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Rogers Comm Cl A (TSE:RCI.A)
TSX:RCI.A
Canadian Market

Rogers Comm Cl A (RCI.A) AI Stock Analysis

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Rogers Comm Cl A

(TSX:RCI.A)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:―
Rogers Communications is well-positioned with strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions. Despite high leverage, effective cash flow management and recent equity investments enhance its financial stability. Technical analysis suggests caution due to recent downward trends, but attractive valuation metrics and robust corporate events support a positive outlook.

Rogers Comm Cl A (RCI.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rogers Comm Cl A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRogers Communications Inc. is a leading Canadian communications and media company, primarily operating in the telecommunications sector. The company offers a wide range of products and services, including wireless communications, cable television, internet, and media services. Rogers is one of Canada's largest wireless carriers, providing nationwide mobile services, and is also known for its cable offerings, delivering broadband internet and digital television to millions of households. Additionally, the company owns a variety of media assets, including television and radio broadcasting, sports entertainment, and digital media properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyRogers Communications generates revenue through several key streams. The wireless segment is a major contributor, where the company earns money from providing mobile voice and data services to consumers and businesses across Canada. This includes revenue from customer subscriptions, device sales, and roaming charges. Another significant revenue stream comes from the cable segment, where Rogers earns from subscription fees for cable television, internet, and home phone services. The media division also contributes to the company's earnings through advertising sales, content licensing, and subscriber fees for its television and radio stations. Additionally, Rogers benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures, such as its ownership of sports teams and venues, which enhance its media and entertainment offerings.

Rogers Comm Cl A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rogers Communications exhibits strong revenue and profit growth, with efficient operations and solid cash flow management. The high debt levels are a concern, but consistent cash generation and profitability provide stability. Continued debt reduction efforts, as seen with recent equity investments, could improve financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Rogers Communications has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a notable increase from $14.66 billion in 2021 to $20.68 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin remains robust at approximately 46.7% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin has slightly improved to 8.5% in TTM, reflecting solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins at 24.3% and 44.6% respectively are strong indicators of operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.64 in TTM, signaling significant leverage, which could pose a risk in volatile markets. However, the return on equity (ROE) of 16.5% in TTM indicates a good return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is 14.5%, suggesting moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Rogers Communications exhibits healthy cash flow management, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.3 in TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, increasing from $1.11 billion in 2023 to $1.69 billion in TTM, pointing to improved liquidity and financial flexibility.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
20.68B20.60B19.31B15.40B14.65B13.92B
Gross Profit
9.66B9.62B8.58B6.39B5.89B5.86B
EBIT
5.03B5.00B4.46B3.77B3.23B3.21B
EBITDA
9.25B9.26B7.61B6.19B5.66B5.76B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.76B1.73B849.00M1.68B1.56B1.59B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.68B898.00M800.00M463.00M715.00M2.48B
Total Assets
73.12B71.41B69.28B55.66B41.96B38.85B
Total Debt
49.35B47.63B45.20B36.75B22.84B21.26B
Net Debt
46.67B46.73B44.40B36.28B22.13B18.77B
Total Liabilities
62.49B61.01B58.84B45.56B31.43B29.28B
Stockholders Equity
10.63B10.40B10.44B10.09B10.53B9.57B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.69B1.51B1.10B1.37B1.32B1.95B
Operating Cash Flow
5.80B5.68B5.22B4.49B4.16B4.32B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.38B-4.46B-20.20B-3.26B-6.13B-2.56B
Financing Cash Flow
498.00M-1.13B2.48B11.36B203.00M227.00M

Rogers Comm Cl A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.90
Price Trends
50DMA
40.70
Negative
100DMA
42.79
Negative
200DMA
48.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
48.10
Neutral
STOCH
61.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RCI.A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.70, below the 50-day MA of 40.70, and below the 200-day MA of 48.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:RCI.A.

Rogers Comm Cl A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$8.72B11.5437.46%3.49%-1.11%8.17%
78
Outperform
$8.72B11.4937.69%3.48%-1.11%8.17%
75
Outperform
C$19.72B12.1416.56%5.01%1.50%193.09%
74
Outperform
$19.72B10.9016.65%5.51%1.50%193.09%
TST
68
Neutral
$33.52B27.977.51%7.05%1.73%54.01%
TSBCE
63
Neutral
$27.22B69.882.83%13.32%-1.23%-78.01%
61
Neutral
$14.08B5.95-4.18%3.68%2.79%-36.29%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RCI.A
Rogers Comm Cl A
39.90
-17.87
-30.93%
TSE:T
Telus
22.14
1.44
6.95%
TSE:BCE
BCE
29.53
-12.14
-29.14%
TSE:QBR.B
Quebecor
37.84
9.67
34.30%
TSE:RCI.B
Rogers Communication
35.81
-15.68
-30.46%
TSE:QBR.A
Quebecor Inc Cl A MV
38.00
9.14
31.67%

Rogers Comm Cl A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated strong operational performance with record subscriber growth and innovative financial strategies to reduce debt. However, the decline in roaming revenue presents a challenge. Overall, Rogers is maintaining its competitive edge in the market.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Subscriber Growth
Rogers added a record 227,000 mobile phone and Internet net additions in Q3. Over the past 11 quarters, they have added 1.9 million mobile phone and Internet net additions.
Innovative $7 Billion Structured Equity Financing
Rogers announced a $7 billion structured equity financing with a leading global financial investor to pay down debt. This will reduce their debt leverage ratio to 3.7x by year-end, ahead of the 4.2x target.
Industry-leading Margins
Rogers achieved their best-ever cable and wireless margins with wireless service revenue up 2% and adjusted EBITDA up 5%. Cable adjusted EBITDA increased by 5% with margins of 58%.
Record Wireless and Cable Margins
Wireless adjusted EBITDA margin reached an all-time high of 66%, and Cable margins hit 58%, also an all-time high.
Strong Performance in Sports & Media
Sports & Media revenue grew 11%, and adjusted EBITDA rose 25% in Q3.
Negative Updates
Roaming Revenue Decline
There was a decline in total roaming revenue, which significantly impacted ARPU negatively in the third quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Rogers Communications, the company provided significant guidance on its financial and operational outlook. They announced a pioneering $7 billion structured equity financing deal with a leading global financial investor, aimed at reducing their debt leverage ratio to 3.7x by year-end, ahead of the previously targeted 4.2x. The transaction is expected to close in Q4 2024 and marks a substantial step in their Shaw deleveraging plans. Rogers highlighted their strong market performance with record mobile phone and Internet net additions of 227,000 for the quarter, contributing to a total of 1.9 million over the past 11 quarters. Wireless service revenue grew by 2%, with adjusted EBITDA up by 5%, achieving industry-leading wireless margins of 66%. Cable revenue showed sequential improvement, with a 1% decline, and cable adjusted EBITDA increased by 5%, reaching a margin of 58%. Their Sports & Media business also delivered robust results with 11% revenue growth and a 25% rise in adjusted EBITDA. Additionally, Rogers reaffirmed its 2024 guidance range targets, emphasizing continued growth and efficiency gains.

Rogers Comm Cl A Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Rogers Communications Shareholders Approve All AGM Proposals
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Rogers Communications Inc. announced the results of its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where all proposed items, including the election of director nominees and the appointment of KPMG LLP as auditors, were approved with overwhelming support. The high percentage of votes in favor reflects strong shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rogers Communications Declares Quarterly Dividend and Adjusts Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Rogers Communications announced a quarterly dividend of 50 cents per share for its Class A and Class B shares, to be paid on July 3, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 9, 2025. The company also stated that shares purchased under its Dividend Reinvestment Plan will be acquired on the open market without a discount, reflecting a strategic decision to maintain share value and potentially attract more investors.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rogers Communications Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Rogers Communications reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with growth in service revenue and adjusted EBITDA, despite a slowing market. The company achieved significant balance sheet deleveraging with a $7 billion minority equity investment, reducing its debt leverage ratio. Key achievements include a 12-year agreement with the NHL for national media rights and the launch of Canada’s first commercial deployment of Ericsson 5G Cloud RAN technology. Rogers continues to invest in network expansion and strategic initiatives to drive long-term growth and shareholder value.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rogers Communications Completes Consent Solicitations for Subsidiary Investment
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Rogers Communications Inc. has successfully completed consent solicitations to amend indentures for its senior notes, facilitating a subsidiary equity investment. This move clarifies that the investment is not restricted by existing covenants and aligns non-financial terms of Shaw Notes with other Canadian dollar notes, potentially strengthening Rogers’ financial flexibility and market position.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rogers Secures CDN$7 Billion Equity Investment to Strengthen Financial Position
Positive
Apr 4, 2025

Rogers Communications has entered into a definitive agreement for a CDN$7 billion equity investment with Blackstone and leading Canadian institutional investors. This strategic move aims to reduce Rogers’ debt leverage ratio by 0.7x and strengthen its balance sheet by repaying debt, while maintaining full operational control over its wireless network. The transaction is expected to close in the second quarter of 2025, and Rogers plans to use the proceeds to unlock the unrecognized value of its critical assets, thereby enhancing its investment grade balance sheet.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rogers Communications Seeks Consent for Debt Amendments Amid Equity Investment
Positive
Apr 4, 2025

Rogers Communications Inc. has initiated consent solicitations to amend the indentures of certain senior notes to facilitate a subsidiary equity investment with Blackstone. This strategic move is aimed at using the investment proceeds to repay debt, and Rogers seeks to clarify that the equity investment is not restricted by existing debt covenants. This action is expected to enhance Rogers’ financial flexibility and strengthen its market position.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.