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Centerspace (CSR)
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Centerspace (CSR) AI Stock Analysis

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CSR

Centerspace

(NYSE:CSR)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$55.00
▲(2.78% Upside)
Centerspace's overall stock score reflects a mix of solid financial management and strategic growth initiatives, tempered by ongoing profitability challenges and bearish technical indicators. The company's strong cash flow and dividend yield provide some support, but negative earnings and market sentiment weigh on the score. Strategic acquisitions and financial flexibility are positive, but the impact of lowered guidance and market challenges in Denver are concerns.
Positive Factors
Lease Growth
Lease growth rates improved sequentially with new/blended of +2.4%/+2.6%.
Liquidity
CSR is in a good position from a liquidity standpoint with $11.9 million of cash along with $211.3 million available on the line of credit for total liquidity of $223.2 million.
Valuation
CSR shares trade at a significant discount to NAV and large-cap multifamily sector averages, presenting a potential investment opportunity.
Negative Factors
Interest Expense
FY25 interest expense guidance was raised significantly due to increased borrowing costs.
Retention Rate
Retention rate decelerated significantly to 49.2%.
Revenue Performance
Denver continues to drag, with NOI decreasing 4.2% year-over-year.

Centerspace (CSR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centerspace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCenterspace is an owner and operator of apartment communities committed to providing great homes by focusing on integrity and serving others. Founded in 1970, as of June 30, 2021, Centerspace owned 62 apartment communities consisting of 11,579 apartment homes located in Colorado, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota. Centerspace was named a Top Workplace for 2021 by the Minneapolis Star Tribune. For more information, please visit www.centerspacehomes.com.
How the Company Makes MoneyCenterspace generates revenue primarily through the rental income of its multifamily residential properties. The company earns money by leasing apartments to individuals and families, collecting monthly rent payments as its main source of income. Additional revenue streams may include fees for services such as pet fees, parking, and other tenant-related charges. Centerspace's earnings are also influenced by its strategic acquisitions and redevelopment projects, which aim to improve property value and increase rental income. The company's performance is further supported by its property management operations, which help to maintain high occupancy rates and customer satisfaction. Significant partnerships with local businesses and service providers can also contribute to its revenue by enhancing the overall living experience for residents, thus attracting and retaining tenants.

Centerspace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with strong operational performance and strategic market repositioning highlighted. However, challenges such as lowered guidance due to capital recycling, ongoing issues in the Denver market, and dilution from asset recycling were notable concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same-Store Portfolio Performance
Centerspace reported a 2.7% year-over-year increase in revenues, driving a 2.9% year-over-year growth in NOI.
High Occupancy and Retention Rates
Occupancy reached 96.1% with a high retention rate of 60.2%, setting up favorable conditions for the remainder of the year.
Strategic Market Repositioning
Centerspace executed acquisitions in Colorado and Utah and reduced exposure in Minnesota, improving portfolio metrics and enhancing growth profile.
Financial Flexibility
Centerspace expanded its line of credit by $150 million, which was used to fund recent acquisitions, expecting net debt to EBITDA to trend back down by year-end.
Negative Updates
Guidance Reduction Due to Strategic Transactions
The midpoint of guidance was lowered by $0.04 to account for the impact of capital recycling activities.
Challenges in Denver Market
Denver leasing spreads remain challenged due to record recent supply, although future job growth is expected to turn current headwinds into tailwinds.
Impairment Charge Acknowledged
An impairment charge of $14.5 million was booked due to the shorter holding period for properties driving the impairment assessment.
Dilution from Asset Recycling
Expected $0.06 to $0.08 of dilution in 2025 due to asset recycling, with further annualized dilution of around $0.15.
Company Guidance
During Centerspace's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 2.7% year-over-year increase in revenues from their same-store portfolio, leading to a 2.9% growth in NOI. Despite this, the guidance midpoint was lowered by $0.04 due to capital recycling activities. Occupancy reached 96.1% for the quarter, with high retention of 60.2%, and same-store lease growth of 2.4%, driven by new lease growth of 2.1% and renewal growth of 2.6%. The company highlighted strategic acquisitions in Salt Lake City and Loveland, Colorado, totaling $281 million, funded partially through planned dispositions of 12 communities in Minnesota. Centerspace's full-year core FFO guidance was adjusted to $4.88 to $5 per share, with anticipated same-store NOI growth between 2.5% and 3.5%. The company's debt has a weighted average rate of 3.6% and a maturity of 7.3 years, with net debt to EBITDA expected to trend to the low to mid 7x range by year-end.

Centerspace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Centerspace presents a mixed financial picture with stable revenue growth but persistent profitability challenges. The high leverage poses a risk, though the company maintains a solid equity base. Cash flows remain robust, providing some cushion against operational hurdles. Overall, the financial health is stable but requires attention to debt levels and profitability improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Centerspace shows moderate revenue growth over the periods, with a slight increase in TTM revenue. However, consistent net losses indicate profitability challenges. The gross profit margin remains strong, yet declining EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational cost pressures. Revenue growth is positive but slowing, suggesting stability with caution needed on profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position relative to total assets, indicating a solid foundation. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is high, suggesting significant leverage risk. The return on equity has fluctuated, with recent periods showing negative returns due to net losses, highlighting profit generation issues.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Centerspace has shown positive operating cash flow throughout the periods, with recent improvements in free cash flow. However, the free cash flow growth rate is inconsistent. The operating cash flow covers net income, showcasing strong cash generation capability despite profitability issues. Financing activities show a decrease, indicating reduced external funding reliance.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue267.08M260.98M261.31M256.72M201.71M177.99M
Gross Profit172.67M148.61M146.14M138.18M111.10M99.03M
EBITDA119.99M130.23M188.83M121.62M122.06M85.59M
Net Income-5.90M-10.69M41.97M-15.02M-31.38M-24.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.01B1.91B1.93B2.03B1.94B1.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.38M12.03M8.63M10.46M31.27M392.00K
Total Debt515.58M955.38M916.02M1.01B856.05M719.19M
Total Liabilities1.17B1.01B978.78M1.07B918.45M774.80M
Stockholders Equity710.05M670.46M726.39M746.10M797.36M634.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow137.26M98.25M89.52M35.30M48.15M30.91M
Operating Cash Flow101.68M98.25M89.52M91.99M84.03M61.23M
Investing Cash Flow-186.77M-50.72M120.21M-160.09M-267.23M-164.97M
Financing Cash Flow87.87M-43.67M-212.35M41.37M214.51M64.93M

Centerspace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price53.51
Price Trends
50DMA
59.79
Negative
100DMA
60.04
Negative
200DMA
62.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.82
Positive
RSI
27.28
Positive
STOCH
15.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.81, below the 50-day MA of 59.79, and below the 200-day MA of 62.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.28 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CSR.

Centerspace Risk Analysis

Centerspace disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centerspace reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Centerspace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$1.39B123.173.64%5.32%8.01%
63
Neutral
$6.81B13.62-1.43%7.31%4.60%-32.65%
59
Neutral
$281.65M-4.52%6.71%2.39%-407.57%
57
Neutral
$1.30B-1.91%2.23%0.26%77.82%
57
Neutral
$790.00M866.19-11.85%6.42%-6.02%-156.44%
55
Neutral
$948.45M-3.35%5.68%-0.63%-123.59%
50
Neutral
$1.14B-48.27%7.46%9.28%34.42%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSR
Centerspace
53.51
-14.90
-21.78%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
8.04
-0.01
-0.12%
VRE
Veris Residential
13.89
-1.72
-11.02%
UMH
Umh
16.35
-1.91
-10.46%
BRT
BRT Apartments
14.90
-1.35
-8.31%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
31.02
-10.15
-24.65%

Centerspace Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Centerspace Announces $100 Million Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Centerspace announced a share repurchase program authorized by its Board of Trustees, allowing the company to buy back up to $100 million of its common shares by July 31, 2026. The program’s implementation will depend on market conditions and other considerations, with no obligation to repurchase a specific number of shares. Additionally, Centerspace reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a net loss of $0.87 per diluted share and a 5.4% increase in revenue compared to the previous year. The company also acquired its first apartment community in Salt Lake City for $149 million and updated its 2025 financial outlook, projecting improvements in same-store revenue and NOI.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSR) stock is a Hold with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centerspace stock, see the CSR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Centerspace Expands with Salt Lake City Acquisition
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Centerspace closed on its first acquisition in Salt Lake City for $149 million, marking its expansion into this market. The company also plans to acquire a community in Fort Collins, CO, and is marketing its Saint Cloud, MN, and parts of its Minneapolis portfolios for sale. These transactions are part of Centerspace’s strategy to enhance its Midwest and Mountain West multifamily REIT focus. Additionally, Centerspace increased its credit facility to $400 million to support these activities and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.77 per share/unit, payable on July 10, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSR) stock is a Hold with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centerspace stock, see the CSR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025