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Umh Properties (UMH)
NYSE:UMH

Umh (UMH) AI Stock Analysis

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UMH

Umh

(NYSE:UMH)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(12.81% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
UMH scores as stable-to-mixed: improving leverage and solid operating cash flow support resilience, and technical momentum is favorable. The main drag is valuation (very high P/E) alongside weaker and less predictable recent earnings trends (TTM revenue down and net margin compression), partially offset by constructive 2026 FFO guidance and strong operating metrics discussed on the earnings call.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage and balance-sheet flexibility
Material deleveraging over recent years meaningfully increases financial flexibility. Lower leverage reduces interest sensitivity, supports continued acquisitions, development and buybacks, and gives management scope to refinance or deploy capital without forcing distress sales.
Strong operating cash flow and cash conversion
Durable cash generation and superior cash conversion versus accounting earnings provide reliable funds for capital programs, rental-home placements, dividends and debt service. This reduces reliance on equity issuance and helps sustain operations despite GAAP earnings volatility.
Large, high-occupancy rental-home platform
A scalable rental-home portfolio at high occupancy delivers recurring, resilient revenue and supports same-property NOI growth. The sizable installed base and active additions improve margin stability and provide a pipeline to monetize rentals or convert to sales over time.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue and compressed net margins
Sharp TTM revenue decline and sizable net-margin compression weaken earnings quality and predictability. Persistent volatility reduces confidence in recurring FFO, constrains retained cash for reinvestment, and makes dividend and growth planning more uncertain over the medium term.
Dependence on home-sales creates FFO variability
Home sales materially swing FFO and are hard to predict by community and quarter. Reliance on opportunistic home-sale timing makes per-share growth lumpy, forces conservative guidance, and reduces visibility into cash flows needed for sustained capital allocation decisions.
Leverage and interest-cost constraints
Mid-single-digit leverage and modest interest coverage limit financial headroom if operating performance falters or rates rise further. While liquidity is meaningful, debt-service obligations and refinancing risk could constrain acquisitive growth and per-share expansion during adverse cycles.

Umh (UMH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Umh Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a public equity REIT that owns and operates 124 manufactured home communities containing approximately 23,400 developed homesites. These communities are located in New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Indiana, Michigan and Maryland. In addition, the Company owns a portfolio of REIT securities.
How the Company Makes MoneyUMH generates revenue primarily through the leasing of residential lots in its manufactured home communities. Residents pay monthly rents for the lots where their homes are situated, which constitutes the bulk of the company’s revenue. Additionally, UMH may earn income from the sale of homes in its communities, as well as from ancillary services such as utility billing and community amenities. The company also seeks to increase its revenue through strategic acquisitions of additional manufactured home communities, which allows for greater economies of scale and diversification of its revenue streams. Furthermore, partnerships with home manufacturers and financing companies can enhance sales opportunities, contributing to overall earnings.

Umh Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights a generally positive operating performance in 2025: double-digit topline growth (rental income +10%), strong same-property revenue and NOI gains (8.2% and 9%), solid occupancy and rental home program momentum, significant value realized in refinancings (121% appraisal increase), and conservative liquidity and capital management. Challenges include rising operating expenses (notably weather-related), higher debt costs and limited near-term per-share FFO expansion driven by uncertainty around home sales and a competitive acquisition market. On balance the operational achievements, strong liquidity, and pipeline for acquisitions/development outweigh the near-term headwinds and conservative guidance.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Normalized FFO Per Share Growth and Guidance
Normalized FFO per diluted share for the full year 2025 was $0.95 versus $0.93 in 2024, a 2% increase. Q4 normalized FFO was $0.24 (flat YoY). Management provided 2026 normalized FFO guidance of $0.97 to $1.05 per share, representing an approximately 2% to 10% potential increase versus 2025.
Topline Revenue and Rental Income Growth
Rental and related income grew to $226.7 million for 2025, a 10% increase versus prior year. Total revenue (including home sales) was $261.8 million for the year, a 9% increase over 2024.
Same-Property Performance and NOI Expansion
Same-property revenue grew 8.2% ($16.9 million) for 2025 and same-property NOI grew 9% ($11.1 million). Site rent increases averaged 5% and same-property occupancy improved by a net 354 units.
Strong Rental Home Program and Occupancy
Added and rented 717 new rental homes in 2025, bringing rental home inventory to ~11,000 units with 93.8% occupancy. Rental program turnover is ~20% and expenses per unit are approximately $400/year.
Home Sales Momentum
Gross home sales revenue was $36.4 million in 2025, up 9% from $33.5 million in 2024. Q4 gross home sales were $9.3 million, up 8% YoY. New Honey Ridge development contributed to sales growth.
Value-Creating Refinancings
Refinanced 17 communities in 2025 for $193.2 million at a weighted average rate of 5.67%. Appraisals valued those communities at $309 million versus a total investment of ~$140 million, representing a 121% increase in value.
Acquisitions, Development and Expansion Pipeline
Acquired 5 communities (587 developed homesites) for $41.8 million in 2025 with average occupancy of 78% at acquisition. Opened Honey Ridge (113-site greenfield) and completed 34 expansion sites; management expects capacity to develop 400+ sites in 2026 (four-year average ~200 sites/year).
Solid Liquidity and Conservative Capital Structure
Year-end liquidity included $72 million cash and $260 million available on the credit facility (accordion to $500 million). Total debt was ~$761 million, 99% fixed-rate, with net debt to total market capitalization of 28.3% and net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 5.4x. Interest coverage was 3.6x.
Active Capital Actions and Investor Returns
Repurchased 320,000 common shares in Q4 at an average price of $15.06 ($4.8 million) and maintained a $100 million buyback authorization. Issued $80.2 million of 5.85% Series B bonds to foreign investors and generated proceeds from ATM equity and preferred offerings (~$44.1M common ATM net proceeds, ~$3.5M preferred ATM proceeds).
Strong Collections and Low Write-offs
Rent collections remained robust at ~98.5%, and write-offs were approximately 1% (or slightly less) of rental and related income, consistent with historical performance.
Negative Updates
Rising Operating Expenses
Community operating expenses increased 12% in the quarter and 10% for the year, driven by acquisitions, higher payroll, real estate taxes, snow removal, water/sewer costs and a one-time $724k legal/professional fee.
Higher Interest Rates on Debt
Weighted average interest rate on total debt increased to 4.9% at year-end 2025 from 4.38% a year earlier. Mortgage weighted average rate rose to 4.73% from 4.18% YoY; recent refinancings averaged a higher 5.67%.
Modest Per-Share FFO Growth and Conservative Guidance
Despite solid operating performance, normalized FFO per share increased only 2% year-over-year and 2026 guidance midpoint implies limited near-term per-share growth; low end of guidance ($0.97) is only $0.02 above 2025 actual ($0.95), reflecting uncertainty (notably home sales volatility).
Seasonality and Weather-Related Delays
Severe winter weather (snow) caused elevated snow removal and related costs and slowed home deliveries/sets and move-ins in Q4 and early Q1, delaying some occupancy gains and installations.
Competitive Acquisition Market
High-quality, stabilized community assets are trading at sub-5% cap rates (sometimes sub-4%), making accretive acquisitions more competitive and challenging; management noted an active but selective pipeline.
Market Cap Slightly Lower Year-over-Year
Total market capitalization ended ~ $2.4 billion at year-end vs $2.5 billion last year, reflecting modest market valuation drag despite operational gains.
Leverage and Coverage Metrics That Require Monitoring
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA of 5.4x and interest coverage of 3.6x signal manageable but material leverage; fixed charge coverage was 2.3x. These metrics may limit flexibility if operating conditions deteriorate.
Uncertainty in Home Sales Forecasting
Management repeatedly flagged the difficulty of forecasting home sales (large swings possible by community), which is a primary source of variability for FFO and overall earnings; guidance assumes conservative sales expectations.
Company Guidance
UMH gave 2026 normalized FFO guidance of $0.97–$1.05 per share (≈+2% to +10%), calling for strong earnings growth while targeting 700–800 new rental homes and development of 400+ sites in 2026. Management cited 2025 momentum (same‑property revenue +8.2%, same‑property NOI +9%), a rental platform of ~11,000 rental homes at 93.8% occupancy with ~20% turnover and ~$400/unit annual expense, and potential home‑sales upside (management noted the possibility of sales >$40M in a best case). The guidance is supported by liquidity and balance‑sheet capacity—$72M cash, $260M available on the credit facility (accordion to $500M), $129M revolver for home sales, $55M rental‑home lines, six 2026 mortgage maturities totaling $38.2M, and 2025 refinancings that generated $193.2M at a 5.67% weighted average—with credit metrics of net debt/market cap 28.3% and net debt/adjusted EBITDA 5.4x.

Umh Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mixed. Cash generation is a relative strength (solid operating cash flow and strong cash conversion vs. net income), and leverage improved materially through 2024. Offsetting this, the income statement shows pressure with a sharp TTM revenue decline and materially compressed net margin, reducing earnings stability.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue and profitability have been volatile. Annual revenue grew steadily from 2020–2024, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is down sharply (-24.1%) versus the prior period. Operating profitability remains solid on a margin basis (TTM operating margin ~22% and EBITDA margin ~47%), but net profitability has compressed materially (net margin fell from ~9.0% in 2024 to ~2.8% in TTM). Net income has also been inconsistent (loss in 2022, strong profit in 2021, much lower profit in TTM), which reduces earnings quality and predictability.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage improved meaningfully versus earlier years, with debt-to-equity declining from ~1.64 (2022) to ~0.67 (2024), alongside growing equity over time. Returns on equity remain modest and choppy (negative in 2022, low-single-digit positive in 2023–2024, and ~2.9% in TTM). TTM balance sheet data appears incomplete (total debt and total assets shown as 0), so the most reliable leverage view is based on the annual trend through 2024.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: operating cash flow is solid in recent periods (TTM ~$60.6M; 2024 ~$81.6M) after a weak 2022. Cash flow is also running well ahead of net income in TTM (operating cash flow is ~10.7x net income; free cash flow ~1.34x net income), suggesting better cash conversion than accounting earnings. The main drawback is recent softness in free cash flow growth (TTM -7.5%) and the historical swing to negative cash flow in 2022, indicating periodic variability.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue261.75M240.55M220.93M195.78M186.12M
Gross Profit10.10M131.30M118.49M102.55M97.99M
EBITDA122.51M108.97M96.05M70.24M115.37M
Net Income26.50M21.64M8.01M-4.85M51.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.70B1.56B1.43B1.34B1.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.10M131.60M91.83M71.96M229.92M
Total Debt763.93M614.72M690.02M899.70M499.32M
Total Liabilities791.84M647.82M720.78M793.40M528.68M
Stockholders Equity905.54M914.03M704.72M548.96M742.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow81.97M81.60M120.08M-7.23M65.19M
Operating Cash Flow81.97M81.60M120.08M-7.23M65.19M
Investing Cash Flow-209.20M-139.87M-165.57M-124.88M-94.39M
Financing Cash Flow99.34M102.64M69.06M47.95M125.63M

Umh Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.07
Price Trends
50DMA
15.74
Negative
100DMA
15.16
Negative
200DMA
15.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
34.97
Neutral
STOCH
15.20
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UMH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.77, below the 50-day MA of 15.74, and below the 200-day MA of 15.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UMH.

Umh Risk Analysis

Umh disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Umh reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Umh Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
$1.28B214.062.91%5.66%8.91%-39.58%
62
Neutral
$1.76B23.465.33%2.17%3.37%
55
Neutral
$1.10B61.174.30%4.58%36.82%
52
Neutral
$282.26M-28.14-4.89%6.98%1.62%11.38%
47
Neutral
$697.04M-21.66-12.63%7.06%-4.46%-206.19%
45
Neutral
$620.08M-4.30171.00%7.42%-4.63%42.39%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UMH
Umh
15.07
-2.47
-14.09%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
4.31
-0.54
-11.10%
VRE
Veris Residential
18.83
2.35
14.25%
CSR
Centerspace
62.36
0.72
1.17%
BRT
BRT Apartments
14.84
-1.95
-11.59%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
27.32
-11.52
-29.66%

Umh Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
UMH Properties Posts Strong 2025 Growth and Expansion
Positive
Feb 25, 2026

On February 25, 2026, UMH Properties reported that for the year ended December 31, 2025, total income rose 9% to $261.8 million and net income attributable to common shareholders increased to $6.0 million, while fourth-quarter income grew 8% but produced a small net loss. Funds from operations and normalized FFO both improved year over year, supported by higher rental and related income, stronger community NOI, modest occupancy gains and tighter expense ratios.

The company expanded its footprint in 2025 by acquiring five manufactured housing communities with 587 homesites and grew gross real estate investments to about $1.87 billion, while total assets climbed to $1.70 billion. UMH also executed significant balance sheet actions, adding 17 communities to its Fannie Mae credit facility, issuing roughly $80.2 million of Series B bonds in Israel and extending a $35 million revolving credit line, underscoring an active capital markets strategy to fund continued growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMH) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Umh stock, see the UMH Stock Forecast page.

DividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
UMH Announces Tax Treatment of 2025 Distributions
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026

On January 23, 2026, UMH issued a press release detailing the tax treatment of its 2025 distributions to investors. The company also emphasized that the furnished information is not deemed filed for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or the Securities Act of 1933, limiting its legal exposure and clarifying that the material will only be incorporated into future regulatory filings if explicitly referenced, signaling a careful approach to regulatory compliance and disclosure obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMH) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Umh stock, see the UMH Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
UMH Properties Announces Quarterly Dividends for Shareholders
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 21, 2026, UMH Properties, Inc.’s board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.225 per share on its common stock, implying an annual dividend rate of $0.90 per share, payable on March 16, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 17, 2026. On the same date, the board also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.3984375 per share on its 6.375% Series D Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock for the period from December 1, 2025 through February 28, 2026, likewise payable on March 16, 2026 to holders of record on February 17, 2026, signaling continued capital returns to both common and preferred shareholders and reinforcing the REIT’s commitment to consistent income distributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMH) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Umh stock, see the UMH Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
UMH issues Regulation FD update on 2025 results
Neutral
Jan 6, 2026

On January 5, 2026, the company provided investors with an update on its operating results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. The disclosure clarified that the furnished information is not deemed filed for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, is not subject to associated liabilities, and will not be incorporated into securities law filings unless expressly referenced, underscoring the company’s intent to limit legal exposure and define the regulatory status of the update for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMH) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Umh stock, see the UMH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
UMH Expands Fannie Mae Credit Facility by $91.8M
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

On November 25, 2025, UMH Properties, Inc. expanded its Fannie Mae credit facility by adding seven manufactured home communities, totaling 1,765 sites, through Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., securing approximately $91.8 million in loan proceeds. This strategic move, with a fixed interest rate of 5.46% over a 9-year term, aims to fund further acquisitions, community expansions, and home purchases, while also addressing short-term high-interest debt, increasing the facility’s total outstanding amount to approximately $398.3 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (UMH) stock is a Buy with a $18.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Umh stock, see the UMH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026