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BCE (TSE:BCE)
TSX:BCE

BCE (BCE) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

BCE

(TSX:BCE)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$32.00
â–²( 8.36% Upside)
BCE's overall stock score reflects a challenging yet potentially promising situation. While the company exhibits strong cash flow management and impressive digital media growth, it faces significant risks from high leverage, declining revenues, and competitive pressures. The high P/E ratio and regulatory challenges add further caution. However, the attractive dividend yield and strategic initiatives for tech services provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
De-risking Efforts
Efforts to improve the balance sheet, including the buyback of bonds trading at a discount, are encouraging.
Media Performance
Media segment performance was better than expected, with Media EBITDA up 35.9% and media revenues up 6.9% year-over-year.
Negative Factors
Dividend Cut
BCE cut their dividend by 56.1%, compared to expectations of a 50% cut, and eliminated discounted treasury issuances under the DRIP programme.
Subscriber Additions
BCE’s sub adds were noticeably weaker, with a broadband net adds figure of 9.5k, suggesting a virtually flat sub base.
Wireless Revenue
Wireless service revenue growth remains in negative territory, reflecting competitive conditions, with mobile phone postpaid net losses.

BCE (BCE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

BCE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBCE Inc. is a leading Canadian communications company headquartered in Montreal, Quebec. It operates through four main sectors: Bell Wireless, Bell Wireline, Bell Media, and Bell Broadband. The company provides a comprehensive suite of telecommunications services, including wireless communications, high-speed Internet, IPTV, digital television, and media services. BCE is recognized for its strong brand presence through its flagship Bell brand and is a major player in the Canadian entertainment and media industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyBCE generates revenue primarily through its telecommunications services, with key revenue streams coming from wireless service subscriptions, wireline services, Internet and television subscriptions, and media content distribution. The Bell Wireless segment earns money by providing mobile voice and data services to consumers and businesses. The Bell Wireline and Broadband segments generate income through landline services, high-speed Internet, and IPTV services. Bell Media contributes to the company's earnings by offering television, radio broadcasting, and digital media services, supplemented by advertising revenue. The company's strategic partnerships with content providers and technology firms also play a significant role in expanding its service offerings and enhancing revenue generation.

BCE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BCE demonstrates solid profitability with strong EBIT and EBITDA margins, but stagnant revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable but burdened by high leverage. Cash flow generation is strong, with significant improvements in free cash flow.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company's income statement reveals a stable gross profit margin of 58.8% TTM, with a modest net profit margin of 2.3% TTM. Revenue growth is slightly negative at -0.33% TTM, indicating stagnation in top-line growth. The EBIT margin is healthy at 28.0% TTM, while the EBITDA margin stands at 34.5% TTM. Overall, the company showcases strong profitability metrics, albeit with a need for revenue growth improvement.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet analysis highlights a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.26 TTM, reflecting significant leverage, which poses a potential risk. Return on equity (ROE) is low at 3.3% TTM, indicating limited effectiveness in generating returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is 24.0% TTM, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing compared to total assets. Overall, the company's balance sheet reflects financial stability but with notable leverage concerns.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 13.1 TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 31.8% TTM, demonstrating healthy cash flow improvement. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 6.0 TTM, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Overall, the company's cash flow position is strong, with significant improvements in free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
24.33B24.41B24.67B24.17B23.45B22.88B
Gross Profit
14.30B16.70B7.42B16.53B9.89B9.61B
EBIT
6.82B5.55B5.50B5.41B5.44B5.01B
EBITDA
8.39B7.94B10.27B9.82B9.72B8.77B
Net Income Common Stockholders
566.00M344.00M2.26B2.87B2.84B2.63B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.05B1.97B1.77B149.00M207.00M224.00M
Total Assets
72.16B73.48B71.94B69.33B66.73B60.66B
Total Debt
39.19B38.31B36.18B31.92B29.67B26.32B
Net Debt
38.14B36.74B35.41B31.77B29.47B26.10B
Total Liabilities
54.54B56.13B51.38B46.81B43.81B39.34B
Stockholders Equity
17.33B17.07B20.23B22.18B22.61B20.99B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.38B2.56B3.18B3.23B1.09B3.47B
Operating Cash Flow
7.43B6.99B7.95B8.37B8.01B7.75B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.88B-4.44B-5.78B-5.51B-7.00B-3.54B
Financing Cash Flow
-3.46B-1.75B-1.54B-2.99B-1.02B-4.13B

BCE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.53
Price Trends
50DMA
31.10
Negative
100DMA
32.02
Negative
200DMA
36.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Positive
RSI
41.59
Neutral
STOCH
11.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BCE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.15, below the 50-day MA of 31.10, and below the 200-day MA of 36.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BCE.

BCE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$8.72B11.5437.46%3.49%-1.11%8.17%
78
Outperform
$8.72B11.4937.69%3.48%-1.11%8.17%
75
Outperform
C$19.72B12.1416.56%5.01%1.50%193.09%
74
Outperform
$19.72B10.9016.65%5.51%1.50%193.09%
TST
68
Neutral
$33.52B27.977.51%7.05%1.73%54.01%
TSBCE
63
Neutral
$27.22B69.882.83%13.32%-1.23%-78.01%
60
Neutral
$14.12B6.43-3.56%3.69%2.49%-35.43%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BCE
BCE
29.53
-12.14
-29.14%
TSE:T
Telus
22.14
1.44
6.95%
TSE:QBR.B
Quebecor
37.84
9.67
34.30%
TSE:RCI.B
Rogers Communication
35.81
-15.68
-30.46%
TSE:QBR.A
Quebecor Inc Cl A MV
38.00
9.14
31.67%
TSE:RCI.A
Rogers Comm Cl A
39.90
-17.87
-30.93%

BCE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strategic partnerships and growth in Fiber and digital media, though offset by a significant dividend cut and revenue declines in certain segments. The company is focusing on deleveraging and enhancing growth, but faces challenges in wireless revenue and competitive pricing pressures.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Major Partnership with PSP Investments
BCE announced a strategic partnership with PSP Investments to fund the expansion of their U.S. business, with potential commitments over $1.5 billion, de-risking future funding needs while supporting the U.S. Fiber growth strategy.
U.S. Fiber Expansion and Ziply Acquisition
BCE plans to expand its U.S. Fiber footprint to up to 8 million locations with the acquisition of Ziply. Ziply's EBITDA grew by 17% in 2024, and the acquisition is on track to close in the second half of 2025.
Transformation Program Upsized
BCE increased its cost-saving target from $1 billion to $1.5 billion by 2028, building on $500 million in savings already achieved since 2022.
Digital Media Growth
Bell Media's digital revenues increased by 12%, driven by a 22% increase in Crave subscribers to 3.8 million. Media EBITDA was up 35.9%, with a notable increase in margins.
Improved Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for Q1 increased by $713 million year-over-year, driven by lower CapEx, reduced cash taxes, and improved working capital.
Negative Updates
Dividend Reduction
BCE announced a reduction in the annualized dividend per common share from $3.99 to $1.75 to accelerate deleveraging efforts.
Revenue Decline
Total revenue decreased by 1.3%, largely due to a 7.4% decline in low-margin product sales and ongoing declines in legacy services.
Wireless Revenue Challenges
Wireless service revenue decreased by 1.8%, with impacts from competitive pricing pressure and lower roaming due to decreased U.S. travel.
Company Guidance
In the BCE Q1 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and strategic updates. BCE announced a partnership with PSP Investments to fund the expansion of its U.S. business, with potential commitments exceeding $1.5 billion, aimed at supporting its U.S. Fiber growth strategy. Additionally, the board has adjusted the annualized dividend per BCE common share to $1.75 from $3.99, effective with the July dividend payment, to help achieve a near-term deleveraging target of 3.5 times adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2027, and a longer-term target of 3.0 times by 2030. BCE also highlighted its significant Fiber expansion, with a current footprint of over 7.8 million locations and an ambition to reach 16 million total passings across North America. The company aims to double its Fiber revenue and enhance shareholder returns, while maintaining a strong focus on operational efficiency and cost management.

BCE Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
BCE and PSP Investments Form Network FiberCo to Boost U.S. Fiber Expansion
Positive
May 8, 2025

BCE Inc. and PSP Investments have announced a strategic partnership to form Network FiberCo, aimed at accelerating fiber infrastructure development in underserved U.S. markets through Ziply Fiber. This partnership, with a potential investment of over US$1.5 billion from PSP Investments, seeks to expand Ziply Fiber’s reach to up to 8 million fiber passings, enhancing BCE’s U.S. market presence and improving financial metrics like EBITDA. The collaboration leverages BCE’s operational capabilities and PSP Investments’ infrastructure expertise, promising sustainable growth and value for stakeholders.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
BCE Modifies Shareholder Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Neutral
May 8, 2025

BCE Inc. announced changes to its Shareholder Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP), where common shares will no longer be issued from treasury at a 2% discount but will be purchased on the secondary market. This modification, effective from July 15, 2025, aims to streamline the DRP while maintaining its benefits for shareholders, allowing them to acquire additional shares without commission fees. This move may impact BCE’s financial operations and shareholder engagement strategies.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BCE Inc. Reports Strong Q1 2025 Earnings and Strategic U.S. Expansion
Positive
May 8, 2025

BCE Inc. reported a significant increase in net earnings for the first quarter of 2025, with a 49.5% rise to $683 million. Despite a slight decrease in adjusted EPS, the company saw a substantial increase in free cash flow and operating cash flows. Bell Media experienced revenue growth driven by digital platforms. BCE has adjusted its dividend to strengthen its balance sheet amidst economic uncertainties and announced a strategic partnership with PSP Investments to enhance fiber infrastructure development in the U.S. The company is also focusing on technological advancements and cybersecurity services to drive future growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.