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Beazer Homes USA (BZH)
NYSE:BZH

Beazer Homes (BZH) AI Stock Analysis

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BZH

Beazer Homes

(NYSE:BZH)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(9.73% Upside)
Beazer Homes' overall stock score reflects financial challenges with declining profitability and cash flow issues, partially offset by strategic initiatives to improve cost efficiency and leverage management. The stock's moderate valuation and recent board changes provide some support, but the cautious outlook due to macroeconomic pressures remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Community Count Growth
The increase in community count indicates Beazer Homes' expansion and potential for higher sales, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Debt Reduction
Improved leverage management enhances financial stability, providing more flexibility for strategic investments and growth.
Board Appointment
The addition of Heckes, with expertise in building materials, is expected to strengthen strategic direction and industry positioning.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability
Decreasing margins reflect challenges in maintaining operational efficiency, which could hinder long-term profitability.
Cash Flow Constraints
Cash flow issues limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations effectively.
Challenging Macroeconomic Environment
Economic pressures can dampen housing demand, affecting sales and revenue growth in the medium term.

Beazer Homes (BZH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Beazer Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBeazer Homes USA, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. It designs, constructs, and sells single-family and multi-family homes under the Beazer Homes, Gatherings, and Choice Plans names. The company sells its homes through commissioned new home sales counselors and independent brokers in Arizona, California, Nevada, Texas, Delaware, Maryland, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Beazer Homes USA, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyBeazer Homes generates revenue primarily through the sale of newly constructed homes. The company earns money by purchasing land, developing it, and building homes that are sold to customers. Key revenue streams include the sale of homes, lot sales to other builders, and occasionally, the sale of finished lots. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and subcontractors that help reduce construction costs and improve operational efficiency. Beazer Homes has implemented a customer-centric approach, offering various financing options and incentives, which facilitate sales and enhance customer satisfaction. Additionally, the company may explore land development opportunities and joint ventures that further contribute to its profitability.

Beazer Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company navigating a challenging macroeconomic environment with strategic initiatives to improve cost efficiency and balance sheet management. Despite some positive signs such as community count growth and debt reduction, the outlook remains cautious with pressures on margins and profitability.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Community Count Growth
Fiscal '25 ended with an average active community count of 164, up 14% from last year, demonstrating progress towards the multiyear goal of surpassing 200 communities.
Debt Reduction and Book Value Increase
Net debt to net capitalization was reduced to below 40%, and book value per share increased to nearly $43, supported by profitability and share repurchases.
Operational Adjustments for Cost Savings
Material and labor cost rebidding resulted in savings of about $10,000 per home, with expectations to realize these savings fully by the fourth quarter of fiscal '26.
Texas Market Improvement
Sales pace in Texas improved to 1.8 in the fourth quarter from 1.3 in the third quarter, driven by product and sales leadership changes.
Successful Asset Sales
Asset sales of $63 million contributed a profit of about $7 million, with plans for more than $100 million in nonstrategic asset sales in fiscal '26.
Negative Updates
Challenging Macroeconomic Environment
The macro environment remains challenging with consumers facing confidence and affordability issues, and builders dealing with excess inventory.
Gross Margin Pressure
Fourth-quarter gross margin was 17.2%, impacted by a higher percentage of spec sales and larger incentives.
Reduced First Quarter Outlook
The first quarter of fiscal '26 is expected to see a net loss of about $0.50 per diluted share, with a gross margin around 16% due to high incentives and spec sales.
Lower Backlog and Spec Count
Entering fiscal '26 with a backlog down 36% and a lower spec count than the previous year, indicating potential challenges in achieving growth targets.
Company Guidance
During the Beazer Homes earnings call for the fourth fiscal quarter and full year ending September 30, 2025, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. They reported a 14% increase in average active community count to 164 and reduced net debt to net capitalization below 40%. Their book value per share grew to nearly $43, supported by profitability and share repurchases. For fiscal 2026, Beazer Homes aims to achieve a 5% to 10% increase in closings, driven by community count growth and improved sales pace. They foresee adjusted gross margins improving by approximately 3 percentage points by the fourth quarter, propelled by cost savings of about $10,000 per home and a favorable mix shift in community sales. The company plans to generate over $100 million from nonstrategic asset sales and anticipates maintaining a healthy balance sheet with a liquidity position of nearly $540 million. Additionally, they aim to repurchase at least 1.5 million shares and expect to reduce net leverage by several points, targeting a net debt to net capitalization ratio in the low 30% range by the end of fiscal 2027.

Beazer Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Beazer Homes is facing financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability, and significant cash flow constraints. While leverage management has improved, the overall financial stability is at risk due to reduced profitability and cash flow issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Beazer Homes has experienced declining revenue and profitability over the past year, with a significant drop in gross and net profit margins. The revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a contraction in sales. While the company has maintained positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, these have also decreased compared to previous years, reflecting challenges in maintaining operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved over the years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased, suggesting reduced profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Beazer Homes faces challenges in cash flow management, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth and negative operating cash flow in the latest period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but has decreased, highlighting cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.39B2.37B2.33B2.21B2.32B
Gross Profit382.93M337.51M424.29M442.69M537.51M
EBITDA99.35M60.02M157.89M189.45M285.85M
Net Income67.65M45.59M140.18M158.61M220.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.71B2.61B2.59B2.41B2.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments90.42M214.71M203.91M345.59M214.59M
Total Debt1.16B1.06B1.05B997.00M994.65M
Total Liabilities1.50B1.36B1.36B1.31B1.31B
Stockholders Equity1.22B1.25B1.23B1.10B939.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-59.45M3.48M-159.90M157.72M66.03M
Operating Cash Flow-32.76M31.98M-137.54M178.06M81.07M
Investing Cash Flow-18.79M-19.66M-30.01M-29.67M-14.71M
Financing Cash Flow33.54M-36.36M23.88M-13.93M-88.68M

Beazer Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20.96
Price Trends
50DMA
22.29
Negative
100DMA
23.51
Negative
200DMA
22.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
38.38
Neutral
STOCH
11.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BZH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.32, below the 50-day MA of 22.29, and below the 200-day MA of 22.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BZH.

Beazer Homes Risk Analysis

Beazer Homes disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Beazer Homes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Beazer Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.34B7.4915.76%4.77%-9.30%
73
Outperform
$2.76B9.479.47%-16.60%-29.85%
69
Neutral
$1.75B8.708.37%1.95%-6.28%-31.55%
65
Neutral
$1.03B9.825.21%-20.62%-45.74%
63
Neutral
$611.08M13.767.76%-0.84%-76.30%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$623.77M13.653.67%1.77%-66.27%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BZH
Beazer Homes
20.96
-7.20
-25.57%
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises
103.04
-32.36
-23.90%
MHO
M/I Homes
127.65
-6.52
-4.86%
TPH
Tri Pointe
32.08
-4.89
-13.23%
LGIH
LGI Homes
44.47
-45.96
-50.82%
CCS
Century Communities
59.61
-14.53
-19.60%

Beazer Homes Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Beazer Homes Appoints Howard Heckes to Board
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Beazer Homes USA, Inc. announced the retirement of Danny Shepherd from its Board of Directors, effective at the next annual stockholders’ meeting, and the appointment of Howard C. Heckes as a new independent board member, effective December 8, 2025. This change is part of Beazer’s ongoing director refreshment efforts, which have seen the retirement of three independent directors and the appointment of four new ones in the past two years. Heckes, with a strong background in building materials and services, is expected to contribute significantly to Beazer’s differentiated product strategy, enhancing the company’s industry positioning and long-term value creation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 10, 2025