tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Century Communities (CCS)
NYSE:CCS
Advertisement

Century Communities (CCS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
378 Followers

Top Page

CCS

Century Communities

(NYSE:CCS)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$73.00
▲(4.79% Upside)
Century Communities' stock score reflects a mix of solid profitability and undervaluation, tempered by challenges in revenue growth and cash flow. Positive technical indicators and strategic financial moves support the score, while earnings call insights highlight both growth initiatives and market challenges.
Positive Factors
Profit and Margin Growth
CCS believes gross margins can remain in the low 20s from a historical high-teens level due to enhanced scale, and volumes could grow 30%+ without much additional fixed G&A.
Stock Buyback
CCS repurchased $31M in shares during 4Q, which was unexpected.
Negative Factors
Disappointing Outlook
The 2025 outlook is viewed as somewhat disappointing, and estimates are being lowered.

Century Communities (CCS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Century Communities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentury Communities, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, construction, marketing, and sale of single-family attached and detached homes. It is also involved in the entitlement and development of the underlying land; and provision of mortgage, title, and insurance services to its home buyers. The company offers homes under the Century Communities and Century Complete brands. It sells homes through its sales representatives, retail studios, and internet, as well as through independent real estate brokers in 17 states in the United States. Century Communities, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentury Communities generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, which includes both new home sales and the development of land for future residential projects. The company profits by acquiring land, developing it into communities, and then selling homes at a markup. Key revenue streams include home sales, which are influenced by market demand and the company's ability to manage construction costs effectively. Additionally, Century Communities may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with landowners and other developers, which can provide access to prime locations and shared resources, further enhancing its earnings potential. The company also benefits from economies of scale as it operates in multiple states, allowing for cost efficiencies and broader market reach.

Century Communities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Century Communities' strategic growth in community count and significant share repurchases indicating confidence in long-term value. However, challenges such as elevated mortgage rates, increased incentives affecting margins, and lower full-year guidance due to market conditions balanced out the positives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Community Count
Century Communities reached a record community count of 327 at the end of the second quarter, indicating expansion and increased market presence.
Increase in Home Deliveries
Deliveries of 2,587 homes increased 13% on a sequential basis, exceeding guidance of 2,300 to 2,500 homes, showcasing effective sales strategies in a challenging market.
Share Repurchase Program
Century Communities repurchased $48 million worth of shares in the second quarter, totaling $104 million year-to-date, which represents over 8% of shares outstanding since the start of 2024, indicating confidence in the company's value.
Recognition as a Top Employer
Century Communities was recognized as one of the best companies to work for by U.S. News & Work Report, highlighting a positive work culture.
Negative Updates
Impact of Elevated Mortgage Rates
Order activity for new homes continued to be impacted by elevated mortgage rates, affordability constraints, and economic uncertainty, leading to cautious buyer behavior.
Increased Incentives Affecting Margins
Incentives on closed homes increased to approximately 1,050 basis points in Q2 2025, up from roughly 900 basis points in Q1, impacting gross margins negatively.
Sequential Decline in Gross Margin
Adjusted homebuilding gross margin decreased to 20% from 21.6% in the first quarter, largely due to increased incentive levels.
Inventory Impairment Charges
An inventory impairment charge of $7 million was taken in Q2 related to five communities, indicating challenges in specific markets.
Lower Full-Year Guidance
Full-year 2025 home delivery guidance was revised to a range of 10,000 to 10,500 homes and home sales revenues to $3.8 billion to $4 billion, reflecting market headwinds.
Company Guidance
During the Century Communities, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted several key metrics and updates. They reported the delivery of 2,587 homes, which was a 13% increase from the previous quarter and exceeded their guidance of 2,300 to 2,500 homes. Despite market challenges like elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty, net orders and absorption rates saw a sequential increase in May and June. Their community count reached a record 327, with expectations for mid-single-digit growth by year-end. The company repurchased $48 million worth of shares, bringing the year-to-date total to $104 million. The adjusted homebuilding gross margin was 20% for the quarter, while home sales revenues totaled $976 million, reflecting a 10% sequential increase. They revised their full-year 2025 home delivery guidance to 10,000-10,500 homes, citing market conditions. Additionally, their book value per share rose by 10% year-over-year to $86.39, marking a company record.

Century Communities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Century Communities demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and a robust balance sheet. However, challenges in cash flow, including negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures, indicate areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Century Communities' TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) income statement shows a resilient performance despite a small decrease in total revenue compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is strong at 21.8%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 7.1%. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating some pressure on operating efficiency. The revenue growth rate has turned negative, although the company managed to maintain decent profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 12.0%, suggesting efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively high at 56.6%, highlighting a conservative capital structure with a substantial proportion of assets financed by equity rather than debt. The stability is commendable, though there is a need to monitor debt levels closely.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a challenging year for Century Communities, with negative free cash flow due to significant capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash conversion from earnings. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which could be concerning if it persists. However, historical positive cash flow metrics indicate potential for recovery.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.40B3.69B4.51B4.22B3.16B
Gross Profit962.76M802.97M1.14B1.05B616.33M
EBITDA464.35M371.43M716.08M669.63M285.59M
Net Income333.82M259.22M525.13M498.50M206.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.53B4.14B3.77B3.50B2.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments150.00M226.15M296.72M316.31M394.00M
Total Debt1.48B1.30B1.22B1.35B1.15B
Total Liabilities1.91B1.75B1.62B1.73B1.56B
Stockholders Equity2.62B2.39B2.15B1.76B1.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow86.72M-90.05M264.65M-212.73M332.06M
Operating Cash Flow125.69M41.63M315.35M-201.15M340.58M
Investing Cash Flow-232.69M-131.98M-54.26M-6.48M-8.40M
Financing Cash Flow40.31M23.86M-274.83M131.79M7.39M

Century Communities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price69.66
Price Trends
50DMA
61.48
Positive
100DMA
57.95
Positive
200DMA
65.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.86
Negative
RSI
66.14
Neutral
STOCH
75.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.92, above the 50-day MA of 61.48, and above the 200-day MA of 65.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CCS.

Century Communities Risk Analysis

Century Communities disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Century Communities reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Century Communities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.06B8.6117.56%7.39%-1.37%
79
Outperform
$3.18B9.4611.38%-3.59%-10.82%
77
Outperform
$3.14B9.3822.12%13.87%6.54%
74
Outperform
$2.67B9.7223.25%20.18%-1.04%
73
Outperform
$2.03B8.3410.34%1.62%3.76%-17.55%
68
Neutral
$1.51B10.117.84%-7.89%-19.53%
63
Neutral
$7.02B13.41-0.50%6.86%4.08%-25.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CCS
Century Communities
69.66
-24.10
-25.70%
MHO
M/I Homes
156.91
1.32
0.85%
TPH
Tri Pointe
37.14
-4.86
-11.57%
LGIH
LGI Homes
67.01
-38.23
-36.33%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
73.38
-0.38
-0.52%
DFH
Dream Finders Homes
30.94
0.30
0.98%

Century Communities Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Century Communities Announces $500M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Century Communities announced the pricing of a private offering of $500 million in 6.625% Senior Notes due 2033. The offering is expected to close on September 17, 2025, with net proceeds of approximately $494 million intended to finance the redemption of the company’s existing 6.750% Senior Notes due 2027. This strategic financial move aims to optimize the company’s debt structure and potentially improve its market position.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Century Communities Launches $500M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Century Communities announced the launch of a private offering of $500 million in Senior Notes due 2033, aimed at qualified institutional buyers and certain non-U.S. persons. Concurrently, the company issued a conditional notice for the redemption of its 6.750% Senior Notes due 2027, contingent upon the successful completion of the new offering. The proceeds from the new notes, along with cash on hand, will be used to finance the redemption of the 2027 notes. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to impact the company’s debt structure and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025