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Cavco Industries (CVCO)
NASDAQ:CVCO
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Cavco Industries (CVCO) AI Stock Analysis

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CVCO

Cavco Industries

(NASDAQ:CVCO)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$687.00
▲(12.88% Upside)
Cavco Industries' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its high score. The company's robust balance sheet, effective cash flow management, and strategic acquisitions bolster its position. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though valuation metrics indicate moderate pricing. Regional shipment challenges and tariff impacts are potential risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Services Improvement
The turnaround in the financial services segment from a loss to a profit enhances Cavco's diversified revenue streams, contributing to overall financial stability and resilience against market fluctuations.
American Homestar Acquisition
The acquisition expands Cavco's operational scale and retail presence, potentially boosting revenue and market share through increased production capacity and distribution channels.
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong balance sheet with ample cash reserves provides Cavco with financial flexibility to pursue growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns, ensuring long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Regional Shipment Disparities
Regional shipment disparities may indicate uneven demand and potential challenges in optimizing distribution, which could impact revenue growth in affected areas.
Impact of Tariffs
Increased tariffs on Canadian lumber raise production costs, potentially squeezing margins and affecting competitiveness in the market, posing a risk to profitability.
Slight Decline in Wholesale Orders
A decline in wholesale orders suggests potential market uncertainties and demand fluctuations, which could impact future revenue and operational planning.

Cavco Industries (CVCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cavco Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCavco Industries, Inc. designs, produces, and retails manufactured homes primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments, Factory-Built Housing and Financial Services. The company markets its manufactured homes under the Cavco, Fleetwood, Palm Harbor, Nationwide, Fairmont, Friendship, Chariot Eagle, Destiny, Commodore, Colony, Pennwest, R-Anell, Manorwood, and MidCountry brands. It also builds park model RVs; vacation cabins; and factory-built commercial structures, including apartment buildings, condominiums, hotels, workforce housing, schools, and housing for the United States military troops. In addition, the company produces various modular homes, which include single and multi-section ranch, split-level, and Cape Cod style homes, as well as two- and three-story homes, and multi-family units. Further, it provides conforming and non-conforming mortgages and home-only loans to purchasers of various brands of factory-built homes sold by company-owned retail stores, as well as various independent distributors, builders, communities, and developers. Additionally, the company offers property and casualty insurance to owners of manufactured homes. As of April 3, 2022, it operated 45 company-owned retail stores in Oregon, Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico, Texas, Indiana, Oklahoma, Florida, and New York. The company also distributes its homes through a network of independent distribution points in 48 states and Canada; and through planned community operators and residential developers. Cavco Industries, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyCavco Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of manufactured and modular homes, which includes both single-section and multi-section homes. The company has several key revenue streams, including home sales, the sale of related products such as home accessories and components, and the production of park model RVs. Additionally, Cavco earns income from its financial services segment, which offers retail and wholesale financing for home purchases. Significant partnerships with land developers and retailers also contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach and facilitating the sale of homes. The company's focus on affordable housing solutions positions it well to capitalize on market demand, particularly in areas with growing populations and housing shortages.

Cavco Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive overall sentiment with strong revenue growth, improved financial services performance, and successful completion of the American Homestar acquisition. However, there were challenges in regional shipment disparities and potential cost impacts from increased tariffs on Canadian lumber.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue was up 9.7% year-over-year and flat sequentially. Operating profit increased by about 27% over last year's Q2 and 3% over last quarter.
Financial Services Improvement
Financial Services segment revenue increased by 1.4% from the prior year, with operating profit up $14 million from a loss last year to an $8 million profit this year.
American Homestar Acquisition
The acquisition of American Homestar was completed successfully, adding two plants and 20 retail stores, which is expected to positively contribute to future performance.
Factory Utilization Increase
Factory utilization increased to approximately 75% versus 70% in the prior year period.
Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet Strength
Repurchased $36 million of common shares and closed on the American Homestar acquisition using cash on hand. Maintained a strong balance sheet with cash and restricted cash increase of $31.6 million, bringing the balance to $400 million.
Negative Updates
Regional Shipment Disparities
Significant regional differences in shipments, with shipments in the Southeast (Carolinas to Louisiana) down 4% year-to-date and 10% in July and August compared to last year.
Slight Decline in Wholesale Orders
Wholesale orders were down slightly, reflecting some market uncertainties.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs on Canadian lumber increased from 14.5% to 35%, with additional 10% duties, potentially impacting costs. Estimated impact of tariffs in Q2 was approximately $2 million.
Company Guidance
In the Cavco Industries' Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 earnings call, the company reported a 9.7% year-over-year increase in revenue to $556.5 million, with operating profit up 27% compared to the previous year. The company highlighted regional differences in performance, with strong double-digit growth in shipments across the Northern U.S., while the Southeast saw a decline of about 4% year-to-date. The average selling price increased due to a higher percentage of sales through company-owned stores and a shift towards multi-section homes. The financial services segment saw a turnaround, with operating profit improving by $14 million from a loss last year to an $8 million profit, primarily driven by improvements in the insurance business and fewer claims from storms. The company successfully integrated the American Homestar acquisition post-quarter, which is expected to enhance its retail presence and operational scale. Cavco maintained a balanced capital allocation approach, investing in plant facilities, pursuing acquisitions, and repurchasing $36 million of common shares, supported by a strong balance sheet and cash generation.

Cavco Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cavco Industries demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and healthy profitability margins. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, and cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational and strategic initiatives. However, the high equity ratio suggests potential limitations in financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Cavco Industries demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, highlighted by a 3.93% increase in TTM. The company maintains healthy profitability margins, including a gross profit margin of 23.47% and a net profit margin of 8.99%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 11.13% and 12.07% respectively, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, suggesting minimal leverage risk. The return on equity is strong at 17.81%, indicating effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio of 75.01% suggests a high reliance on equity financing, which could limit financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cavco Industries shows a positive cash flow trajectory with a 2.53% growth in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.59, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.86, indicating good cash conversion efficiency. The company effectively generates cash from operations, supporting its financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.14B2.02B1.79B2.14B1.63B1.11B
Gross Profit509.98M465.59M426.90M554.93M408.75M238.98M
EBITDA265.63M230.85M219.35M324.58M223.71M103.97M
Net Income196.81M171.04M157.82M240.55M197.70M76.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.41B1.35B1.31B1.15B1.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments391.84M376.07M370.96M286.40M264.24M264.24M
Total Debt30.36M45.14M35.15M36.56M24.78M24.78M
Total Liabilities362.93M342.06M320.75M330.47M323.69M323.69M
Stockholders Equity1.09B1.06B1.03B976.29M830.46M830.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow179.97M157.07M207.26M211.59M125.57M125.57M
Operating Cash Flow210.42M178.50M224.68M255.69M144.22M144.22M
Investing Cash Flow-33.08M-23.95M-31.71M-129.34M-159.10M-159.10M
Financing Cash Flow-163.60M-147.95M-107.71M-102.20M-65.09M-65.09M

Cavco Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price608.60
Price Trends
50DMA
554.54
Positive
100DMA
516.47
Positive
200DMA
500.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.33
Negative
RSI
65.36
Neutral
STOCH
86.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 608.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 557.68, above the 50-day MA of 554.54, and above the 200-day MA of 500.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVCO.

Cavco Industries Risk Analysis

Cavco Industries disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cavco Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cavco Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.75B25.0018.50%15.81%37.89%
76
Outperform
$4.81B22.4114.37%12.14%48.68%
75
Outperform
$2.94B10.109.47%-16.60%-29.85%
74
Outperform
$4.20B9.0913.04%1.54%-0.95%-9.22%
70
Outperform
$2.97B8.9820.37%6.62%-1.90%
68
Neutral
$3.65B8.1915.76%4.77%-9.30%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVCO
Cavco Industries
608.60
89.17
17.17%
KBH
KB Home
64.78
-16.97
-20.76%
MHO
M/I Homes
139.56
-27.33
-16.38%
SKY
Champion Homes
86.10
-19.21
-18.24%
TPH
Tri Pointe
34.21
-9.30
-21.37%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
68.25
-3.22
-4.51%

Cavco Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cavco Industries Appoints Lisa Daniels to Board
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Cavco Industries announced the appointment of Lisa L. Daniels to its Board of Directors, effective October 27, 2025. Ms. Daniels, a former Vice Chair of Growth and Strategy at KPMG, brings over 35 years of professional services experience to Cavco, enhancing the board’s expertise in financial, regulatory, and technology-related risks. Her appointment is expected to bolster Cavco’s strategic direction and governance, aligning with the company’s focus on addressing affordable housing challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVCO) stock is a Buy with a $679.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cavco Industries stock, see the CVCO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Cavco Industries Completes Acquisition of American Homestar
Positive
Sep 30, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Cavco Industries completed the acquisition of American Homestar Corporation, a Texas-based factory-built housing company operating under the name Oak Creek Homes. The acquisition, valued at $190 million, was funded with cash on hand and is expected to enhance Cavco’s strategic positioning in the market. The merger, which received all necessary regulatory approvals, is anticipated to create new opportunities for growth and strengthen Cavco’s operations and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVCO) stock is a Buy with a $620.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cavco Industries stock, see the CVCO Stock Forecast page.

Cavco Industries’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

Cavco Industries Reports Positive Earnings with Record Home Shipments

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025