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United Homes Group (UHG)
NASDAQ:UHG

United Homes Group (UHG) AI Stock Analysis

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UHG

United Homes Group

(NASDAQ:UHG)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-7.41% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is driven primarily by weakened financial performance—2025 losses, negative free cash flow, and elevated leverage—raising near-term risk. Technicals add pressure due to a sustained downtrend (price below key moving averages and negative MACD), while valuation provides limited offset because the negative P/E reflects loss-making conditions and there is no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Acquisition by larger, well-capitalized buyer
The definitive all-cash acquisition by Stanley Martin converts UHG into a subsidiary of a larger, well-capitalized homebuilder. That structural change should materially reduce standalone funding and liquidity risk, give access to procurement/scale benefits, and stabilize capital for operations and land investment.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and prior equity stress
Debt running substantially above equity (debt-to-equity ~1.5–2.6 historically) and a prior negative equity year reflect structural balance-sheet strain. Elevated leverage reduces financial flexibility, raises refinancing and covenant risk, and limits capacity to fund land pipelines during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Acquisition by larger, well-capitalized buyer
The definitive all-cash acquisition by Stanley Martin converts UHG into a subsidiary of a larger, well-capitalized homebuilder. That structural change should materially reduce standalone funding and liquidity risk, give access to procurement/scale benefits, and stabilize capital for operations and land investment.
Read all positive factors

United Homes Group (UHG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

United Homes Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
United Homes Group (UHG) is a diversified real estate company that specializes in the development, construction, and sale of residential properties across various markets. The company operates primarily in the homebuilding sector, delivering a wid...
How the Company Makes Money
UHG primarily makes money by selling newly constructed single-family homes to individual homebuyers. Revenue is typically recognized at or near the time of closing when title transfers to the buyer, and the company’s reported homebuilding revenue ...

United Homes Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted improvements in gross margins and successful product initiatives, but these were overshadowed by a net loss, declines in home closings, new orders, and revenue, as well as a reduction in active communities. Overall, the sentiment reflects a challenging quarter with mixed results.
Positive Updates
Home Sales Gross Margin Improvement
Home sales gross margin for the quarter improved by 100 basis points to 18.9% compared to the same period last year, and by 270 basis points compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Quarter
United Homes reported a net loss of $6.3 million for the second quarter of 2025, primarily due to a fair value adjustment related to the contingent earn-out liability.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Home Sales Gross Margin Improvement
Home sales gross margin for the quarter improved by 100 basis points to 18.9% compared to the same period last year, and by 270 basis points compared to the first quarter of 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the United Homes Group's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported home sales revenue of $105.5 million from 303 new home deliveries, with an average sales price of $349,000. The gross margin for the quarter was 18.9%, representing a 100 basis point improvement over the previous year. Despite a 5.9% year-over-year decline in net new orders due to a 10% decrease in average community count, the company maintained a steady sales pace of 1.9 homes per community per month. The company also reported a net loss of $6.3 million for the quarter. The CEO highlighted the introduction of refreshed home designs, which have resulted in gross margins approximately 300 basis points higher than legacy products, contributing to their profitability. As of June 30, 2025, United Homes Group controlled about 7,300 lots and had $95.2 million in liquidity, positioning the company for future growth and market opportunities.

United Homes Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials weakened sharply in 2025: profitability swung to a net loss on slightly lower revenue, and operating cash flow/free cash flow turned meaningfully negative. Leverage remains elevated and equity/ROE have been volatile, increasing funding and stability risk until margins and cash conversion normalize.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue406.69M463.71M421.47M477.05M432.89M
Gross Profit71.74M80.79M79.73M96.67M87.84M
EBITDA2.39M8.51M15.96M73.20M62.51M
Net Income-16.25M46.91M125.06M69.49M62.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets276.63M265.38M298.65M208.34M202.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.72M22.63M56.67M12.24M51.50M
Total Debt147.58M120.30M154.06M121.80M102.50M
Total Liabilities219.26M198.51M329.83M149.34M135.70M
Stockholders Equity57.37M66.87M-31.18M59.00M66.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-21.80M15.41M28.06M34.45M57.91M
Operating Cash Flow-19.75M15.44M28.22M34.62M58.32M
Investing Cash Flow-1.89M-12.59M-24.30M-206.88K-394.05K
Financing Cash Flow21.81M-33.98M40.51M-73.68M-35.60M

United Homes Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.08
Price Trends
50DMA
1.60
Negative
100DMA
1.48
Negative
200DMA
2.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
33.58
Neutral
STOCH
83.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UHG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.17, below the 50-day MA of 1.60, and below the 200-day MA of 2.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UHG.

United Homes Group Risk Analysis

United Homes Group disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. United Homes Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

United Homes Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$489.11M11.209.62%10.25%-10.52%
63
Neutral
$1.67B12.068.37%1.99%-6.28%-31.55%
62
Neutral
$660.88M8.766.81%-0.84%-76.30%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
$883.92M13.733.51%-20.62%-45.74%
46
Neutral
$583.64M-4.500.81%1.77%-66.27%
43
Neutral
$68.24M-5.63-23.25%-6.20%24.90%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UHG
United Homes Group
1.16
-1.61
-58.12%
BZH
Beazer Homes
19.78
0.76
4.00%
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises
111.49
17.12
18.14%
LGIH
LGI Homes
38.21
-22.97
-37.54%
CCS
Century Communities
57.41
-4.35
-7.04%
LEGH
Legacy Housing
20.54
-3.02
-12.82%

United Homes Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
United Homes Group to Be Acquired by Stanley Martin
Neutral
Feb 23, 2026
On February 22, 2026, United Homes Group agreed to be acquired by Stanley Martin Homes in an all-cash merger that values the company at an enterprise value of about $221 million, with shareholders to receive $1.18 per share and the company to beco...
Executive/Board Changes
United Homes Group Sets 2026 Executive Pay Framework
Neutral
Jan 16, 2026
On January 13, 2026, United Homes Group’s board-level Compensation Committee approved a 2026 executive compensation framework that sets base salaries and performance-based cash bonus opportunities for its senior leadership, including the nam...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026