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Champion Homes (SKY)
NYSE:SKY
US Market

Champion Homes (SKY) AI Stock Analysis

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SK

Champion Homes

(NYSE:SKY)

63Neutral
Skyline Champion's overall score reflects strong financial performance with robust profitability and a low-leverage balance sheet. However, technical indicators show bearish momentum, contributing to a lower score. The valuation appears stretched, which may deter value investors. Positive sentiment from the recent earnings call and the strategic addition to the board are favorable but are offset by market challenges and technical weakness.

Champion Homes (SKY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Champion Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSkyline Champion Corporation produces and sells factory-built housing in North America. The company offers manufactured and modular homes, park models RVs, accessory dwelling units, and modular buildings for the multi-family and hospitality sectors. It builds homes under the Skyline Homes, Champion Home Builders, Genesis Homes, Athens Park Models, Dutch Housing, Atlantic Homes, Excel Homes, Homes of Merit, New Era, Redman Homes, ScotBilt Homes, Shore Park, Silvercrest, and Titan Homes brands in the United States; and Moduline and SRI Homes brand names in western Canada. The company also provides construction services to install and set-up factory-built homes; operates Titan Factory Direct, a factory-direct manufactured home retail business with 18 sales centers in the southern United States; and engages in the transportation of manufactured homes and recreational vehicles. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Troy, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyChampion Homes makes money primarily through the sale of its modular and manufactured homes. The company's revenue model revolves around the production and sale of these homes to individual consumers, developers, and retailers. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of homes to end-users, partnerships with real estate developers for larger projects, and contracts with retailers who distribute their products. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale in manufacturing, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing while securing profits. Strategic partnerships with suppliers for materials and with financial institutions for consumer financing options also contribute to its earnings.

Champion Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Skyline Champion presents a robust financial profile with strong profitability, a low-leverage balance sheet, and healthy cash generation. While growth in revenues has seen fluctuations, the company maintains high operational efficiency and good shareholder returns. Continued focus on cash flow management and monitoring revenue trends will be critical for sustaining its financial health.
Income Statement
Skyline Champion has shown strong revenue growth over the years, with a noticeable improvement in gross profit and net profit margins. The TTM data highlights a robust gross profit margin of 27.39% and a net profit margin of 9.23%. However, recent revenue decline from the peak in 2023 needs monitoring. EBITDA and EBIT margins are healthy, indicating good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
88
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02 in the TTM period, reflecting minimal leverage. An equity ratio of 75.05% demonstrates a solid equity base relative to total assets. The return on equity stands at 14.38%, showcasing decent profitability for shareholders. The company’s financial position is stable with significant liquidity.
Cash Flow
Skyline Champion's cash flow statement is positive, with consistent free cash flow generation. Despite a recent dip in free cash flow growth, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.91 in the TTM is satisfactory. This indicates that the company is effectively converting its profits into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, yet the declining trend should be watched.
Breakdown
Mar 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.02B2.61B2.21B1.42B1.37B
Gross Profit
485.79M818.68M589.12M287.69M278.98M
EBIT
175.21M518.28M332.90M108.76M86.45M
EBITDA
210.12M545.01M353.84M126.46M107.54M
Net Income Common Stockholders
146.70M401.80M248.04M84.90M58.16M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
495.06M747.45M435.41M262.58M209.46M
Total Assets
1.92B1.56B1.23B917.90M781.70M
Total Debt
154.70M12.43M47.89M65.06M111.24M
Net Debt
-340.37M-735.02M-387.52M-197.52M-98.21M
Total Liabilities
500.97M329.72M409.51M349.29M307.38M
Stockholders Equity
1.42B1.23B825.11M568.61M474.31M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
169.79M363.98M192.50M145.88M61.35M
Operating Cash Flow
222.70M416.23M224.48M153.90M76.74M
Investing Cash Flow
-485.68M-61.18M-31.97M-56.81M-14.09M
Financing Cash Flow
10.86M-37.02M-19.94M-47.81M21.57M

Champion Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price87.55
Price Trends
50DMA
90.61
Negative
100DMA
93.20
Negative
200DMA
92.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Negative
RSI
51.19
Neutral
STOCH
69.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 87.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.40, below the 50-day MA of 90.61, and below the 200-day MA of 92.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SKY.

Champion Homes Risk Analysis

Champion Homes disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Champion Homes reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Champion Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.13B25.4016.33%4.09%3.14%
MTMTH
75
Outperform
$4.78B6.9114.58%2.34%-0.68%-7.99%
74
Outperform
$5.79B6.7115.97%12.19%23.15%
MHMHO
73
Outperform
$2.88B5.6919.02%8.68%8.39%
KBKBH
71
Outperform
$3.80B6.6715.58%1.89%5.54%11.12%
SKSKY
63
Neutral
$4.95B30.4911.18%22.52%-18.73%
61
Neutral
$6.58B11.813.06%3.99%2.54%-21.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKY
Champion Homes
87.55
6.97
8.65%
CVCO
Cavco Industries
518.38
141.51
37.55%
KBH
KB Home
53.71
-15.86
-22.80%
MHO
M/I Homes
108.94
-14.55
-11.78%
MTH
Meritage
68.11
-20.72
-23.33%
TMHC
Taylor Morrison
58.33
-1.07
-1.80%

Champion Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.61%|
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with significant growth in net sales, homes sold, and improved financial metrics. However, some challenges were noted with order rate declines and increased SG&A expenses, as well as a decline in the Canadian market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Sales Growth
Year-over-year net sales increased 15.3% to $645 million in Q3.
Increase in Homes Sold
Homes sold during the period increased by 13%, totaling 6,646 homes.
Strong Backlog Position
Backlog at the end of Q3 was $313 million, up 8% from the same period last year.
Successful Regional Homes Acquisition
The acquisition contributed to organic growth and was described as a testament to the combined organizations' customer-centric approach.
Improved Gross Margin
Consolidated gross profit increased 28% to $181 million, with gross margin expanding 280 basis points from the prior-year period.
Strong Cash Position
Champion Homes had $582 million in cash and cash equivalents with a long-term borrowing of $25 million, reflecting strong financial health.
Shareholder Returns
Returned $20 million in share repurchase and approved the replenishment of a $100 million share repurchase authority.
Negative Updates
Order Rate Decline
27% sequential decline in backlog due to seasonal slowdown in order rates.
Decline in Canadian Revenue
Canadian revenue was $26 million, with the number of homes sold declining by 16% due to higher interest rates and economic uncertainty.
SG&A Cost Increase
SG&A costs increased by $23 million due to higher variable costs and investments in technology and personnel.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal 2025, Champion Homes experienced strong financial performance, with net sales increasing by 15.3% year-over-year to $645 million and homes sold rising by 13% to 6,646 units. The company reported a backlog of $313 million, up 8% from the previous year, despite a normal seasonal slowdown contributing to a 27% sequential decline in backlog. Champion Homes anticipates fourth-quarter revenue growth in the low double digits compared to the same period last year, aligning with pre-earnings fourth-quarter consensus. The company achieved a consolidated gross profit increase of 28% to $181 million, with gross margins expanding by 280 basis points to 28.1%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $83 million, reflecting a 12.9% margin, and net income attributable to Champion Homes rose by 31% to $62 million, or $1.06 per diluted share. Champion Homes remains focused on expanding its retail and direct-to-consumer capabilities while navigating a dynamic tariff environment and continues its commitment to affordable housing across U.S. and Canadian markets.

Champion Homes Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Champion Homes Expands Board with New Director
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

On March 11, 2025, Champion Homes, Inc. expanded its Board of Directors by appointing Mary B. Fedewa as an independent director, increasing the board size to eight members. Ms. Fedewa, an experienced leader in the real estate industry, brings significant expertise in finance and capital markets, which is expected to support Champion Homes’ strategic growth and innovation efforts. Her appointment is seen as a move to enhance the company’s capabilities in navigating the evolving housing market, aiming to deliver sustained value for shareholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.