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Winpak Limited (TSE:WPK)
TSX:WPK

Winpak (WPK) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:WPK

Winpak

(TSX:WPK)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$54.00
▲(22.12% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial resilience (minimal leverage and steady profitability). Technicals add support via a clear uptrend and positive momentum, though the high Stochastic suggests limited near-term room. Valuation is reasonable on earnings, but the low dividend yield modestly tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet and minimal leverage
Very low leverage and reported zero total debt in 2025 give Winpak durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, supports steady capital allocation for capex or dividends, and cushions the business during demand cyclicality over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Modest recent revenue growth and top-line stagnation
Revenue expansion has been tepid, with only modest growth in 2025 after prior soft years. Without clear acceleration or new structural demand drivers, organic growth may remain limited, pressuring the company to rely on pricing or share gains to drive durable top-line expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet and minimal leverage
Very low leverage and reported zero total debt in 2025 give Winpak durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, supports steady capital allocation for capex or dividends, and cushions the business during demand cyclicality over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Winpak (WPK) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Winpak Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Winpak Ltd. manufactures and distributes packaging materials and related packaging machines in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Flexible Packaging, Rigid Packaging and Flexible Li...
How the Company Makes Money
Winpak generates revenue through the sale of various packaging products and solutions to its clients in multiple sectors, primarily food and beverage, pharmaceuticals, and medical industries. The company's revenue model is built on producing and s...

Winpak Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial profile is strong, led by an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (very low/zero debt and steady ~10–12% ROE). Profitability is solid but recent revenue growth is modest and net income in 2025 is below 2023–2024. Cash flow is positive with free cash flow each year, but volatility in free cash flow and cash conversion reduces quality/stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.15B1.13B1.14B1.18B1.00B
Gross Profit346.74M361.63M334.15M331.76M274.45M
EBITDA236.15M265.40M250.22M224.24M189.70M
Net Income139.43M149.46M148.13M128.34M103.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.56B1.65B1.57B1.46B1.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments374.94M497.26M541.87M398.67M377.46M
Total Debt29.92M17.85M13.84M12.53M13.49M
Total Liabilities239.81M363.21M187.82M223.71M205.96M
Stockholders Equity1.29B1.25B1.35B1.20B1.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow103.23M58.14M151.81M28.11M48.52M
Operating Cash Flow189.61M181.92M220.84M77.57M97.06M
Investing Cash Flow-87.34M-123.77M-69.03M-49.46M-48.54M
Financing Cash Flow-226.04M-102.75M-8.61M-6.90M-166.40M

Winpak Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.22
Price Trends
50DMA
46.60
Negative
100DMA
45.32
Negative
200DMA
43.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
43.96
Neutral
STOCH
28.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:WPK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.06, below the 50-day MA of 46.60, and above the 200-day MA of 43.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:WPK.

Winpak Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$2.65B14.2210.69%7.11%3.19%-0.26%
77
Outperform
C$14.98B18.8814.55%1.44%7.12%17.15%
65
Neutral
C$89.75M7.4910.80%19.66%-4.69%
64
Neutral
C$456.13M16.267.69%8.32%-2.45%44.20%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
C$1.18B18.011.16%3.90%3.50%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:WPK
Winpak
45.15
6.34
16.35%
TSE:CCL.A
CCL Industries (A)
87.62
19.03
27.74%
TSE:SXP
Supremex
3.68
0.22
6.48%
TSE:TCL.A
Transcontinental
5.24
2.86
120.26%
TSE:CAS
Cascades
11.65
2.37
25.50%

Winpak Corporate Events

Dividends
Winpak Declares First-Quarter 2026 Dividend
Positive
Feb 23, 2026
Winpak Ltd.’s board of directors has declared a first-quarter 2026 dividend of five Canadian cents per share, payable on April 10 to shareholders of record as of April 1. The move underscores the company’s continued practice of returni...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Winpak Posts Lower 2025 Profit on Margin Pressure Despite Stable Revenue
Negative
Feb 23, 2026
Winpak reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $284.9 million, essentially flat year over year, while net income attributable to equity holders declined 1.2 percent to $36.2 million, as lower gross profit and reduced net finance income weighed on ...
Business Operations and Strategy
Winpak Earns Fourth Straight A- Climate Score from CDP
Positive
Jan 13, 2026
Winpak Ltd. has received an A- score from the Carbon Disclosure Project for the fourth consecutive year, placing the company among global leaders in environmental governance, climate disclosure and climate risk management. The repeat rating reflec...
Dividends
Winpak Declares Fourth Quarter 2025 Dividend
Positive
Dec 11, 2025
Winpak Ltd. has announced a dividend of five cents per share for the fourth quarter of 2025, payable on January 12, 2026, to shareholders recorded by January 2, 2026. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026