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Beazer Homes USA (BZH)
NYSE:BZH
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Beazer Homes (BZH) AI Stock Analysis

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BZH

Beazer Homes

(NYSE:BZH)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(6.19% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/13/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance—compressed margins and negative operating/free cash flow—despite an improved leverage profile. Technicals are mildly supportive with the stock above major moving averages, while valuation is unfavorable/less interpretable due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided. Earnings call signals are moderately positive on liquidity, buybacks, and H2 mix/margin goals, but tempered by low near-term EBITDA and macro-driven demand risks.
Positive Factors
Improved liquidity and capital flexibility
A materially stronger liquidity position and an upsized, extended revolver reduce refinancing and short-term cash risk. This durable flexibility supports continuing land optioning, opportunistic land buys, and execution of buybacks or operational initiatives through cyclical downturns without forcing asset sales.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow undermines the firm's ability to self-fund growth, land spend, and buybacks. Persistent cash deficits force reliance on revolver availability or asset sales, increasing execution risk and limiting durable reinvestment capacity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved liquidity and capital flexibility
A materially stronger liquidity position and an upsized, extended revolver reduce refinancing and short-term cash risk. This durable flexibility supports continuing land optioning, opportunistic land buys, and execution of buybacks or operational initiatives through cyclical downturns without forcing asset sales.
Read all positive factors

Beazer Homes Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Beazer Homes (BZH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Beazer Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Beazer Homes USA, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. It designs, constructs, and sells single-family and multi-family homes under the Beazer Homes, Gatherings, and Choice Plans names. The company sells its homes through commissio...
How the Company Makes Money
Beazer Homes makes money primarily by selling newly constructed homes to individual homebuyers. Its core revenue stream is homebuilding revenue recognized at the time of closing, which reflects the contracted sales price of the home and typically ...

Beazer Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a cautiously optimistic operational picture: management reported clear progress on mix (to‑be‑built sales), rising ASPs/backlog, margin momentum, strong liquidity, and an active capital return program (notably share buybacks). However, material macro headwinds—higher mortgage rates, surging energy costs, and weaker seasonal traffic—have reduced confidence in achieving the company’s earlier EBITDA growth plan and constrained near‑term profitability (Q2 adjusted EBITDA was only $2.6M and the company posted a small GAAP loss). Overall, positives around product differentiation, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation outweigh the near‑term demand and margin risks, but the outlook is cautious and dependent on H2 market trends.
Positive Updates
Strong Sales and Pace Recovery
Sold 1,048 homes in Q2 with a sales pace of 2.1 sales per community per month (pace increased Jan→Feb and plateaued in March). Company expects to sell >1,000 homes in Q3 (up nearly 20% vs prior-year Q3) with a similar pace to Q2.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Headwinds and Reduced Confidence in Full‑Year EBITDA Growth
Management cited higher mortgage rates and surging energy costs that reduced consumer sentiment. Because of these headwinds, the company reduced its earlier likelihood of achieving full‑year EBITDA growth (previous target required >2.5 pace in H2 and 300 bps margin expansion).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Sales and Pace Recovery
Sold 1,048 homes in Q2 with a sales pace of 2.1 sales per community per month (pace increased Jan→Feb and plateaued in March). Company expects to sell >1,000 homes in Q3 (up nearly 20% vs prior-year Q3) with a similar pace to Q2.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Beazer guided that in Q3 it expects to sell more than 1,000 homes (≈+20% YoY) with a sales pace roughly in line with Q2 (~2.1 sales per community per month), finish with about 170 active communities (flat to slightly up), close roughly 900 homes at an ASP of $535,000–$540,000, and deliver adjusted homebuilding gross margins up >50 basis points sequentially while SG&A dollars are roughly flat YoY; it expects about $30 million of land sale revenue in Q3 (with $150 million targeted for the full year), adjusted EBITDA of $5–10 million for Q3, interest amortized at ~3% of homebuilding revenue, and is not providing quarterly tax or EPS guidance due to interim tax variability. For the full year it expects energy‑efficiency tax credits to drive a net tax benefit >$10 million and minimal cash taxes for several years, plans to complete a $72 million repurchase authorization (having executed $30 million in Q2 and repurchased >1 million shares at ~60% of book, representing nearly 20% of shares bought since early FY2025 upon completion), is maintaining a lot pipeline ~60% option‑controlled, has total liquidity ≈$400 million (≈$116M unrestricted cash and $285M revolver availability after upsizing the revolver by $160M to $525M and extending maturity to March 2030), has no maturities until October 2027, and reiterated longer‑term targets of >200 active communities and deleveraging to the low‑30% range by the end of FY2027 while growing book value per share (BVPS ≈$42 weighted‑average, ≈$43 period‑end) toward the fifties.

Beazer Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are pressured: profitability has deteriorated (TTM revenue -6.9%, gross margin down to 13.1% and operating profitability near breakeven), and cash generation is weak with negative TTM operating cash flow (-$40.9M) and free cash flow (-$69.7M). Balance sheet leverage appears improved (reported TTM total debt of 0 and stronger liquidity), but returns are very low (TTM ROE ~0.8%), limiting the benefit of the stronger capital structure.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.11B2.37B2.33B2.21B2.32B2.14B
Gross Profit273.30M337.51M424.29M442.69M537.51M404.25M
EBITDA1.21M60.02M157.89M189.45M285.85M160.84M
Net Income-3.82M45.59M140.18M158.61M220.70M122.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.76B2.61B2.59B2.41B2.25B2.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments116.44M214.71M203.91M345.59M214.59M246.72M
Total Debt1.25B1.06B1.05B997.00M994.65M1.07B
Total Liabilities1.59B1.36B1.36B1.31B1.31B1.35B
Stockholders Equity1.17B1.25B1.23B1.10B939.29M724.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-69.67M3.48M-159.90M157.72M66.03M17.01M
Operating Cash Flow86.06M31.98M-137.54M178.06M81.07M31.66M
Investing Cash Flow-8.48M-19.66M-30.01M-29.67M-14.71M-14.19M
Financing Cash Flow-86.66M-36.36M23.88M-13.93M-88.68M-85.85M

Beazer Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.13
Price Trends
50DMA
21.33
Positive
100DMA
22.62
Positive
200DMA
22.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.91
Negative
RSI
63.33
Neutral
STOCH
87.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BZH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.07, above the 50-day MA of 21.33, and below the 200-day MA of 22.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BZH.

Beazer Homes Risk Analysis

Beazer Homes disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Beazer Homes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Beazer Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$3.39B9.5211.42%-1.83%-30.18%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$691.80M19.504.39%-4.77%-87.32%
57
Neutral
$1.54B11.635.16%1.99%-7.87%-54.59%
51
Neutral
$687.99M-185.99-0.32%-13.36%-104.38%
50
Neutral
$1.13B15.653.39%-22.62%-60.74%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BZH
Beazer Homes
25.39
4.87
23.73%
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises
110.36
20.08
22.24%
MHO
M/I Homes
131.62
25.01
23.46%
LGIH
LGI Homes
47.81
-2.29
-4.57%
CCS
Century Communities
52.82
1.96
3.85%

Beazer Homes Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Beazer Homes Expands Revolving Credit Facility for Growth
Positive
Mar 17, 2026
On March 13, 2026, Beazer Homes USA, Inc. executed a third amendment to its senior unsecured revolving credit facility, increasing the aggregate commitment by $160 million to $525 million. The company also extended the facility’s maturity fr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 13, 2026