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Century Communities, Inc (CCS)
:CCS
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Century Communities (CCS) AI Stock Analysis

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CCS

Century Communities

(NYSE:CCS)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$66.00
▲(9.96% Upside)
Century Communities' stock score reflects strong valuation and positive earnings call outcomes, balanced against mixed financial performance and technical indicators. The low P/E ratio and dividend yield highlight potential undervaluation, while operational successes in the earnings call showcase resilience amidst market challenges. However, financial and cash flow challenges suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Profit and Margin Growth
CCS believes gross margins can remain in the low 20s from a historical high-teens level due to enhanced scale, and volumes could grow 30%+ without much additional fixed G&A.
Stock Buyback
CCS repurchased $31M in shares during 4Q, which was unexpected.
Negative Factors
Disappointing Outlook
The 2025 outlook is viewed as somewhat disappointing, and estimates are being lowered.

Century Communities (CCS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Century Communities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentury Communities, Inc. (CCS) is a leading national homebuilder that specializes in the development of single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums across various markets in the United States. The company operates primarily in the residential construction sector, focusing on providing quality homes that cater to a diverse range of buyers, including first-time, move-up, and active adult segments. In addition to homebuilding, Century Communities is involved in land development and offers various related services, enhancing its position within the housing market.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentury Communities generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, which includes both new home sales and the development of land for future residential projects. The company profits by acquiring land, developing it into communities, and then selling homes at a markup. Key revenue streams include home sales, which are influenced by market demand and the company's ability to manage construction costs effectively. Additionally, Century Communities may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with landowners and other developers, which can provide access to prime locations and shared resources, further enhancing its earnings potential. The company also benefits from economies of scale as it operates in multiple states, allowing for cost efficiencies and broader market reach.

Century Communities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced view with both positive and negative aspects. The company achieved notable successes in increasing home deliveries, expanding community count, and controlling costs. However, significant market challenges such as elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty led to increased incentives and a downward revision in full-year guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Home Deliveries
Deliveries of 2,587 homes increased 13% on a sequential basis and exceeded guidance of 2,300 to 2,500 homes.
Record Community Count
The community count increased to 327 communities at the end of the second quarter, a record for the company.
Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased $48 million of shares in the second quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $104 million, or 5% of shares outstanding.
Recognition as a Top Employer
Century was recognized as one of the best companies to work for by U.S. News & Work Report.
Cost Control Success
Direct construction costs on homes delivered declined by 3% year-over-year and 2% sequentially.
Negative Updates
Market Headwinds Impacting Order Activity
Order activity continues to be impacted by elevated mortgage rates, affordability constraints, economic uncertainty, and lower consumer confidence.
Increased Incentives
Incentives on closed homes increased to approximately 1,050 basis points in Q2 2025, up from 900 basis points in Q1.
Revised Full-Year Guidance
Revised full-year 2025 home delivery guidance to 10,000 to 10,500 homes and home sales revenues to $3.8 billion to $4 billion due to current market conditions.
Inventory Impairment
Took an inventory impairment charge of $7 million related to 5 communities in the closeout phase, primarily in Florida.
Decline in Average Sales Price
Average sales price decreased by 3% year-over-year, primarily due to higher levels of incentives.
Company Guidance
During the Century Communities, Inc. second quarter 2025 earnings call, significant metrics and guidance were provided. The company delivered 2,587 homes, exceeding their guidance of 2,300 to 2,500 homes, due to effective incentives. Despite challenges from elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty, net orders and absorption rates increased sequentially. The community count reached a record 327, with plans to increase by a mid-single-digit percentage by year-end. The company repurchased $48 million of shares in the second quarter, totaling $104 million year-to-date. Adjusted net income was reported at $42 million, or $1.37 per diluted share, with home sales revenues reaching $976 million, a 10% sequential increase. Gross margins are expected to decrease by up to 100 basis points in the third quarter due to rising incentives, and the delivery guidance for 2025 was revised to 10,000 to 10,500 homes with revenues between $3.8 billion and $4 billion. The company is maintaining a balanced approach to land investments and capital allocation, aiming to optimize returns amidst market headwinds.

Century Communities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Century Communities demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and a robust balance sheet. However, challenges in cash flow, including negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures, indicate areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Century Communities' TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) income statement shows a resilient performance despite a small decrease in total revenue compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is strong at 21.8%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 7.1%. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating some pressure on operating efficiency. The revenue growth rate has turned negative, although the company managed to maintain decent profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 12.0%, suggesting efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively high at 56.6%, highlighting a conservative capital structure with a substantial proportion of assets financed by equity rather than debt. The stability is commendable, though there is a need to monitor debt levels closely.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a challenging year for Century Communities, with negative free cash flow due to significant capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash conversion from earnings. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which could be concerning if it persists. However, historical positive cash flow metrics indicate potential for recovery.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.40B3.69B4.51B4.22B3.16B
Gross Profit962.76M802.97M1.14B1.05B616.33M
EBITDA464.35M371.43M716.08M669.63M285.59M
Net Income333.82M259.22M525.13M498.50M206.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.53B4.14B3.77B3.50B2.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments150.00M226.15M296.72M316.31M394.00M
Total Debt1.48B1.30B1.22B1.35B1.15B
Total Liabilities1.91B1.75B1.62B1.73B1.56B
Stockholders Equity2.62B2.39B2.15B1.76B1.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow86.72M-90.05M264.65M-212.73M332.06M
Operating Cash Flow125.69M41.63M315.35M-201.15M340.58M
Investing Cash Flow-232.69M-131.98M-54.26M-6.48M-8.40M
Financing Cash Flow40.31M23.86M-274.83M131.79M7.39M

Century Communities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.02
Price Trends
50DMA
57.58
Positive
100DMA
58.11
Positive
200DMA
68.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.77
Negative
RSI
61.00
Neutral
STOCH
78.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.90, above the 50-day MA of 57.58, and below the 200-day MA of 68.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CCS.

Century Communities Risk Analysis

Century Communities disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Century Communities reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Century Communities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.87B8.3611.38%-3.59%-10.82%
78
Outperform
$3.42B7.1117.56%7.39%-1.37%
78
Outperform
$2.92B8.5822.12%13.87%6.54%
74
Outperform
$2.41B8.8023.25%20.18%-1.04%
73
Outperform
$1.78B7.3210.34%1.83%3.76%-17.55%
68
Neutral
$1.42B9.277.84%-7.89%-19.53%
53
Neutral
$1.23B2.73-2.60%5.78%-2.15%-149.23%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CCS
Century Communities
63.06
-27.55
-30.41%
MHO
M/I Homes
136.84
-7.37
-5.11%
TPH
Tri Pointe
34.12
-6.91
-16.84%
LGIH
LGI Homes
61.43
-41.21
-40.15%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
67.13
-2.51
-3.60%
DFH
Dream Finders Homes
25.97
-2.68
-9.35%

Century Communities Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Century Communities Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Century Communities, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 92.9% of the company’s outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected seven directors, ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and approved the executive compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2025