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Telus Corp. (TSE:T)
TSX:T

Telus (T) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

Telus

(TSX:T)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$24.00
▲(8.11%Upside)
Telus's overall score reflects a solid financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow management. The company is well-positioned for long-term growth due to strategic initiatives and positive corporate events. However, its high valuation, moderate technical indicators, and leverage caution impact the short-term outlook. Attractive dividend yield and strategic focus on Health and Agriculture sectors add to the stock's appeal.
Positive Factors
Dividend Growth
TELUS extended its dividend growth program and is targeting 3-8% dividend increases from 2026 to 2028.
Health Segment Performance
TELUS Health segment and PE investment signal positive growth momentum and longer-term monetization opportunities.
Stock Performance
TELUS’ stock is up 14% year-to-date, reflective of strong execution despite the challenging conditions, and ahead of its larger peers.
Negative Factors
Dividend Sustainability
There is skepticism on the sustainability of TELUS’ dividend growth profile with the payout ratio still above 100%.
Network Revenue
Network revenue decreased reflecting slowed mobile loading and weak ARPU.
Wireless Service Revenue
Wireless remains the main challenge with service revenue growth remaining in negative territory.

Telus (T) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Telus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTELUS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of telecommunications and information technology products and services in Canada. It operates through Technology Solutions and Digitally-Led Customer Experiences segments. The Technology Solutions segment offers a range of telecommunications products and services; network revenue; mobile technologies equipment sale; data revenues, such as internet protocol; television; hosting, managed information technology, and cloud-based services; software, data management, and data analytics-driven smart food-chain technologies; home and business security; healthcare software and technology solutions; and voice and other telecommunications services. The Digitally-Led Customer Experiences segment provides digital customer experience and digital-enablement transformation solutions, including artificial intelligence and content management solutions. It has 16.9 million subscriber connections, which include 9.3 million mobile phone subscribers; 2.1 million connected device subscribers; 2.3 million internet subscribers; 1.1 million residential voice subscribers; 1.3 million TV subscribers; and 804,000 security subscribers. The company was formerly known as TELUS Communications Inc. and changed its name to TELUS Corporation in February 2005. TELUS Corporation was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelus makes money through a variety of revenue streams primarily focused on telecommunications services. Its key revenue streams include mobile network services, where the company earns revenue from providing voice and data services to individual and business customers. This includes postpaid and prepaid plans, as well as additional services like roaming and equipment sales. Wireline services also contribute significantly, with Telus offering internet, television, and home phone services. Telus Health is another area of growth, generating revenue through digital healthcare solutions and technology services for healthcare providers and patients. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations, which can enhance service offerings and customer reach.

Telus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 6.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
TELUS demonstrated strong customer growth and robust EBITDA performance, highlighting significant achievements in its Health and Agriculture segments. However, challenges such as a decline in mobile ARPU and higher financing costs tempered the overall positive sentiment. The company remains focused on leveraging its strong asset base for future growth.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Customer Additions
TELUS achieved over 1.2 million telecom net new customer additions in 2024, marking the third consecutive year of surpassing 1 million additions.
Strong EBITDA Growth
TTech EBITDA grew by 7% in Q4 2024 and 5.5% for the full year, meeting the target range set at the beginning of the year.
TELUS Health and Agriculture Growth
TELUS Health achieved 10% revenue growth and 20% EBITDA growth in Q4, while TELUS Agriculture & Consumer Goods saw a 16% revenue increase.
Improved Capital Efficiency
Consolidated capital intensity was down 200 basis points year-over-year at 12%, reflecting a planned slowdown in fiber and wireless asset builds.
Negative Updates
Decline in Mobile Phone ARPU
Mobile phone ARPU declined by 3.6% in Q4 2024, indicating ongoing competitive pressures in the market.
Higher Financing Costs
Net income was partially offset by higher financing costs, reflecting increased long-term debt and higher interest rates.
Slight Miss on Free Cash Flow Target
Free cash flow for the full year was approximately $2 billion, slightly below the target of $2.1 billion due to higher-than-expected cash impacts of contract assets and device financing.
Company Guidance
During TELUS' 2024 Q4 earnings call, the guidance for 2025 highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic focuses. TELUS aims for TTech operating revenue growth of 2% to 4% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 3% to 5%, supported by moderated capital expenditures of approximately $2.5 billion. The company expects consolidated free cash flow to reach around $2.15 billion. TELUS plans to leverage its strong performance in customer additions, having achieved over 1.2 million net new telecom customer additions in 2024. The company also targets a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of approximately 3x by 2027, alongside the removal of the discounted dividend reinvestment plan. The strategic focus includes enhancing operational excellence, expanding customer base, and capitalizing on growth in TELUS Health and Agriculture sectors. These initiatives aim to underpin long-term profitable growth and sustain the dividend growth program, which is now in its 15th year.

Telus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telus demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow management, with effective cost control and operational efficiency. However, moderate revenue growth and a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio suggest caution in financial leverage. The company maintains a stable financial footing with opportunities for enhancing equity contributions.
Income Statement
74
Positive
The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is strong at 50.7%, indicating healthy cost management. The net profit margin improved to 5.85% in TTM, showing profitability enhancement. Revenue growth is modest at 0.75% from the previous year, reflecting stable market presence. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 14.7% and 33.9% respectively, demonstrating efficient operational management despite slight margin compression compared to the previous year.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.92, indicating a moderate leverage level, which is typical for the telecom industry but poses some financial risk. ROE improved to 7.6%, reflecting better profitability on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio of 26.9% suggests a balanced capital structure, though with room for improvement in equity financing.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Free cash flow saw a 1.85% growth, signaling controlled capital expenditure and stable cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 4.2, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.25, showing effective cash conversion from profits.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
20.29B20.14B20.00B18.29B16.84B15.34B
Gross Profit
10.29B12.50B12.47B11.19B10.14B9.07B
EBIT
2.98B2.80B2.36B2.95B3.07B2.48B
EBITDA
6.87B6.68B6.31B6.94B5.90B5.63B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.19B993.00M841.00M1.61B1.66B1.21B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.01B869.00M864.00M974.00M723.00M848.00M
Total Assets
57.98B58.02B56.14B54.05B47.99B43.33B
Total Debt
30.05B29.78B27.45B25.14B20.97B20.39B
Net Debt
30.05B29.78B26.59B24.17B20.24B19.54B
Total Liabilities
41.20B41.23B38.83B36.39B31.93B30.73B
Stockholders Equity
15.61B15.62B16.11B16.57B15.12B12.07B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.49B1.46B1.29B1.16B-928.00M1.75B
Operating Cash Flow
4.97B4.85B4.50B4.81B4.39B4.57B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.31B-3.70B-4.75B-5.41B-5.47B-6.17B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.81B-1.14B139.00M848.00M953.00M1.90B

Telus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.20
Price Trends
50DMA
20.96
Positive
100DMA
20.86
Positive
200DMA
20.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
61.16
Neutral
STOCH
71.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:T, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.56, above the 50-day MA of 20.96, and above the 200-day MA of 20.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:T.

Telus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TST
68
Neutral
$33.52B27.977.51%7.05%1.73%54.01%
61
Neutral
$14.08B5.95-4.18%3.68%2.79%-36.29%
BCBCE
$19.82B78.402.83%13.32%
RCRCI
$14.36B11.0116.65%5.51%
79
Outperform
C$8.72B11.5437.46%3.49%-1.11%8.17%
75
Outperform
C$19.72B12.1416.56%5.00%1.50%193.09%
$6.35B11.5437.69%3.48%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:T
Telus
22.20
1.46
7.05%
BCE
BCE
21.48
-8.96
-29.43%
RCI
Rogers Communication
26.58
-11.24
-29.72%
TSE:QBR.A
Quebecor Inc Cl A MV
38.42
10.52
37.71%
TSE:RCI.A
Rogers Comm Cl A
39.61
-18.17
-31.45%
QBCRF
Quebecor
27.72
7.11
34.50%

Telus Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
TELUS Launches $1.6 Billion Junior Subordinated Note Offering
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

TELUS has announced the pricing of $1.6 billion in fixed-to-fixed rate junior subordinated notes through a syndicate of agents. These notes, issued in two series with a 30.25-year maturity, are intended to help the company repay outstanding debts and support general corporate purposes. The Series CAR notes have an initial yield of 6.25% and the Series CAS notes have an initial yield of 6.75%, with both series having mechanisms to reset interest rates every five years. The issuance of these notes is expected to enhance TELUS’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
TELUS Considers Strategic Sale of Wireless Tower Stake to Boost Financial Flexibility
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

TELUS is exploring the sale of a minority stake in its wireless tower infrastructure to enhance network operations and strengthen its balance sheet. This move aims to provide financial flexibility, allowing TELUS to pay down debt and achieve a leverage target by 2027, while maintaining its commitment to sustainable growth and stakeholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.