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KB Home (KBH)
NYSE:KBH

KB Home (KBH) AI Stock Analysis

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KBH

KB Home

(NYSE:KBH)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(15.66% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/13/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but cooling financial performance (declining revenue and margin compression, with uneven cash flow) offset by favorable technical trend signals and an attractive valuation. Added liquidity from the new credit line is a modest positive support factor.
Positive Factors
Market position & product mix
KB Home’s scale and geographic mix across high-demand states (CA, TX, FL) and focus on customizable, energy-efficient homes provide durable demand diversification and pricing optionality. This supports steady order flow, repeatable revenue streams and competitive positioning over a multi-quarter horizon.
Liquidity and financing flexibility
The new, larger revolving credit line materially strengthens liquidity and reduces near-term refinancing risk, giving KB Home flexibility to fund land acquisitions, working capital swings, and community development. This structural buffer supports operations through housing-cycle variability.
Proven cash-generation in stronger cycles
KB Home’s track record of very strong operating and free cash flow in robust housing conditions demonstrates the business model’s capacity to self-fund growth, de-lever, and return capital. Even with cyclical swings, the company retains the structural ability to generate substantial cash when volumes recover.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue & margin compression
Recent downtrend in revenue and meaningful margin compression indicate reduced pricing power and/or higher build costs. Persisting margin pressure can erode return on invested capital, limit reinvestment capacity, and weaken long-term profitability if the housing backdrop remains soft.
Free cash flow volatility & cycle sensitivity
Material FCF volatility tied to working capital and the housing cycle complicates capital allocation and increases reliance on external liquidity during downturns. Episodic negative cash flow reduces the company’s margin for error and can force asset-sales, slower land buys, or higher borrowing in weak quarters.
Regulatory / industry antitrust risk
A potential DOJ probe into information-sharing or coordination within industry trade groups is a structural regulatory risk. It could lead to higher compliance costs, limits on cooperative practices around land/supply, and possible remedies that constrain how builders coordinate, raising execution risk long term.

KB Home (KBH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KB Home Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKB Home operates as a homebuilding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: West Coast, Southwest, Central, and Southeast. It builds and sells various homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers. The company also offers financial services, such as insurance products and title services. It has operations in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, Texas, and Washington. The company was formerly known as Kaufman and Broad Home Corporation and changed its name to KB Home in January 2001. KB Home was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyKB Home generates revenue primarily through the sale of newly constructed homes to individual buyers. The company earns money by acquiring land, developing residential communities, and constructing homes, which are then sold to consumers at a profit. Key revenue streams include the sale of homes, which accounts for the majority of its revenue, as well as revenue from homebuyer options and upgrades during the purchasing process. Additionally, KB Home benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and subcontractors that help manage construction costs and improve efficiency. Their focus on energy-efficient homes and sustainability also attracts environmentally conscious buyers, further enhancing their market position and contributing to revenue growth.

KB Home Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Shows revenue distribution across different regions, highlighting where KB Home is performing well and identifying areas with growth opportunities or potential risks.
Chart InsightsKB Home's West Coast revenue shows a robust recovery in 2024, peaking in late 2024, which aligns with the company's strategic focus on built-to-order homes to improve margins. Despite a decline in average selling prices and margin pressures, the Southwest and Southeast regions maintain steady growth, reflecting operational improvements and cost efficiencies. However, the Central region faces challenges with declining revenues, possibly due to higher land costs and regional mix issues. The earnings call's cautiously optimistic tone suggests a focus on expanding community count and enhancing shareholder returns, despite these regional disparities.
Data provided by:The Fly

KB Home Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, effective shareholder returns, and operational improvements, particularly in build times and cost efficiency. However, challenges such as a decline in average selling price, margin pressures, and a decreased backlog were noted. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with a focus on improving margins and maintaining operational efficiency.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Total revenues for fiscal 2025 were over $6.2 billion, with a net income of nearly $430 million. Book value per share increased by 10%.
Shareholder Returns
Returned more than $600 million in capital to shareholders in fiscal 2025, including $540 million in share repurchases.
Operational Improvements
Improved build times by roughly 20% year over year in Q4, with build times hitting a target of 120 days or less.
Community Expansion
Increased community count by 5% to 271 active communities and plans to open 35-40 new communities in Q1 2026.
Efficiency in Costs
Achieved a 4% sequential and 6% year-over-year reduction in direct costs for homes started in the fourth quarter.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Average Selling Price
The average selling price declined 7% to $466,000 due to regional and product mix and general market conditions.
Net Orders and Backlog Decline
Net orders in Q4 were 2,414, with a beginning backlog representing 27% of the full-year delivery target compared to 34% at the start of 2025.
Margin Pressure
Housing gross profit margin was 17%, down from the previous year, affected by higher land costs and regional and product mix.
Spec Inventory Challenges
Older spec inventory with higher build costs impacted margins negatively.
First Quarter 2026 Margin Expectations
Margins expected to be between 15.4% and 16% in Q1 2026 due to seasonality, pricing pressure, and higher lot costs.
Company Guidance
During the KB Home 2025 Fourth Quarter Conference Call, the company reported significant metrics and future guidance. KB Home achieved total revenues of over $6.2 billion for the fiscal year 2025, with nearly $430 million in net income, leading to a 10% increase in book value per share. The company repurchased 13% of its outstanding shares, resulting in over $600 million returned to shareholders, including dividends. In the fourth quarter, they reported revenues of just under $1.7 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $1.92. Additionally, KB Home produced 2,414 net orders and maintained a stable cancellation rate of 18%. The company plans to open 35 to 40 new communities in the first quarter of 2026 and anticipates improving gross margins through a focus on built-to-order (BTO) homes, with a target of increasing BTO deliveries from 57% to 70% or higher. For fiscal 2026, KB Home projects housing revenues between $5.1 billion and $6.1 billion, based on deliveries of 11,000 to 12,500 homes. The company also emphasized its strong balance sheet with $1.43 billion in liquidity and a total debt-to-capital ratio of 30.3%.

KB Home Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitable but clearly past a cyclical peak: 2025 revenue declined (-4.67%) and net margin compressed to ~6.9% from ~9.5% in 2024. Balance sheet appears reasonably supported by equity with moderate leverage, but cash flow is a swing factor—still positive recently, yet free cash flow fell in 2025 and has been historically volatile.
Income Statement
70
Positive
KB Home remains solidly profitable, but results have clearly cooled versus the 2022 peak. Revenue declined in 2025 (-4.67%) after modest growth in 2024, and profitability compressed meaningfully: net margin fell to ~6.9% in 2025 from ~9.5% in 2024 (and ~11.8% in 2022). Gross margin and operating margins show the same downshift, indicating weaker pricing/power and/or higher costs. Strengths are continued positive earnings and still-respectable margins for the industry; the key weakness is the downtrend in growth and profitability over the last two years.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Leverage looks moderate overall, with debt around $1.69B against equity of ~$3.90B in 2025 (implying debt meaningfully below equity). Total assets are stable-to-slightly down from 2024, and equity remains large, supporting balance-sheet resilience. However, returns on equity were not provided for 2025 (and leverage ratios appear inconsistent in the dataset for 2025), limiting visibility into the latest period’s capital efficiency. Prior years show a stronger return profile (notably 2022–2024), but the main risk is that profitability pressure could reduce returns and balance-sheet flexibility if the housing cycle weakens further.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is positive but uneven. Operating cash flow was positive in 2025 (~$336M) and 2024 (~$363M), with positive free cash flow in both years, but free cash flow declined in 2025 (-17.87%), and the company has shown volatility (including negative operating and free cash flow in 2021). A major positive is the very strong cash generation in 2023 (over $1.0B of operating and free cash flow), demonstrating the model’s potential in stronger conditions; the downside is that the step-down since then highlights sensitivity to working capital and the housing cycle.
BreakdownNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.24B6.93B6.41B6.90B5.72B
Gross Profit1.18B1.48B1.39B1.69B1.26B
EBITDA595.13M888.19M807.69M1.10B723.99M
Net Income428.79M655.02M590.18M816.67M564.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.72B6.94B6.65B6.65B5.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments230.44M599.19M727.34M330.20M292.14M
Total Debt1.73B1.71B1.72B2.37B1.71B
Total Liabilities2.82B2.88B2.84B2.99B2.82B
Stockholders Equity3.90B4.06B3.81B3.66B3.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow290.25M323.41M1.05B138.18M-76.69M
Operating Cash Flow338.65M362.72M1.08B183.42M-37.30M
Investing Cash Flow-64.76M-50.12M-58.06M-71.77M-38.08M
Financing Cash Flow-642.63M-440.75M-627.49M-73.58M-315.01M

KB Home Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price60.52
Price Trends
50DMA
60.38
Positive
100DMA
60.98
Negative
200DMA
59.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Positive
RSI
42.62
Neutral
STOCH
20.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KBH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 60.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.18, above the 50-day MA of 60.38, and above the 200-day MA of 59.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KBH.

KB Home Risk Analysis

KB Home disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. KB Home reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

KB Home Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$6.12B8.1812.87%6.98%9.74%
74
Outperform
$4.92B23.7513.69%12.14%48.68%
71
Outperform
$3.66B9.6713.20%4.77%-9.30%
70
Outperform
$3.82B9.8310.70%1.76%-10.01%-27.81%
69
Neutral
$3.92B17.067.25%-16.60%-29.85%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$4.81B11.358.76%2.62%-6.06%-32.39%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KBH
KB Home
60.52
-0.38
-0.62%
MHO
M/I Homes
142.21
23.07
19.36%
MTH
Meritage
72.08
-0.82
-1.12%
SKY
Champion Homes
88.99
-10.84
-10.86%
TPH
Tri Pointe
46.36
14.53
45.65%
TMHC
Taylor Morrison
63.57
2.12
3.45%

KB Home Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
KB Home Sets 2025 Incentive Awards for Top Executives
Neutral
Jan 23, 2026

On January 22, 2026, KB Home’s board of directors, through its management development and compensation committee, set the fiscal 2025 annual incentive awards for participants in the company’s incentive compensation program, including its named executive officers. The committee approved total annual incentive payouts of $2,826,839 for President and Chief Executive Officer Robert V. McGibney, $5,846,862 for Executive Chairman Jeffrey T. Mezger, $1,353,038 for executive Albert Z. Praw and $1,253,180 for executive Brian J. Woram, reflecting the board’s compensation decisions for senior leadership for the 2025 fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (KBH) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KB Home stock, see the KBH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
KB Home announces upcoming board transition for 2026
Neutral
Jan 7, 2026

On January 6, 2026, KB Home announced that director James C. Weaver had informed the company he would not seek re-election at its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders and would serve out the remainder of his term until that meeting. The company said Weaver’s decision was not the result of any disagreement with KB Home or its board, indicating that the board transition is expected to be orderly and not driven by governance or strategic disputes.

The most recent analyst rating on (KBH) stock is a Buy with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KB Home stock, see the KBH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
KB Home Secures New $1.2 Billion Credit Line
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, KB Home entered into a new revolving credit agreement with Bank of America, N.A., allowing for loans up to $1.2 billion, potentially increasing to $1.7 billion with additional commitments. This new facility replaces a previous agreement with Citibank, N.A., which had a commitment of up to $1.09 billion, and was terminated without penalties, reflecting KB Home’s ongoing financial management and strategic banking relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (KBH) stock is a Buy with a $83.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KB Home stock, see the KBH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026