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Rogers Communication (TSE:RCI.B)
TSX:RCI.B

Rogers Communication (RCI.B) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RCI.B

Rogers Communication

(TSX:RCI.B)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$57.00
â–²(13.10% Upside)
The score is driven by strong valuation (very low P/E and attractive dividend) and improving fundamentals (notably stronger 2025 earnings and free cash flow). Offsetting these positives are balance-sheet leverage risks and only mixed technical momentum, while the latest earnings call was constructive but highlighted ARPU and wireless service revenue pressure alongside elevated leverage.
Positive Factors
Strong Mobile Subscriber Growth
The significant increase in mobile subscribers indicates strong demand for Rogers' services and suggests a growing customer base, which is crucial for long-term revenue growth and market share expansion.
Industry-Leading Margins
High margins in wireless and cable segments demonstrate effective cost management and strategic investments, ensuring sustainable profitability and competitive advantage in the telecommunications industry.
Media Revenue Growth
The robust growth in media revenue highlights the success of Rogers' diversified business model and strengthens its position in the media sector, contributing to overall financial health.
Negative Factors
Flat Wireless Service Revenue
Stagnant wireless service revenue suggests challenges in maintaining growth in a competitive market, potentially impacting future revenue streams and necessitating strategic adjustments.
Decline in Mobile ARPU
A decline in ARPU indicates pricing pressure and reduced profitability per user, which could affect overall revenue and necessitate new strategies to enhance customer value.
Increased Debt Leverage
Higher debt levels following acquisitions increase financial risk and may limit future investment capacity, impacting long-term financial stability and flexibility.

Rogers Communication (RCI.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rogers Communication Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications and media company in Canada. It operates through three segments: Wireless, Cable, and Media. The company offers mobile Internet access, wireless voice and enhanced voice, device and accessory financing, wireless home phone, device protection, e-mail, global voice and data roaming, bridging landline, machine-to-machine and Internet of Things solutions, and advanced wireless solutions for businesses, as well as device delivery services; and postpaid and prepaid services under the Rogers, Fido, and chatr brands to approximately 11.3 million subscribers. It also provides Internet and WiFi services; smart home monitoring services, such as monitoring, security, automation, energy efficiency, and smart control through a smartphone app. In addition, the company offers local and network TV; on-demand television; cloud-based digital video recorders; voice-activated remote controls, and integrated apps; personal video recorders; linear and time-shifted programming; digital specialty channels; 4K television programming; and televised content on smartphones, tablets, and personal computers, as well as operates Ignite TV and Ignite TV app. Further, it provides residential and small business local telephony services; calling features, such as voicemail, call waiting, and long distance; voice, data networking, Internet protocol, and Ethernet services; private networking, Internet, IP voice, and cloud solutions; optical wave and multi-protocol label switching services; IT and network technologies; and cable access network services. The company also owns Toronto Blue Jays and the Rogers Centre event venue; and operates Sportsnet ONE, Sportsnet 360, Sportsnet World, Citytv, OMNI, FX (Canada), FXX (Canada), and OLN television networks, as well as 55 AM and FM radio stations. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRogers Communication generates revenue primarily through its wireless and cable segments. The wireless segment accounts for a significant portion of its income, derived from subscription fees for mobile services, device sales, and data plans. The cable segment generates revenue through subscription fees for television and internet services, with additional income from advertising. Furthermore, the media division contributes to revenues through advertising sales, content licensing, and partnerships with various broadcasters and digital platforms. Strategic partnerships, such as those with major technology and content providers, enhance its service offerings and drive customer acquisition, while its focus on 5G technology and expanding internet services supports growth in the competitive telecom landscape.

Rogers Communication Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Rogers demonstrated strong operational performance with significant mobile subscriber growth, industry-leading margins, and notable media revenue growth. However, challenges persist with flat wireless service revenue and a decline in ARPU, alongside increased debt leverage. The company's innovation in satellite to mobile technology and improved free cash flow outlook are positive signs for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Mobile Subscriber Growth
Rogers added 111,000 total mobile phone net additions in Q3 and 206,000 mobile subscribers year-to-date, leading the industry with innovative, feature-rich plans.
Industry-Leading Wireless and Cable Margins
Rogers reported Wireless margins of 67% and Cable margins of 58%, reflecting strong cost efficiency and strategic investments.
Significant Media Revenue Growth
Media revenue increased by 26%, driven by a strong Blue Jays regular season and the consolidation of MLSE results.
Improved Free Cash Flow Outlook
Rogers raised its free cash flow expectation to between $3.2 billion and $3.3 billion, higher than the previous target.
Satellite to Mobile Innovation
Rogers launched a groundbreaking satellite to mobile technology, extending coverage to remote areas, with significant customer engagement.
Negative Updates
Flat Wireless Service Revenue
Wireless service revenue was flat year-over-year, impacted by lower immigration, competitive intensity, and reduced roaming and wholesale revenues.
Decline in Blended Mobile ARPU
Blended mobile phone ARPU decreased by 3% to $56.70, reflecting competitive pressures and lower international and wholesale roaming revenue.
Debt Leverage Increase
Debt leverage ratio increased to 3.9x following the acquisition of an additional stake in MLSE, although efforts are being made to deleverage.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Rogers Communications reported strong performance across its core business segments, including Wireless, Cable, and Media. The company achieved industry-leading Wireless margins of 67% and added 111,000 total mobile phone net additions, bringing the year-to-date total to 206,000. Postpaid churn improved to 0.99%, the lowest in over two years. The Cable segment saw 29,000 retail Internet additions, contributing to a year-to-date total of approximately 80,000 new Internet subscribers, with margins reaching 58%. Media revenue grew by 26%, driven by a successful Toronto Blue Jays season and the consolidation of MLSE results. The company projects full-year 2025 Media revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $4 billion and $250 million, respectively. Capital expenditures are now expected to be $3.7 billion, down from the previous target of $3.8 billion, with free cash flow estimated between $3.2 billion and $3.3 billion. Rogers is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet with a reported debt leverage ratio of 3.9x.

Rogers Communication Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid operating profile with steady revenue growth and a sharp improvement in 2025 earnings and free cash flow, but the balance sheet remains a key constraint due to historically high leverage and elevated absolute debt levels despite improved equity in 2025.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from 2020 to 2025, with 2024 showing solid growth and 2025 continuing at a modest pace. Profitability was strong in 2024 (healthy gross, operating, and EBITDA margins), and earnings improved sharply in 2025 versus prior years. The main weakness is volatility in reported profitability across years (notably weaker net margin in 2023), which reduces confidence in the consistency of earnings quality despite the strong recent result.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet is heavily leveraged: debt is large and has risen materially since 2020, and leverage was very high in 2023–2024 (debt well in excess of equity). Total assets expanded significantly, but the company’s capital structure remains debt-heavy, which can limit flexibility in a higher-rate environment. A key positive is the very large increase in equity reported in 2025, which improves balance-sheet cushioning versus 2024, though absolute debt levels remain elevated.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Operating cash flow has trended upward overall from 2021 through 2025, supporting the stability expected in a telecom business. Free cash flow improved meaningfully in 2024 and accelerated further in 2025 (strong year-over-year growth), indicating better cash generation. Offsetting this, free cash flow conversion relative to earnings was moderate in 2022–2024, suggesting that not all accounting profit translated into free cash flow during that period.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.71B20.60B19.31B15.40B14.65B
Gross Profit5.02B9.62B8.58B6.39B5.89B
EBITDA14.74B9.21B8.22B6.12B5.63B
Net Income6.89B1.73B849.00M1.68B1.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets90.01B71.41B69.28B55.66B41.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.34B898.00M800.00M13.30B715.00M
Total Debt46.60B47.63B45.20B36.75B22.84B
Total Liabilities65.73B61.01B58.84B45.56B31.43B
Stockholders Equity24.29B10.40B10.44B10.09B10.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.35B1.59B1.29B1.42B1.37B
Operating Cash Flow6.06B5.63B5.22B4.49B4.16B
Investing Cash Flow-8.21B-4.46B-20.20B-3.26B-6.13B
Financing Cash Flow2.60B-1.08B2.48B11.36B203.00M

Rogers Communication Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price50.40
Price Trends
50DMA
51.30
Positive
100DMA
51.11
Positive
200DMA
45.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
54.54
Neutral
STOCH
57.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RCI.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.48, below the 50-day MA of 51.30, and above the 200-day MA of 45.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RCI.B.

Rogers Communication Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$11.31B14.0335.34%2.70%-0.29%15.30%
75
Outperform
C$11.31B13.9434.72%2.69%-0.29%15.30%
72
Outperform
C$32.82B5.3031.28%7.42%0.11%7109.23%
72
Outperform
$2.77B8.9010.26%5.69%-2.22%-2.36%
71
Outperform
$27.83B4.0340.24%3.94%2.75%342.54%
62
Neutral
C$29.47B24.497.30%9.49%2.42%24.37%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RCI.B
Rogers Communication
50.40
12.62
33.39%
TSE:BCE
BCE
35.30
2.66
8.17%
TSE:T
Telus
18.88
-0.72
-3.68%
TSE:QBR.A
Quebecor Inc Cl A MV
51.93
20.41
64.75%
TSE:CCA
Cogeco Communications
66.51
9.83
17.35%
TSE:QBR.B
Quebecor
51.15
19.68
62.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026