Valeo SA (EU) (VLEEY) AI Stock Analysis

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Valeo SA (EU)

(OTC:VLEEY)

Rating:77Outperform

Price Target:

$6.50

▲(2.20% Upside)

Valeo SA has a strong technical position with significant bullish momentum, supported by a reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield. The financial performance shows recovery but is constrained by low net profit margins and high leverage, which could be a concern in the long-term.

Valeo SA (EU) (VLEEY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap

$3.02B

Dividend Yield3.93%

Average Volume (3M)766.00

Price to Earnings (P/E)22.3

Beta (1Y)1.15

Revenue Growth-3.62%

EPS Growth-48.12%

CountryUS

Employees106,100

SectorConsumer Cyclical

Sector Strength66

IndustryAuto - Parts

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)0.25

Shares Outstanding489,267,000

10 Day Avg. Volume1,305

30 Day Avg. Volume766

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)0.00

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio0.00

Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.78

Enterprise Value/Revenue0.39

Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.06

Enterprise Value/Ebitda3.10

Forecast

1Y Price Target

$6.50

Price Target Upside2.20% Upside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering0

Valeo SA (EU) Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionValeo SA is a French multinational automotive supplier and technology company, specializing in the design, production, and sale of components, integrated systems, and modules for the automotive industry. Operating across several sectors, Valeo focuses on key areas such as powertrain systems, thermal systems, visibility systems, and driving assistance technologies. The company aims to enhance vehicle performance and safety while promoting sustainability through innovative solutions for electric and hybrid vehicles, as well as improving energy efficiency in conventional vehicles.

How the Company Makes MoneyValeo generates revenue primarily through the sale of automotive components and systems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket. Its key revenue streams include the supply of powertrain components, thermal management systems, visibility systems (such as wipers and lighting), and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). The company benefits from long-term contracts with major automotive manufacturers, which provide a stable source of income. Additionally, Valeo has established strategic partnerships and collaborations with various automakers and technology firms to develop new technologies and enhance product offerings, thereby expanding its market reach and driving growth. The shift towards electrification and automation in the automotive sector also positions Valeo to capitalize on emerging trends, further contributing to its earnings.

Valeo SA (EU) Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025

(Q4-2023)

% Change Since: 4.61%|

Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026

Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral

The earnings call highlighted successful completion of 2023 guidance, record order intake, and significant ESG progress, demonstrating strong operational performance. However, challenges remain in the Chinese market and Thermal business profitability, alongside high debt levels. The company plans strategic measures to address these issues, aiming for growth and improved margins in the coming years.

Q4-2023 Updates

Positive Updates

Successful Completion of 2023 Guidance

Achieved 100% of 2023 guidance with sales of EUR 22 billion, an EBITDA of 12%, an operating margin of 3.8%, and a free cash flow of EUR 379 million.

Record Order Intake

Set a record for order intake in 2023 at almost EUR 35 billion, with more than half related to driving assistance system technologies, interior experience software-defined vehicle, and EUR 6 billion in High Voltage electrification.

ESG Progress

Achieved a 9% decrease in CO2 emissions in absolute terms and 20% in relative terms since 2019. Continued efforts in gender diversity and safety improvements.

Improved Financial Metrics

Valeo's net attributable income reached EUR 221 million, an increase of almost 50% compared to 2022 on an adjusted basis.

Negative Updates

Challenges in China

Underperformance in China due to the need to improve customer mix and reposition the local customer portfolio, with expectations for improvement in the second half of 2024.

Thermal Business Underperformance

Current low profitability in the Thermal division, which is expected to improve gradually with the merger of Powertrain and Thermal business groups.

High Debt Levels

Financial net debt stood at EUR 4 billion, stable compared with December 2022, with a leverage ratio at 1.5x.

Company Guidance

During the earnings call for Q4 2023, Valeo's management provided detailed guidance, projecting 2024 sales between EUR 22.5 billion and EUR 23.5 billion, with EBITDA expected in the range of 12.1% to 13.1%, and an operating margin between 4.0% and 5.0%. For 2025, they anticipate sales of EUR 24.5 billion to EUR 25.5 billion, EBITDA of 13.5% to 14.5%, and an operating margin of 5.5% to 6.5%. The company aims to generate around EUR 500 million in cash for 2024, targeting a free cash flow of approximately EUR 350 million after allocating EUR 150 million to exceptional self-help measures. For 2025, a free cash flow around EUR 650 million is anticipated after similar allocations. Valeo expects to achieve a leverage ratio reduction to 1x EBITDA by 2025. Additionally, the company highlighted their strategy to drive growth through cost reduction, order intake transformation, and a reinforced cash culture, emphasizing a cautious market approach with a 3% volume discount on S&P estimates for greater comfort in achieving these targets.

Valeo SA (EU) Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Valeo SA shows steady revenue recovery and improved gross profit margin, but the net profit margin remains low. The balance sheet indicates high leverage, posing potential risks. Strong cash flow generation supports operational stability, but free cash flow growth is modest.

Income Statement

Positive

Valeo SA's revenue shows a recovery trend following the dip in 2020, with a 7.7% growth from 2020 to 2021 and continued growth thereafter. Gross Profit Margin improved from 13.1% in 2020 to 19% in 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, indicating efficient cost management. Net Profit Margin, however, remains low at 0.75% in 2024, signaling room for improvement in profitability.

Balance Sheet

Positive

The Debt-to-Equity ratio is high at 1.89 in 2024, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. Return on Equity improved from negative in 2020 to 4.35% in 2024, showing better utilization of equity. The Equity Ratio stands at 17.17%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing compared to total assets.

Cash Flow

Positive

Operating Cash Flow has been consistently strong, reaching €2.69 billion in 2024. Free Cash Flow improved slightly from 2023 to 2024. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is robust, highlighting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, Free Cash Flow growth remains modest.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	21.49B	22.04B	20.04B	17.26B	16.44B
Gross Profit	4.08B	3.95B	2.58B	2.29B	1.49B
EBITDA	2.72B	2.66B	2.35B	2.36B	979.00M
Net Income	162.00M	221.00M	230.00M	175.00M	-1.09B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	21.66B	21.76B	22.03B	18.84B	18.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.15B	3.14B	3.41B	2.48B	3.05B
Total Debt	7.04B	7.07B	7.28B	5.83B	6.08B
Total Liabilities	17.14B	17.40B	17.30B	14.24B	14.76B
Stockholders Equity	3.72B	3.58B	3.82B	3.69B	3.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	463.00M	461.00M	319.00M	249.00M	287.00M
Operating Cash Flow	2.69B	2.46B	1.81B	1.60B	1.76B
Investing Cash Flow	-1.95B	-1.91B	-1.93B	-1.57B	-1.65B
Financing Cash Flow	-524.00M	-788.00M	962.00M	-613.00M	1.14B

Valeo SA (EU) Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price6.36

Price Trends

50DMA

5.66

Positive

100DMA

5.22

Positive

200DMA

5.06

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.17

Negative

RSI

66.86

Neutral

STOCH

83.88

Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VLEEY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.82, above the 50-day MA of 5.66, and above the 200-day MA of 5.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VLEEY.

Valeo SA (EU) Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (57)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ALV	79 Outperform	$9.20B	13.11	29.99%	2.32%	-0.98%	21.64%
APTV	79 Outperform	$16.19B	12.99	15.52%	―	-2.47%	-43.12%
VLEEY	77 Outperform	$3.02B	22.28	3.57%	3.93%	-3.62%	-48.12%
LEA	76 Outperform	$5.48B	12.04	9.51%	2.99%	-3.12%	-8.23%
BWA	67 Neutral	$9.10B	44.91	3.66%	1.02%	-2.12%	-69.42%
GNTX	66 Neutral	$6.08B	15.69	16.38%	1.75%	2.43%	-1.25%
Sector *	57 Neutral	HK$25.99B	4.36	-4.73%	5.52%	-0.90%	-51.66%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

VLEEY

Valeo SA (EU)

6.36

1.04

19.55%

ALV

Autoliv

120.08

20.80

20.95%

BWA

BorgWarner

43.13

9.59

28.59%

APTV

Aptiv

78.43

6.14

8.49%

GNTX

Gentex

27.41

-3.19

-10.42%

LEA

Lear

108.57

-4.61

-4.07%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025