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M/I Homes (MHO)
NYSE:MHO
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M/I Homes (MHO) AI Stock Analysis

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MHO

M/I Homes

(NYSE:MHO)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$141.00
▲(9.17% Upside)
M/I Homes' overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, despite technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The company's robust balance sheet and low P/E ratio are significant strengths, while recent revenue declines and market momentum pose risks.

M/I Homes (MHO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

M/I Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionM/I Homes (MHO) is a leading builder of single-family homes in the United States, primarily focused on the residential construction sector. Established in 1976, the company operates in several key markets across the country, including major metropolitan areas. M/I Homes offers a variety of home designs and floor plans, catering to diverse customer needs, from first-time homebuyers to move-up and luxury buyers. The company is known for its commitment to quality construction and energy-efficient homes, which are built under the brand name 'M/I Homes.'
How the Company Makes MoneyM/I Homes generates revenue primarily through the sale of newly constructed homes. Its revenue model is based on building and selling homes in various communities, with homes typically sold at a markup over construction costs. Key revenue streams include home sales, where the company earns margins on the homes sold, and additional income from options and upgrades that buyers select during the home buying process. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and subcontractors, which help manage costs and ensure quality. Additionally, M/I Homes may recognize revenue from the sale of land and lots, which further contributes to its overall earnings. The timing of home sales, housing market conditions, and interest rates also significantly impact the company's financial performance.

M/I Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance with significant achievements in mortgage operations and maintaining a strong balance sheet, but faced challenges in sales volume and gross margins. The company showed resilience in a tough market, but the decline in revenue and sales cannot be overlooked.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Pre-Tax Income
Generated $140 million of pre-tax income, representing 12% of revenue with gross margins of 24% and a return on equity of 16%.
Record Home Closures
Closed a third quarter record of 2,296 homes, a 1% increase from the previous year.
Mortgage and Title Operations Success
Mortgage and title operations achieved a pre-tax income increase of 28% from last year, capturing 93% of business.
Improved Cycle Time
Cycle time improved by about ten days compared to last year and this year's first quarter.
Strong Balance Sheet
Ended the quarter with $3.1 billion of equity, a book value per share of $120 (up 15% from last year), and zero borrowings under a $900 million unsecured line.
Negative Updates
Decline in Sales
Sold 1,908 homes during the quarter, down 6% compared to 2024's third quarter.
Decrease in Revenue
Third quarter total revenue decreased by 1% to $1.1 billion.
Drop in Average Closing Price
Average closing price decreased by 2% compared to last year's third quarter.
Decrease in Gross Margin
Gross margin was down 320 basis points year over year, with 60 basis points of the decline due to $7.6 million of inventory charges.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses were 11.9% of revenue, with a 6% increase versus a year ago due to higher community counts and selling expenses.
Company Guidance
During the M/I Homes third-quarter earnings conference call, the company reported a pretax income of $140 million, a decrease of 26% from the previous year, with a pretax income percentage of 12% and a gross margin of 24%. Total revenue decreased by 1% to $1.1 billion, with 2,296 homes closed, marking a 1% increase from last year. However, home sales were down 6% at 1,908 units. The Smart Series homes accounted for 52% of sales, up from 50% a year ago. The company ended the quarter with $3.1 billion in equity and a book value per share of $120, a 15% increase from the previous year. M/I Homes maintained a strong balance sheet with zero borrowings under its $900 million credit line and $734 million in cash, achieving a debt-to-capital ratio of 18% and a net debt-to-capital ratio of negative 1%. The mortgage and title operations achieved a 28% increase in pretax income to $16.6 million, with the mortgage operation capturing 93% of business. The company expects to grow its community count by 5% by the end of 2025.

M/I Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
M/I Homes demonstrates strong profitability and a robust balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio. However, the recent decline in revenue growth and fluctuations in free cash flow growth pose challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
M/I Homes has shown strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 25% and a net profit margin above 10% over the years. However, the recent TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 24.8%, which is a concern. Despite this, the company maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 in the TTM period, indicating strong financial stability. Return on equity remains solid at 13.7%, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a well-capitalized structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
M/I Homes has demonstrated significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 82% in the TTM period, indicating better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, showing efficient cash conversion. However, past fluctuations in free cash flow growth highlight potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.48B4.50B4.03B4.13B3.75B3.05B
Gross Profit1.11B1.20B1.01B1.04B908.91M676.34M
EBITDA627.98M749.06M601.72M652.06M532.63M334.79M
Net Income472.44M563.73M465.37M490.66M396.87M239.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.77B4.55B4.02B3.71B3.24B2.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments734.17M821.57M732.80M311.54M236.37M260.81M
Total Debt927.96M1.04B917.15M999.52M1.01B924.35M
Total Liabilities1.62B1.61B1.51B1.64B1.62B1.38B
Stockholders Equity4.77B2.94B2.52B2.07B1.62B1.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow248.38M171.32M546.36M174.74M-42.12M156.66M
Operating Cash Flow250.45M179.74M552.13M184.07M-16.82M168.33M
Investing Cash Flow-40.56M-54.90M-18.63M-27.38M-51.72M-33.87M
Financing Cash Flow-195.64M-36.07M-112.24M-81.52M44.10M120.26M

M/I Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price129.16
Price Trends
50DMA
140.26
Negative
100DMA
132.99
Negative
200DMA
123.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.32
Negative
RSI
43.79
Neutral
STOCH
63.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 129.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.83, below the 50-day MA of 140.26, and above the 200-day MA of 123.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MHO.

M/I Homes Risk Analysis

M/I Homes disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. M/I Homes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

M/I Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$2.72B9.379.47%-16.60%-29.85%
74
Outperform
$3.94B8.5413.04%1.64%-0.95%-9.22%
70
Outperform
$2.73B8.2520.37%6.62%-1.90%
69
Neutral
$4.72B8.9510.50%2.48%-6.06%-32.39%
68
Neutral
$3.35B7.5815.76%4.77%-9.30%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$1.08B10.315.21%-20.62%-45.74%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MHO
M/I Homes
129.16
-36.91
-22.23%
KBH
KB Home
60.96
-20.53
-25.19%
MTH
Meritage
67.02
-25.83
-27.82%
TPH
Tri Pointe
31.73
-11.48
-26.57%
LGIH
LGI Homes
45.75
-62.57
-57.76%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
63.07
-9.20
-12.73%

M/I Homes Corporate Events

M/I Homes Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Results
Oct 23, 2025

M/I Homes, Inc. is a prominent homebuilder specializing in single-family homes across various U.S. regions, including Ohio, Texas, and Florida, known for its diverse product offerings and strategic community locations.

M/I Homes Earnings Call: Mixed Results Amid Market Challenges
Oct 23, 2025

The recent earnings call for M/I Homes Inc. revealed a mixed sentiment, highlighting both significant achievements and notable challenges. The company demonstrated resilience in a tough market environment, showcasing strong performance in mortgage operations and maintaining a robust balance sheet. However, the decline in revenue and sales volume presented a challenge that cannot be overlooked.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
M/I Homes Expands Credit Facility to $900 Million
Positive
Sep 19, 2025

On September 18, 2025, M/I Homes, Inc. amended its unsecured revolving credit facility, increasing lender commitments to $900 million and extending the maturity to 2030. The amendment also introduced an accordion feature allowing potential expansion to $1.05 billion, reduced the SOFR margin, and adjusted commitment fees based on leverage ratios, enhancing financial flexibility for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (MHO) stock is a Buy with a $163.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M/I Homes stock, see the MHO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025