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Rogers Communication (TSE:RCI.B)
TSX:RCI.B
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Rogers Communication (RCI.B) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RCI.B

Rogers Communication

(TSX:RCI.B)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
C$54.00
▲(16.98%Upside)
Rogers Communication's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators. The earnings call supports a positive outlook, despite challenges in subscriber growth. Valuation remains fair, with a good dividend yield attracting income-oriented investors.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Rogers' Q2/25 results are considered net positive due to a meaningful improvement in cable returns and effective cost containment.
Wireless Market
The wireless market is showing signs of stabilization with Rogers' post-paid net adds coming in higher than expected.
Negative Factors
Subscriber Base Repricing
Rogers continues to manage negative subscriber base repricing as subscribers come off contract into an environment with lower prices than when the contract commenced.
Wireless Volumes
Wireless volumes and prices remain under pressure with no clear near-term positive inflection point expected.

Rogers Communication (RCI.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rogers Communication Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications and media company in Canada. It operates through three segments: Wireless, Cable, and Media. The company offers mobile Internet access, wireless voice and enhanced voice, device and accessory financing, wireless home phone, device protection, e-mail, global voice and data roaming, bridging landline, machine-to-machine and Internet of Things solutions, and advanced wireless solutions for businesses, as well as device delivery services; and postpaid and prepaid services under the Rogers, Fido, and chatr brands to approximately 11.3 million subscribers. It also provides Internet and WiFi services; smart home monitoring services, such as monitoring, security, automation, energy efficiency, and smart control through a smartphone app. In addition, the company offers local and network TV; on-demand television; cloud-based digital video recorders; voice-activated remote controls, and integrated apps; personal video recorders; linear and time-shifted programming; digital specialty channels; 4K television programming; and televised content on smartphones, tablets, and personal computers, as well as operates Ignite TV and Ignite TV app. Further, it provides residential and small business local telephony services; calling features, such as voicemail, call waiting, and long distance; voice, data networking, Internet protocol, and Ethernet services; private networking, Internet, IP voice, and cloud solutions; optical wave and multi-protocol label switching services; IT and network technologies; and cable access network services. The company also owns Toronto Blue Jays and the Rogers Centre event venue; and operates Sportsnet ONE, Sportsnet 360, Sportsnet World, Citytv, OMNI, FX (Canada), FXX (Canada), and OLN television networks, as well as 55 AM and FM radio stations. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRogers Communications generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source is its wireless communications segment, where it earns money by providing mobile voice and data services to both individual and business customers. This includes subscription fees, usage charges, and equipment sales. The second major revenue stream is the cable and internet segment, where it offers cable television packages, internet access, and home phone services. Customers pay subscription fees for these services, with additional revenue coming from on-demand content and premium channel subscriptions. Additionally, Rogers' media division contributes to its earnings through advertising sales, content licensing, and subscription fees from its various media outlets, including television channels, radio stations, and online platforms. The company's strategic partnerships, investments in network infrastructure, and its ownership of content rights and sports teams also play significant roles in enhancing its market position and financial performance.

Rogers Communication Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.60%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects significant achievements in revenue growth, major strategic investments, and successful deleveraging. However, challenges such as slowed wireless subscriber growth and a decline in ARPU highlight competitive pressures and regulatory risks.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Rogers Communications reported growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA by 2% in its Wireless, Cable, and Media businesses for Q2 2025.
Successful Deleveraging
Rogers achieved a debt leverage of 3.6x, returning to pre-Shaw deal levels, nine months ahead of the initial plan.
Major Strategic Moves
Rogers completed a $7 billion equity investment, became a majority owner of MLSE with a 75% controlling interest, and launched satellite-to-mobile texting in Canada.
Significant Media Revenue Increase
Media revenue increased by 10% driven by expanded media content, NHL playoffs, and Toronto Blue Jays revenue.
Launch of 5G Advanced Network and Wi-Fi 7
Rogers started deploying 5G advanced network technology and began rolling out Wi-Fi 7 nationally.
Negative Updates
Wireless Subscriber Growth Slowdown
Net new wireless subscribers decreased to 61,000 from 162,000 last year, attributed to a moderating market size due to reduced immigration.
Decline in ARPU
Blended mobile phone ARPU decreased by 3% from the prior year due to competitive intensity and lower outbound roaming revenue.
CRTC Decision Impact
Rogers criticized a CRTC decision that could lead to reduced capital programs and at-risk network investments, potentially impacting competition and network construction jobs.
Company Guidance
During the Rogers Communications, Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the guidance provided included several key metrics. Rogers reported revenue and EBITDA growth across its Wireless, Cable, and Media segments, with consolidated service revenue and adjusted EBITDA each growing by 2%. Specifically, Wireless service revenue and adjusted EBITDA were up 1%, as were Cable service revenue and adjusted EBITDA, with a notable 3% increase in EBITDA driven by cost efficiencies. Media revenue saw a 10% rise, attributed to strong performance during the NHL playoffs and the launch of new content channels. The company successfully reduced its leverage to 3.6x, close to pre-Shaw deal levels, and achieved significant liquidity of nearly $12 billion. For 2025 guidance, Rogers updated its total service revenue growth forecast to 3% to 5%, reflecting the inclusion of MLSE's financial results, while adjusted EBITDA growth remained at 0% to 3%. Capital expenditures are expected to be at the low end of the $3.8 billion to $4 billion range, with free cash flow forecasted between $3 billion and $3.2 billion.

Rogers Communication Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rogers Communication shows strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, supported by effective cost management. However, high leverage poses potential risks, mitigated by strong returns and cash flows. Overall, the company reflects stability and growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Rogers Communication's income statement shows a strong performance with a consistent increase in total revenue, from $13.9B in 2020 to $20.7B TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) in 2025. The Gross Profit Margin is healthy at 46.7% TTM, indicating effective control over cost of goods sold. The Net Profit Margin improved significantly from 11.4% in 2020 to 8.5% TTM, reflecting good profitability. Revenue growth rate is positive, demonstrating steady expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, at 24.1% and 44.6% TTM respectively, highlighting strong operational efficiency. Overall, the company shows a solid trajectory in revenue and profitability growth, with minor fluctuations.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Rogers Communication reveals a moderate risk profile. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is high at approximately 4.64 TTM, suggesting significant leverage. However, the company maintains stable Stockholders' Equity which increased over the years. The Return on Equity is commendable at 16.5% TTM, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio stands at 14.5% TTM, which is low, reflecting high reliance on debt financing. While the high leverage poses potential risks, the company has demonstrated capacity to generate adequate returns.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Rogers Communication's cash flow statement indicates strong cash generation capability with Operating Cash Flow at $5.8B TTM. The Free Cash Flow improved from $1.1B in 2023 to $1.7B TTM, showing positive growth. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is favorable at 3.3, indicating efficient conversion of net income to cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.96, suggesting that nearly all of the net income is translated into free cash flow. These metrics reflect the company's strong cash position, despite high capital expenditures.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.60B19.31B15.40B14.65B13.92B
Gross Profit9.62B8.58B6.39B5.89B5.86B
EBITDA9.26B7.61B6.19B5.66B5.76B
Net Income1.73B849.00M1.68B1.56B1.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.41B69.28B55.66B41.96B38.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments898.00M800.00M1.15B715.00M2.48B
Total Debt47.63B45.20B36.75B22.84B21.26B
Total Liabilities61.01B58.84B45.56B31.43B29.28B
Stockholders Equity10.40B10.44B10.09B10.53B9.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.51B1.10B1.37B1.32B1.95B
Operating Cash Flow5.68B5.22B4.49B4.16B4.32B
Investing Cash Flow-4.46B-20.20B-3.26B-6.13B-2.56B
Financing Cash Flow-1.13B2.48B11.36B203.00M227.00M

Rogers Communication Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.16
Price Trends
50DMA
40.71
Positive
100DMA
38.47
Positive
200DMA
41.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.71
Positive
RSI
68.58
Neutral
STOCH
49.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RCI.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.54, above the 50-day MA of 40.71, and above the 200-day MA of 41.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RCI.B.

Rogers Communication Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$25.37B16.3513.68%4.33%1.87%71.51%
61
Neutral
$41.94B-1.87-13.06%4.04%2.13%-66.09%
$21.74B86.162.83%10.39%
$24.71B28.617.51%7.09%
75
Outperform
C$9.09B12.1237.46%3.40%-1.11%8.17%
$1.96B8.3510.54%5.71%
$6.57B12.0737.69%3.39%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RCI.B
Rogers Communication
46.16
-4.34
-8.59%
BCE
BCE
23.53
-7.42
-23.97%
TU
Telus
16.19
0.96
6.30%
TSE:QBR.A
Quebecor Inc Cl A MV
39.70
9.88
33.13%
CGEAF
Cogeco Communications
46.14
2.44
5.58%
QBCRF
Quebecor
28.31
7.04
33.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2025