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United Bancorp (UBCP)
NASDAQ:UBCP
US Market
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United Bancorp (UBCP) AI Stock Analysis

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UBCP

United Bancorp

(NASDAQ:UBCP)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(13.87% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/17/26
The score is driven primarily by improving top-line trends and positive TTM free cash flow, but tempered by the materially higher leverage profile and increased CRE concentration risk. Valuation is supportive with a low P/E and high dividend yield, while technical signals are mixed with weak near-term momentum but a better longer-term trend and oversold readings.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sustained re-acceleration in TTM revenue signals recovering core franchise momentum across lending and fee streams. Over 2-6 months this supports higher net interest income potential, improved lending scale, and steadier top-line that underpins medium-term earnings stability.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Material rise in debt-to-equity increases sensitivity to funding stress and credit cycles. Elevated leverage reduces balance-sheet flexibility, raises capital needs under stress scenarios, and can amplify downside in earnings and returns if loan performance weakens.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sustained re-acceleration in TTM revenue signals recovering core franchise momentum across lending and fee streams. Over 2-6 months this supports higher net interest income potential, improved lending scale, and steadier top-line that underpins medium-term earnings stability.
Read all positive factors

United Bancorp Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Loan Portfolio Breakdown
Loan Portfolio Breakdown
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

United Bancorp (UBCP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

United Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
United Bancorp, Inc. acts as the parent organization for Unified Bank, which delivers a comprehensive range of commercial and individual banking solutions, with a primary focus on Ohio. The bank facilitates various deposit options, including check...
How the Company Makes Money
United Bancorp makes money primarily through its banking subsidiary by (1) generating net interest income and (2) earning noninterest income, while incurring operating expenses and provisioning for credit losses. 1) Net interest income (core earn...

United Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth has re-accelerated in the TTM period and profitability remains solid (TTM net margin ~16%), but margins are meaningfully below 2021–2023 levels. Balance-sheet risk is elevated due to higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.74 TTM vs ~0.55–0.70 in 2021–2022), and cash flow is improving with positive TTM free cash flow (~$4.9M) but still shows only moderate cash conversion (~51% of net income). KPI insights also point to rising concentration in commercial real estate lending, increasing cyclical credit risk.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.82M47.50M43.98M40.90M31.74M30.41M
Gross Profit32.28M31.99M28.96M30.34M29.43M29.07M
EBITDA9.01M9.26M8.52M10.64M10.70M11.97M
Net Income7.79M7.75M7.40M8.95M8.66M9.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets858.50M857.45M816.66M819.45M757.40M724.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments244.50M161.33M138.84M210.73M247.70M229.31M
Total Debt117.48M131.27M132.21M128.33M41.83M39.37M
Total Liabilities791.00M786.93M753.20M755.86M697.66M652.75M
Stockholders Equity67.50M70.52M63.46M63.59M59.74M71.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.94M-1.82M-1.25M8.38M7.97M7.42M
Operating Cash Flow9.60M9.96M8.45M9.46M8.48M8.19M
Investing Cash Flow-33.20M-4.01M-19.46M-48.47M-103.26M-1.21M
Financing Cash Flow14.44M20.98M-10.14M49.70M41.86M24.42M

United Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.49
Price Trends
50DMA
15.55
Positive
100DMA
15.02
Positive
200DMA
14.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
51.66
Neutral
STOCH
41.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UBCP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.26, below the 50-day MA of 15.55, and above the 200-day MA of 14.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UBCP.

United Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$112.49M10.2714.13%2.18%5.49%66.01%
72
Outperform
$90.02M15.015.92%2.08%3.98%-20.75%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$89.80M15.165.95%-5.51%
63
Neutral
$90.36M11.0311.80%6.51%7.19%9.14%
51
Neutral
$93.06M-4.21-7.66%2.16%-1083.24%
48
Neutral
$101.26M19.553.14%2.88%-3.63%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UBCP
United Bancorp
15.63
3.25
26.27%
BOTJ
Bank Of The Jame Financial
24.76
10.87
78.19%
BYFC
Broadway Financial
10.03
4.03
67.17%
SSBI
Summit State Bank
13.45
3.79
39.23%
FUSB
First US Bancshares
16.17
3.87
31.44%
FNWB
First Northwest Bancorp
10.66
2.64
32.92%

United Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
United Bancorp Declares Regular Second-Quarter 2026 Dividend
Positive
Apr 23, 2026
United Bancorp, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared the company’s regular second-quarter 2026 dividend on April 22, 2026, continuing its pattern of ongoing shareholder payouts. The dividend will be paid on June 19, 2026 to sh...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 17, 2026