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TeraGo Inc. (TSE:TGO)
TSX:TGO
Canadian Market

TeraGo Inc. (TGO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TGO

TeraGo Inc.

(TSX:TGO)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.95
▲(52.42% Upside)
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, ongoing losses, deteriorating cash flow, and negative equity/leverage risk). Technicals are supportive with price above key averages and positive MACD, but momentum looks somewhat stretched. Earnings call updates were moderately constructive (EBITDA improvement and recapitalization), though revenue softness, churn, and longer sales cycles remain key risks. Valuation is less supportive given the negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription revenue
A subscription-heavy business model (connectivity, cloud, managed services) yields predictable recurring revenue and contract-driven cash flow. This supports retention, upsell of bandwidth and cloud tiers, and long-term customer relationships that stabilize revenues over multiple quarters.
High gross profit margin
A 73.8% gross margin indicates core services are delivered with strong unit economics, giving room to absorb SG&A or invest in network expansion. If sales recover, high gross margins can translate into faster operating leverage and sustainable profitability over time.
Recapitalization increases financial flexibility
The ~$46M recapitalization materially improves liquidity and gives management runway to pursue strategic investments (5G private wireless, next-gen fixed wireless). This structural capital infusion reduces immediate solvency pressure and enables longer-term growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Steep revenue decline
A >50% TTM revenue drop is a durable red flag: it compresses operating leverage, hinders reinvestment capacity, and signals structural customer loss or competitive displacement. Recovering top-line is essential for restoring margins and funding network investments.
Negative equity and high leverage
Negative equity and extreme leverage imply solvency risk and constrain strategic flexibility. Such a capital structure can limit access to unsecured financing, increase refinancing and covenant risk, and prioritize deleveraging over growth investments for the foreseeable term.
Weak cash generation
Severely declining free cash flow and low cash conversion reduce the company's ability to fund capex, network upgrades, or absorb downturns without external capital. Persistent weak cash generation heightens reliance on financing and undermines sustainable growth execution.

TeraGo Inc. (TGO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

TeraGo Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeraGo Inc. (TGO) is a Canadian telecommunications provider that specializes in offering high-speed internet, cloud services, and data center solutions to businesses across various sectors. With a focus on delivering reliable connectivity and innovative technology solutions, TeraGo serves small to medium-sized enterprises as well as larger organizations, enhancing their operational efficiency and digital capabilities. The company's core offerings include dedicated internet access, managed services, and customized cloud solutions, supported by a robust network infrastructure.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeraGo generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, including high-speed internet and cloud services subscriptions. The company operates on a recurring revenue model, which means that a significant portion of its income is derived from monthly or annual service fees paid by customers. Key revenue streams include dedicated internet access fees, managed IT services, and colocation services within their data centers. Additionally, TeraGo benefits from strategic partnerships with technology and service providers, which enable them to enhance their service offerings and attract a broader customer base. Factors contributing to TeraGo's earnings include the growing demand for cloud services, the shift towards digital transformation among businesses, and the increasing need for reliable telecommunications solutions in a competitive market.

TeraGo Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strategic focus on profitability and operational efficiency, with positive developments in ARPA, EBITDA, and capital structure. However, challenges such as revenue decline, increased churn, and longer sales cycles highlight areas of concern. The successful recapitalization provides financial flexibility for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Average Revenue Per Account (ARPA)
ARPA for the connectivity business was $1,241 in Q3 2025, a 1.6% increase compared to $1,221 for the same period in 2024, driven by changes in customer base and product mix.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA was $971,000 in Q3 2025, an increase of 3% compared to $944,000 from the same period in 2024, despite lower revenues.
Successful Recapitalization
Completed a comprehensive recapitalization aggregating approximately $46 million, including a new 3-year senior secured term loan facility of $30.5 million and equity financings of $15.9 million.
Net Loss Reduction
Net loss for Q3 2025 was $2.4 million compared to a net loss of $3.3 million for the same period in 2024.
Cash Flow from Operations
Generated approximately $1.1 million in cash from operations in Q3 2025.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q3 was $6.4 million compared to $6.5 million for the same period in 2024, primarily due to increased churn from discontinuing service to unprofitable accounts.
Customer Churn Increase
Churn increased to 1% compared to 0.9% for the same period last year.
Extended Sales Cycle
Sales cycles for larger deals have extended from 6 months to potentially 12 months due to economic uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During TeraGo's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance emphasizing their strategic focus on improving financial metrics and positioning for future growth. TeraGo reported an increase in average revenue per account (ARPA) to $1,241, up 1.6% from the previous year, driven by changes in customer base and product mix. The company managed a churn rate of 1%, slightly higher than the 0.9% from the same period in 2024, while total revenue was slightly down to $6.4 million due to strategic customer churn. Adjusted EBITDA showed a 3% increase to $971,000 despite the revenue dip. TeraGo's net loss improved to $2.4 million from $3.3 million in 2024. The company completed a significant recapitalization, securing approximately $46 million, including a $30.5 million senior secured term loan and $15.9 million from equity financings, enhancing their financial flexibility to pursue growth opportunities in 5G private wireless networks and next-generation fixed wireless connectivity.

TeraGo Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate significant stress: steep TTM revenue decline (-56.4%), deeply negative profitability (net margin -55.3%, EBIT margin -24.5%), weak cash generation (free cash flow growth -82.9% TTM), and a highly concerning balance sheet with negative equity (-$4.3M) and very high leverage (debt-to-equity -22.0).
Income Statement
40
Negative
TeraGo Inc. has experienced a significant decline in revenue, with a TTM revenue growth rate of -56.4%. The company is facing negative profitability margins, including a net profit margin of -55.3% and an EBIT margin of -24.5%. Although the gross profit margin remains relatively high at 73.8%, the overall income statement reflects financial challenges and declining performance.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure with a negative stockholders' equity of -$4.3 million, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of -22.0. The return on equity is also negative at -466.3%, indicating significant financial distress and potential solvency issues.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a substantial decline in free cash flow growth of -82.9% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.13, indicating limited cash generation relative to net losses. Despite a positive free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.28, overall cash flow performance is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.73M26.16M26.05M27.62M43.30M45.45M
Gross Profit16.73M19.18M19.10M20.18M32.16M35.63M
EBITDA4.41M2.79M496.00K603.00K3.28M11.33M
Net Income-13.33M-13.27M-13.19M-11.57M-15.17M-8.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.29M53.99M53.50M55.38M93.23M103.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.30M4.42M4.64M7.38M5.48M5.86M
Total Debt49.38M44.33M31.93M20.50M35.91M56.16M
Total Liabilities54.62M49.07M36.16M25.78M52.97M62.30M
Stockholders Equity-4.33M4.92M17.33M29.60M40.26M40.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow240.00K1.48M-5.45M-4.96M1.94M5.72M
Operating Cash Flow3.96M5.01M501.00K1.25M9.32M13.33M
Investing Cash Flow-2.24M-3.52M-5.02M18.82M-7.75M-7.58M
Financing Cash Flow-6.08M-1.90M2.69M-19.34M-1.95M-8.58M

TeraGo Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.62
Price Trends
50DMA
0.76
Positive
100DMA
0.81
Positive
200DMA
0.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
64.89
Neutral
STOCH
75.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.83, below the 50-day MA of 0.76, and below the 200-day MA of 0.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TGO.

TeraGo Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$11.31B14.0335.34%2.70%-0.29%15.30%
72
Outperform
C$32.82B5.3031.28%7.42%0.11%7109.23%
72
Outperform
$2.77B8.9010.26%5.69%-2.22%-2.36%
71
Outperform
$27.83B4.0340.24%3.94%2.75%342.54%
62
Neutral
$29.47B24.497.30%9.49%2.42%24.37%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
49
Neutral
C$38.10M-1.47-755.68%-1.53%2.48%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TGO
TeraGo Inc.
0.95
-0.11
-10.38%
TSE:BCE
BCE
35.20
2.57
7.86%
TSE:RCI.B
Rogers Communication
51.40
13.62
36.04%
TSE:T
Telus
19.00
-0.60
-3.07%
TSE:QBR.A
Quebecor Inc Cl A MV
50.00
18.48
58.62%
TSE:CCA
Cogeco Communications
65.63
8.95
15.79%

TeraGo Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
TERAGO Elevates May Daou to Chief Customer Officer to Drive Next Growth Phase
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

TERAGO Inc. has appointed May Daou as Chief Customer Officer, effective January 1, 2026, elevating a long-time executive who previously led revenue management and helped shape the company’s customer-focused commercial framework. In her new role, Daou will oversee end-to-end customer experience, including onboarding, service delivery, account management, retention, and customer advocacy, as well as customer-facing marketing and pre-sales support, signalling TERAGO’s intent to deepen relationships with mid-market and enterprise clients and reinforce its differentiation on service quality as it prepares for its next phase of growth in managed connectivity and private 5G services.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TGO) stock is a Sell with a C$0.64 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraGo Inc. stock, see the TSE:TGO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
TERAGO Partners with Fortinet to Enhance Secure Networking Solutions
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

TERAGO Inc. has announced a strategic partnership with Fortinet to enhance its managed networking solutions by integrating advanced security features. This collaboration aims to set new standards for secure business networks in Canada, allowing businesses to benefit from seamless connectivity and robust data protection, thereby optimizing network performance and ensuring uninterrupted operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TGO) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraGo Inc. stock, see the TSE:TGO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
TeraGo Strengthens Financial Position Amid Revenue Decline
Neutral
Nov 11, 2025

TeraGo Inc. reported a decrease in total revenue for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to increased churn as part of its strategy to optimize the customer base. Despite the revenue decline, the company saw an increase in Adjusted EBITDA due to higher gross margins and reduced operating expenses. TeraGo also completed a series of recapitalization transactions totaling approximately $46 million, strengthening its capital structure and providing financial flexibility to pursue growth opportunities in 5G private wireless and next-generation fixed-wireless connectivity.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TGO) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TeraGo Inc. stock, see the TSE:TGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 18, 2026