tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL)
:VITL
Advertisement

Vital Farms (VITL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
490 Followers

Top Page

VITL

Vital Farms

(NASDAQ:VITL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$44.00
▲(7.68% Upside)
Vital Farms' strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are offset by technical analysis indicators suggesting bearish momentum and valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio. The company's cash flow challenges and increased capital expenditures also weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Vital Farms' products and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Market Position
Expanding farm partnerships enhances supply chain resilience and strengthens Vital Farms' market position in sustainable food production.
Board Expertise
Adding experienced leadership to the board can drive strategic growth and improve governance, enhancing long-term company value.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Management
Poor cash flow management may hinder future investments and operational flexibility, posing risks to long-term financial health.
Internal Controls
Weak internal controls can lead to financial inaccuracies and regulatory issues, impacting investor confidence and operational integrity.
Capital Expenditures
Increased capital spending may strain financial resources, affecting cash reserves and potentially leading to higher debt levels.

Vital Farms (VITL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vital Farms Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVital Farms, Inc., an ethical food company, provides pasture-raised products in the United States. It offers shell eggs, butter, hard-boiled eggs, ghee, liquid whole eggs, and egg bite products. Vital Farms, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyVital Farms generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pasture-raised eggs and butter products. The company markets its products to a diverse array of retail channels, including grocery stores, specialty food retailers, and online platforms. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers and partnerships with major retailers that emphasize ethical sourcing. Additionally, Vital Farms benefits from brand loyalty and a premium pricing strategy, capitalizing on the increasing consumer demand for organic and humanely raised food products. The company's commitment to sustainability and animal welfare enhances its market position, allowing it to attract and retain customers willing to pay a premium for quality and ethics.

Vital Farms Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted significant revenue growth, expansion efforts, and strong brand loyalty, raising full-year guidance for 2025. However, challenges such as a slight decline in gross profit margin, tariff uncertainties, increased capital expenditures, and a material weakness in internal controls were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Net revenue for the second quarter of 2025 grew to $184.8 million, up 25.4% year-over-year, driven by both volume growth and strategic pricing actions.
Adjusted EBITDA Milestone
Adjusted EBITDA of $29.9 million represents a new quarterly record, reflecting higher revenue and scale benefits.
Expansion of Supply Chain
Vital Farms expanded its network by adding 50 farms, now working with more than 500 family farms, and started construction on the Seymour, Indiana facility, expecting $900 million of revenue capacity by 2027.
Increased Guidance for 2025
Vital Farms raised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting net revenue of at least $770 million, representing growth of at least 27% versus 2024. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also increased to at least $110 million.
Strong Brand Loyalty and Awareness
Vital Farms continued to see record high aided brand awareness of 31% and increased loyalty, especially among higher income households.
Negative Updates
Gross Profit Margin Decline
Gross profit margin slightly declined year-over-year to 38.9% from 39.1% due to increased investments in crew members and less efficient operations.
Tariff Uncertainty
Ongoing uncertainty around U.S. tariffs on imported items poses a challenge, potentially impacting gross margins in the fourth quarter.
Increased Capital Expenditures
Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 are expected to be $90 million to $110 million, up from the previous guidance of $50 million to $60 million, pulling forward spending for the Seymour facility.
Material Weakness in Internal Controls
Vital Farms is remediating a material weakness in internal controls related to the revenue recognition process, with plans to correct this by the end of fiscal 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Vital Farms Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance and provided updated guidance for the fiscal year. They announced a 25.4% year-over-year increase in net revenue to $184.8 million, driven by both volume growth and strategic pricing actions. Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $29.9 million, translating to 16.2% of net revenue. The company raised its full-year 2025 net revenue guidance to at least $770 million, reflecting a growth of 27% from 2024, up from the previous guidance of $740 million. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA guidance was increased to at least $110 million, from the prior $100 million. Vital Farms highlighted its ongoing expansion, with plans to increase production capacity by installing two lines simultaneously at the new Seymour, Indiana facility, expecting $900 million in revenue capacity by early 2027. Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected between $90 million and $110 million, up from the previous $50 million to $60 million, emphasizing the company's commitment to meeting future demand through strategic investments.

Vital Farms Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vital Farms demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, cash flow management remains a concern, with negative free cash flow growth and insufficient operating cash flow coverage.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Vital Farms has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 6.02%. The company maintains strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 37.64% and a net profit margin of 7.84% in the TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 11.02% and 12.80%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in net profit margin from the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, indicating low financial leverage. The return on equity is robust at 18.39%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 71.91%, showcasing a solid equity base. However, the slight increase in debt levels compared to the previous period could be monitored for future leverage trends.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Vital Farms faces challenges in cash flow management, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -115.74% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.26, suggesting that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that the company is not generating sufficient free cash flow relative to its net income, which could impact future investments or debt repayments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue657.95M606.31M362.05M260.90M214.28M140.73M
Gross Profit247.65M229.93M109.44M82.90M74.53M42.88M
EBITDA84.19M81.64M8.39M3.95M14.69M6.69M
Net Income51.56M53.39M1.25M2.43M8.80M2.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets430.75M359.33M214.67M189.94M171.37M61.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments155.00M160.29M78.73M99.59M97.90M1.27M
Total Debt17.59M18.71M10.69M327.00K798.00K6.30M
Total Liabilities120.97M90.03M56.33M38.18M28.99M30.10M
Stockholders Equity309.78M269.30M158.33M151.47M142.05M31.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.47M36.18M-18.66M-386.00K1.40M-10.15M
Operating Cash Flow29.25M64.82M-8.10M16.32M11.70M-5.35M
Investing Cash Flow-58.69M-7.03M-10.04M-17.08M-77.84M-5.62M
Financing Cash Flow4.48M8.65M83.00K2.18M94.41M434.00K

Vital Farms Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price40.86
Price Trends
50DMA
44.59
Negative
100DMA
39.80
Positive
200DMA
37.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.03
Positive
RSI
32.70
Neutral
STOCH
5.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VITL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 40.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.26, below the 50-day MA of 44.59, and above the 200-day MA of 37.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VITL.

Vital Farms Risk Analysis

Vital Farms disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vital Farms reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vital Farms Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
4.71B3.908.53%83.19%339.22%
71
Outperform
1.67B11.157.30%3.35%1.41%
71
Outperform
380.53M15.906.49%0.32%-42.97%
67
Neutral
$1.87B36.2318.81%21.49%4.13%
62
Neutral
1.27B53.591.75%2.51%4.75%-88.74%
59
Neutral
824.94M23.082.60%4.32%19.45%-82.38%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VITL
Vital Farms
40.86
5.73
16.31%
AGRO
Adecoagro SA
8.07
-3.13
-27.95%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
97.49
28.83
41.99%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
34.35
6.07
21.46%
LND
BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas
3.85
-0.59
-13.29%
DOLE
Dole
13.16
-3.27
-19.90%

Vital Farms Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vital Farms Appoints William Cyr to Board of Directors
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

On June 29, 2025, Vital Farms‘ Board of Directors expanded from eight to nine members and appointed William Cyr to the Board and Audit Committee, effective July 1, 2025. Cyr, an experienced executive in the consumer packaged goods industry, brings over 40 years of expertise, including his role as CEO of Freshpet, Inc. His appointment is expected to enhance Vital Farms’ mission to become America’s most trusted food company, as he brings valuable insights to the board. Cyr’s addition to the board reflects the company’s commitment to growth and stakeholder value, with implications for strengthening its industry positioning.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vital Farms Stockholders Approve Key Governance Proposals
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Vital Farms, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected three directors to serve until 2028, ratified KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, approved executive compensation, preferred annual advisory votes on executive compensation, and approved an Officer Exculpation Amendment. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 27, 2025