Supremex (SXP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$87.43M
• Dividend Yield: 18.41%
• Average Volume (3M): 16.55K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.87
• Revenue Growth: -4.69%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: CA
• Employees: 900
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): 0.19
• Shares Outstanding: 24,559,870
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 15,794
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 16,551
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: C$3.50 ▼(-5.41% Downside)

Supremex's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and profitability being the most critical factors. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while the valuation is mixed, with a high dividend yield but negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provides some optimism with strategic initiatives and financial strengthening, but operational challenges remain a concern.

Supremex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Supremex (SXP) is a leading manufacturer and provider of custom packaging solutions, primarily serving the North American market. The company operates in the packaging and printing sectors, specializing in the production of a diverse range of products including envelopes, mailers, and specialty packaging. With a focus on innovation and sustainability, Supremex offers high-quality products tailored to meet the unique needs of its clients across various industries such as e-commerce, retail, and direct mail marketing.

How the Company Makes Money

Supremex generates revenue through the sale of its packaging products, which includes a variety of envelopes, mailers, and custom packaging solutions. The company's primary revenue stream comes from direct sales to businesses in need of packaging solutions, particularly in the e-commerce and retail sectors. Additionally, Supremex may benefit from long-term contracts with key clients, providing a stable income source. The company places a strong emphasis on sustainable packaging options, which can attract environmentally conscious customers and open up new market segments. Strategic partnerships with logistics and shipping companies can also enhance their distribution capabilities, contributing to increased sales and market reach.

Supremex Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Supremex faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, as evidenced by the negative net income and declining revenue in the TTM period. However, the company has demonstrated resilience through improved gross profit margins and solid cash flow management. The balance sheet remains stable with manageable debt levels, providing a strong foundation for potential future growth.

Income Statement

Supremex has shown fluctuating revenue and profitability over recent years. The TTM data shows a decrease in total revenue compared to the previous year, with a negative net profit margin of -4.79%, indicating a challenging period for profitability. However, the gross profit margin improved significantly from the previous year, suggesting some operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown improvement in the TTM period, although they remain below industry standards.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71, indicating a balanced leverage situation. Stockholders' equity remains stable, with a healthy equity ratio of 48.93%, which suggests a solid foundation. However, the total assets have slightly decreased, reflecting some challenges in asset growth.

Cash Flow

Supremex has maintained positive free cash flow growth, with a strong free cash flow of 32.37 million CAD in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash management despite negative net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is particularly strong, highlighting the company's ability to generate cash even in less profitable times.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	274.62M	281.04M	302.19M	272.47M	226.43M	204.60M
Gross Profit	160.58M	79.45M	87.22M	75.10M	53.11M	57.25M
EBITDA	10.48M	15.91M	48.28M	55.11M	36.91M	27.47M
Net Income	-15.61M	-11.74M	17.33M	28.44M	15.75M	7.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	228.40M	236.97M	263.76M	260.56M	206.37M	186.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.06M	1.79M	1.07M	1.93M	6.36M	3.04M
Total Debt	41.68M	87.92M	89.25M	88.10M	67.60M	75.68M
Total Liabilities	115.46M	122.00M	139.22M	136.24M	108.97M	107.59M
Stockholders Equity	112.94M	114.97M	134.72M	124.32M	97.40M	78.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	22.55M	30.36M	37.64M	23.82M	26.09M	34.45M
Operating Cash Flow	24.04M	32.09M	43.90M	26.91M	30.00M	37.03M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.37M	-2.92M	-35.50M	-31.72M	-6.61M	-29.98M
Financing Cash Flow	-21.94M	-27.36M	-9.59M	-48.85K	-20.02M	-5.71M

Supremex Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3.70
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SXP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.62, below the 50-day MA of 3.78, and above the 200-day MA of 3.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:SXP.

Supremex Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CCL.B	78 Outperform	$13.54B	17.32	14.88%	1.58%	7.90%	19.55%
WPK	75 Outperform	C$2.52B	13.28	10.45%	7.43%	3.19%	-0.26%
CCL.A	75 Outperform	C$13.54B	17.41	15.20%	1.64%	7.90%	19.55%
TCL.A	66 Neutral	C$1.61B	9.17	9.36%	9.79%	-2.90%	57.43%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
CAS	61 Neutral	$1.13B	-141.29	1.16%	4.04%	3.50%	―
SXP	54 Neutral	C$87.43M	―	15.15%	18.41%	-4.69%	―

Supremex Corporate Events

Supremex Reports Q3 2025 Results Amid Strategic Moves and Market Challenges

Supremex Inc. reported a decrease in total revenue for the third quarter of 2025, with earnings per share improving significantly compared to the previous year. The company undertook strategic acquisitions and a sale and leaseback transaction to reduce debt and return funds to shareholders, despite challenges from Canada Post labor issues affecting operations. The company’s strong balance sheet positions it well for future growth and continued shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SXP) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Supremex stock, see the TSE:SXP Stock Forecast page.

Supremex Mourns the Loss of Esteemed Director Warren J. White

Supremex Inc. announced the passing of Mr. Warren J. White, a valued director since 2014, who contributed significantly to the company with his extensive experience in business and leadership roles in major international manufacturing organizations. His loss is deeply felt across the organization, and the company extends its condolences to his family. Mr. White’s expertise in areas such as information technology, finance, procurement, and strategic planning was instrumental in guiding Supremex’s operations and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SXP) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Supremex stock, see the TSE:SXP Stock Forecast page.

Supremex Appoints New Chief Financial Officer to Drive Strategic Growth

Supremex Inc. has appointed Normand Macaulay as its new Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary, effective September 15, 2025. Macaulay brings over 20 years of leadership experience in finance and operations, having previously served as CFO at Nitrex and held senior roles at Wajax Corporation. His expertise in corporate finance, M&A, and process optimization is expected to contribute to Supremex’s operational excellence and long-term strategic growth. The appointment is seen as a strategic move to bolster the company’s leadership team and drive profitable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SXP) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Supremex stock, see the TSE:SXP Stock Forecast page.

Supremex Inc. Earnings Call: Mixed Results and Strategic Moves

The recent earnings call for Supremex Inc. presented a mixed sentiment, reflecting both strategic successes and notable challenges. While the company achieved significant milestones such as debt reduction and shareholder returns, it faced hurdles in the envelope segment, foreign exchange losses, and diminished profitability.

Supremex Reports Q2 2025 Results, Declares Special Dividend, and Expands with Acquisitions

Supremex Inc. announced its second quarter results for 2025, reporting a total revenue of $66.0 million, a decline from the previous year, and a net loss of $0.3 million. The company declared a special dividend of $0.50 per common share and renewed its normal course issuer bid to repurchase shares. Supremex completed two acquisitions to enhance its operations, which are expected to be immediately accretive, and executed a sale-leaseback transaction to strengthen its balance sheet. Despite challenges in the envelope segment due to reduced volume from a major U.S. customer and pricing pressures, the packaging segment showed strong growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SXP) stock is a Buy with a C$5.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Supremex stock, see the TSE:SXP Stock Forecast page.