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M/I Homes (MHO)
NYSE:MHO
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M/I Homes (MHO) AI Stock Analysis

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MHO

M/I Homes

(NYSE:MHO)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$138.00
▼(-4.66% Downside)
M/I Homes' overall stock score is primarily driven by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, suggesting potential for long-term growth. While technical indicators show short-term bullish momentum, caution is warranted due to near-overbought conditions. Mixed results from the earnings call reflect both achievements and challenges, but the company's solid financial foundation supports a positive outlook.

M/I Homes (MHO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

M/I Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionM/I Homes (MHO) is a leading builder of single-family homes in the United States, primarily focused on the residential construction sector. Established in 1976, the company operates in several key markets across the country, including major metropolitan areas. M/I Homes offers a variety of home designs and floor plans, catering to diverse customer needs, from first-time homebuyers to move-up and luxury buyers. The company is known for its commitment to quality construction and energy-efficient homes, which are built under the brand name 'M/I Homes.'
How the Company Makes MoneyM/I Homes generates revenue primarily through the sale of newly constructed homes. Its revenue model is based on building and selling homes in various communities, with homes typically sold at a markup over construction costs. Key revenue streams include home sales, where the company earns margins on the homes sold, and additional income from options and upgrades that buyers select during the home buying process. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and subcontractors, which help manage costs and ensure quality. Additionally, M/I Homes may recognize revenue from the sale of land and lots, which further contributes to its overall earnings. The timing of home sales, housing market conditions, and interest rates also significantly impact the company's financial performance.

M/I Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.37%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance for M/I Homes. While the company achieved record revenue and homes delivered, it faced challenges with declining new contracts, pretax income, and earnings per share due to higher interest rates and regional variability in market conditions. However, the strong financial position and growth in mortgage and title operations provide a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Second Quarter Revenue and Homes Delivered
M/I Homes achieved record second quarter revenue of $1.2 billion, a 5% increase from the previous year. The company also delivered a record 2,348 homes, marking a 6% increase compared to a year ago.
Strong Financial Position
The company ended the second quarter with $3.1 billion in equity, marking a 17% increase in book value per share from a year ago. Additionally, M/I Homes had zero borrowings under its $650 million unsecured revolving credit facility and $800 million in cash.
Mortgage and Title Operations Growth
The mortgage and title operations recorded a pretax income of $14.5 million, a slight increase from the previous year. Revenue from these operations increased by 2% to a second quarter record of $31.5 million.
Community Expansion
The company ended the second quarter with a record 234 communities and plans to increase the average community count by about 5% from 2024.
Stable Land Position
M/I Homes owns approximately 24,500 lots and controls an additional 26,000 through option contracts, totaling a 5- to 6-year supply of lots.
Negative Updates
Decline in New Contracts and Pretax Income
New contracts for the second quarter were down 8% from the previous year. Pretax income decreased by 18% to $160.1 million, largely due to a decline in gross margins to 25%.
Challenges with Higher Interest Rates
Higher interest rates have contributed to uncertainty and impacted consumer confidence, resulting in demand challenges and a decrease in new contracts.
Regional Variability in Market Conditions
The Northern and Southern regions experienced differing trends, with new contracts decreasing 13% in the Northern region and 4% in the Southern region.
Decreased Earnings Per Share
Earnings per diluted share for the quarter decreased by 14% to $4.42 per share from $5.12 per share last year.
Company Guidance
During the M/I Homes Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call for fiscal year 2025, the company reported record second quarter revenue of $1.2 billion, a 5% increase from the previous year, and delivered 2,348 homes, marking a 6% increase. Despite an 18% decrease in pretax income to $160.1 million due to a decline in gross margins to 25%, the company maintained a 14% pretax income return. New contracts were down 8% compared to the previous year, with a sequential improvement noted from May to June. The Southern region saw an 8% increase in deliveries, while the Northern region experienced a 2% increase. M/I Homes ended the quarter with 234 communities, a 10% increase from the previous year, and projects a 5% increase in average community count for 2025. The company owns and controls approximately 50,500 lots, equating to a 5- to 6-year supply. Financially, M/I Homes concluded the quarter with $3.1 billion in equity, a book value per share of $117, and a debt-to-capital ratio of 18%. The mortgage and title operations reported a slight increase in pretax income to $14.5 million, with a 2% increase in revenue due to higher margins on loans sold and a higher average loan amount.

M/I Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
M/I Homes demonstrates strong financial performance with stable profitability, effective leverage management, and healthy cash flow generation. The company shows strong profitability with consistent margins and effective cost management. The slight slowdown in revenue growth and cash flow volatility posed potential risks, but overall financial health remains robust.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
M/I Homes shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin and net profit margin over recent years. The company has maintained stable revenue growth, with a slight decrease in the latest TTM compared to the previous annual report. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting prudent leverage management. The return on equity remains strong, illustrating the company's effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is favorable, indicating good financial stability and asset management.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow relative to net income is healthy, indicating effective conversion of profits into cash. Free cash flow has shown significant growth, particularly in the TTM period. However, fluctuations in operating cash flow and past negative free cash flow years indicate potential volatility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.50B4.03B4.13B3.75B3.05B
Gross Profit1.20B1.02B1.04B908.91M676.34M
EBITDA749.06M601.72M652.06M532.63M339.83M
Net Income563.73M465.37M490.66M396.87M239.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.55B4.02B3.71B3.24B2.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments821.57M732.80M311.54M236.37M260.81M
Total Debt1.04B917.15M999.52M1.01B924.35M
Total Liabilities1.61B1.51B1.64B1.62B1.38B
Stockholders Equity2.94B2.52B2.07B1.62B1.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow171.32M546.36M174.74M-42.12M156.66M
Operating Cash Flow179.74M552.13M184.07M-16.82M168.33M
Investing Cash Flow-54.90M-18.63M-27.38M-51.72M-33.87M
Financing Cash Flow-36.07M-112.24M-81.52M44.10M120.26M

M/I Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price144.75
Price Trends
50DMA
117.86
Positive
100DMA
113.62
Positive
200DMA
125.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.14
Negative
RSI
75.38
Negative
STOCH
92.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 144.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.37, above the 50-day MA of 117.86, and above the 200-day MA of 125.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MHO.

M/I Homes Risk Analysis

M/I Homes disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. M/I Homes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

M/I Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.07B8.9411.38%-3.59%-10.82%
78
Outperform
$3.61B7.9517.56%7.39%-1.37%
78
Outperform
$2.92B9.0722.12%13.87%6.54%
73
Outperform
$1.87B7.7010.34%1.68%3.76%-17.55%
67
Neutral
$4.17B8.1114.07%1.59%3.65%-0.61%
67
Neutral
$1.50B9.817.84%-7.89%-19.53%
61
Neutral
$17.22B11.49-5.97%3.08%1.37%-15.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MHO
M/I Homes
142.83
-1.87
-1.29%
KBH
KB Home
63.03
-14.99
-19.21%
TPH
Tri Pointe
35.09
-6.19
-15.00%
LGIH
LGI Homes
65.02
-37.86
-36.80%
CCS
Century Communities
65.35
-25.61
-28.16%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
70.34
-0.46
-0.65%

M/I Homes Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
M/I Homes Annual Shareholder Meeting Decisions
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, M/I Homes held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s leadership and financial oversight. Shareholders elected Nancy J. Kramer, Yvette McGee Brown, and Robert H. Schottenstein as directors to serve until 2028. Additionally, the shareholders approved the compensation of the company’s executive officers and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (MHO) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M/I Homes stock, see the MHO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025