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Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO)
:CVCO
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Cavco Industries (CVCO) AI Stock Analysis

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CVCO

Cavco Industries

(NASDAQ:CVCO)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$504.00
▲(12.93% Upside)
Cavco Industries shows strong financial health with significant growth in revenue and net income, bolstered by a solid balance sheet. Positive corporate events, such as strategic acquisitions and share buybacks, support a favorable outlook. However, technical indicators suggest potential short-term weaknesses, and challenges in gross margin and SG&A expenses impact the overall score.

Cavco Industries (CVCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cavco Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCavco Industries, Inc. is a leading producer of manufactured homes and modular homes in the United States. The company operates within the factory-built housing industry, providing a wide range of products such as manufactured homes, modular homes, park model RVs, and vacation cabins. Cavco's operations are divided into two segments: factory-built housing and financial services. The company also offers a variety of insurance and home loan products, primarily to its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyCavco Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of manufactured and modular homes. The company operates multiple manufacturing facilities across the United States, producing a variety of home models and designs tailored to different customer needs and preferences. In addition to home sales, Cavco earns revenue from its financial services segment, which includes offering insurance products and home loans. This segment provides an additional revenue stream by facilitating transactions for customers purchasing Cavco's homes. Key factors contributing to Cavco's earnings include its extensive distribution network, which consists of independent retailers and company-owned sales centers, as well as strategic partnerships with financial institutions to support its home loan offerings.

Cavco Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 10.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive quarter for Cavco Industries with significant revenue growth, record home shipments, and improved profitability in the Financial Services segment. However, challenges such as the lagging performance in the Southeast region and the impact of tariffs on costs were noted.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 9.5% year-over-year and 16.6% sequentially. The company reported net revenue of $556.9 million for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, up $79.3 million from the previous year.
Record Home Shipments
Cavco Industries shipped a record of 5,416 homes this quarter, reflecting the success of their strategy to increase production.
Improved Operating Profit
Operating profit increased by about 50% compared to both the last quarter and the same quarter last year.
Financial Services Turnaround
The Financial Services segment turned a significant loss from the previous year into a profit, driven by better insurance results and improved underwriting criteria.
American Homestar Acquisition
Cavco announced an agreement to purchase American Homestar for approximately $184 million in cash, expected to close early in the third quarter.
Negative Updates
Southeast Region Lagging
The Southeast region lagged in orders with shipments slightly below the preceding quarter, leading to decreased backlogs in plants serving this area.
Tariff Impact on Costs
Tariffs led to an additional $700,000 in costs for the quarter, with potential for further increases depending on future tariff implementations.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Cavco Industries reported a significant performance improvement, with revenue increasing by 9.5% year-over-year and 16.6% sequentially. The company achieved an operating profit growth of approximately 50% compared to both the previous quarter and the same period last year, shipping a record 5,416 homes. The average selling price saw an upward shift due to a mix change toward multi-section homes and price appreciation for both single and multi-section homes. Financial Services turned a significant loss from the previous year into a profit, driven by favorable weather and improved underwriting criteria. The acquisition of American Homestar, expected to close by the third quarter, will utilize $184 million in cash. Additionally, Cavco continued its share buyback program, repurchasing $50 million of stock, marking a cumulative buyback of 16.6% of outstanding shares since fiscal 2021.

Cavco Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cavco Industries displays strong financial performance with substantial revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is notably strong with minimal leverage and high equity ratios. While cash flow remains positive, there is room for improvement in free cash flow management moving forward.
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
Cavco Industries shows a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a notable increase from $1.79 billion to $2.02 billion year-over-year (2024 to 2025). Gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 23.1%, and net profit margin is strong at 8.5%. Although EBIT margin is consistent, EBITDA margin is slightly lower compared to previous years, indicating potential areas of cost efficiency improvement.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, suggesting minimal leverage and strong equity position. Return on equity (ROE) is solid at 16.1%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder capital. The equity ratio stands at 75.7%, indicating a stable financial structure with significant assets funded through equity rather than debt.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cavco Industries demonstrates a healthy cash flow position with a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.92, underscoring effective cash management. However, the free cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, highlighting a need for attention to cash flow optimization. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 1.04, signifying robust cash generation relative to reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.02B2.02B1.79B2.14B1.63B1.11B
Gross Profit465.59M465.59M426.90M554.93M408.75M238.98M
EBITDA225.36M230.85M219.35M315.00M212.81M94.41M
Net Income171.04M171.04M157.82M240.55M197.70M76.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.41B1.35B1.31B1.15B951.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments376.07M376.07M370.96M286.40M264.24M341.77M
Total Debt31.54M31.54M35.15M21.68M24.78M25.55M
Total Liabilities342.06M342.06M320.75M330.47M323.69M268.19M
Stockholders Equity1.06B1.06B1.03B976.29M830.46M683.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow157.07M157.07M207.26M211.59M125.57M88.49M
Operating Cash Flow178.50M178.50M224.68M255.69M144.22M114.03M
Investing Cash Flow-23.95M-23.95M-31.71M-129.34M-159.10M-23.35M
Financing Cash Flow-147.95M-147.95M-107.71M-102.20M-65.09M-6.98M

Cavco Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price446.28
Price Trends
50DMA
428.23
Positive
100DMA
465.65
Negative
200DMA
473.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.85
Negative
RSI
59.20
Neutral
STOCH
84.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 446.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 427.08, above the 50-day MA of 428.23, and below the 200-day MA of 473.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVCO.

Cavco Industries Risk Analysis

Cavco Industries disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cavco Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cavco Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.53B19.3517.90%16.66%34.61%
79
Outperform
$2.92B8.5011.38%-3.59%-10.82%
78
Outperform
$3.42B7.1217.56%7.39%-1.37%
74
Outperform
$3.71B18.9814.42%16.87%54.47%
74
Outperform
$5.22B8.2812.58%2.26%-3.72%-23.00%
67
Neutral
¥265.25B13.276.55%2.53%5.21%-14.18%
67
Neutral
$4.03B7.8514.07%1.75%3.65%-0.61%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVCO
Cavco Industries
446.28
79.88
21.80%
KBH
KB Home
59.27
-19.52
-24.77%
MHO
M/I Homes
129.74
-12.72
-8.93%
MTH
Meritage
73.29
-14.14
-16.17%
SKY
Champion Homes
66.18
-16.19
-19.66%
TPH
Tri Pointe
33.38
-7.18
-17.70%

Cavco Industries Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Cavco Industries Announces Acquisition of American Homestar
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Cavco Industries announced its plan to acquire American Homestar Corporation, a Houston-based manufacturer and retailer of factory-built homes, for $190 million in cash. The acquisition, expected to close in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, aims to strengthen Cavco’s presence in the South-Central U.S. and is anticipated to be accretive to earnings and cash flow, with potential operational and cost synergies.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVCO) stock is a Hold with a $480.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cavco Industries stock, see the CVCO Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Cavco Industries Approves $150 Million Stock Buyback
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Cavco Industries‘ Board of Directors approved a $150 million stock repurchase program. This initiative allows for stock purchases in the open market or through privately negotiated transactions, with the company financing the program from existing cash resources. The plan offers flexibility as it does not obligate Cavco to buy a specific amount of stock and can be adjusted based on market conditions and strategic needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVCO) stock is a Hold with a $480.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cavco Industries stock, see the CVCO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2025