Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY)
OTHER OTC:WMMVY
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Wal-Mart de Mexico
(OTC:WMMVY)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(4.65% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals—sharp TTM revenue rebound and stable margins—tempered by higher leverage and weaker cash-flow conversion. Technicals are a secondary drag with price below major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is reasonable with a moderate dividend yield, but not compelling enough to offset the weaker chart.
Positive Factors
Revenue Acceleration
A 40.3% TTM revenue acceleration indicates a durable top-line inflection versus recent weak growth. Sustained sales momentum improves scale economics, funds reinvestment in stores and e-commerce, and strengthens bargaining power with suppliers across formats over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
A material increase in leverage reduces balance-sheet flexibility and raises interest and refinancing risk. If margins or cash flows deteriorate, higher debt amplifies downside pressure on investment capacity and liquidity, constraining strategic options over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Acceleration
A 40.3% TTM revenue acceleration indicates a durable top-line inflection versus recent weak growth. Sustained sales momentum improves scale economics, funds reinvestment in stores and e-commerce, and strengthens bargaining power with suppliers across formats over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$50.58B
Dividend Yield2.51%
Average Volume (3M)57.80K
Price to Earnings (P/E)17.4
Beta (1Y)0.40
Revenue Growth8.18%
EPS Growth-1.00%
CountryUS
Employees235,132
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryDiscount Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)28.60
Shares Outstanding1,744,632,200
10 Day Avg. Volume43,437
30 Day Avg. Volume57,799
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.65
Price to Book (P/B)4.14
Price to Sales (P/S)1.03
P/FCF Ratio23.37
Enterprise Value/Market Cap18.76
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.94
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.88
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.67
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$36.36Price Target Upside11.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)1.82
Revenue Forecast (FY)$61.23B
Wal-Mart de Mexico Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. manages an extensive network of self-service retail establishments across Mexico and Central America. Its diverse portfolio includes various formats such as discount warehouses, large-format hypermarkets, traditi...
How the Company Makes Money
Walmart de México generates revenue primarily through the retail sale of goods to consumers via physical stores and online channels. Its largest and most recurring revenue stream is grocery and consumables (food, beverages, household essentials), ...
Wal-Mart de Mexico Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was cautiously optimistic. Management highlighted several operational and strategic wins — profitable new businesses (Byte), steady contribution to margins from new ventures, strong on-demand e-commerce growth (~20%), progress on private label penetration (mid-20s target), SKU rationalization (~30% cuts in small formats) and planned e-commerce network expansion (adding >20 cities). At the same time, executives emphasized a soft near-term macro environment, slight traffic weakness with ticket-led growth, a slowdown in extended-assortment e-commerce (mid-single-digit growth) driven by weak 1P categories and ongoing operational work to reduce shrink and complete One Hallway integration. Overall, positives around new-business monetization, operational initiatives, and readiness for a potential macro recovery slightly outweigh the near-term headwinds and execution risks.Positive Updates
New businesses contributing to margin expansion
Management noted that new businesses (e.g., Byte, financial solutions, Walmart Connect) have been contributing roughly ~20 basis points quarter-on-quarter to gross margin (the call referenced a ~15 bps improvement in Mexico tied to other businesses). Financial solutions and Byte were key contributors in the quarter.
Negative Updates
Soft consumer environment and near-term outlook
Management described the market as 'relatively soft' and expects softness to persist into the first half of 2026, creating near-term headwinds for sales and traffic.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
New businesses contributing to margin expansion
Management noted that new businesses (e.g., Byte, financial solutions, Walmart Connect) have been contributing roughly ~20 basis points quarter-on-quarter to gross margin (the call referenced a ~15 bps improvement in Mexico tied to other businesses). Financial solutions and Byte were key contributors in the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said formal 2026 targets are still being finalized and will be shared later (Walmex Day on March 25), but offered directional guidance: they expect a relatively soft macro in H1 with GDP for Mexico roughly 1.5% (vs ~0% growth in 2025), will double down on EDLP, availability and e‑commerce, and are preparing to benefit if market growth accelerates; concrete metrics discussed included a >30% SKU reduction in Bodega Aurrera Express/Mi Bodega, a private‑label penetration goal of at least the mid‑20s (%), Walmart Express representing ~2% of the portfolio, new businesses contributing roughly +20 basis points QoQ to gross margin (Q4 saw ~15 bps improvement cited), Byte is already profitable with Byte customers >2x average ticket and management expects Byte operating margins to reach company levels in the near term, on‑demand e‑commerce grew ~20% while the extended assortment grew mid‑single digits, they cited roughly 20 million SKUs today and plan to add >20 cities to delivery reach next quarter.Wal-Mart de Mexico Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.01T | 948.82B | 958.51B | 886.52B | 819.17B | 736.04B |
| Gross Profit | 244.53B | 229.98B | 231.47B | 210.56B | 191.40B | 171.84B |
| EBITDA | 98.11B | 95.77B | 91.57B | 97.06B | 89.90B | 82.07B |
| Net Income | 49.70B | 46.79B | 53.83B | 51.59B | 48.97B | 44.14B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 496.84B | 496.08B | 493.89B | 436.55B | 418.81B | 394.39B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 28.09B | 28.64B | 36.51B | 40.67B | 47.43B | 42.82B |
| Total Debt | 81.27B | 80.85B | 79.73B | 75.25B | 73.35B | 64.69B |
| Total Liabilities | 244.27B | 260.12B | 261.02B | 237.46B | 216.34B | 208.51B |
| Stockholders Equity | 252.57B | 235.96B | 232.88B | 199.09B | 202.47B | 185.88B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 52.72B | 41.76B | 37.87B | 56.33B | 43.17B | 44.42B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 89.81B | 78.32B | 72.64B | 85.12B | 64.47B | 64.88B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -35.39B | -35.31B | -30.53B | -29.76B | -20.32B | -19.13B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -47.71B | -47.84B | -49.80B | -58.55B | -39.64B | -37.50B |
Wal-Mart de Mexico Technical Analysis
Negative
32.49
Price Trends
31.40
Negative
32.01
Negative
31.83
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.51
Negative
36.50
Neutral
54.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMMVY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.21, above the 50-day MA of 31.40, and above the 200-day MA of 31.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WMMVY.
Wal-Mart de Mexico Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $59.38B | 17.20 | 21.74% | 4.79% | 0.47% | -16.65% | |
73 Outperform | $421.95B | 47.79 | 28.27% | 0.59% | 9.23% | 12.69% | |
68 Neutral | $21.46B | 17.08 | 35.90% | ― | -19.68% | ― | |
67 Neutral | $932.53B | 40.50 | 24.26% | 0.85% | 5.87% | 21.68% | |
66 Neutral | $50.58B | 17.36 | 21.56% | 2.51% | 8.18% | -1.00% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
62 Neutral | $25.03B | 15.99 | 18.65% | 1.88% | 4.72% | 35.43% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
WMMVY
Wal-Mart de Mexico
29.00
-2.03
-6.54%
COST
Costco
951.45
-47.41
-4.75%
DG
Dollar General
113.45
0.79
0.70%
DLTR
Dollar Tree
111.65
11.14
11.08%
TGT
Target
130.74
38.26
41.37%
WMT
Walmart
117.18
20.12
20.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.