Green Brick Partners (GRBK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.61B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 246.78K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.23
• Revenue Growth: 21.22%
• EPS Growth: 24.90%
• Country: US
• Employees: 650
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Residential Construction
• EPS (TTM): 1.67
• Shares Outstanding: 43,926,290
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 245,647
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 246,780
• PEG Ratio: 0.06
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.09
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.02
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.55
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.18
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.04
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.78
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: $68.00 ▲(14.32%Upside)

Green Brick Partners' strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the most significant factors contributing to its score. While the earnings call and technical analysis present a mixed view, they are outweighed by the company's financial stability and growth prospects.

Green Brick Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates as a homebuilding and land development company in the United States. It operates through Builder operations Central, Builder operations Southeast, and Land development segments. The company is involved in the land acquisition and development, entitlements, design, construction, title and mortgage services, marketing, and sale of townhomes, patio homes, single family homes, and luxury homes in residential neighborhoods, and master planned communities. As of December 31,2021, the company owns or controls approximately 28,600 home sites in Dallas-Forth Worth, Atlanta metropolitan areas, and the Treasure Coast, Florida market. The company sells its homes through sales representatives and independent realtors. Green Brick Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Green Brick Partners makes money primarily through its Builder Operations and Land Development segments. In the Builder Operations segment, the company generates revenue by constructing and selling residential homes, including single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums. These sales are carried out either directly to consumers or through collaborations with partner builders. In the Land Development segment, Green Brick Partners earns revenue by acquiring and developing land that is then sold to its own builder operations or third-party builders, providing a pipeline of land for future home construction. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by factors such as housing market demand, land acquisition strategies, and construction costs. Additionally, strategic partnerships with builders and a focus on high-growth geographic regions contribute to its revenue stream.

Green Brick Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Green Brick Partners exhibits strong financial performance, evidenced by significant revenue growth and stable gross profit margins. The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity base, although past cash flow fluctuations suggest the need for careful management.

Income Statement

Green Brick Partners shows strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $976 million in 2020 to $2.15 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025, reflecting a robust expansion strategy. The Gross Profit Margin has remained stable, around 33%, indicating effective cost management. Net Profit Margin has also improved, reaching approximately 17.4% in TTM 2025. EBITDA Margin remains strong at about 22.8%, demonstrating operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio has decreased significantly from 0.52 in 2020 to a very low 0.01 in TTM 2025, showcasing reduced leverage and financial stability. Return on Equity is strong at around 22.1% for TTM 2025, indicating efficient use of shareholders' equity. The Equity Ratio has improved to 74.4%, reflecting a strong equity base and reduced reliance on debt.

Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow has seen substantial growth, with a Free Cash Flow of $89.5 million in TTM 2025, up from $32.2 million in 2020. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is solid at 0.25 in TTM 2025, suggesting good cash conversion. However, cash flow fluctuations in earlier years highlight potential risks in operational cash management.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
2.15B	2.10B	1.78B	1.76B	1.40B	976.02M
	Gross Profit
709.80M	703.52M	548.18M	523.02M	362.06M	234.60M
	EBIT
480.16M	476.95M	355.20M	356.71M	225.05M	119.17M
	EBITDA
492.43M	476.95M	358.75M	361.45M	230.53M	126.14M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
373.34M	381.58M	284.63M	291.90M	190.21M	113.69M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
103.00M	141.54M	179.76M	76.59M	78.70M	19.48M
	Total Assets
2.27B	2.25B	1.90B	1.66B	1.42B	988.85M
	Total Debt
14.87M	344.95M	354.76M	371.42M	339.66M	222.46M
	Net Debt
-88.13M	203.41M	175.00M	294.84M	260.97M	202.98M
	Total Liabilities
515.26M	551.83M	548.68M	543.62M	511.31M	339.44M
	Stockholders Equity
1.69B	1.63B	1.30B	1.06B	874.55M	640.24M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
89.51M	21.55M	205.54M	88.66M	-94.41M	32.23M
	Operating Cash Flow
93.64M	25.91M	213.34M	90.68M	-92.38M	35.10M
	Investing Cash Flow
-45.45M	27.84M	-13.35M	-6.48M	-2.03M	-13.30M
	Financing Cash Flow
-123.85M	-93.51M	-93.80M	-84.48M	154.33M	-25.85M

Green Brick Partners Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 59.48
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRBK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 59.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.89, above the 50-day MA of 58.75, and below the 200-day MA of 65.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GRBK.

Green Brick Partners Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GRBK	77 Outperform	$2.61B	7.18	24.29%	―	21.22%	24.90%
MHO	77 Outperform	$2.87B	5.66	19.02%	―	8.68%	8.39%
TPH	74 Outperform	$2.75B	6.76	13.28%	―	10.82%	19.34%
DFH	74 Outperform	$2.13B	7.10	26.25%	―	21.18%	11.40%
CCS	66 Neutral	$1.62B	5.47	12.36%	2.19%	10.75%	8.31%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$6.82B	11.05	2.80%	4.32%	2.67%	-24.92%
LGIH	58 Neutral	$1.16B	6.41	9.36%	―	-4.37%	-3.17%

Green Brick Partners Corporate Events

Green Brick Partners Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting

On June 10, 2025, Green Brick Partners, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders voted on the election of seven director nominees and the ratification of RSM US LLP as the company’s independent registered accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year. The election of directors was approved, with all nominees receiving a majority of votes, and the appointment of RSM US LLP was also ratified, indicating continued stability and confidence in the company’s governance and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (GRBK) stock is a Hold with a $78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Green Brick Partners stock, see the GRBK Stock Forecast page.

Green Brick Partners Appoints Jeffery Cox as Interim CFO

On March 17, 2025, Richard A. Costello resigned as Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer of Green Brick Partners, Inc., and Jeffery Cox was appointed as the interim replacement. Cox, who has extensive experience in the homebuilding industry, has been with the company since June 2023 and has played a significant role in launching the company’s mortgage subsidiary and overseeing its title operations.