Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A (TWNP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $21.22M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 9.28K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.11
• Revenue Growth: -4.93%
• EPS Growth: -39.52%
• Country: US
• Employees: 6,000
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): -0.41
• Shares Outstanding: 54,455,856
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 12,397
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 9,276
• PEG Ratio: -0.08
• Price to Book (P/B): -10.67
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.55
• P/FCF Ratio: -22.48
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 25.92K
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.59K
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.59K
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -170.02K
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 38 Underperform
• Price Target: $0.26 ▼(-51.89% Downside)

The score is driven primarily by severe financial distress (negative equity, high leverage, worsening cash flow) and a Chapter 11 restructuring with explicit risk of major shareholder losses. Technicals confirm strong downside momentum, while valuation signals are constrained by losses and no stated dividend support.

Positive Factors

Asset-light management/franchise model

An asset-light model driven by franchise fees and management contracts supports scalable growth with limited incremental capex. Over 2–6 months this structure preserves cash, enables faster geographic expansion, and reduces fixed-asset risk versus owning properties, improving strategic flexibility.

Strong recent revenue growth

A 53.3% YoY revenue increase signals durable demand recovery or successful commercial execution across brands. Sustained top-line growth provides the foundation to leverage fixed costs, restore margins, and rebuild cash flow if management stabilizes operations and controls cost trends over the medium term.

Restructuring leadership and operational continuity

Bringing experienced restructuring directors and a CRO while keeping core restaurants open preserves operating value and focuses governance on turnaround execution. Specialized leadership increases odds of an orderly reorganization, protects franchise cash flows, and can accelerate creditor negotiations to stabilize the capital structure.

Negative Factors

Negative equity and excessive leverage

Negative equity combined with very high absolute debt creates structural insolvency risk and limits financial flexibility. Over months this leverage heightens refinancing and covenant pressure, constrains investment in operations, and increases likelihood that creditors will dictate restructuring outcomes rather than management.

Weak cash generation

Negative operating and free cash flow indicate the business is not generating sufficient internal liquidity to fund operations or service debt. Persisting cash deficits force reliance on external financing or asset sales, undermining the company's ability to execute strategic initiatives and increasing default risk in the medium term.

Chapter 11 filing and creditor acceleration

A Chapter 11 filing and prior acceleration notices represent a fundamental reset of capital structure and high probability of equity dilution or wipeout. The reorganization process will materially affect governance, contracts and creditor claims, creating sustained uncertainty about the company's long-term competitive position and ownership.

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Twin Hospitality Group, Inc. engages in the operation and franchise of restaurants and sports bars. Its restaurants include Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones. The company was founded on February 6, 2024 and is headquartered in Dallas, TX.

How the Company Makes Money

Twin Hospitality Group generates revenue primarily through the management and operation of its hotel properties, earning income from room bookings, event hosting, and food and beverage sales. The company also benefits from franchise fees and management contracts with hotel owners, allowing it to expand its portfolio with minimal capital investment. Additionally, Twin Hospitality Group may enter into strategic partnerships with organizations in the tourism and travel industries, enhancing its market reach and driving additional revenue through collaborative promotions and marketing efforts.

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite strong revenue growth (+53.3% YoY), the company shows severe financial weakness: worsening net losses (net margin -13.6%), sharply lower gross margin (27.1% vs. 43.2%), negative operating cash flow (-$15.0M), negative free cash flow (-$40.2M), and a highly distressed balance sheet with negative equity (-$84.6M) alongside very high debt ($569.8M).

Income Statement

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced significant revenue growth of 53.3% from 2023 to 2024, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, profitability metrics are concerning, with a negative net profit margin of -13.6% in 2024, down from -6.0% in 2023, and a negative EBIT margin of -2.4% in 2024. The gross profit margin decreased to 27.1% in 2024 from 43.2% in 2023, highlighting increased cost pressures. The EBITDA margin also declined to 3.7% from 12.1% in the previous year, reflecting operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Twin Hospitality Group Inc. reveals significant financial instability. The company has a negative stockholders' equity of -$84.6 million in 2024, indicating insolvency risks. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, but the high total debt of $569.8 million suggests excessive leverage. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting a capital structure heavily reliant on debt. These factors pose substantial risks to financial stability and future solvency.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis for Twin Hospitality Group Inc. highlights liquidity challenges. Operating cash flow turned negative in 2024 at -$15.0 million, compared to a positive $6.0 million in 2023, indicating deteriorating cash generation from operations. Free cash flow is also negative at -$40.2 million, worsening from -$17.8 million in 2023, suggesting increased capital expenditures or reduced cash inflows. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not favorable, reflecting cash flow constraints.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	345.10M	353.80M	230.87M	165.86M
Gross Profit	72.44M	96.00M	62.50M	57.60M
EBITDA	-3.23M	13.08M	28.02M	20.20M
Net Income	-61.11M	-48.17M	-13.84M	-12.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	535.07M	542.45M	565.58M	391.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	6.06M	9.37M	4.49M	2.97M
Total Debt	565.85M	569.85M	514.96M	295.69M
Total Liabilities	613.71M	627.05M	581.09M	330.97M
Stockholders Equity	-78.64M	-84.61M	-15.51M	60.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-41.31M	-40.17M	-17.83M	-23.97M
Operating Cash Flow	-23.49M	-15.04M	6.04M	-6.16M
Investing Cash Flow	-8.76M	-20.50M	-14.61M	-6.38M
Financing Cash Flow	26.85M	37.28M	15.74M	6.42M

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.53
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TWNP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.81, below the 50-day MA of 3.96, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TWNP.

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BDL	62 Neutral	$62.45M	12.41	7.97%	1.89%	8.99%	49.97%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
STKS	48 Neutral	$68.43M	-0.56	-51.90%	―	51.57%	-367.14%
RRGB	41 Neutral	$67.91M	-1.18	―	―	-3.61%	2.06%
GENK	41 Neutral	$68.17M	-8.18	-8.89%	1.27%	9.36%	-249.08%
TWNP	38 Underperform	$21.22M	-0.22	―	―	-4.93%	-39.52%

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Twin Hospitality Group Begins Chapter 11 Restructuring Process

On January 26, 2026, Twin Hospitality Group Inc., along with parent FAT Brands Inc. and their respective subsidiaries, filed voluntary Chapter 11 petitions in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas and began operating as debtors-in-possession while seeking first-day relief to support ongoing operations. The company said its Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones restaurants are expected to remain open and operating as usual during the restructuring, while Nasdaq trading of its securities is set to continue with a “Q” suffix; at the same time, management warned that trading in its securities is highly speculative and that common shareholders may face a complete or significant loss depending on the outcome of the case. Also effective January 26, 2026, the board expanded from five to six members, appointing restructuring veterans Patrick Bartels and Neal Goldman as independent directors and as a special committee to oversee restructuring matters, and naming Huron Consulting’s John DiDonato as Chief Restructuring Officer and Abhimanyu Gupta as Deputy Chief Restructuring Officer, underscoring a move to bring in specialized turnaround expertise to guide the Chapter 11 process and attempt to stabilize the company’s capital structure for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWNP) stock is a Hold with a $0.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A stock, see the TWNP Stock Forecast page.

Twin Hospitality Holds 2025 Annual Stockholder Meeting, Elects Directors

On December 23, 2025, Twin Hospitality Group Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, at which holders of Class A and Class B common stock voted together as a single class on all matters, representing aggregate voting power of 198,154,232 votes. Stockholders elected four directors—Kenneth J. Anderson, Lynne L. Collier, David Jobe and Andrew A. Wiederhorn—to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting, following the prior resignation and withdrawn nomination of James Ellis, and also ratified the appointment of Macias Gini & O’Connell, LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 28, 2025, reinforcing continuity in both the company’s board leadership and its external financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWNP) stock is a Sell with a $0.98 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A stock, see the TWNP Stock Forecast page.

Twin Hospitality Group announces leadership changes amid restructuring

On December 26, 2025, Twin Hospitality Group Inc. terminated President and Chief Executive Officer Kim Boerema, effective December 29, 2025, and appointed Chairman Andrew (Andy) Wiederhorn as CEO while elevating long-time Twin Peaks executive Roger Gondek to President and Chief Operating Officer of Twin Peaks Restaurants; Ken Brendemihl continues to lead Smokey Bones as President and COO. Wiederhorn, who helped spin out Twin Peaks and Smokey Bones into Twin Hospitality and has chaired the board since August 2025, will not receive extra compensation for the CEO role, and management framed the leadership reshuffle, announced publicly on December 29, 2025, as a move to streamline operations, reduce overhead and support ongoing debt restructuring efforts aimed at strengthening the company’s long-term financial position and operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWNP) stock is a Sell with a $0.98 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A stock, see the TWNP Stock Forecast page.

Twin Hospitality Faces Financial Distress Amid Note Acceleration

Twin Hospitality Group Inc. has received notices of default related to its special purpose financing subsidiary, Twin Hospitality I, LLC, concerning fixed rate secured notes. On November 17, 2025, the company was notified of an acceleration of these notes, making the principal and interest immediately due, totaling approximately $432.3 million. The company lacks the funds to cover these amounts, which may lead to significant financial distress, including potential bankruptcy proceedings. Discussions with noteholders about refinancing or restructuring are ongoing, but no assurances of a resolution can be provided.

The most recent analyst rating on (TWNP) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Twin Hospitality Group Inc. Class A stock, see the TWNP Stock Forecast page.