Green Brick Partners (GRBK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.98B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 257.09K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.7
• Beta (1Y): 1.17
• Revenue Growth: 13.87%
• EPS Growth: 6.54%
• Country: US
• Employees: 650
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Residential Construction
• EPS (TTM): 1.85
• Shares Outstanding: 43,565,098
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 217,699
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 257,088
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.01
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.42
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.39
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.57
• 1Y Price Target: $66.50
• Price Target Upside: -2.26% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 75 Outperform
• Price Target: $77.00 ▲(13.17% Upside)

Green Brick Partners exhibits strong financial performance and a solid valuation, which are tempered by technical indicators suggesting short-term bearish momentum and mixed earnings call results. The company's strategic initiatives and financial stability are positive, but market challenges and cost pressures require careful monitoring.

Green Brick Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) is a diversified homebuilding and land development company based in the United States. The company operates through various segments, primarily engaging in the construction of single-family homes and residential communities. Green Brick focuses on markets with strong demand and growth potential, offering tailored housing solutions that cater to varying customer needs. Its core products include homes designed for first-time buyers, move-up buyers, and active adults, positioning itself as a key player in the U.S. housing market.

How the Company Makes Money

Green Brick Partners generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties. The company makes money by developing and selling single-family homes, as well as through its land development operations, which involve acquiring and preparing land for residential construction. Key revenue streams include home sales, which are the primary source of income, along with ancillary services such as lot sales to other builders. Additionally, Green Brick may benefit from strategic partnerships with local builders and developers, which can enhance its market reach and operational efficiency. The company also capitalizes on favorable market conditions in high-demand areas, allowing it to maximize profit margins on home sales.

Green Brick Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Green Brick Partners demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profit margins, and prudent balance sheet management. The company has shown impressive cash flow improvements, although there are challenges in cost management and return on equity.

Income Statement

Green Brick Partners has shown robust revenue growth with a compound annual growth rate of over 15% since 2020. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin of approximately 32.2% for TTM, coupled with a healthy net profit margin of 16.4%. However, a slight decrease in EBIT and EBITDA margins in recent periods suggests potential cost management challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company exhibits strong financial stability with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.009, indicating minimal reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio of 74.5% showcases a sound asset base funded by equity. However, the declining return on equity, currently at 20.3% for TTM, may indicate challenges in efficiently utilizing shareholder funds.

Cash Flow

Green Brick Partners has demonstrated impressive cash flow management with a substantial increase in free cash flow, up by over 700% from the previous annual report. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.47 indicates efficient cash conversion, although there remains room for improvement in aligning cash flow with profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.14B	2.10B	1.78B	1.76B	1.40B	976.02M
Gross Profit	688.90M	703.52M	548.18M	523.02M	362.06M	234.60M
EBITDA	460.83M	476.95M	358.75M	361.45M	230.53M	126.14M
Net Income	349.93M	381.58M	284.63M	291.90M	190.21M	113.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.32B	2.25B	1.90B	1.66B	1.42B	988.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	112.46M	141.54M	179.76M	76.59M	78.70M	19.48M
Total Debt	299.27M	344.95M	354.76M	371.42M	339.66M	222.46M
Total Liabilities	520.37M	551.83M	548.68M	543.62M	511.31M	339.44M
Stockholders Equity	1.73B	1.63B	1.30B	1.06B	874.55M	640.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	162.75M	21.55M	205.54M	88.66M	-94.41M	32.23M
Operating Cash Flow	166.19M	25.91M	213.34M	90.68M	-92.38M	35.10M
Investing Cash Flow	-55.91M	27.84M	-13.35M	-6.48M	-2.03M	-13.30M
Financing Cash Flow	-122.67M	-93.51M	-93.80M	-84.48M	154.33M	-25.85M

Green Brick Partners Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 68.04
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRBK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 68.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.47, below the 50-day MA of 70.38, and above the 200-day MA of 63.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.28 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GRBK.

Green Brick Partners Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GRBK	75 Outperform	$2.98B	8.70	22.12%	―	13.87%	6.54%
MHO	73 Outperform	$3.48B	7.76	15.76%	―	4.82%	-9.30%
TPH	73 Outperform	$2.87B	9.90	9.47%	―	-16.60%	-29.85%
CCS	71 Outperform	$1.93B	9.50	8.37%	1.79%	-6.28%	-31.55%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
LGIH	61 Neutral	$1.06B	6.95	7.84%	―	-7.89%	-19.53%
DFH	60 Neutral	$2.15B	7.86	23.25%	―	20.18%	-1.04%

Green Brick Partners Corporate Events

Green Brick Partners’ Mixed Earnings Call: Records Amid Challenges

Green Brick Partners Inc’s recent earnings call painted a picture of mixed outcomes, with notable achievements tempered by significant challenges. The company set records in home closings and net new orders, maintaining a strong financial position. However, declines in net income and earnings per share (EPS), alongside increased reliance on incentives, highlighted the pressures from high interest rates. The performance of the Trophy Signature Homes brand and capital returns to shareholders were bright spots in an otherwise mixed quarter, influenced heavily by external economic factors.

Green Brick Partners Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a diversified homebuilding and land development company operating primarily in Texas, Georgia, and Florida, known for its strategic land acquisition and self-development approach.

Green Brick Partners Announces Series A Dividend

On September 15, 2025, Green Brick Partners announced that holders of its Series A Depositary Shares as of September 1, 2025, will receive a quarterly dividend of $359.38 per share of Series A Preferred Stock. This dividend, covering the period from June 15, 2025, to September 15, 2025, reflects a 5.75% annual rate based on a $25,000 liquidation preference per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRBK) stock is a Hold with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Green Brick Partners stock, see the GRBK Stock Forecast page.