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Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY)
:SKY
US Market

Champion Homes (SKY) AI Stock Analysis

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SK

Champion Homes

(NYSE:SKY)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$70.00
▲(11.86%Upside)
Champion Homes' stock is bolstered by strong financial performance and recent positive corporate events, including an expanded share repurchase program. However, technical analysis indicates potential downward pressure, and the absence of a dividend yield limits appeal for income investors. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic initiatives and robust financial health position it well for future growth.

Champion Homes (SKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Champion Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkyline Champion Corporation produces and sells factory-built housing in North America. The company offers manufactured and modular homes, park models RVs, accessory dwelling units, and modular buildings for the multi-family and hospitality sectors. It builds homes under the Skyline Homes, Champion Home Builders, Genesis Homes, Athens Park Models, Dutch Housing, Atlantic Homes, Excel Homes, Homes of Merit, New Era, Redman Homes, ScotBilt Homes, Shore Park, Silvercrest, and Titan Homes brands in the United States; and Moduline and SRI Homes brand names in western Canada. The company also provides construction services to install and set-up factory-built homes; operates Titan Factory Direct, a factory-direct manufactured home retail business with 18 sales centers in the southern United States; and engages in the transportation of manufactured homes and recreational vehicles. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Troy, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyChampion Homes primarily generates revenue through the sale of manufactured and modular homes. The company designs, builds, and sells these homes through a combination of company-owned retail centers and a network of independent retailers. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of homes to consumers, partnerships with real estate developers for community developments, and collaborations with government programs focused on affordable housing. Additionally, Champion Homes may derive income from offering financing solutions to customers, thereby facilitating home purchases and broadening their customer base.

Champion Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 27, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -25.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Champion Homes reported significant growth in sales and revenue, successful acquisitions, and a strong financial position. However, the company faces challenges from market uncertainty, seasonality impacts, operational adjustments, and pressure on gross margins.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales and Revenue Growth
Champion Homes reported sales of over 26,000 homes in fiscal 2025, a 19% increase in homes sold year-over-year. Revenue grew by 23% to $2.5 billion.
International Builder Show Success
Champion Homes had a tremendous reception to new products at the International Builder Show, showcasing models focused on providing affordable turnkey homes.
Acquisition of Iseman Homes
Champion Homes announced the acquisition of Iseman Homes, expanding its retail presence in the Plains region of the U.S. The acquisition includes 10 retail sales centers and is expected to close by the end of the first fiscal quarter.
Strong Financial Position
Champion Homes reported $610 million in cash and cash equivalents, with long-term borrowings of $25 million. The company also refreshed a $100 million share repurchase authority.
Engagement with HUD
Positive dialogue with the Department of Housing and Urban Development, with a focus on making homeownership more attainable.
Negative Updates
Market and Consumer Uncertainty
Champion Homes faces an unpredictable environment with tariffs and inflation. Demand has been less predictable compared to a normal spring selling season.
Impact of Weather and Seasonality
Fourth-quarter revenue decreased sequentially by 8% due to expected seasonality and weather impacts in the South, including Texas.
Operational Adjustments
Champion Homes idled a production location in Florida and consolidated two Canadian factories, reflecting slow recovery in Florida post-hurricanes and a need for improved efficiencies.
Pressure on Gross Margin
Near-term gross margins are expected to be in the 25% to 26% range due to consumer confidence, decreased demand in certain markets, and inflation.
Company Guidance
During the Champion Homes Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a 19% year-over-year increase in homes sold, translating to a 23% revenue growth, achieving sales of $2.5 billion for fiscal year 2025. The fourth quarter alone saw net sales rise 11% to $594 million, with a 6% increase in homes sold, totaling 6,171 units. The backlog at the end of the year was $343 million, up 9% from the previous year, with an average lead time of eight weeks. Despite normal seasonality and market uncertainties, the company maintained a strong gross margin, which expanded by 740 basis points to 25.7%, driven by higher average selling prices and a greater share of sales through captive retail sales centers. The quarter's net income rose to $36 million or $0.63 per diluted share, compared to $3 million or $0.05 per diluted share in the prior year. Additionally, Champion Homes announced the acquisition of Iseman Homes, which is expected to contribute approximately $40 million in annualized revenues. As they enter fiscal 2026, the company anticipates Q1 revenue to increase by low single digits year-over-year, while navigating a dynamic market environment with strategic investments and operational adjustments.

Champion Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Skyline Champion presents a robust financial profile with strong profitability, a low-leverage balance sheet, and healthy cash generation. While growth in revenues has seen fluctuations, the company maintains high operational efficiency and good shareholder returns. Continued focus on cash flow management and monitoring revenue trends will be critical for sustaining its financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Skyline Champion has shown strong revenue growth over the years, with a noticeable improvement in gross profit and net profit margins. The TTM data highlights a robust gross profit margin of 27.39% and a net profit margin of 9.23%. However, recent revenue decline from the peak in 2023 needs monitoring. EBITDA and EBIT margins are healthy, indicating good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 in the TTM period, reflecting minimal leverage. An equity ratio of 75.05% demonstrates a solid equity base relative to total assets. The return on equity stands at 14.38%, showcasing decent profitability for shareholders. The company’s financial position is stable with significant liquidity.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Skyline Champion's cash flow statement is positive, with consistent free cash flow generation. Despite a recent dip in free cash flow growth, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.91 in the TTM is satisfactory. This indicates that the company is effectively converting its profits into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, yet the declining trend should be watched.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.38B2.02B2.61B2.21B1.42B1.37B
Gross Profit649.82M485.79M818.68M589.12M287.69M278.98M
EBITDA271.29M210.12M545.01M353.84M126.46M107.54M
Net Income219.81M146.70M401.80M248.04M84.90M58.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.04B1.92B1.56B1.23B917.90M781.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments581.75M495.06M747.45M435.41M262.58M209.46M
Total Debt112.89M154.70M12.43M47.89M65.06M111.24M
Total Liabilities509.17M500.97M329.72M409.51M349.29M307.38M
Stockholders Equity1.53B1.42B1.23B825.11M568.61M474.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow149.04M169.79M363.98M192.50M145.88M61.35M
Operating Cash Flow198.94M222.70M416.23M224.48M153.90M76.74M
Investing Cash Flow-46.27M-485.68M-61.18M-31.97M-56.81M-14.09M
Financing Cash Flow-58.92M10.86M-37.02M-19.94M-47.81M21.57M

Champion Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price62.58
Price Trends
50DMA
76.39
Negative
100DMA
86.33
Negative
200DMA
90.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.26
Negative
RSI
36.77
Neutral
STOCH
49.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 62.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.49, below the 50-day MA of 76.39, and below the 200-day MA of 90.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SKY.

Champion Homes Risk Analysis

Champion Homes disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Champion Homes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Champion Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MHMHO
77
Outperform
$2.94B5.8819.02%8.68%8.39%
77
Outperform
$6.15B7.1215.97%12.19%23.15%
77
Outperform
$3.48B20.7316.30%4.09%3.14%
SKSKY
73
Outperform
$3.58B18.3213.38%22.65%34.77%
MTMTH
73
Outperform
$4.80B6.7614.58%2.60%-0.68%-7.99%
KBKBH
68
Neutral
$3.71B6.8514.09%1.92%3.65%-0.48%
62
Neutral
$16.72B10.85-7.48%3.15%1.66%-24.52%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKY
Champion Homes
62.58
-3.02
-4.60%
CVCO
Cavco Industries
430.35
92.94
27.55%
KBH
KB Home
52.72
-13.73
-20.66%
MHO
M/I Homes
112.74
-4.96
-4.21%
MTH
Meritage
66.76
-9.69
-12.67%
TMHC
Taylor Morrison
61.28
7.00
12.90%

Champion Homes Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Champion Homes Expands Share Repurchase Program
Positive
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Champion Homes announced a $50 million increase to its existing share repurchase program, raising the total capacity to $150 million. This move reflects the company’s confidence in its strategy and commitment to long-term shareholder value through careful capital allocation. The repurchases may occur via various methods, depending on factors such as stock price and market conditions. The program’s expansion underscores Champion Homes’ robust cash generation and strategic focus on enhancing shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKY) stock is a Hold with a $86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Champion Homes stock, see the SKY Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Champion Homes Reports Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 27, 2025

Champion Homes announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, showing significant growth in net sales and net income. For the fourth quarter, net sales increased by 10.7% to $593.9 million, driven by higher U.S. home sales and an increase in average selling prices. The company’s gross profit margin expanded significantly due to the absence of previous product liability costs. For the full fiscal year, net sales rose by 22.7% to $2.5 billion, with net income increasing by $51.7 million to $198.4 million. The company also announced an increase in its share repurchase program by an additional $20 million, reflecting strong operational performance and strategic investments in new products and services.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKY) stock is a Hold with a $86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Champion Homes stock, see the SKY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025