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Rogers Communication (TSE:RCI.B)
TSX:RCI.B
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Rogers Communication (RCI.B) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RCI.B

Rogers Communication

(TSX:RCI.B)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$53.00
▲(7.61% Upside)
Rogers Communication's strong financial performance and technical indicators are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's strategic investments and reasonable valuation further support its position, despite challenges in subscriber growth and regulatory risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Rogers' Q2/25 results are considered net positive due to a meaningful improvement in cable returns and effective cost containment.
Market Position
The wireless market is showing signs of stabilization, with post-paid net additions slightly higher than expected, and recent upwards price adjustments are seen as constructive.
Valuation
Rogers' share price has reflected little to no recognition for its recent efforts to crystallize value for its sports assets, and consequently is positioned for material upside as the process rolls along.
Negative Factors
Monetization Delays
The anticipated monetization of the Sports assets could take longer than originally expected, potentially extending to H2/26.
Wireless Market Challenges
Wireless volumes and prices remain under pressure with no clear near-term positive inflection point expected.

Rogers Communication (RCI.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rogers Communication Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRogers Communications Inc. (RCI.B) is a leading Canadian telecommunications and media company headquartered in Toronto, Ontario. The company operates in various sectors, including wireless communications, cable television, internet, and media. Its core products and services encompass mobile voice and data services, high-speed internet, television services, and content through its media division, which includes broadcasting, digital media, and publishing.
How the Company Makes MoneyRogers Communications generates revenue primarily through its wireless segment, which includes the sale of mobile voice and data services to consumers and businesses. This segment is complemented by its cable services, which provide internet, television, and home phone services. Additional revenue streams come from the media sector, which includes advertising revenue from its television and radio stations, as well as subscription fees from various digital platforms. Significant partnerships, such as those with content providers, enhance its media offerings and contribute to earnings. The company also benefits from infrastructure investments, leading to improved service quality and customer retention, further boosting revenue.

Rogers Communication Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Rogers demonstrated strong financial and operational performance with notable growth in its core segments and successful deleveraging. However, challenges such as subscriber growth slowdown and regulatory risks pose concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Rogers reported positive revenue and EBITDA growth in its Wireless, Cable, and Media businesses, with consolidated service revenue and adjusted EBITDA each increasing by 2%.
Cable Revenue Recovery
Cable service revenue and adjusted EBITDA grew by 1% and 3%, respectively, marking a successful return to growth in this segment.
Significant Debt Reduction
Rogers reduced its leverage to 3.6x, achieving its delevering target 9 months ahead of schedule, significantly improving its balance sheet.
Launch of Satellite-to-Mobile Texting
Rogers launched satellite-to-mobile texting, becoming the first Canadian wireless provider to offer this service, expanding coverage significantly.
MLSE Acquisition
Rogers became the majority owner of Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment with a 75% controlling interest, adding significant value to its Media segment.
Negative Updates
Decline in Wireless Subscriber Additions
Wireless subscriber net additions fell from 162,000 last year to 61,000 this quarter, reflecting a decrease in market size due to reduced immigration.
ARPU Decrease
Blended mobile phone ARPU declined by 3% due to competitive intensity and lower outbound roaming revenue.
CRTC Decision Impact
The CRTC's decision could negatively impact Rogers' capital programs and network construction jobs, with billions in investment at risk.
Media Costs Increase
Media operating costs rose by 9% due to higher programming costs and increased expenses related to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Company Guidance
During the Rogers Communications Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported notable financial and strategic achievements. Total service revenue and adjusted EBITDA both grew by 2%, with the Wireless segment seeing a 1% increase in both service revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The Cable segment also showed growth, with a 1% rise in service revenue and a 3% increase in adjusted EBITDA. Media revenue surged by 10%, driven by higher viewership during the NHL playoffs and the Toronto Blue Jays' strong performance. The company completed a $7 billion equity investment to reduce its debt, achieving a 3.6x leverage ratio nine months ahead of schedule. Rogers also highlighted the launch of satellite-to-mobile texting, enhancing its wireless coverage significantly, and the rollout of 5G advanced network technology. Additionally, they discussed the inclusion of Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment (MLSE) financial results, estimating the Media segment's revenue at $3.9 billion and EBITDA at $0.3 billion for 2025. Looking forward, Rogers updated its 2025 guidance, anticipating a 3% to 5% growth in total service revenue and maintaining an adjusted EBITDA growth of 0% to 3%.

Rogers Communication Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rogers Communication shows strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, supported by effective cost management. However, high leverage poses potential risks, mitigated by strong returns and cash flows. Overall, the company reflects stability and growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Rogers Communication's income statement shows a strong performance with a consistent increase in total revenue, from $13.9B in 2020 to $20.7B TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) in 2025. The Gross Profit Margin is healthy at 46.7% TTM, indicating effective control over cost of goods sold. The Net Profit Margin improved significantly from 11.4% in 2020 to 8.5% TTM, reflecting good profitability. Revenue growth rate is positive, demonstrating steady expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, at 24.1% and 44.6% TTM respectively, highlighting strong operational efficiency. Overall, the company shows a solid trajectory in revenue and profitability growth, with minor fluctuations.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Rogers Communication reveals a moderate risk profile. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is high at approximately 4.64 TTM, suggesting significant leverage. However, the company maintains stable Stockholders' Equity which increased over the years. The Return on Equity is commendable at 16.5% TTM, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 14.5% TTM, which is low, reflecting high reliance on debt financing. While the high leverage poses potential risks, the company has demonstrated capacity to generate adequate returns.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Rogers Communication's cash flow statement indicates strong cash generation capability with Operating Cash Flow at $5.8B TTM. The Free Cash Flow improved from $1.1B in 2023 to $1.7B TTM, showing positive growth. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is favorable at 3.3, indicating efficient conversion of net income to cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.96, suggesting that nearly all of the net income is translated into free cash flow. These metrics reflect the company's strong cash position, despite high capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.80B20.60B19.31B15.40B14.65B13.92B
Gross Profit9.69B9.62B8.58B6.39B5.89B5.86B
EBITDA9.05B9.26B7.61B6.19B5.66B5.76B
Net Income1.52B1.73B849.00M1.68B1.56B1.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.19B71.41B69.28B55.66B41.96B38.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.96B898.00M800.00M1.15B715.00M2.48B
Total Debt45.41B47.63B45.20B36.75B22.84B21.26B
Total Liabilities59.32B61.01B58.84B45.56B31.43B29.28B
Stockholders Equity11.22B10.40B10.44B10.09B10.53B9.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.97B1.51B1.10B1.37B1.32B1.95B
Operating Cash Flow5.92B5.68B5.22B4.49B4.16B4.32B
Investing Cash Flow-3.86B-4.46B-20.20B-3.26B-6.13B-2.56B
Financing Cash Flow4.45B-1.13B2.48B11.36B203.00M227.00M

Rogers Communication Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.25
Price Trends
50DMA
46.19
Positive
100DMA
40.95
Positive
200DMA
41.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.98
Positive
RSI
66.76
Neutral
STOCH
47.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RCI.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.52, above the 50-day MA of 46.19, and above the 200-day MA of 41.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RCI.B.

Rogers Communication Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$26.90B17.3713.68%4.02%1.87%71.51%
60
Neutral
$46.29B4.07-13.12%4.12%1.85%-42.71%
$22.79B83.292.91%9.99%
$25.08B35.616.08%7.03%
70
Outperform
C$10.05B11.6834.50%3.06%-1.02%4.71%
$1.99B8.3210.54%5.61%
$7.28B12.8633.80%3.11%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RCI.B
Rogers Communication
49.70
-3.34
-6.30%
BCE
BCE
24.72
-7.89
-24.20%
TU
Telus
16.57
0.87
5.54%
TSE:QBR.A
Quebecor Inc Cl A MV
43.63
10.86
33.14%
CGEAF
Cogeco Communications
46.96
1.52
3.35%
QBCRF
Quebecor
31.83
7.68
31.80%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025