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KB Home (KBH)
NYSE:KBH

KB Home (KBH) AI Stock Analysis

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KBH

KB Home

(NYSE:KBH)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$54.00
▲(6.19% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/26/26
The score is driven primarily by still-decent but weakening financial performance (cooling revenue/margins and declining free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is only modestly supportive due to a high P/E, while the earnings call adds some offset from built-to-order execution improvements, liquidity, and planned buybacks despite weaker near-term guidance.
Positive Factors
Built‑to‑Order (BTO) Strategy
A sustained shift toward built‑to‑order (targeting ≥70% H2 deliveries) materially reduces inventory risk, increases pricing control and predictability, and can structurally lift gross margins 300–500bps versus inventory sales, improving long‑run profitability and capital efficiency.
Negative Factors
Revenue & Margin Downtrend
A multi‑period decline in top line and a near‑500bp margin compression erode recurring cash flow and return on capital. If sustained, weaker revenue and margins reduce reinvestment capacity, constrain buybacks, and limit ability to absorb future cost or demand shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Built‑to‑Order (BTO) Strategy
A sustained shift toward built‑to‑order (targeting ≥70% H2 deliveries) materially reduces inventory risk, increases pricing control and predictability, and can structurally lift gross margins 300–500bps versus inventory sales, improving long‑run profitability and capital efficiency.
Read all positive factors

KB Home (KBH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KB Home Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KB Home operates as a homebuilding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: West Coast, Southwest, Central, and Southeast. It builds and sells various homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, ...
How the Company Makes Money
KB Home primarily makes money by selling newly constructed homes to homebuyers. Its main revenue stream is home sale revenue recognized when a home is delivered/closed to the buyer, which reflects the base sales price plus any buyer-selected upgra...

KB Home Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Shows revenue distribution across different regions, highlighting where KB Home is performing well and identifying areas with growth opportunities or potential risks.
Chart InsightsKB Home's West Coast revenue shows a robust recovery in 2024, peaking in late 2024, which aligns with the company's strategic focus on built-to-order homes to improve margins. Despite a decline in average selling prices and margin pressures, the Southwest and Southeast regions maintain steady growth, reflecting operational improvements and cost efficiencies. However, the Central region faces challenges with declining revenues, possibly due to higher land costs and regional mix issues. The earnings call's cautiously optimistic tone suggests a focus on expanding community count and enhancing shareholder returns, despite these regional disparities.
Data provided by:The Fly

KB Home Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 24, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced meaningful operational and structural progress (notably the deliberate shift back to built‑to‑order, material reductions in build times, cost improvements, increased community count, strong buyer credit profiles, and healthy liquidity and buybacks) against clear near‑term financial headwinds (notably a 23% revenue decline, a 10% drop in ASP, ~480 bps margin compression, and a lowered full‑year delivery outlook). Management emphasized a purposeful reset that will depress near‑term deliveries but aims to generate higher margins and more predictable operations in the back half of fiscal 2026. Given the comparable weight of significant operational positives and meaningful financial/market negatives, the tone is cautiously optimistic but pragmatic.
Positive Updates
Revenue and EPS Reported
Total revenues of approximately $1.08–$1.10 billion in Q1 and diluted EPS of $0.52; net income of $33 million.
Negative Updates
Sharp Revenue and ASP Decline
Housing revenues declined 23% year‑over‑year; average selling price fell 10% year‑over‑year to $452,000 (3% sequential decline), driven by regional and product mix and market conditions.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue and EPS Reported
Total revenues of approximately $1.08–$1.10 billion in Q1 and diluted EPS of $0.52; net income of $33 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
KB Home guided second-quarter 2026 housing revenues of $1.05–$1.15 billion on 2,250–2,450 deliveries, with housing gross profit margin (assuming no inventory charges) of 15.0%–15.6%, an SG&A ratio of 12.4%–13.0% and an effective tax rate of ~19%; for full-year 2026 the company now expects housing revenues of $4.8–$5.5 billion on 10,000–11,500 deliveries. Management highlighted that built‑to‑order (BTO) sales have climbed to ~68% at end‑February and above 70% in early March with a target of at least 70% BTO deliveries in H2 (BTO typically drives a 300–500 bps margin uplift), BTO build times improved to 108 days, backlog and regional mix (more higher‑ASP Northern California deliveries) should drive H2 margin improvement, and the company plans Q2 share repurchases of $50–$100 million; it closed Q1 with $1.2 billion liquidity ($201M cash, $1.0B revolver), owns/controls ~63,000 lots, had 276 active communities (37 Q1 grand openings; 30–35 planned in Q2), 3,353 homes in process (70% sold) and will refine guidance after the spring selling season.

KB Home Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains solid, but fundamentals have cooled from the cycle peak: 2025 revenue fell (-4.67%) and net margin compressed to ~6.9% from ~9.5% in 2024. Balance sheet leverage appears moderate with sizable equity support, while cash flow is positive but historically volatile and free cash flow declined in 2025 (-17.87%).
Income Statement
70
Positive
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.24B6.93B6.41B6.90B5.72B
Gross Profit1.18B1.48B1.39B1.69B1.26B
EBITDA595.13M888.19M807.69M1.10B723.99M
Net Income428.79M655.02M590.18M816.67M564.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.72B6.94B6.65B6.65B5.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments230.44M599.19M727.34M330.20M292.14M
Total Debt1.73B1.71B1.72B2.37B1.71B
Total Liabilities2.82B2.88B2.84B2.99B2.82B
Stockholders Equity3.90B4.06B3.81B3.66B3.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow290.25M323.41M1.05B138.18M-76.69M
Operating Cash Flow338.65M362.72M1.08B183.42M-37.30M
Investing Cash Flow-64.76M-50.12M-58.06M-71.77M-38.08M
Financing Cash Flow-642.63M-440.75M-627.49M-73.58M-315.01M

KB Home Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price50.85
Price Trends
50DMA
58.19
Negative
100DMA
59.39
Negative
200DMA
59.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.27
Negative
RSI
33.33
Neutral
STOCH
41.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KBH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 50.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.16, below the 50-day MA of 58.19, and below the 200-day MA of 59.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KBH.

KB Home Risk Analysis

KB Home disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. KB Home reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

KB Home Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.59B8.2112.83%6.98%9.74%
74
Outperform
$4.09B22.2413.58%12.14%48.68%
71
Outperform
$3.13B8.4912.99%4.77%-9.30%
71
Outperform
$3.98B11.147.29%-16.60%-29.85%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$4.15B10.298.65%2.62%-6.06%-32.39%
58
Neutral
$3.17B29.808.64%1.76%-10.01%-27.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KBH
KB Home
50.85
-2.87
-5.35%
MHO
M/I Homes
121.62
12.40
11.35%
MTH
Meritage
62.16
-2.15
-3.34%
SKY
Champion Homes
73.92
-9.63
-11.53%
TPH
Tri Pointe
46.75
16.54
54.75%
TMHC
Taylor Morrison
58.02
1.23
2.17%

KB Home Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
KB Home Sets 2025 Incentive Awards for Top Executives
Neutral
Jan 23, 2026
On January 22, 2026, KB Home’s board of directors, through its management development and compensation committee, set the fiscal 2025 annual incentive awards for participants in the company’s incentive compensation program, including i...
Executive/Board Changes
KB Home announces upcoming board transition for 2026
Neutral
Jan 7, 2026
On January 6, 2026, KB Home announced that director James C. Weaver had informed the company he would not seek re-election at its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders and would serve out the remainder of his term until that meeting. The company sai...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 26, 2026