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Cavco Industries (CVCO)
NASDAQ:CVCO
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Cavco Industries (CVCO) AI Stock Analysis

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CVCO

Cavco Industries

(NASDAQ:CVCO)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$558.00
▲(7.18% Upside)
Cavco Industries' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its high stock score. The company's robust balance sheet and strategic initiatives, such as acquisitions and share buybacks, further enhance its outlook. While technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, the overall positive momentum and reasonable valuation support a favorable stock assessment.

Cavco Industries (CVCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cavco Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCavco Industries, Inc. designs, produces, and retails manufactured homes primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments, Factory-Built Housing and Financial Services. The company markets its manufactured homes under the Cavco, Fleetwood, Palm Harbor, Nationwide, Fairmont, Friendship, Chariot Eagle, Destiny, Commodore, Colony, Pennwest, R-Anell, Manorwood, and MidCountry brands. It also builds park model RVs; vacation cabins; and factory-built commercial structures, including apartment buildings, condominiums, hotels, workforce housing, schools, and housing for the United States military troops. In addition, the company produces various modular homes, which include single and multi-section ranch, split-level, and Cape Cod style homes, as well as two- and three-story homes, and multi-family units. Further, it provides conforming and non-conforming mortgages and home-only loans to purchasers of various brands of factory-built homes sold by company-owned retail stores, as well as various independent distributors, builders, communities, and developers. Additionally, the company offers property and casualty insurance to owners of manufactured homes. As of April 3, 2022, it operated 45 company-owned retail stores in Oregon, Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico, Texas, Indiana, Oklahoma, Florida, and New York. The company also distributes its homes through a network of independent distribution points in 48 states and Canada; and through planned community operators and residential developers. Cavco Industries, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyCavco Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of manufactured and modular homes. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes several key streams: the direct sales of homes to consumers and retail dealers, the provision of insurance services via its subsidiary, and financing solutions for home buyers. Additionally, Cavco earns income from the sale of components used in its homes and from the development of land for home sites. Significant partnerships with dealers and retailers enhance its distribution network, while the company's ability to tap into various housing markets allows it to capitalize on demand fluctuations and regional housing trends.

Cavco Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong performance with significant revenue growth, record home shipments, and a turnaround in the Financial Services segment. However, challenges such as regional disparities and potential tariff impacts were noted. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweighed the negatives.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 9.5% year-over-year and 16.6% sequentially, reaching $556.9 million for Q1 Fiscal Year 2026.
Operating Profit Surge
Operating profit increased by approximately 50% compared to both the previous quarter and the same quarter last year.
Record Home Shipments
Achieved record shipments of 5,416 homes this quarter.
Financial Services Turnaround
Financial Services segment turned a significant loss a year ago into a profit, with a net revenue increase of 8.2% year-over-year.
Gross Margin Improvement
Consolidated gross margin increased to 23.3%, up 160 basis points from the same period last year.
American Homestar Acquisition
Announced the acquisition of American Homestar for approximately $184 million, expected to close early in Q3.
Negative Updates
Southeast Region Lag
The Southeast region lagged in orders with shipments slightly below the preceding quarter, creating uncertainty about maintaining production levels.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs resulted in an estimated $700,000 increase in costs this quarter, with potential impacts expected to rise in future quarters.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Cavco Industries reported a robust performance with a revenue increase of 9.5% year-over-year and 16.6% sequentially. The company achieved a notable operating profit rise of approximately 50% compared to both the previous quarter and the same period last year, driven by a record shipment of 5,416 homes. The average selling price increased due to a mix shift towards multi-section homes and price appreciation for both single and multi-section homes. Financial services turned a significant loss from the previous year into a profit, aided by improved insurance results and favorable weather conditions. The company continued its share repurchase program, buying back $50 million of stock, and announced an acquisition agreement with American Homestar for approximately $184 million. Cavco's net revenue reached $556.9 million, with a net income of $51.6 million, and diluted earnings per share stood at $6.42. The gross margin improved to 23.3%, up 160 basis points, with a capacity utilization increase to 75% from 65% in the prior year quarter.

Cavco Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cavco Industries displays strong financial performance with substantial revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is notably strong with minimal leverage and high equity ratios. While cash flow remains positive, there is room for improvement in free cash flow management moving forward.
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
Cavco Industries shows a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a notable increase from $1.79 billion to $2.02 billion year-over-year (2024 to 2025). Gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 23.1%, and net profit margin is strong at 8.5%. Although EBIT margin is consistent, EBITDA margin is slightly lower compared to previous years, indicating potential areas of cost efficiency improvement.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, suggesting minimal leverage and strong equity position. Return on equity (ROE) is solid at 16.1%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder capital. The equity ratio stands at 75.7%, indicating a stable financial structure with significant assets funded through equity rather than debt.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cavco Industries demonstrates a healthy cash flow position with a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.92, underscoring effective cash management. However, the free cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, highlighting a need for attention to cash flow optimization. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 1.04, signifying robust cash generation relative to reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.02B2.02B1.79B2.14B1.63B1.11B
Gross Profit465.59M465.59M426.90M554.93M408.75M238.98M
EBITDA225.36M230.85M219.35M315.00M212.81M94.41M
Net Income171.04M171.04M157.82M240.55M197.70M76.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.41B1.35B1.31B1.15B951.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments376.07M376.07M370.96M286.40M264.24M341.77M
Total Debt31.54M31.54M35.15M21.68M24.78M25.55M
Total Liabilities342.06M342.06M320.75M330.47M323.69M268.19M
Stockholders Equity1.06B1.06B1.03B976.29M830.46M683.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow157.07M157.07M207.26M211.59M125.57M88.49M
Operating Cash Flow178.50M178.50M224.68M255.69M144.22M114.03M
Investing Cash Flow-23.95M-23.95M-31.71M-129.34M-159.10M-23.35M
Financing Cash Flow-147.95M-147.95M-107.71M-102.20M-65.09M-6.98M

Cavco Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price520.62
Price Trends
50DMA
443.97
Positive
100DMA
460.55
Positive
200DMA
477.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
21.04
Negative
RSI
74.95
Negative
STOCH
90.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 520.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 468.08, above the 50-day MA of 443.97, and above the 200-day MA of 477.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.95 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVCO.

Cavco Industries Risk Analysis

Cavco Industries disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cavco Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cavco Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.11B22.5217.90%16.66%34.61%
80
Outperform
$3.84B7.9817.56%7.39%-1.37%
79
Outperform
$3.07B8.9411.38%-3.59%-10.82%
76
Outperform
$5.57B9.1312.58%2.09%-3.72%-23.00%
74
Outperform
$4.21B19.8314.39%16.87%54.47%
73
Outperform
$4.30B8.4414.07%1.58%3.65%-0.61%
61
Neutral
$17.75B12.51-5.49%3.06%1.43%-14.10%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVCO
Cavco Industries
520.62
117.82
29.25%
KBH
KB Home
63.16
-18.69
-22.83%
MHO
M/I Homes
145.34
-14.18
-8.89%
MTH
Meritage
77.18
-19.66
-20.30%
SKY
Champion Homes
74.50
-16.50
-18.13%
TPH
Tri Pointe
35.08
-9.02
-20.45%

Cavco Industries Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Cavco Industries Announces Acquisition of American Homestar
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Cavco Industries announced its plan to acquire American Homestar Corporation, a Houston-based manufacturer and retailer of factory-built homes, for $190 million in cash. The acquisition, expected to close in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, aims to strengthen Cavco’s presence in the South-Central U.S. and is anticipated to be accretive to earnings and cash flow, with potential operational and cost synergies.

Stock Buyback
Cavco Industries Approves $150 Million Stock Buyback
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Cavco Industries‘ Board of Directors approved a $150 million stock repurchase program. This initiative allows for stock purchases in the open market or through privately negotiated transactions, with the company financing the program from existing cash resources. The plan offers flexibility as it does not obligate Cavco to buy a specific amount of stock and can be adjusted based on market conditions and strategic needs.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025