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M/I Homes (MHO)
NYSE:MHO

M/I Homes (MHO) AI Stock Analysis

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MHO

M/I Homes

(NYSE:MHO)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$147.00
▲(15.10% Upside)
M/I Homes presents a strong financial profile with robust profitability and a solid balance sheet. The recent credit facility expansion further strengthens its financial position. However, challenges in revenue growth and sales volume, along with bearish technical indicators, temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Flexibility
The expanded credit facility enhances M/I Homes' financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and operational resilience.
Cash Flow Management
Significant improvement in free cash flow growth indicates effective cash management, supporting long-term operational stability.
Mortgage Operations
Strong performance in mortgage operations boosts profitability and complements core homebuilding activities, enhancing revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue reflects challenges in sales volume, potentially impacting future growth and market competitiveness.
Sales Volume
Decreased sales volume suggests market headwinds or competitive pressures, which could affect long-term revenue stability.
Gross Margin Decline
A decline in gross margins indicates potential cost pressures or pricing challenges, affecting profitability and operational efficiency.

M/I Homes (MHO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

M/I Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionM/I Homes (MHO) is a leading builder of single-family homes in the United States, primarily focusing on the Midwest and Southeast regions. The company operates in the residential construction sector, offering a variety of home styles and designs including traditional, contemporary, and custom homes. M/I Homes is dedicated to building high-quality homes with energy-efficient features, catering to first-time buyers, move-up buyers, and empty nesters alike. In addition to home construction, the company also provides home financing services through its subsidiary.
How the Company Makes MoneyM/I Homes generates revenue primarily through the sale of newly constructed homes. The company's revenue model relies on several key streams: the direct sale of homes, which includes both standard models and custom builds, and home financing services provided to buyers. The company also profits from the sale of lots and land development, which enables them to control their building sites. Significant partnerships with suppliers and subcontractors help M/I Homes manage costs effectively and maintain quality. Additionally, favorable market conditions, such as low interest rates and increased demand for housing, contribute positively to its earnings.

M/I Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance with significant achievements in mortgage operations and maintaining a strong balance sheet, but faced challenges in sales volume and gross margins. The company showed resilience in a tough market, but the decline in revenue and sales cannot be overlooked.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Pre-Tax Income
Generated $140 million of pre-tax income, representing 12% of revenue with gross margins of 24% and a return on equity of 16%.
Record Home Closures
Closed a third quarter record of 2,296 homes, a 1% increase from the previous year.
Mortgage and Title Operations Success
Mortgage and title operations achieved a pre-tax income increase of 28% from last year, capturing 93% of business.
Improved Cycle Time
Cycle time improved by about ten days compared to last year and this year's first quarter.
Strong Balance Sheet
Ended the quarter with $3.1 billion of equity, a book value per share of $120 (up 15% from last year), and zero borrowings under a $900 million unsecured line.
Negative Updates
Decline in Sales
Sold 1,908 homes during the quarter, down 6% compared to 2024's third quarter.
Decrease in Revenue
Third quarter total revenue decreased by 1% to $1.1 billion.
Drop in Average Closing Price
Average closing price decreased by 2% compared to last year's third quarter.
Decrease in Gross Margin
Gross margin was down 320 basis points year over year, with 60 basis points of the decline due to $7.6 million of inventory charges.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses were 11.9% of revenue, with a 6% increase versus a year ago due to higher community counts and selling expenses.
Company Guidance
During the M/I Homes third-quarter earnings conference call, the company reported a pretax income of $140 million, a decrease of 26% from the previous year, with a pretax income percentage of 12% and a gross margin of 24%. Total revenue decreased by 1% to $1.1 billion, with 2,296 homes closed, marking a 1% increase from last year. However, home sales were down 6% at 1,908 units. The Smart Series homes accounted for 52% of sales, up from 50% a year ago. The company ended the quarter with $3.1 billion in equity and a book value per share of $120, a 15% increase from the previous year. M/I Homes maintained a strong balance sheet with zero borrowings under its $900 million credit line and $734 million in cash, achieving a debt-to-capital ratio of 18% and a net debt-to-capital ratio of negative 1%. The mortgage and title operations achieved a 28% increase in pretax income to $16.6 million, with the mortgage operation capturing 93% of business. The company expects to grow its community count by 5% by the end of 2025.

M/I Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
M/I Homes demonstrates strong profitability and a robust balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio. However, the recent decline in revenue growth and fluctuations in free cash flow growth pose challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
M/I Homes has shown strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 25% and a net profit margin above 10% over the years. However, the recent TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 24.8%, which is a concern. Despite this, the company maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 in the TTM period, indicating strong financial stability. Return on equity remains solid at 13.7%, though it has decreased from previous years. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a well-capitalized structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
M/I Homes has demonstrated significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 82% in the TTM period, indicating better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, showing efficient cash conversion. However, past fluctuations in free cash flow growth highlight potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.47B4.50B4.03B4.13B3.75B3.05B
Gross Profit1.11B1.20B1.01B1.04B908.91M684.78M
EBITDA651.67M749.06M621.77M652.06M532.63M334.79M
Net Income472.44M563.73M465.37M490.66M396.87M239.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.77B4.55B4.02B3.71B3.24B2.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments734.17M822.00M736.22M311.33M236.37M260.81M
Total Debt979.93M750.39M751.31M753.78M1.01B924.35M
Total Liabilities1.62B1.61B1.51B1.64B1.62B1.38B
Stockholders Equity3.15B2.94B2.52B2.07B1.62B1.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow243.03M171.32M546.36M174.74M-42.12M156.66M
Operating Cash Flow250.45M179.74M552.13M184.07M-16.82M168.33M
Investing Cash Flow-40.56M-54.90M-18.63M-27.38M-51.72M-33.87M
Financing Cash Flow-195.64M-36.07M-112.24M-81.52M44.10M120.26M

M/I Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price127.72
Price Trends
50DMA
131.38
Negative
100DMA
137.41
Negative
200DMA
124.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
40.54
Neutral
STOCH
22.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 127.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 133.86, below the 50-day MA of 131.38, and above the 200-day MA of 124.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MHO.

M/I Homes Risk Analysis

M/I Homes disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. M/I Homes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

M/I Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.34B7.5015.76%4.77%-9.30%
73
Outperform
$2.79B8.3420.37%6.62%-1.90%
73
Outperform
$2.76B9.429.47%-16.60%-29.85%
71
Outperform
$3.72B9.3310.72%1.77%-10.01%-27.81%
69
Neutral
$4.69B8.8910.50%2.62%-6.06%-32.39%
65
Neutral
$1.03B9.545.21%-20.62%-45.74%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MHO
M/I Homes
127.72
-6.45
-4.81%
KBH
KB Home
56.45
-8.35
-12.89%
MTH
Meritage
65.55
-9.88
-13.10%
TPH
Tri Pointe
31.91
-5.06
-13.69%
LGIH
LGI Homes
43.22
-47.21
-52.21%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
63.39
5.92
10.30%

M/I Homes Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
M/I Homes Expands Credit Facility to $900 Million
Positive
Sep 19, 2025

On September 18, 2025, M/I Homes, Inc. amended its unsecured revolving credit facility, increasing lender commitments to $900 million and extending the maturity to 2030. The amendment also introduced an accordion feature allowing potential expansion to $1.05 billion, reduced the SOFR margin, and adjusted commitment fees based on leverage ratios, enhancing financial flexibility for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025