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Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH)
NYSE:DFH
US Market
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Dream Finders Homes (DFH) AI Stock Analysis

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DFH

Dream Finders Homes

(NYSE:DFH)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼(-5.53% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/22/26
The score is primarily held back by weakening financial quality—especially sustained negative operating/free cash flow alongside higher leverage—and bearish technical positioning below major moving averages. Valuation is only moderate at ~24x earnings with no dividend yield provided, while the proposed all-cash Beazer acquisition adds some upside optionality but also introduces added execution and balance-sheet risk.
Positive Factors
Acquisition-led, land-light model
Dream Finders' proven land-light, acquisition-driven model and history of integrating 10 prior deals indicate a durable capability to scale without heavy capital intensity. This reduces fixed asset risk, helps preserve ROE, and supports repeatable margin expansion from synergies over months.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow in the TTM period signals structural cash absorption from working capital or investment. This reduces liquidity, limits self-funding for land and community development, and increases reliance on external financing over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Acquisition-led, land-light model
Dream Finders' proven land-light, acquisition-driven model and history of integrating 10 prior deals indicate a durable capability to scale without heavy capital intensity. This reduces fixed asset risk, helps preserve ROE, and supports repeatable margin expansion from synergies over months.
Read all positive factors

Dream Finders Homes Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsDream Finders Homes is experiencing robust growth in the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest regions, with notable revenue surges in late 2024. However, the first half of 2025 shows a pullback, particularly in the Mid-Atlantic. The Southeast region remains volatile, while Financial Services is steadily gaining momentum, doubling its revenue from early 2024 to late 2025. The elimination of negative reconciling items since late 2024 suggests improved financial management. Investors should watch for sustainability of growth in key regions and the impact of financial services expansion on overall performance.
Data provided by:The Fly

Dream Finders Homes (DFH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dream Finders Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. operates as a holding company for Dream Finders Holdings LLC that engages in homebuilding business in the United States. It designs, constructs, and sells single-family entry-level, and first-time and second time move-up ...
How the Company Makes Money
DFH primarily makes money by selling newly constructed homes to individual homebuyers. Revenue is recognized from home sales (the contracted sale price) when the home is delivered/closed to the buyer, and the company’s homebuilding revenue is driv...

Dream Finders Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains positive (TTM net income ~$176M), but fundamentals have weakened: revenue growth turned modestly negative, margins compressed versus 2023–2024, leverage increased materially (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.21; total debt up sharply), and cash flow is a major red flag with negative TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.22B4.32B4.45B3.75B3.34B1.92B
Gross Profit690.78M754.77M828.58M736.77M620.20M313.58M
EBITDA262.51M313.26M450.05M422.32M373.28M172.57M
Net Income175.55M217.20M335.34M295.90M262.31M122.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.97B3.73B3.33B2.56B2.37B1.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments479.01M234.77M274.38M494.14M364.53M227.23M
Total Debt1.89B591.06M1.30B845.42M990.91M786.41M
Total Liabilities2.38B2.12B1.91B1.48B1.57B1.34B
Stockholders Equity1.56B1.57B1.39B1.07B787.72M532.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-133.31M-126.37M-281.99M369.45M-33.17M62.20M
Operating Cash Flow-105.41M-100.57M-256.65M374.23M-27.62M64.97M
Investing Cash Flow-121.22M-225.84M-221.67M-4.48M-5.52M-523.04M
Financing Cash Flow357.55M270.98M269.69M-216.42M146.96M646.02M

Dream Finders Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.82
Price Trends
50DMA
14.28
Positive
100DMA
16.46
Negative
200DMA
19.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
53.06
Neutral
STOCH
78.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DFH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.10, above the 50-day MA of 14.28, and below the 200-day MA of 19.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DFH.

Dream Finders Homes Risk Analysis

Dream Finders Homes disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dream Finders Homes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dream Finders Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.86B11.4816.38%-6.58%-18.09%
70
Outperform
$3.32B11.7411.42%-1.83%-30.18%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$1.49B17.155.16%1.99%-7.87%-54.59%
50
Neutral
$1.34B24.1611.44%-8.51%-49.37%
50
Neutral
$1.07B105.923.39%-22.62%-60.74%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DFH
Dream Finders Homes
14.59
-7.00
-32.42%
MHO
M/I Homes
129.82
23.47
22.07%
LGIH
LGI Homes
46.11
-5.39
-10.47%
CCS
Century Communities
51.95
-0.08
-0.15%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
66.33
7.24
12.25%

Dream Finders Homes Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Dream Finders Reaffirms All-Cash Bid for Beazer Homes
Positive
May 21, 2026
On May 21, 2026, Dream Finders Homes released an investor presentation reaffirming its May 5, 2026 all-cash proposal to acquire Beazer Homes USA for $25.75 per share, valuing Beazer at about $704 million, a roughly 40% premium to Beazer’s Ma...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Dream Finders Homes Proposes All-Cash Acquisition of Beazer
Positive
May 11, 2026
On May 11, 2026, Dream Finders Homes announced it had submitted a proposal to acquire all outstanding shares of Beazer Homes USA in an all-cash deal valued at approximately $704 million, offering $25.75 per share, a roughly 40% premium to Beazer&#...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026