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Centerspace (CSR)
NYSE:CSR
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Centerspace (CSR) AI Stock Analysis

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CSR

Centerspace

(NYSE:CSR)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$73.00
▲(12.14% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
CSR scores 66 driven primarily by solid cash generation and improving leverage, alongside supportive technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). The score is tempered by uneven profitability and top-line volatility (including a sharp TTM revenue decline), plus earnings-call headwinds from Colorado regulatory/RUBS impacts and near-term expense pressure despite reiterated guidance.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Centerspace reports consistently positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, with FCF improving into the trailing‑12‑months. Durable cash generation supports dividend coverage, reinvestment into value‑add projects, deleveraging and provides buffer versus earnings volatility.
Negative Factors
Volatile Profitability and Revenue
Earnings and top‑line have swung materially (loss in 2024, recovery in 2025, sharp TTM revenue drop). This earnings volatility undermines predictability of FFO, dividend sustainability and the ability to plan capex or M&A with confidence across the business cycle.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Centerspace reports consistently positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, with FCF improving into the trailing‑12‑months. Durable cash generation supports dividend coverage, reinvestment into value‑add projects, deleveraging and provides buffer versus earnings volatility.
Read all positive factors

Centerspace Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Weighted Average Occupancy
Weighted Average Occupancy
Share of leasable space that is occupied, weighted by area or revenue; higher occupancy means more consistent rent collection and better utilization of assets, while drops highlight rising vacancy risk and pressure on revenues.
Chart InsightsOccupancy has held remarkably steady with a modest upward drift into 2025, providing the operational foundation behind Centerspace’s same-store NOI gains; strong retention and targeted capital recycling (acquiring higher-quality assets while dispositioning others) appear to be improving portfolio mix and offsetting localized weakness. Watch Denver: lease-rate pressure and elevated concessions there are a clear downside risk, and the company’s relatively high net debt/EBITDA profile could magnify any reversal in occupancy or rent momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Centerspace (CSR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centerspace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Centerspace is an owner and operator of apartment communities committed to providing great homes by focusing on integrity and serving others. Founded in 1970, as of June 30, 2021, Centerspace owned 62 apartment communities consisting of 11,579 apa...
How the Company Makes Money
Centerspace primarily makes money by earning rental income from leasing apartment units in its multifamily properties. Residents pay recurring monthly rent and may also pay other property-related charges (e.g., fees tied to occupancy and services)...

Centerspace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of constructive operational trends and clear near-term headwinds. Positive elements include reiterated full-year guidance, strong April leasing momentum, above-market performance in the Midwest (notably Minneapolis), record absorption and a conservative, well-positioned balance sheet (low rates, long maturities and $267M liquidity). Offsetting these are declines in same-store NOI, flat revenues driven by occupancy declines and RUBS losses in Colorado, elevated near-term expenses (including strategic review costs), a Q1 impairment tied to the review, and a marked slowdown in Denver transaction activity. Management provided detailed explanations for temporary items (timing, true-ups, review-related costs) and expects normalization, supporting confidence in meeting guidance. Overall, the positive operational traction and strong balance sheet slightly outweigh the regional and timing-related negatives.
Positive Updates
Reaffirmed Full-Year Guidance and Core FFO Outlook
Company reiterated 2026 guidance: core FFO of $4.93 per share (midpoint) and same-store NOI growth of ~75 bps, same-store revenue growth of ~88 bps, and same-store expense growth of ~1.5% at midpoints; Q1 core FFO was $1.12 per diluted share. Management expects to deliver performance within initial guidance ranges.
Negative Updates
Same-Store NOI Decline
Q1 same-store NOI decreased 1.1% year-over-year, driving Q1 core FFO of $1.12 and signaling near-term pressure on operating income.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Reaffirmed Full-Year Guidance and Core FFO Outlook
Company reiterated 2026 guidance: core FFO of $4.93 per share (midpoint) and same-store NOI growth of ~75 bps, same-store revenue growth of ~88 bps, and same-store expense growth of ~1.5% at midpoints; Q1 core FFO was $1.12 per diluted share. Management expects to deliver performance within initial guidance ranges.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Centerspace reiterated full-year 2026 guidance with core FFO of $4.93 per diluted share (Q1 core FFO was $1.12) and a NAREIT FFO midpoint of $4.78 (up $0.03), targeting same‑store NOI growth of 75 bps, same‑store revenue growth of 88 bps and same‑store expense growth of 1.5% at the midpoints. Guidance assumes blended gross leasing spreads of ~2%, occupancy in the mid‑95% range and retention of about 52%; management also expects RUBS revenue in Colorado to be down nearly $1.0 million. Modeling assists include strategic‑review costs of $1.0–$1.5 million (primarily in H1), amortization of assumed debt of $1.3 million for the year ($490k in Q2, then ~$215k Q3 and Q4), and an unchanged balance‑sheet profile with a weighted average debt rate of 3.6%, WAM of 6.7 years, $267 million of cash/LOC liquidity versus $98 million of debt maturing through 2027 and an anticipated return of annualized debt/EBITDA to the historical mid‑7x range as quarter timing and one‑time items normalize.

Centerspace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is a clear strength (consistently positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, improving into TTM), and leverage appears to be improving (debt-to-equity notably lower in TTM). Offsetting this, profitability and revenue have been volatile, including a 2024 loss and a sharp TTM revenue decline, keeping overall financial quality in the mid-range.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue271.64M353.13M260.98M261.31M256.72M201.71M
Gross Profit103.94M10.76M148.61M146.14M138.18M111.10M
EBITDA171.06M180.67M130.74M188.83M121.32M123.00M
Net Income8.33M17.59M-10.69M41.97M-13.47M611.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.89B1.93B1.91B1.93B2.03B1.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.55M12.83M12.03M8.63M10.46M31.27M
Total Debt1.02B1.02B955.38M916.02M1.01B856.05M
Total Liabilities1.07B1.08B1.01B978.78M1.07B918.45M
Stockholders Equity700.91M725.10M670.46M726.39M746.10M797.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow70.05M64.29M41.59M30.70M35.42M48.15M
Operating Cash Flow94.45M98.45M98.25M89.52M91.99M84.03M
Investing Cash Flow-27.01M-26.87M-50.72M120.21M-160.09M-267.23M
Financing Cash Flow-75.23M-69.06M-43.67M-212.35M41.37M214.51M

Centerspace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.10
Price Trends
50DMA
63.33
Positive
100DMA
63.36
Positive
200DMA
61.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.99
Positive
RSI
53.94
Neutral
STOCH
44.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.45, above the 50-day MA of 63.33, and above the 200-day MA of 61.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CSR.

Centerspace Risk Analysis

Centerspace disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centerspace reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Centerspace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.78B-31.526.36%2.17%7.11%
68
Neutral
$1.31B39.553.22%5.66%9.12%-7.55%
66
Neutral
$1.19B-18.781.15%4.58%33.21%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
55
Neutral
$749.91M-23.50-10.30%7.06%-1.46%0.65%
54
Neutral
$273.68M-22.46-6.77%6.98%1.24%-34.65%
46
Neutral
$611.39M-10.01176.90%7.42%-16.20%99.72%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSR
Centerspace
67.07
8.72
14.95%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
4.25
0.04
0.97%
VRE
Veris Residential
19.00
4.53
31.28%
UMH
Umh
15.38
-0.08
-0.50%
BRT
BRT Apartments
14.54
0.21
1.44%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
29.30
-2.46
-7.75%

Centerspace Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Centerspace Reaffirms 2026 Outlook and Highlights Portfolio Strength
Positive
May 8, 2026
On May 8, 2026, Centerspace released an investor presentation outlining financial and operational results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 and year-to-date trends, showing leasing spreads returning to typical seasonal patterns and strong resid...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Centerspace Announces Upcoming Board Trustee Retirement Plans
Neutral
Mar 12, 2026
On March 11, 2026, Centerspace announced that trustee Emily Nagle Green will retire from the Board of Trustees at the conclusion of her term following the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 13, 2026. Green, who has served o...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Centerspace Outlines 2026 Outlook and Portfolio Strategy
Positive
Feb 27, 2026
On February 27, 2026, Centerspace released an investor presentation outlining 2025 performance and its 2026 financial outlook, showing modest same-store revenue growth guidance centered around 0.9% and NOI growth around 0.8%, alongside Core FFO pe...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026