Green Brick Partners (GRBK) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.00B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 269.12K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 8.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.17
• Revenue Growth: 13.87%
• EPS Growth: 6.54%
• Country: US
• Employees: 650
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 77
• Industry: Residential Construction
• EPS (TTM): 1.85
• Shares Outstanding: 43,565,098
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 263,973
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 269,124
• PEG Ratio: 0.18
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.55
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.20
• P/FCF Ratio: 116.69
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.01
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.42
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.39
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 6.57
• 1Y Price Target: $70.33
• Price Target Upside: 1.66% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: $78.00 ▲(12.75% Upside)

Green Brick Partners' strong financial performance and undervaluation are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical indicators support a positive trend, though earnings call insights suggest caution due to financial pressures. Corporate events add a minor positive influence.

Green Brick Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates as a homebuilding and land development company in the United States. It operates through Builder operations Central, Builder operations Southeast, and Land development segments. The company is involved in the land acquisition and development, entitlements, design, construction, title and mortgage services, marketing, and sale of townhomes, patio homes, single family homes, and luxury homes in residential neighborhoods, and master planned communities. As of December 31,2021, the company owns or controls approximately 28,600 home sites in Dallas-Forth Worth, Atlanta metropolitan areas, and the Treasure Coast, Florida market. The company sells its homes through sales representatives and independent realtors. Green Brick Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Green Brick Partners generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties. The company makes money by developing and selling single-family homes, as well as through its land development operations, which involve acquiring and preparing land for residential construction. Key revenue streams include home sales, which are the primary source of income, along with ancillary services such as lot sales to other builders. Additionally, Green Brick may benefit from strategic partnerships with local builders and developers, which can enhance its market reach and operational efficiency. The company also capitalizes on favorable market conditions in high-demand areas, allowing it to maximize profit margins on home sales.

Green Brick Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Green Brick Partners demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profit margins, and prudent balance sheet management. Despite slight challenges in cost management and efficiency, the company's financial performance remains solid overall.

Income Statement

Green Brick Partners has shown robust revenue growth with a compound annual growth rate of over 15% since 2020. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin of approximately 32.2% for TTM, coupled with a healthy net profit margin of 16.4%. However, a slight decrease in EBIT and EBITDA margins in recent periods suggests potential cost management challenges.

Balance Sheet

The company exhibits strong financial stability with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.009, indicating minimal reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio of 74.5% showcases a sound asset base funded by equity. However, the declining return on equity, currently at 20.3% for TTM, may indicate challenges in efficiently utilizing shareholder funds.

Cash Flow

Green Brick Partners has demonstrated impressive cash flow management with a substantial increase in free cash flow, up by over 700% from the previous annual report. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.47 indicates efficient cash conversion, although there remains room for improvement in aligning cash flow with profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.14B	2.10B	1.78B	1.76B	1.40B	976.02M
Gross Profit	688.90M	703.52M	548.18M	523.02M	362.06M	234.60M
EBITDA	460.83M	476.95M	358.75M	361.45M	230.53M	126.14M
Net Income	349.93M	381.58M	284.63M	291.90M	190.21M	113.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.32B	2.25B	1.90B	1.66B	1.42B	988.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	112.46M	141.54M	179.76M	76.59M	78.70M	19.48M
Total Debt	299.27M	344.95M	354.76M	371.42M	339.66M	222.46M
Total Liabilities	520.37M	551.83M	548.68M	543.62M	511.31M	339.44M
Stockholders Equity	1.73B	1.63B	1.30B	1.06B	874.55M	640.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	162.75M	21.55M	205.54M	88.66M	-94.41M	32.23M
Operating Cash Flow	166.19M	25.91M	213.34M	90.68M	-92.38M	35.10M
Investing Cash Flow	-55.91M	27.84M	-13.35M	-6.48M	-2.03M	-13.30M
Financing Cash Flow	-122.67M	-93.51M	-93.80M	-84.48M	154.33M	-25.85M

Green Brick Partners Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 69.18
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRBK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 69.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.32, above the 50-day MA of 64.52, and above the 200-day MA of 62.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GRBK.

Green Brick Partners Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MHO	80 Outperform	$3.74B	7.86	17.56%	―	7.39%	-1.37%
TPH	79 Outperform	$3.03B	8.92	11.38%	―	-3.59%	-10.82%
GRBK	77 Outperform	$3.00B	8.84	22.12%	―	13.87%	6.54%
DFH	74 Outperform	$2.60B	9.51	23.25%	―	20.18%	-1.04%
CCS	73 Outperform	$1.93B	7.95	10.34%	1.66%	3.76%	-17.55%
LGIH	71 Outperform	$1.51B	9.86	7.84%	―	-7.89%	-19.53%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$17.51B	12.51	-5.96%	3.09%	1.71%	-15.50%

Green Brick Partners Corporate Events

Green Brick Partners Announces Series A Dividend

On September 15, 2025, Green Brick Partners announced that holders of its Series A Depositary Shares as of September 1, 2025, will receive a quarterly dividend of $359.38 per share of Series A Preferred Stock. This dividend, covering the period from June 15, 2025, to September 15, 2025, reflects a 5.75% annual rate based on a $25,000 liquidation preference per share.

Green Brick Partners Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting

On June 10, 2025, Green Brick Partners, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where stockholders voted on the election of seven director nominees and the ratification of RSM US LLP as the company’s independent registered accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year. The election of directors was approved, with all nominees receiving a majority of votes, and the appointment of RSM US LLP was also ratified, indicating continued stability and confidence in the company’s governance and financial oversight.