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Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (VABK)
NASDAQ:VABK
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Virginia National Bankshares (VABK) AI Stock Analysis

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VABK

Virginia National Bankshares

(NASDAQ:VABK)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
â–²(28.04% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/30/26
The score is driven mainly by strong financial resilience—excellent cash conversion and conservative leverage—tempered by a pronounced TTM revenue decline that could pressure future earnings. Valuation is supportive (P/E 12.27 with a ~3.16% yield), while the lack of provided technical indicators limits momentum/trend confirmation. Recent corporate events are modestly favorable, including a non-core asset sale expected to lift results and continued dividend strength.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained free cash flow near parity with net income indicates the bank converts earnings into cash reliably. That strengthens liquidity, funds dividends and buybacks, and supports lending or investment without heavy external financing, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Sharp TTM revenue decline
A nearly 50% TTM revenue contraction is structurally significant: it reduces scale, constrains operating leverage, and raises pressure on net income despite margin control. Prolonged revenue weakness can limit reinvestment, credit capacity expansion, and long-term growth prospects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained free cash flow near parity with net income indicates the bank converts earnings into cash reliably. That strengthens liquidity, funds dividends and buybacks, and supports lending or investment without heavy external financing, improving long-term financial flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Virginia National Bankshares (VABK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Virginia National Bankshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Virginia National Bankshares Corporation operates as the parent entity for Virginia National Bank, delivering a comprehensive suite of commercial banking solutions. Its operations are structured into four distinct divisions: the primary banking se...
How the Company Makes Money
Virginia National Bankshares primarily makes money through its bank subsidiary by earning interest and fees from banking activities. The largest revenue driver for a typical community bank model is net interest income: the bank earns interest on l...

Virginia National Bankshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are generally strong, led by excellent cash conversion (TTM FCF about 0.99x net income) and an improved, conservatively levered balance sheet (low TTM debt-to-equity around 0.16). Profitability is solid (TTM net margin ~24%), but the sharp TTM revenue decline (about -48%) is a key near-term risk to earnings durability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue82.94M83.34M82.61M79.09M69.99M58.74M
Gross Profit57.98M57.47M53.66M57.34M66.70M54.44M
EBITDA26.90M28.07M25.16M28.04M33.63M16.32M
Net Income20.03M19.26M16.97M19.26M23.44M10.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.65B1.65B1.62B1.65B1.62B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.62M60.06M29.14M448.99M578.28M660.19M
Total Debt29.40M29.75M29.13M79.92M9.59M10.47M
Total Liabilities1.46B1.47B1.46B1.49B1.49B1.81B
Stockholders Equity186.50M184.16M160.30M153.04M133.42M161.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.17M20.75M14.56M12.73M22.14M11.77M
Operating Cash Flow26.49M21.33M15.29M13.90M22.68M13.06M
Investing Cash Flow36.03M31.80M15.75M-19.77M-167.20M262.19M
Financing Cash Flow-15.22M381.00K-42.33M-5.88M-324.19M198.89M

Virginia National Bankshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.83
Price Trends
50DMA
43.45
Positive
100DMA
41.42
Positive
200DMA
40.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Positive
RSI
57.52
Neutral
STOCH
43.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VABK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.60, below the 50-day MA of 43.45, and below the 200-day MA of 40.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VABK.

Virginia National Bankshares Risk Analysis

Virginia National Bankshares disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Virginia National Bankshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Virginia National Bankshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$277.62M11.6314.13%2.51%13.96%104.63%
73
Outperform
$242.12M12.2111.15%3.41%-0.10%12.01%
71
Outperform
$219.26M11.8210.17%3.11%21.54%69.28%
70
Outperform
$221.33M8.1712.20%3.32%7.88%29.20%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$251.16M10.968.48%5.32%-2.49%41.73%
66
Neutral
$264.27M12.5711.51%2.49%16.73%184.08%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VABK
Virginia National Bankshares
45.29
8.55
23.29%
LCNB
LCNB
17.76
3.18
21.77%
OPBK
OP Bancorp
14.96
1.67
12.58%
FXNC
First National
29.28
8.95
43.99%
FRAF
Franklin Financial Services
62.24
24.34
64.20%
EFSI
Eagle Financial Services
41.61
9.39
29.13%

Virginia National Bankshares Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Virginia National Bankshares Shareholders Back Board, Pay, Auditor
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
Virginia National Bankshares Corporation reported that at its June 25, 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting, investors re-elected 11 directors to serve until the 2027 meeting, maintaining continuity in the board’s composition. Shareholder...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Virginia National Bankshares Enhances CFO Continuity and Retention
Positive
May 15, 2026
On May 11, 2026, Virginia National Bankshares Corporation entered into a management continuity agreement with Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Cathy W. Liles, ensuring her continued employment for two years if there is a change...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Virginia National Bankshares Exits Non-Core Insurance Investment
Positive
May 4, 2026
On May 4, 2026, Virginia National Bankshares Corporation reported that its indirect, wholly owned subsidiary, Fauquier Bank Services, Inc., had completed the sale of its interest in Bearing Insurance Group, LLC, a full service insurance agency, ef...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Virginia National Bankshares Declares Quarterly Dividend After Strong Q1
Positive
Apr 23, 2026
Virginia National Bankshares Corporation reported first-quarter 2026 net income of $5.3 million, or $0.97 per diluted share, up from $4.5 million, or $0.83 per share, a year earlier, driven by a 19-basis-point reduction in cost of funds and lower ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 30, 2026