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Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY)
:WMMVY

Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY) AI Stock Analysis

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WMMVY

Wal-Mart de Mexico

(OTC:WMMVY)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(13.03% Upside)
Wal-Mart de Mexico's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are key strengths, supporting its competitive position. However, valuation concerns and cautious sentiment from the earnings call temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
E-commerce Development
The successful development of e-commerce initiatives like the One Hallway enhances omnichannel capabilities, driving long-term growth and customer engagement.
Private Label Growth
Growth in private label offerings strengthens brand differentiation and margin potential, supporting sustained profitability and customer loyalty.
Inventory Management
Improved inventory management enhances operational efficiency and working capital, contributing to better cash flow and profitability.
Negative Factors
Traffic Decline
A decline in store traffic could indicate challenges in customer retention and competition, potentially impacting long-term sales growth.
Weaker Store Openings
Slower store openings may hinder expansion plans and market penetration, affecting future revenue growth and competitive positioning.
Gross Margin Pressure
Pressure on gross margins from inventory reductions can affect profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain financial health.

Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wal-Mart de Mexico Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. owns and operates self-service stores in Mexico and Central America. The company operates discount warehouses and stores, hypermarkets, supermarkets, and membership self-service wholesale stores. It operates 2,198 Bodega Aurrerá discount stores, 294 Walmart hypermarkets, 14 Superama supermarkets, 85 Walmart Express supermarkets, and 165 Sam's Club membership self-service wholesale stores. The company also operates 572 Despensa Familiar and Palí discount stores; 98 Paiz, La Despensa de Don Juan, La Unión, and Más x Menos supermarkets; 158 Bodegas, Maxi Bodega, and Maxi Palí stores; and 36 Walmart hypermarkets in Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, and El Salvador. In addition, it imports and sells goods; develops properties; and manages real estate companies. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. is a subsidiary of Intersalt, S. De R.l. De C.v.
How the Company Makes MoneyWal-Mart de Mexico generates revenue primarily through the sale of merchandise in its retail stores, which include both physical locations and e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include food and consumables, which account for a significant portion of sales, followed by general merchandise and health and wellness products. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers that allow for competitive pricing and promotions. Additionally, WMMVY capitalizes on its membership-based warehouse clubs to drive bulk sales and customer loyalty, further enhancing its earnings. The company's focus on cost efficiency and supply chain optimization helps maintain profitability in a highly competitive retail environment.

Wal-Mart de Mexico Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several strategic initiatives and improvements in inventory management and private label growth. However, challenges such as slower store openings, a decline in store traffic, and pressure on gross margin were notable. Although there was significant progress in e-commerce, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to these underlying issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Private Label Growth
Private label penetration increased by 100 basis points this quarter, indicating strong performance and future opportunities in this segment.
Inventory Management Improvement
Achieved a significant reduction in inventory days by almost 3.5 days, demonstrating improved efficiencies in inventory management.
E-commerce Development
The One Hallway initiative is progressing well with increased customer loyalty and larger baskets, indicating a positive impact on the omnichannel strategy.
SG&A Growth Control
SG&A growth was limited to around 5% this quarter, showing effective cost control measures in place.
Negative Updates
Weaker Store Openings
There was a slower than expected pace in store openings in Q3, which may affect growth projections.
Traffic Decline
Existing stores experienced a decline in traffic, raising concerns about potential cannibalization with new openings.
Gross Margin Pressure
Gross margin faced pressure due to inventory reductions, particularly in general merchandise.
Net Income Impact
A one-off item impacted net income, raising questions about potential recurring issues in future quarters.
Company Guidance
During the call, Walmex's leadership provided detailed guidance on several key metrics. They anticipate maintaining their target of opening 1,500 new stores over the next five years, despite a slower pace in the third quarter. The company expects sales growth in Q4 to be similar to Q2 and Q3, driven by a strong focus on enhancing e-commerce capabilities and private label penetration. SG&A is projected to grow at a high single-digit rate for the year, aligning more closely with sales growth, and aims for further alignment in the mid-to-long term. Inventory days on hand improved by 3.5 days, reflecting better inventory management, which is expected to continue contributing positively to working capital. The company is also focused on maintaining a stable gross margin while investing in everyday low prices (EDLP) and expanding its private label offerings. Finally, they foresee sequential profitability improvements, with Q4 expected to surpass Q3 performance.

Wal-Mart de Mexico Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wal-Mart de Mexico exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, stable profitability, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with prudent leverage, though monitoring debt levels is advisable.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Wal-Mart de Mexico demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) increase of 1.94%, building on consistent annual growth. Gross profit margins remain stable around 24%, while net profit margins slightly decreased to 5.21% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. Overall, the company shows robust revenue growth and profitability, though slight pressure on net margins is noted.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36 in the TTM, indicating prudent leverage. Return on equity remains strong at 22.79%, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. While the company maintains a healthy balance sheet, monitoring debt levels is advisable.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant 29.79% growth in free cash flow in the TTM, highlighting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.38, indicating solid cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.48 suggests effective cash management. Despite a slight decrease in operating cash flow, overall cash flow health is strong.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue992.13B958.51B886.52B819.17B736.04B701.73B
Gross Profit239.87B231.47B210.56B191.40B171.84B162.04B
EBITDA91.04B91.57B97.06B89.90B82.07B73.81B
Net Income51.68B53.83B51.59B48.97B44.14B33.43B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets480.96B493.89B436.55B418.81B394.39B361.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.44B36.51B40.67B47.43B42.82B35.67B
Total Debt78.78B79.73B75.25B73.35B64.69B59.74B
Total Liabilities263.41B261.02B237.46B216.34B208.51B192.76B
Stockholders Equity217.54B232.88B199.09B202.47B185.88B169.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.81B37.87B56.33B43.17B44.42B44.64B
Operating Cash Flow68.07B72.64B85.12B64.47B64.88B61.37B
Investing Cash Flow-31.79B-30.53B-29.76B-20.32B-19.13B-16.53B
Financing Cash Flow-53.60B-49.80B-58.55B-39.64B-37.50B-39.70B

Wal-Mart de Mexico Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.62
Price Trends
50DMA
32.62
Positive
100DMA
31.23
Positive
200DMA
30.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
49.97
Neutral
STOCH
36.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMMVY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.06, above the 50-day MA of 32.62, and above the 200-day MA of 30.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WMMVY.

Wal-Mart de Mexico Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$902.06B39.7024.87%0.81%4.34%17.27%
75
Outperform
$57.43B22.2322.26%2.80%-3.82%-15.29%
73
Outperform
$27.71B21.7416.45%1.88%4.86%-4.51%
72
Outperform
$388.20B48.0230.32%0.57%8.34%9.58%
70
Neutral
$42.84B11.4825.09%4.66%-2.16%-12.66%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$24.71B20.07%-39.27%-182.36%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMMVY
Wal-Mart de Mexico
32.83
3.50
11.93%
COST
Costco
884.47
-103.25
-10.45%
DG
Dollar General
133.21
59.83
81.53%
DLTR
Dollar Tree
129.87
59.84
85.45%
TGT
Target
97.09
-29.76
-23.46%
WMT
Walmart
116.70
22.73
24.19%

Wal-Mart de Mexico Corporate Events

Walmex Earnings Call: Cautious Optimism Amid Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

The recent earnings call of Wal-Mart de Mexico (Walmex) painted a picture of cautious optimism. While the company has made strides in strategic initiatives such as inventory management and private label growth, challenges like slower store openings and a decline in store traffic have tempered enthusiasm. The sentiment during the call was one of careful progress, acknowledging both achievements and areas needing attention.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025