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TeraGo Inc. (TSE:TGO)
TSX:TGO
Canadian Market
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TeraGo Inc. (TGO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TGO

TeraGo Inc.

(TSX:TGO)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▲(26.58% Upside)
TeraGo Inc.'s overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and a highly leveraged balance sheet. While there are some positive signs in cash flow and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call, the technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. The successful recapitalization offers some hope for future growth, but immediate financial and operational hurdles remain.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Improvements
Improved cash flow indicates better operational efficiency and provides the company with more resources to invest in growth initiatives.
Recapitalization Success
The successful recapitalization enhances financial flexibility, enabling TeraGo to invest in strategic growth areas like 5G networks.
ARPA Increase
An increase in ARPA suggests improved customer value and pricing power, which can lead to better revenue stability over time.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue indicates challenges in maintaining customer base and market share, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in future opportunities.
Extended Sales Cycle
Longer sales cycles can delay revenue recognition and strain resources, impacting the company's ability to scale efficiently.

TeraGo Inc. (TGO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

TeraGo Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeraGo Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides connectivity, colocation, and cloud services for businesses primarily in Canada. The company owns and operates a carrier-grade multi-protocol label switching enabled wireline and fixed wireless, and Internet protocol communications network that provide Internet access, private interconnection, and data connectivity services. It also offers data connectivity services that allow businesses to connect their various sites within a city or across the company's geographic footprint through a private virtual local area network; and a range of diverse Ethernet-based services over a wireless connection to customer locations. In addition, the company provides data center colocation services that protect and connect its customers' valuable information assets; disaster recovery services; and managed hosting solutions. It provides data center services for national government agencies, financial services companies, IT service providers, content and network service providers, and small and medium businesses. Further, the company offers cloud services, including infrastructure as a service for compute, storage, disaster recovery cloud solutions, and other services to customers in various industry verticals, federal, provincial, and municipal governments and agencies, as well as non-profit organizations. It provides its services through direct and indirect sales channels. TeraGo Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Thornhill, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeraGo generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, including high-speed internet and cloud services subscriptions. The company operates on a recurring revenue model, which means that a significant portion of its income is derived from monthly or annual service fees paid by customers. Key revenue streams include dedicated internet access fees, managed IT services, and colocation services within their data centers. Additionally, TeraGo benefits from strategic partnerships with technology and service providers, which enable them to enhance their service offerings and attract a broader customer base. Factors contributing to TeraGo's earnings include the growing demand for cloud services, the shift towards digital transformation among businesses, and the increasing need for reliable telecommunications solutions in a competitive market.

TeraGo Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strategic focus on profitability and operational efficiency, with positive developments in ARPA, EBITDA, and capital structure. However, challenges such as revenue decline, increased churn, and longer sales cycles highlight areas of concern. The successful recapitalization provides financial flexibility for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Average Revenue Per Account (ARPA)
ARPA for the connectivity business was $1,241 in Q3 2025, a 1.6% increase compared to $1,221 for the same period in 2024, driven by changes in customer base and product mix.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA was $971,000 in Q3 2025, an increase of 3% compared to $944,000 from the same period in 2024, despite lower revenues.
Successful Recapitalization
Completed a comprehensive recapitalization aggregating approximately $46 million, including a new 3-year senior secured term loan facility of $30.5 million and equity financings of $15.9 million.
Net Loss Reduction
Net loss for Q3 2025 was $2.4 million compared to a net loss of $3.3 million for the same period in 2024.
Cash Flow from Operations
Generated approximately $1.1 million in cash from operations in Q3 2025.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q3 was $6.4 million compared to $6.5 million for the same period in 2024, primarily due to increased churn from discontinuing service to unprofitable accounts.
Customer Churn Increase
Churn increased to 1% compared to 0.9% for the same period last year.
Extended Sales Cycle
Sales cycles for larger deals have extended from 6 months to potentially 12 months due to economic uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During TeraGo's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance emphasizing their strategic focus on improving financial metrics and positioning for future growth. TeraGo reported an increase in average revenue per account (ARPA) to $1,241, up 1.6% from the previous year, driven by changes in customer base and product mix. The company managed a churn rate of 1%, slightly higher than the 0.9% from the same period in 2024, while total revenue was slightly down to $6.4 million due to strategic customer churn. Adjusted EBITDA showed a 3% increase to $971,000 despite the revenue dip. TeraGo's net loss improved to $2.4 million from $3.3 million in 2024. The company completed a significant recapitalization, securing approximately $46 million, including a $30.5 million senior secured term loan and $15.9 million from equity financings, enhancing their financial flexibility to pursue growth opportunities in 5G private wireless networks and next-generation fixed wireless connectivity.

TeraGo Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TeraGo Inc. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, persistent losses, and a highly leveraged balance sheet. Despite some positive signs in cash flow improvements, the company's financial health is under pressure, requiring strategic adjustments to improve profitability and reduce financial risk.
Income Statement
35
Negative
TeraGo Inc. has experienced declining revenue over the TTM period with a significant drop of 89.2% compared to the previous year. The company has consistently reported negative net profit margins, indicating ongoing losses. Despite a relatively high gross profit margin, the negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight operational inefficiencies and challenges in covering operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with a negative stockholders' equity in the TTM period, leading to an extremely high debt-to-equity ratio of 27.17. This indicates significant leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is also negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profits from shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth, with a substantial increase of 111.3% in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but indicates that cash flow improvements are not sufficient to cover net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.87M26.16M26.05M27.62M43.30M45.45M
Gross Profit19.09M19.18M19.10M20.18M32.16M35.63M
EBITDA3.01M2.79M496.00K603.00K3.28M11.33M
Net Income-14.30M-13.27M-13.19M-11.57M-15.17M-8.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.70M53.99M53.50M55.38M93.23M103.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.93M4.42M4.64M7.38M5.48M5.86M
Total Debt46.57M44.33M31.93M20.50M35.91M56.16M
Total Liabilities51.82M49.07M36.16M25.78M52.97M62.30M
Stockholders Equity-2.12M4.92M17.33M29.60M40.26M40.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.40M1.48M-5.45M-4.96M1.94M5.72M
Operating Cash Flow4.95M5.01M501.00K1.25M9.32M13.33M
Investing Cash Flow-3.82M-3.52M-5.02M18.82M-7.75M-7.58M
Financing Cash Flow-3.00M-1.90M2.69M-19.34M-1.95M-8.58M

TeraGo Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.79
Price Trends
50DMA
0.84
Negative
100DMA
0.96
Negative
200DMA
1.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
46.18
Neutral
STOCH
54.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.81, below the 50-day MA of 0.84, and below the 200-day MA of 1.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TGO.

TeraGo Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$29.56B4.3747.62%3.66%2.75%342.54%
73
Outperform
$30.70B4.9631.28%8.86%0.11%7109.23%
67
Neutral
$2.81B8.6810.26%5.49%-2.22%-2.36%
64
Neutral
C$618.97M7.1810.16%5.84%-2.14%4.40%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$28.39B23.647.30%8.93%2.42%24.37%
43
Neutral
C$34.49M-1.24-755.68%-1.53%2.48%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TGO
TeraGo Inc.
0.79
-0.46
-36.80%
TSE:BCE
BCE
32.92
-2.04
-5.82%
TSE:RCI.B
Rogers Communication
54.63
6.53
13.58%
TSE:T
Telus
18.34
-2.02
-9.91%
TSE:CGO
Cogeco Inc. SV
64.23
6.39
11.05%
TSE:CCA
Cogeco Communications
68.30
1.98
2.99%

TeraGo Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
TeraGo Strengthens Financial Position Amid Revenue Decline
Neutral
Nov 11, 2025

TeraGo Inc. reported a decrease in total revenue for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to increased churn as part of its strategy to optimize the customer base. Despite the revenue decline, the company saw an increase in Adjusted EBITDA due to higher gross margins and reduced operating expenses. TeraGo also completed a series of recapitalization transactions totaling approximately $46 million, strengthening its capital structure and providing financial flexibility to pursue growth opportunities in 5G private wireless and next-generation fixed-wireless connectivity.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TGO) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraGo Inc. stock, see the TSE:TGO Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
TERAGO to Host Investor Call for Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

TERAGO Inc. announced it will hold an investor conference call on November 11, 2025, to discuss its third-quarter financial results, which will be released on November 10, 2025. This announcement underscores TERAGO’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning by highlighting its financial health and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TGO) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraGo Inc. stock, see the TSE:TGO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TeraGo Strengthens Financial Position with Successful Recapitalization
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

TeraGo Inc. has successfully closed its recapitalization transactions, significantly strengthening its financial position. The recapitalization, which includes a rights offering, a concurrent private placement, and a new term debt facility, provides TeraGo with the financial flexibility to advance its strategic priorities and capitalize on its valuable spectrum assets. This move is expected to enhance TeraGo’s ability to address the increasing demand for data-intensive applications, thereby unlocking meaningful value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TGO) stock is a Sell with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraGo Inc. stock, see the TSE:TGO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TERAGO Secures Over $12 Million in Rights Offering and Private Placement
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

TERAGO Inc. announced that it has received over $12 million in subscriptions for its rights offering and concurrent private placement, surpassing the initial target of $5.5 million. This funding is part of the company’s broader recapitalization strategy, which includes a $21 million term loan from EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. The transactions, aimed at refinancing existing debt, are contingent upon securing necessary approvals, including from the Toronto Stock Exchange, and are expected to close on October 15, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TGO) stock is a Sell with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraGo Inc. stock, see the TSE:TGO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TeraGo Inc. Unveils Strategic Recapitalization Plan to Bolster Financial Position
Positive
Sep 12, 2025

TeraGo Inc. has announced a transformative recapitalization plan, involving a new term debt facility of US $21 million from EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. to refinance its existing debt. This plan includes a rights offering to raise additional capital, aiming to strengthen the company’s financial position and support its strategic initiatives. The recapitalization is expected to enhance TeraGo’s operational capabilities and market positioning, benefiting stakeholders by potentially increasing the company’s growth and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TGO) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraGo Inc. stock, see the TSE:TGO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TeraGo Inc. Optimizes Customer Base Amidst Strategic Revenue Adjustments
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

TeraGo Inc. reported a strategic reduction in revenue for the second quarter and first half of 2025 due to a deliberate decision to let unprofitable customers churn, aligning with their long-term value creation strategy. Despite this, the company saw improvements in key metrics such as ARPA and backlog MRR, indicating a focus on profitable revenue generation and customer base optimization. The company remains confident in refinancing its debt facility and is well-positioned for future growth, bolstered by its significant mmWave spectrum holdings.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025