitdeer, Inc., had been named as defendants in a lawsuit filed by American Heavy Plate Solutions, LLC in the Court of Common Pleas of Monroe County, Ohio. The complaint, which also names the Monroe County Port Authority as a defendant, seeks declaratory and injunctive relief over certain leasehold rights at an industrial property in Monroe County where the Port Authority is the landlord. Bitdeer said it plans to vigorously defend against the claims, signaling a potentially protracted legal dispute that could affect its use of the Ohio industrial site but did not indicate any immediate operational or financial impact.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTDR) stock is a Sell with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitdeer Technologies stock, see the BTDR Stock Forecast page.

Bitdeer Posts 339% Bitcoin Output Surge and Expands AI Cloud Capacity in December 2025 Update
Jan 12, 2026

On January 13, 2026, Bitdeer Technologies reported a sharp expansion in its December 2025 production, with self-mining hashrate rising to 55.2 EH/s and Bitcoin output jumping 339% year-on-year to 636 coins, driven by continued deployment of its proprietary SEALMINER rigs and the phased retirement of older third-party machines. The company also advanced its vertical-integration strategy and AI pivot, selling about 1.4 EH/s of SEALMINER A2 units to external customers, progressing SEAL04 chip development toward targeted mass production in early 2026, and maintaining preparations for a U.S. manufacturing facility. In its AI cloud business, Bitdeer ended 2025 with 1,152 high-end GPUs deployed at a 61% utilization rate and roughly $10 million in annual recurring revenue, deployed and tested eight GB200 systems in Malaysia ahead of a planned January 2026 cloud launch, and enhanced its platform with enterprise-grade IAM and SSO features, while continuing to evaluate U.S. data center leases and additional HPC colocation deals across a 1,658 MW global infrastructure base and a sizeable expansion pipeline.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTDR) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitdeer Technologies stock, see the BTDR Stock Forecast page.

Bitdeer Technologies Reports Strong November 2025 Bitcoin Production and AI Cloud Expansion
Dec 15, 2025

In November 2025, Bitdeer Technologies Group reported a significant increase in its self-mining hashrate to 45.7 EH/s, driven by the deployment of SEALMINERs, resulting in a 251% year-over-year increase in Bitcoin production to 526 Bitcoins. The company is also expanding its AI cloud services, with a notable rise in annual recurring revenue to $10 million and plans for further infrastructure development, including new data centers in Malaysia and the U.S., positioning Bitdeer for continued growth in the high-performance computing market.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTDR) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bitdeer Technologies stock, see the BTDR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026