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Century Communities
(NYSE:CCS)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(23.60% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/27/26
CCS scores in the low-to-mid 60s primarily due to weakening financial performance versus prior-year highs (lower margins, softer revenue, reduced ROE) despite a manageable balance sheet and positive, but declining, free cash flow. Technicals are supportive of an uptrend but look overextended (high RSI/Stoch), raising near-term reversal risk. Valuation is reasonable (P/E ~16) with a modest dividend, while the latest earnings call was cautiously constructive but included a delivery guidance cut and continued elevated incentives.
Positive Factors
Large, Flexible Land Position
A large owned and optioned lot base provides durable supply advantage and strategic optionality: it lets management pace land spend, tilt toward higher-return communities, and scale deliveries when demand rebounds. Low deposit exposure on options preserves capital flexibility.
Negative Factors
Elevated Incentives Pressure Margins
Persistently high incentives materially erode gross margins, turning pricing flexibility into a recurring cost of sale. Until demand firm, elevated incentives will compress long-term margin recovery and make profitability sensitive to incentive levels rather than core cost improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Large, Flexible Land Position
A large owned and optioned lot base provides durable supply advantage and strategic optionality: it lets management pace land spend, tilt toward higher-return communities, and scale deliveries when demand rebounds. Low deposit exposure on options preserves capital flexibility.
Read all positive factors
Century Communities Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Century Communities (CCS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.01B
Dividend Yield1.99%
Average Volume (3M)239.37K
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.0
Beta (1Y)0.62
Revenue Growth-7.87%
EPS Growth-54.59%
CountryUS
Employees1,873
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryResidential Construction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)4.48
Shares Outstanding28,769,306
10 Day Avg. Volume240,832
30 Day Avg. Volume239,370
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.23
Price to Book (P/B)0.69
Price to Sales (P/S)0.43
P/FCF Ratio14.32
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.58
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.80
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.57
Enterprise Value/Ebitda15.79
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$54.50Price Target Upside-12.52% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)3.93
Revenue Forecast (FY)$3.72B
Century Communities Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Century Communities, Inc. is a residential housing company that designs, builds, markets, and sells single-family homes, encompassing both attached and detached structures. Beyond construction, the firm also handles land preparation and entitlemen...
How the Company Makes Money
Century Communities primarily makes money by selling newly constructed homes to homebuyers. Its core revenue stream is home sales revenue, generally recognized at the time of closing when the home and title transfer to the buyer; the sales price r...
Century Communities Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously constructive picture: operational execution, margin improvement, disciplined inventory and land management, and strong balance sheet/capital returns are clear positives. However, demand headwinds driven by geopolitical events, higher rates and fuel prices pressured orders in March, led to a modest downward revision to full-year deliveries (−5%), and incentives remain elevated. On balance, operational strengths and financial flexibility outweigh the near-term demand challenges, but the tone remains cautious.Positive Updates
Improved Gross Margins
Adjusted homebuilding gross margin improved to 19.7% in Q1 2026 (up 140 basis points sequentially from 18.3% in Q4 2025). GAAP homebuilding gross margin was 17.8% (up 240 basis points sequentially from 15.4% in Q4 2025). A 90 basis point benefit came from warranty accrual reduction and rebate collections excesses.
Negative Updates
March Order Weakness and Macro Headwinds
Order activity meaningfully weakened in March due to geopolitical conflict (Middle East), higher interest rates and higher gas prices; March absorption declined year-over-year and negatively impacted quarterly order and delivery results.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Improved Gross Margins
Adjusted homebuilding gross margin improved to 19.7% in Q1 2026 (up 140 basis points sequentially from 18.3% in Q4 2025). GAAP homebuilding gross margin was 17.8% (up 240 basis points sequentially from 15.4% in Q4 2025). A 90 basis point benefit came from warranty accrual reduction and rebate collections excesses.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance from the call reduced full-year 2026 home delivery guidance by 5% to a range of 9,500–10,500 homes and now targets home sales revenues of $3.5–$3.8 billion; management expects Q2 deliveries of 2,200–2,400 homes, incentives on closed homes to be similar to Q1 levels (Q1 incentives averaged ~1,250 basis points, down ~50 bps from Q4), and the primary driver of adjusted homebuilding gross margin to remain incentives (Q1 adjusted gross margin was 19.7%); SG&A is expected to be roughly 14% of home sales revenue for the full year at the midpoint and ~14.5% in Q2, the full-year tax rate is expected to be 26–27%, and land acquisition and development spend is guided to $1.0–$1.2 billion (adjustable by market conditions); Q1 liquidity was $886 million with stockholders’ equity of $2.6 billion, net homebuilding debt to net capital was 30.5% (homebuilding debt-to-capital 32.2%), the company repurchased 617,000 shares for $40 million at an average $64.82 (27% discount to Q1 book value $88.75), raised the quarterly dividend 10% to $0.32 per share, and highlighted operational flex — nearly 60,000 owned/controlled lots (plus 24,000 option lots secured by $97 million in deposits), capacity to grow deliveries ≥10% annually when demand rebounds, and inventory metrics of finished specs down 16% sequentially and 31% year‑over‑year with under 3 finished specs per community.Century Communities Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
69
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.99B | 4.12B | 4.40B | 3.69B | 4.51B | 4.22B |
| Gross Profit | 696.49M | 882.14M | 962.76M | 802.97M | 1.14B | 1.05B |
| EBITDA | 201.63M | 219.24M | 464.35M | 423.35M | 716.08M | 669.63M |
| Net Income | 132.62M | 147.60M | 333.82M | 259.22M | 525.13M | 498.50M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.51B | 4.49B | 4.53B | 4.17B | 3.79B | 3.51B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 78.18M | 158.01M | 150.00M | 328.00M | 353.29M | 368.61M |
| Total Debt | 1.54B | 1.44B | 1.48B | 1.30B | 1.23B | 1.35B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.96B | 1.89B | 1.91B | 1.78B | 1.64B | 1.74B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.55B | 2.59B | 2.62B | 2.39B | 2.15B | 1.76B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 94.62M | 124.31M | 86.72M | -90.05M | 264.65M | -210.06M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 126.77M | 153.08M | 125.69M | 41.63M | 315.35M | -201.15M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 40.82M | 44.91M | -232.69M | -131.98M | -54.26M | -6.48M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -204.82M | -233.76M | 40.31M | 23.86M | -274.83M | 131.79M |
Century Communities Technical Analysis
Positive
62.30
Price Trends
57.75
Positive
59.87
Positive
60.73
Positive
Market Momentum
3.85
Negative
59.77
Neutral
64.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.93, above the 50-day MA of 57.75, and above the 200-day MA of 60.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CCS.
Century Communities Risk Analysis
Century Communities disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Century Communities reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Century Communities Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $4.01B | 11.22 | 11.42% | ― | -1.83% | -30.18% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
63 Neutral | $2.01B | 14.95 | 5.16% | 1.99% | -7.87% | -54.59% | |
61 Neutral | $800.00M | 33.46 | 4.39% | ― | -4.73% | -87.32% | |
54 Neutral | $1.44B | 19.56 | 3.39% | ― | -22.62% | -60.74% | |
53 Neutral | $1.54B | 8.67 | 11.44% | ― | -8.51% | -49.37% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
CCS
Century Communities
66.99
9.63
16.79%
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises
129.83
17.26
15.33%
MHO
M/I Homes
152.37
39.74
35.28%
LGIH
LGI Homes
59.74
7.02
13.33%
DFH
Dream Finders Homes
16.38
-9.85
-37.55%
Century Communities Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Century Communities Shareholders Back Leadership and Governance Slate
Positive
May 7, 2026
On May 6, 2026, Century Communities, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with 94.7% of the 29,025,462 outstanding common shares represented, establishing a strong quorum. Shareholders elected seven board nominees, including co-CEOs Dale ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.