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KB Home (KBH)
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KB Home (KBH) AI Stock Analysis

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KBH

KB Home

(NYSE:KBH)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$67.00
▲(9.53% Upside)
KB Home's overall score is driven by strong earnings performance and attractive valuation metrics, despite challenges in cash flow and revenue growth. The technical analysis suggests potential for recovery if market conditions improve. The company's strategic focus on operational efficiencies and shareholder returns provides a positive outlook, though regional pressures remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency through reduced build times and cost management enhances profitability and customer satisfaction, supporting long-term competitiveness.
Shareholder Returns
Significant share repurchases reflect strong cash flow management and a commitment to enhancing shareholder value, indicating confidence in future performance.
Market Conditions
Favorable market conditions with declining mortgage rates boost housing demand, providing a supportive environment for revenue growth in the coming months.
Negative Factors
Order and Backlog Decline
Declines in net orders and backlog suggest potential future revenue challenges, indicating a need for strategic adjustments to sustain growth.
Cash Flow Challenges
Substantial reduction in free cash flow highlights liquidity concerns, which could impact the company's ability to invest in growth and manage debt effectively.
Regional Market Pressures
Regional market pressures from high prices and supply increases may limit sales growth and margin expansion in key markets, affecting overall performance.

KB Home (KBH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KB Home Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKB Home operates as a homebuilding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: West Coast, Southwest, Central, and Southeast. It builds and sells various homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers. The company also offers financial services, such as insurance products and title services. It has operations in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, Texas, and Washington. The company was formerly known as Kaufman and Broad Home Corporation and changed its name to KB Home in January 2001. KB Home was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyKB Home generates revenue through the sale of newly constructed homes, which is its primary revenue stream. The company offers a range of home types and price points, allowing it to cater to different market segments. Additionally, KB Home earns money from land sales and the sale of homes in joint ventures. The company also benefits from its direct relationships with customers, enabling it to offer personalized home design features, which can command higher prices. Significant partnerships with suppliers and subcontractors help KB Home manage construction costs and maintain quality, further contributing to its profitability. Economic factors, such as housing demand, interest rates, and market conditions, also play a crucial role in influencing its earnings.

KB Home Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Shows revenue distribution across different regions, highlighting where KB Home is performing well and identifying areas with growth opportunities or potential risks.
Chart InsightsKB Home's revenue in the West Coast region shows a strong recovery, reaching new highs in late 2024, driven by strategic asset management and improved build times. However, the Central region is experiencing a downturn, reflecting broader market challenges. Despite strong financial management, the company revised its 2025 revenue guidance downward due to softer market conditions and lower net orders, highlighting the impact of elevated mortgage rates and macroeconomic uncertainties. The strategic focus on shareholder returns and operational efficiencies may help mitigate these challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

KB Home Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 24, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a solid financial performance with strong revenue, earnings, and operational achievements. However, there are challenges with order declines, backlog, and regional market pressures. The focus on share repurchases and operational efficiencies provides a positive outlook despite certain regional and market-specific challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Total revenues exceeded $1.6 billion with diluted earnings per share of $1.61, and a gross margin of 18.9%, surpassing guidance expectations.
Significant Share Repurchases
Repurchased more than $188 million in shares in the third quarter, contributing to $440 million year-to-date, representing about 11% of the outstanding share count.
Operational Achievements
Materially reduced build times and lowered direct costs while maintaining high customer satisfaction levels.
Encouraging Market Conditions
Stability in demand observed in Q3 with mortgage interest rates declining, supporting greater demand for homeownership.
Community Openings and Growth
Opened 32 new communities in Q3 and expect 260 active selling communities by the end of fiscal 2025.
Improved Build Times
Achieved a 10-day reduction in build times, reaching some of the best levels in a decade.
Recognition and Employee Satisfaction
Named to Time Magazine's 2025 list of World's Best Companies, highlighting employee satisfaction.
Negative Updates
Order and Backlog Decline
Net orders declined by 4%, and ending backlog reduced by 24% to approximately 4,300 homes.
Challenges with Built-to-Order Homes
Current built-to-order homes mix is around 50%, below the historical average of 70%.
Price and Incentive Pressures
Faced pressure on pricing and had to balance pace and price to optimize assets, impacting margins.
Market-Specific Challenges
Specific challenges noted in certain regions like Denver and Seattle due to high home prices and increased supply.
Company Guidance
During the KB Home 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key financial metrics and updates. KB Home reported total revenues exceeding $1.6 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.61. They highlighted a gross margin of 18.9% (excluding inventory-related charges), surpassing their guidance range. The company repurchased over $188 million in shares in the third quarter, contributing to a total of approximately $440 million in share repurchases year-to-date, which represents about 11% of their outstanding shares at the fiscal year's start. They also returned more than $490 million in capital to shareholders, including dividends. Operational achievements included reducing build times, which helped surpass closing expectations, and maintaining customer satisfaction. The company delivered 2,950 net orders in the quarter and maintained a monthly absorption pace per community of 3.8 net orders. Looking forward, KB Home projects $1.65 billion in housing revenues for the fourth quarter and $6.15 billion for the fiscal year. The company is focused on a strategic shift back to a higher mix of built-to-order homes, which historically generate a gross margin 250 to 500 basis points higher than inventory homes.

KB Home Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KB Home demonstrates strong profitability with a robust gross profit margin and healthy net profit margin. The balance sheet is stable with a good equity ratio and manageable debt levels. However, challenges are noted in cash flow generation, with a significant decrease in free cash flow and low operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating potential liquidity risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
KB Home's income statement shows a robust gross profit margin of 20.5% in TTM, reflecting strong operational efficiency. The net profit margin stands at 8.5%, indicating healthy profitability. However, revenue growth has been slightly negative at -3.7% over the last year, raising concerns about future growth potential. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 10.1% and 9.8%, respectively, underscoring efficient cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with an equity ratio of 56.9%, suggesting a stable financial structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable at 0.47, indicating a prudent use of debt. Return on equity is healthy at 14.2%, showcasing the company's ability to generate returns on shareholder investments. However, slight increases in debt levels warrant caution.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with a significant decrease in free cash flow by 80% over the year, marking potential liquidity risks. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.19, suggesting weaker cash generation relative to reported earnings. Nonetheless, free cash flow to net income remains positive at 0.11, indicating some level of cash return from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.67B6.93B6.41B6.90B5.72B4.18B
Gross Profit1.37B1.48B1.37B1.69B1.26B802.72M
EBITDA738.69M888.19M778.95M1.10B723.99M392.44M
Net Income565.37M655.02M590.18M816.67M564.75M296.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.02B6.94B6.65B6.65B5.84B5.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments308.86M599.19M727.34M330.20M290.76M681.19M
Total Debt1.89B1.71B1.72B1.87B1.71B1.78B
Total Liabilities3.03B2.88B2.84B2.99B2.82B2.69B
Stockholders Equity3.99B4.06B3.81B3.66B3.02B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow64.56M323.41M1.05B138.18M-76.69M281.84M
Operating Cash Flow106.84M362.72M1.08B183.42M-37.30M310.68M
Investing Cash Flow-41.55M-50.12M-58.06M-71.77M-38.08M-26.56M
Financing Cash Flow-398.60M-440.75M-627.49M-73.58M-315.01M-56.44M

KB Home Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price61.17
Price Trends
50DMA
62.69
Negative
100DMA
58.06
Positive
200DMA
59.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
40.67
Neutral
STOCH
52.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KBH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.22, below the 50-day MA of 62.69, and above the 200-day MA of 59.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KBH.

KB Home Risk Analysis

KB Home disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. KB Home reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

KB Home Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.78B7.8517.56%7.39%-1.37%
76
Outperform
$2.96B8.6311.38%-3.59%-10.82%
74
Outperform
$3.93B18.5014.39%16.87%54.47%
70
Outperform
$4.39B9.0413.06%1.63%-0.95%-9.08%
70
Outperform
$6.57B7.6715.59%13.77%28.57%
68
Neutral
$5.14B8.5212.58%2.39%-3.72%-23.00%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KBH
KB Home
61.17
-18.65
-23.37%
MHO
M/I Homes
136.23
-27.38
-16.73%
MTH
Meritage
69.73
-26.14
-27.27%
SKY
Champion Homes
66.29
-28.13
-29.79%
TPH
Tri Pointe
32.37
-11.26
-25.81%
TMHC
Taylor Morrison
63.36
-4.52
-6.66%

KB Home Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
KB Home Boosts Executive Salaries Amid Talent Retention
Neutral
Jul 15, 2025

On July 10, 2025, KB Home‘s board of directors approved increases to the base salaries of certain executive officers, effective July 1, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to retaining top talent and may impact its operational costs and compensation structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2025