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Umh Properties (UMH)
NYSE:UMH

Umh (UMH) AI Stock Analysis

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UM

Umh

(NYSE:UMH)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$19.00
▲(9.57%Upside)
UMH's overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and strategic corporate events. However, high valuation metrics and neutral technical indicators moderate the score. The earnings call provided balanced insights, with both positive growth and operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Strategy
UMH's value-add acquisition strategy has positioned the company with 3,400 vacant sites on which it can place long-term rental units or lease to owners of manufactured homes at profitable margins.
Dividend Increase
The Board of Directors approved an increase of the quarterly dividend to $0.225, marking the 5th consecutive year the company has increased the dividend, representing a total increase of 25%.
Earnings and Returns
In the next four quarters, a dividend yield of 5.1% and stock price appreciation of 15.3% is expected, resulting in an estimated total return of about 20%.
Negative Factors
FFO Estimate
The company lowered its 2025 core FFO estimate to $0.98, from $1.06, reflecting some caution.
Sector Risk
If there is a risk for the sector, it is the valuation gap could narrow in the event of a cycle reversal.

Umh (UMH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Umh Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptionnull
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Umh Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented several positive developments such as increased FFO, dividend growth, and strong rental revenue. However, these were balanced by challenges including a decline in gross home sales, increased expenses, and potential tariff impacts, leading to a balanced overall sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Normalized FFO
Normalized FFO for Q1 2025 increased to $0.23 per diluted share from $0.22 last year, a 5% increase.
Dividend Increase
The company increased its common stock dividend by $0.04 per share annually to $0.90, marking a 4.7% increase over last year.
Rental and Related Revenue Growth
Rental and related revenue increased by 8% in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year.
Strong Sales Pipeline
April home sales closed at $4.4 million, with a strong sales pipeline of $4.4 million, indicating robust demand.
Successful Acquisition
Acquisition of two communities in Mantua, New Jersey, for $24.6 million, with potential for rent increases through vacancy decontrol.
Negative Updates
Gross Home Sales Decline
Gross home sales for Q1 2025 were $6.7 million, down from $7.4 million last year, representing a decrease of approximately 9.5%.
Increased Operating Expenses
Community operating expenses increased by 9%, driven by higher payroll costs, real estate taxes, snow removal, and utility expenses.
Impact of Tariffs
Concerns about the potential impact of tariffs on home prices and supply chain disruptions, with prices already up 3-5%.
Challenges with GSE Financing
Current GSE financing does not include rental homes, only the income from the site, limiting LTV ratios.
Company Guidance
During the UMH Properties First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported several positive financial metrics and strategic updates. Normalized funds from operations (FFO) increased by 5% to $0.23 per diluted share, up from $0.22 the previous year. Rental and related revenue grew by 8%, while expenses and community net operating income (NOI) also rose by 8%. The company announced a 4.7% increase in its annual dividend to $0.90 per share, marking the fifth consecutive year of dividend growth. UMH's expansion and development plans include adding 800 new rental homes and developing over 150 sites this year. The company has $45 million invested in expansions not yet yielding expected returns but is optimistic about future profitability as occupancy increases. UMH closed on acquisitions worth $24.6 million in New Jersey and plans further acquisitions in Maryland. The company maintains strong liquidity with $35.2 million in cash and access to $260 million on its revolving credit facility. Despite challenges, UMH remains confident in achieving its full-year 2025 FFO guidance range of $0.96 to $1.04 per diluted share.

Umh Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Umh shows solid revenue growth, a healthy gross profit margin, and improved net profit margin. However, increased leverage and a declining EBIT margin are concerns despite strong cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Umh has demonstrated solid revenue growth over recent periods, with a TTM revenue of $244.1M showing a positive trend. The gross profit margin is healthy at 54.9%, indicating good control over production costs. The net profit margin stands at 11.5% for TTM, which is a significant improvement from previous years, reflecting effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the decline in EBIT margin compared to historical performance indicates some pressure on operating profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66 indicates a balanced capital structure, though leverage has increased slightly over time. Return on equity is improving, currently at 3.1%, showcasing enhanced profitability relative to shareholders' equity. The equity ratio of 59% suggests a strong equity base providing stability. However, the increase in debt levels requires close monitoring to ensure long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust at $75.3M in TTM, covering free cash flow needs and indicating strong cash generation capability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high, signaling effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.68 highlights efficient conversion of profits into cash. However, fluctuations in free cash flow growth need attention for future planning.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue244.10M240.55M220.93M195.78M186.10M163.61M
Gross Profit134.13M131.30M118.49M102.55M97.96M86.02M
EBITDA115.78M108.97M96.05M82.95M83.05M73.66M
Net Income28.08M21.64M8.01M-31.41M31.30M-13.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.55B1.56B1.43B1.34B1.27B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.53M131.60M91.83M71.96M229.92M118.51M
Total Debt606.30M614.72M690.02M761.68M499.32M556.29M
Total Liabilities635.11M647.82M720.78M793.40M528.68M585.41M
Stockholders Equity912.36M914.03M704.72M548.96M742.14M501.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow75.33M81.60M120.08M-89.09M65.16M66.38M
Operating Cash Flow75.33M81.60M120.08M-7.98M65.16M69.04M
Investing Cash Flow-170.85M-139.87M-165.57M-124.12M-94.36M-103.77M
Financing Cash Flow92.79M102.64M69.06M47.95M125.63M44.33M

Umh Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.34
Price Trends
50DMA
16.96
Positive
100DMA
17.34
Negative
200DMA
17.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
59.01
Neutral
STOCH
90.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UMH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.91, above the 50-day MA of 16.96, and below the 200-day MA of 17.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UMH.

Umh Risk Analysis

Umh disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Umh reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Umh Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UMUMH
70
Outperform
$1.46B155.803.45%5.19%8.01%
CSCSR
66
Neutral
$1.08B-1.55%5.04%-1.81%-33.33%
BRBRT
64
Neutral
$306.04M-4.28%6.23%2.39%-407.57%
53
Neutral
$1.21B3.28-0.13%7.06%-1.64%-127.47%
53
Neutral
$862.92M866.19-7.19%6.04%-7.44%-143.64%
VRVRE
48
Neutral
$1.37B-2.76%2.17%-3.20%76.43%
AIAIV
48
Neutral
$1.25B-48.27%6.81%9.28%34.42%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UMH
Umh
17.34
1.73
11.08%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
8.81
1.16
15.16%
VRE
Veris Residential
14.72
0.18
1.24%
CSR
Centerspace
61.09
-4.28
-6.55%
BRT
BRT Apartments
16.19
-0.09
-0.55%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
33.99
-2.69
-7.33%

Umh Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Umh Releases Second Quarter 2025 Operating Results
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

On July 2, 2025, Umh company provided an update on its second quarter 2025 operating results. The report, which includes Exhibits 99, is not considered ‘filed’ for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and will not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act unless specifically stated.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMH) stock is a Buy with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Umh stock, see the UMH Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
UMH Properties Declares Quarterly Dividends for 2025
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

On July 1, 2025, UMH Properties, Inc. announced the declaration of quarterly dividends for its common and preferred stock. The common stock dividend is set at $0.225 per share, while the Series D Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock dividend is $0.3984375 per share. Both dividends are payable on September 15, 2025, to shareholders recorded by August 15, 2025. This announcement underscores UMH’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its investors, reflecting its stable financial performance and strategic positioning in the manufactured home community sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMH) stock is a Buy with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Umh stock, see the UMH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
UMH Properties Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 28, 2025, UMH Properties, Inc. held its annual shareholder meeting where 91.97% of the entitled shares were represented. Key outcomes included the election of three Class I directors, the ratification of PKF O’Connor Davies, LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, approval of executive compensation for 2024, and an amendment to the 2023 Equity Incentive Award Plan. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and strategic planning efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMH) stock is a Buy with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Umh stock, see the UMH Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
UMH Expands Fannie Mae Credit Facility
Positive
May 19, 2025

On May 15, 2025, UMH Properties, Inc. expanded its Fannie Mae credit facility by adding ten communities comprising 2,001 sites, securing approximately $101.4 million through Wells Fargo Bank. This refinancing, with a fixed interest rate of 5.855% over a 10-year term, aims to fund further acquisitions, expansions, and debt repayment. The appraisal valued these communities at $163.5 million, significantly higher than the company’s investment of $66.6 million, highlighting a 146% increase in value. This strategic move underscores UMH’s ability to enhance property value through acquisitions and improvements, supporting its mission to provide affordable housing and generate long-term shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMH) stock is a Buy with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Umh stock, see the UMH Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
UMH Properties Reports First-Quarter 2025 Results
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, UMH Properties, Inc. announced its first-quarter results for March 31, 2025, along with a supplemental information package for its earnings conference call. The announcement highlighted various risks and uncertainties impacting the company’s operations, such as changes in real estate market conditions, competition, and economic factors, which could affect its ability to maintain rental rates, acquire properties, and manage debt obligations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025