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Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO)
:CVCO

Cavco Industries (CVCO) AI Stock Analysis

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CVCO

Cavco Industries

(NASDAQ:CVCO)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$647.00
▲(5.37% Upside)
Cavco Industries exhibits strong financial performance with robust profitability and a solid balance sheet. The recent earnings call was positive, highlighting revenue growth and strategic acquisitions. Technical indicators suggest stable price action, while valuation is moderate. Corporate events further bolster strategic positioning.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Balance Sheet Strength
A robust balance sheet with increased cash reserves enhances financial stability and provides flexibility for future investments.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition expands Cavco's market presence and operational scale, positioning it for enhanced growth and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Regional Shipment Disparities
Regional shipment declines may indicate market saturation or competitive pressures, potentially impacting revenue in key areas.
Impact of Tariffs
Higher tariffs on materials can increase production costs, squeezing margins and affecting profitability in the long term.
Slight Decline in Wholesale Orders
A decline in wholesale orders suggests potential weakening demand or market uncertainties, which could affect future sales growth.

Cavco Industries (CVCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cavco Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) is a leading manufacturer of manufactured and modular homes, offering a diverse range of housing products through its various subsidiaries. Established in 1965, the company operates primarily in the home building sector and is involved in the design, construction, and sale of factory-built homes. Cavco also provides services related to the development of land for residential use, including the sale of vacation and recreational homes. The company is committed to delivering high-quality affordable housing solutions across the United States.
How the Company Makes MoneyCavco Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of manufactured and modular homes, which includes both single-section and multi-section homes. The company has several key revenue streams, including home sales, the sale of related products such as home accessories and components, and the production of park model RVs. Additionally, Cavco earns income from its financial services segment, which offers retail and wholesale financing for home purchases. Significant partnerships with land developers and retailers also contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and facilitating the sale of homes. The company's focus on affordable housing solutions positions it well to capitalize on market demand, particularly in areas with growing populations and housing shortages.

Cavco Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive overall sentiment with strong revenue growth, improved financial services performance, and successful completion of the American Homestar acquisition. However, there were challenges in regional shipment disparities and potential cost impacts from increased tariffs on Canadian lumber.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue was up 9.7% year-over-year and flat sequentially. Operating profit increased by about 27% over last year's Q2 and 3% over last quarter.
Financial Services Improvement
Financial Services segment revenue increased by 1.4% from the prior year, with operating profit up $14 million from a loss last year to an $8 million profit this year.
American Homestar Acquisition
The acquisition of American Homestar was completed successfully, adding two plants and 20 retail stores, which is expected to positively contribute to future performance.
Factory Utilization Increase
Factory utilization increased to approximately 75% versus 70% in the prior year period.
Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet Strength
Repurchased $36 million of common shares and closed on the American Homestar acquisition using cash on hand. Maintained a strong balance sheet with cash and restricted cash increase of $31.6 million, bringing the balance to $400 million.
Negative Updates
Regional Shipment Disparities
Significant regional differences in shipments, with shipments in the Southeast (Carolinas to Louisiana) down 4% year-to-date and 10% in July and August compared to last year.
Slight Decline in Wholesale Orders
Wholesale orders were down slightly, reflecting some market uncertainties.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs on Canadian lumber increased from 14.5% to 35%, with additional 10% duties, potentially impacting costs. Estimated impact of tariffs in Q2 was approximately $2 million.
Company Guidance
In the Cavco Industries' Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the company reported a 9.7% year-over-year increase in revenue to $556.5 million, with operating profit up 27% compared to the previous year. The company highlighted regional differences in performance, with strong double-digit growth in shipments across the Northern U.S., while the Southeast saw a decline of about 4% year-to-date. The average selling price increased due to a higher percentage of sales through company-owned stores and a shift towards multi-section homes. The financial services segment saw a turnaround, with operating profit improving by $14 million from a loss last year to an $8 million profit, primarily driven by improvements in the insurance business and fewer claims from storms. The company successfully integrated the American Homestar acquisition post-quarter, which is expected to enhance its retail presence and operational scale. Cavco maintained a balanced capital allocation approach, investing in plant facilities, pursuing acquisitions, and repurchasing $36 million of common shares, supported by a strong balance sheet and cash generation.

Cavco Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cavco Industries demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and healthy profitability margins. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, and cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational and strategic initiatives. However, the high equity ratio suggests potential limitations in financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cavco Industries demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, highlighted by a 3.93% increase in TTM. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, including a gross profit margin of 23.47% and a net profit margin of 8.99%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 11.13% and 12.07% respectively, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, suggesting minimal leverage risk. The return on equity is strong at 17.81%, indicating effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio of 75.01% suggests a high reliance on equity financing, which could limit financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cavco Industries shows a positive cash flow trajectory with a 2.53% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.59, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.86, indicating good cash conversion efficiency. The company effectively generates cash from operations, supporting its financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.14B2.02B1.79B2.14B1.63B1.11B
Gross Profit509.98M465.59M426.90M554.93M408.75M238.98M
EBITDA265.63M230.85M219.35M324.58M223.71M103.97M
Net Income196.81M171.04M157.82M240.55M197.70M76.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.41B1.35B1.31B1.15B1.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments391.84M376.07M370.96M286.40M264.24M264.24M
Total Debt30.36M45.14M35.15M36.56M24.78M24.78M
Total Liabilities362.93M342.06M320.75M330.47M323.69M323.69M
Stockholders Equity1.09B1.06B1.03B976.29M830.46M830.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow179.97M157.07M207.26M211.59M125.57M125.57M
Operating Cash Flow210.42M178.50M224.68M255.69M144.22M144.22M
Investing Cash Flow-33.08M-23.95M-31.71M-129.34M-159.10M-159.10M
Financing Cash Flow-163.60M-147.95M-107.71M-102.20M-65.09M-65.09M

Cavco Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price614.03
Price Trends
50DMA
563.68
Positive
100DMA
540.62
Positive
200DMA
505.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.02
Negative
RSI
63.45
Neutral
STOCH
79.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 614.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 586.78, above the 50-day MA of 563.68, and above the 200-day MA of 505.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVCO.

Cavco Industries Risk Analysis

Cavco Industries disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cavco Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cavco Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$4.68B25.2218.50%15.81%37.89%
78
Outperform
$4.81B22.6214.37%12.14%48.68%
75
Outperform
$4.08B8.8313.04%1.59%-0.95%-9.22%
75
Outperform
$3.49B7.8115.76%4.77%-9.30%
73
Outperform
$2.85B8.6020.37%6.62%-1.90%
73
Outperform
$2.82B9.749.47%-16.60%-29.85%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVCO
Cavco Industries
614.03
158.73
34.86%
KBH
KB Home
62.75
-2.02
-3.12%
MHO
M/I Homes
133.00
-0.97
-0.72%
SKY
Champion Homes
86.91
-9.12
-9.50%
TPH
Tri Pointe
32.98
-4.05
-10.94%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
65.37
7.74
13.43%

Cavco Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cavco Industries Appoints Lisa Daniels to Board
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Cavco Industries announced the appointment of Lisa L. Daniels to its Board of Directors, effective October 27, 2025. Ms. Daniels, a former Vice Chair of Growth and Strategy at KPMG, brings over 35 years of professional services experience to Cavco, enhancing the board’s expertise in financial, regulatory, and technology-related risks. Her appointment is expected to bolster Cavco’s strategic direction and governance, aligning with the company’s focus on addressing affordable housing challenges.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cavco Industries Completes Acquisition of American Homestar
Positive
Sep 30, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Cavco Industries completed the acquisition of American Homestar Corporation, a Texas-based factory-built housing company operating under the name Oak Creek Homes. The acquisition, valued at $190 million, was funded with cash on hand and is expected to enhance Cavco’s strategic positioning in the market. The merger, which received all necessary regulatory approvals, is anticipated to create new opportunities for growth and strengthen Cavco’s operations and market presence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025