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Valeo SA (EU) (VLEEY)
OTHER OTC:VLEEY

Valeo SA (EU) (VLEEY) AI Stock Analysis

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VLEEY

Valeo SA (EU)

(OTC:VLEEY)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▼(-17.72% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/08/26
The score is anchored by improving financial fundamentals (strong operating cash flow and sharply lower leverage), but is pulled down by weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages with negative MACD and oversold indicators). Valuation is moderately supportive with a mid P/E and ~3.9% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Operating Cash Flow Strength
Consistent, high operating cash flow (€2.69bn in 2024) provides durable funding for R&D, capex, dividends and working capital. Strong cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and increases resilience across automotive cycles, supporting long-term strategic investments.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.9 indicates significant leverage, increasing interest expense sensitivity and refinancing risk. In a capital-intensive auto supply business, elevated debt limits strategic flexibility, constrains capacity to absorb demand shocks, and raises the hurdle for deleveraging.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operating Cash Flow Strength
Consistent, high operating cash flow (€2.69bn in 2024) provides durable funding for R&D, capex, dividends and working capital. Strong cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and increases resilience across automotive cycles, supporting long-term strategic investments.
Read all positive factors

Valeo SA (EU) (VLEEY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Valeo SA (EU) Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Valeo SE designs, produces, and sells components, systems, and services for automakers in France, other European countries, Africa, North America, South America, and Asia. The company operates through four segments: Comfort & Driving Assistance Sy...
How the Company Makes Money
Valeo generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive components and systems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts with major automotive manufacturers...

Valeo SA (EU) Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 29, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted successful completion of 2023 guidance, record order intake, and significant ESG progress, demonstrating strong operational performance. However, challenges remain in the Chinese market and Thermal business profitability, alongside high debt levels. The company plans strategic measures to address these issues, aiming for growth and improved margins in the coming years.
Positive Updates
Successful Completion of 2023 Guidance
Achieved 100% of 2023 guidance with sales of EUR 22 billion, an EBITDA of 12%, an operating margin of 3.8%, and a free cash flow of EUR 379 million.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
Underperformance in China due to the need to improve customer mix and reposition the local customer portfolio, with expectations for improvement in the second half of 2024.
Read all updates
Q4-2023 Updates
Negative
Successful Completion of 2023 Guidance
Achieved 100% of 2023 guidance with sales of EUR 22 billion, an EBITDA of 12%, an operating margin of 3.8%, and a free cash flow of EUR 379 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for Q4 2023, Valeo's management provided detailed guidance, projecting 2024 sales between EUR 22.5 billion and EUR 23.5 billion, with EBITDA expected in the range of 12.1% to 13.1%, and an operating margin between 4.0% and 5.0%. For 2025, they anticipate sales of EUR 24.5 billion to EUR 25.5 billion, EBITDA of 13.5% to 14.5%, and an operating margin of 5.5% to 6.5%. The company aims to generate around EUR 500 million in cash for 2024, targeting a free cash flow of approximately EUR 350 million after allocating EUR 150 million to exceptional self-help measures. For 2025, a free cash flow around EUR 650 million is anticipated after similar allocations. Valeo expects to achieve a leverage ratio reduction to 1x EBITDA by 2025. Additionally, the company highlighted their strategy to drive growth through cost reduction, order intake transformation, and a reinforced cash culture, emphasizing a cautious market approach with a 3% volume discount on S&P estimates for greater comfort in achieving these targets.

Valeo SA (EU) Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving fundamentals with a notable leverage reduction (debt-to-equity ~0.19 in 2025) and solid operating cash flow (~€2.3B). Offsetting this, revenue softened (~-4.5% in 2025 vs. 2024) and net profitability remains thin (~1% net margin), leaving earnings durability more cyclical.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.08B21.49B22.04B20.04B17.26B
Gross Profit4.06B4.08B3.95B2.58B2.29B
EBITDA938.44M2.72B2.66B2.35B2.36B
Net Income192.11M162.00M221.00M230.00M175.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.27B21.66B21.76B22.03B18.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.48B3.15B3.14B3.41B2.42B
Total Debt645.00M7.04B6.99B7.45B5.88B
Total Liabilities16.20B17.14B17.40B17.42B14.34B
Stockholders Equity3.32B3.72B3.58B3.82B3.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow528.00M463.00M461.00M319.00M249.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.29B2.69B2.46B1.81B1.60B
Investing Cash Flow-1.57B-1.95B-1.91B-1.93B-1.57B
Financing Cash Flow-1.16B-524.00M-788.00M862.00M-641.00M

Valeo SA (EU) Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.90
Price Trends
50DMA
6.74
Negative
100DMA
6.77
Negative
200DMA
6.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
51.98
Neutral
STOCH
70.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VLEEY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.00, above the 50-day MA of 6.74, and above the 200-day MA of 6.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VLEEY.

Valeo SA (EU) Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$6.35B14.068.79%2.63%-1.90%-13.86%
72
Outperform
$2.59B12.8713.90%0.57%-4.03%-39.51%
69
Neutral
$8.23B9.9029.57%2.60%0.84%26.17%
63
Neutral
$3.69B11.23-39.65%1.49%-1.09%56.16%
62
Neutral
$3.96B38.91-2.91%1.70%-18.23%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$3.11B14.926.15%3.62%-3.62%-48.12%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VLEEY
Valeo SA (EU)
6.37
2.26
55.05%
ALV
Autoliv
109.98
32.13
41.28%
DAN
Dana Incorporated
36.13
25.56
241.78%
LEA
Lear
125.18
50.05
66.61%
VC
Visteon
96.65
29.15
43.18%
GTX
Garrett Motion
19.41
10.77
124.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 08, 2026