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M/I Homes Inc (MHO)
NYSE:MHO
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M/I Homes (MHO) AI Stock Analysis

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MHO

M/I Homes

(NYSE:MHO)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$140.00
▲(10.78% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven by above-average fundamentals and a favorable earnings multiple (P/E ~11.7), supported by a strong balance sheet highlighted on the earnings call. These positives are tempered by recent revenue softness, lumpy cash-flow dynamics, and clear near-term margin pressure, while technicals indicate a mixed-to-weak trend relative to key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength & liquidity
A strong, low-leverage balance sheet with large cash and undrawn credit provides durable financial flexibility. It supports continued land investment, withstands housing-cycle downturns, funds buybacks and return-of-capital, and reduces refinancing risk—critical for multi-quarter stability.
Negative Factors
Gross margin compression
A nearly 400bp margin hit from incentives and rising lot costs reflects structural cost pressures and competitive pricing. If incentives or land costs persist, durable margin erosion could impair returns on capital and limit ability to reinvest or maintain shareholder returns over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength & liquidity
A strong, low-leverage balance sheet with large cash and undrawn credit provides durable financial flexibility. It supports continued land investment, withstands housing-cycle downturns, funds buybacks and return-of-capital, and reduces refinancing risk—critical for multi-quarter stability.
Read all positive factors

M/I Homes (MHO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

M/I Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
M/I Homes, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a builder of single-family homes in Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, Florida, Texas, North Carolina, and Tennessee. The company operates through Northern Homebuilding, South...
How the Company Makes Money
M/I Homes makes money primarily by selling newly constructed homes to homebuyers. Its core revenue stream comes from homebuilding operations: it acquires or controls land (directly or via options), develops lots and community infrastructure, const...

M/I Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed but fundamentally stable picture: the company demonstrated a very strong balance sheet, record book value per share, continued sales momentum (new contracts +3% and sold homes +3%), and an improved mortgage capture rate, which supported profitability. However, profitability metrics materially declined (pretax income -39%, EBITDA -36%, EPS -36%) driven by a 390 bps gross margin compression, higher incentives and lot costs, and regional volume variances. Management emphasized discipline on land, inventory and rate-buys, and highlighted market diversification and buyer quality as offsets to near-term margin pressure.
Positive Updates
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Record shareholders' equity of $3.2 billion, cash balance of $767 million (over $750M), no borrowings under the $900M revolving credit facility, debt-to-capital 18% and net debt-to-capital negative 2%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Pretax Income and Profitability Metrics
Pretax income fell 39% year-over-year to $89.2M, and EBITDA decreased to $99M from $154M (down ~36%), reflecting margin pressure and lower operating profit versus prior year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Record shareholders' equity of $3.2 billion, cash balance of $767 million (over $750M), no borrowings under the $900M revolving credit facility, debt-to-capital 18% and net debt-to-capital negative 2%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management gave limited formal guidance but outlined key forward targets and positioning: they’re on track to grow community count ~5% in 2026 (230 communities at Q1; opened 22/closed 24 in Q1; plan to open >80 new stores), will continue share repurchases (Q1 buybacks $50M, $170M remaining authorization; ~ $200M/year historical pace), and expect ASPs to remain in the upper $400Ks (Q1 ASP $459K, -4% Y/Y). They emphasized balance-sheet strength and land supply as the foundation for 2026 results: record shareholders’ equity $3.2B and book value/share $125, cash $767M, $0 drawn on $900M revolver, debt-to-capital 18% (net debt-to-capital -2%), owned ~24,200 lots (~3‑year supply) plus ~25,800 controlled (~50,000 total, ~5‑year supply), Q1 unsold land $1.9B and Q1 land spend $183M. While declining to give explicit margin guidance, they reiterated confidence in delivering solid 2026 results supported by Q1 operating metrics (Q1 revenue $921M, pretax income $89.2M or 10% pretax, ROE 12%, gross margin 22% [-390 bps], SG&A 12.7% of revenue, EBITDA $99M, EPS $2.55, homes sold 2,350 +3%, closings 1,914 -3%, cancellations 8%, inventory homes 2,584 with 740 completed) and mortgage business strength (mortgage pretax $14.1M, revenue $31.2M, loans originated 1,579 +3%, avg loan $401K, avg LTV 85%, capture rate 96%).

M/I Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Above-average fundamentals supported by solid profitability (TTM gross margin ~23%, net margin ~9%) and reasonable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.30–0.36). Offsetting this, revenue has softened (recently negative growth) and cash flows are industry-lumpy, with current operating cash flow coverage lighter than in 2023–2025.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.36B4.42B4.50B4.03B4.13B3.75B
Gross Profit969.67M1.02B1.20B1.01B1.04B908.91M
EBITDA559.63M566.67M749.06M621.77M652.06M532.63M
Net Income359.54M402.94M563.73M465.37M490.66M396.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.79B4.78B4.55B4.02B3.71B3.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments767.42M689.19M822.00M736.22M311.33M236.37M
Total Debt1.01B1.09B1.04B917.15M999.52M1.01B
Total Liabilities1.60B1.61B1.61B1.51B1.64B1.62B
Stockholders Equity3.19B3.17B2.94B2.52B2.07B1.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow199.27M120.73M171.32M546.36M174.74M-42.12M
Operating Cash Flow207.69M130.34M179.74M552.13M184.07M-16.82M
Investing Cash Flow-51.69M-59.74M-54.90M-18.63M-27.38M-51.72M
Financing Cash Flow-164.96M-202.98M-36.07M-112.24M-81.52M44.10M

M/I Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price126.38
Price Trends
50DMA
126.27
Positive
100DMA
131.78
Positive
200DMA
134.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
56.91
Neutral
STOCH
75.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 126.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.62, above the 50-day MA of 126.27, and below the 200-day MA of 134.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MHO.

M/I Homes Risk Analysis

M/I Homes disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. M/I Homes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

M/I Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.86B11.4816.38%-6.58%-18.09%
70
Outperform
$3.32B11.7411.42%-1.83%-30.18%
68
Neutral
$4.28B18.837.40%2.62%-10.63%-45.01%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$3.04B29.809.01%1.76%-13.61%-37.18%
50
Neutral
$1.07B105.923.39%-22.62%-60.74%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MHO
M/I Homes
132.11
25.13
23.49%
KBH
KB Home
49.22
-1.32
-2.61%
MTH
Meritage
64.79
2.74
4.42%
LGIH
LGI Homes
46.75
-4.16
-8.17%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
67.14
8.89
15.26%

M/I Homes Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
M/I Homes Shareholders Approve Directors and Executive Pay
Positive
May 14, 2026
On May 13, 2026, M/I Homes held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where investors elected three directors, Phillip G. Creek, Eugene D. Smith, and Bruce A. Soll, to serve on the board until the 2029 annual meeting. These elections help shape the ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026